• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이항모형

Search Result 281, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Value of Travel-Time Savings in Metropolitan Road Freight Transportation with Freight Classification Code (화물품목 분류에 따른 대도시권 공로화물운송의 시간가치 산정)

  • 최창호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.20 no.7
    • /
    • pp.167-175
    • /
    • 2002
  • The objective of this study is to reveal a shipper's preference for road freight transport according to commodity classification code. The shipper's preference in freight transport can be obtained by using value of travel-time savings. The characteristics of freight are so various that the shipper's preference also appear widely different. In these days, there were few attempts to estimate value of freight travel-time savings in Korea. but most of them included only rail or marine freight transport so it couldn't obtain unique travel-time savings for road freight transport. In this study the value of travel-time savings of road freight transport was estimated according to commodity classification code. Revealed preference method and associated binominal logit models were applied to estimate the value of travel-time savings in transit from a Seoul metropolitan commodity flow survey data in 1998. Data sets were segmented by commodity classification code and nineteen binominal legit models were estimated according to segmented groups. The results of this study showed that the value of freight travel-time savings varied wide ranges from 16,441 won to 66,769 won per hour a vehicle along with commodity classification code.

Determinants of Seafarers' Employment Stability (외항선원 고용형태 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Tae-Hwee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.44 no.6
    • /
    • pp.534-540
    • /
    • 2020
  • Like most developed countries, South Korea is experiencing a severe lack of seafarers. Because young people's demands for a high quality of life has led them to seek shore-based careers. The wage difference between seafaring and shore-based careers has been decreasing gradually, however South Korea's unique Boarding Service Reserve System Policy has helped recruit and retain young sailors and, since 2017, the government has focused on creating new jobs and stabilizing the status of irregular workers in both private and public sectors. It specifically established the Economic, Social & Labor Council to carefully analyze seafarers' employment stability, which previously had been overlooked in the country. This research used the Binary Logit Model (BLM) to analyze the determinants of seafarers' employment stability in both permanent and non-permanent positions. We found that seafarers' employment stability correlated highly with their education level. This means that seafarers who graduated from the above mentioned two maritime universities would have more job stablity than those who graduated from maritime high schools or general universities. Other independent variables, such as the shipping company, vessel, hip management companies, work assignment, rank, and license had no significant impact on employment stability.

Study on Shared E-scooter Usage Characteristics and Influencing Factors (공유 전동킥보드 이용 특성 및 영향요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Su jae;Lee, Gyeong jae;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Sang hun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.40-53
    • /
    • 2021
  • Recently, shared dockless e-scooter usage has rapidly increased, rather than the station-based shared mobility service, because of convenience. This transition leads to new social problems in urban areas such as increased traffic accidents and hindrance of pedestrian environments. In this study, we analyze the usage characteristics of shared e-scooters in Seoul, and identify factors influencing demand for shared e-scooters by developing a negative binomial regression model. As a result, the usage characteristics show that the average trip distance, the average trip duration, and the average trip speed were 1.5km, 9.4min, and 10.3km/h, respectively. Demographic factor, transport facility factors, land use factors, and weather factors have statistically significant impacts on demand for shared e-scooters. The results of this study will be used as basic data for suggesting effective operation strategies for areas with higher shared e-scooter demand and for establishing transport policies for facilitating shared e-scooter usage.

Development of a Pedestrian Accident Exposure Estimation Modelconsidering Walking Conflicts (보행상충을 고려한 보행사고 노출 추정 모형 개발)

  • Iljoon Chang;Nam ju Kwon;Se-young Ahn
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.54-63
    • /
    • 2023
  • Pedestrian traffic needs to be accurately quantified to predict effectively pedestrian traffic accidents, however, pedestrian traffic is more difficult to measure than vehicle traffic. In this study, we suggest the time-and cost-effective application of mobile closed-circuit television (CCTV) using a smartphone as an alternative that can collect and analyze real-time data with little. In the present investigation, the pedestrian-vehicle conflict that can develop into an accident was defined as the pedestrian accident exposure. After installing mobile CCTV in 40 sections of Dongseong-ro, Daegu, the pedestrian accident exposure was estimated through negative binomial regression analysis using the collected data. The results of the analysis showed statistically significant changes in the pedestrian accident exposure variables. Based on the present results, a pedestrian accident exposure estimation model was developed which can be used in sections where pedestrian accidents may occur.

Ex-ante and Ex-post Economic Value Analysis on Ecological River Restoration Project (생태하천복원사업 전후 경제적 가치 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yoon;Chang, Hoon;Yoon, Taeyeon;Chung, Young-Keun;Park, Heeyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.39-54
    • /
    • 2015
  • To assess an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, an in-depth exit survey data was collected to apply travel cost method in this study. Poisson model, Negative Binomial, Zero-truncated Poisson, and Zero-truncated Negative Binomial model were executed due to the nature of count data. Empirical results showed that regressors were statistically significant and corresponded to general consumer theory. Since our survey data showed over-dispersion, Zero-truncated Negative Binomial was selected as an optimal one to analyze travel demand of Cheonggyecheon by model goodness of fit test among those aforementioned empirical models. Estimating an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, which is known as an ecological river restoration project, we used annual visit of individual traveler and an optimal model. Suffice to say that the annual economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project was estimated as 193.4 billion won in 2013.

A Study on Marginal Effect of Geometric Structure on Freeway Accident Frequencies (고속도로 교통사고에 대한 기하구조의 영향(한계효과)에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Min Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.73-81
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study dealt with the impacts of geometric structure on traffic accidents occurring on the interstates. There are standard values for the case of geometric structure which are recommended in the design guideline/policy; however, in the previous models, geometric variables were adapted as integrated ones as opposed to mixed ones in the real world so that derived models had a weakness to reflect the real. Therefore, using subdivided geometric variables, this study tried to derive the model which reflects the real world. In addition, by calculating elasticity, each variables' effect to the accidents are estimated. Hopefully, this study will help to establish the future guideline/policy of geometrics considering traffic safety.

Variable Selection with Log-Density in Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱회귀모형에서 로그-밀도비를 이용한 변수의 선택)

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook;Shin, Eun-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2012
  • We present methods to study the log-density ratio of the conditional densities of the predictors given the response variable in the logistic regression model. This allows us to select which predictors are needed and how they should be included in the model. If the conditional distributions are skewed, the distributions can be considered as gamma distributions. A simulation study shows that the linear and log terms are required in general. If the conditional distributions of xjy for the two groups overlap significantly, we need both the linear and log terms; however, only the linear or log term is needed in the model if they are well separated.

Various Graphical Methods for Assessing a Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱회귀모형의 평가를 위한 그래픽적 방법)

  • Kim, Kyung Jin;Kahng, Myung Wook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1191-1208
    • /
    • 2015
  • Most statistical methods are dependent on the summary statistic. However, with graphical approaches, it is easier to identify the characteristics of the data and detect information that cannot be obtained by the summary statistic. We present various graphical methods to assess the adequacy of models in logistic regression that include checking log-density ratio, structural dimension, marginal model plot, chi-residual plot, and CERES plot. Through simulation data, we investigate and compare the results of graphical approaches under diverse conditions.

Log-density Ratio with Two Predictors in a Logistic Regression Model (로지스틱 회귀모형에서 이변량 정규분포에 근거한 로그-밀도비)

  • Kahng, Myung Wook;Yoon, Jae Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.141-149
    • /
    • 2013
  • We present methods for studying the log-density ratio that enables the selection of the predictors and the form to be included in the logistic regression model. Under bivariate normal distributional assumptions, we investigate the form of the log-density ratio as a function of two predictors. If two covariance matrices are equal, then the crossproduct and quadratic terms are not needed. If the variables are uncorrelated, we do not need the crossproduct terms, but we still need the linear and quadratic terms. We also explore other conditions in which the crossproduct and quadratic terms are not needed in the logistic regression model.

A Study on Change of Travel Patterns According to Public Transportation Reform (A Case Study of Gyeongsan City) (대중교통체계 개편에 따른 대중교통 이용자들의 통행패턴 변화에 관한 연구 (경산시를 사례로))

  • Yun, Dae-Sik;Park, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-61
    • /
    • 2010
  • The main objective of this paper is to analyze change of travel patterns according to public transportation reform. The paper uses data collected from Gyeongsan City. So far few researches, especially using before-and-after individual travel survey, have been conducted on analyzing effects of public transportation reform. For this research, some descriptive statistical analyses and statistical hypotheses tests were conducted. Furthermore, some empirical logit models were estimated for analyzing the individual effects of the public transportation reform. Finally, some important foundings, policy implications, and limitations of this research are discussed.