• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이항모형

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Comparing the efficiency of dispersion parameter estimators in gamma generalized linear models (감마 일반화 선형 모형에서의 산포 모수 추정량에 대한 효율성 연구)

  • Jo, Seongil;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2017
  • Gamma generalized linear models have received less attention than Poisson and binomial generalized linear models. Therefore, many old-established statistical techniques are still used in gamma generalized linear models. In particular, existing literature and textbooks still use approximate estimates for the dispersion parameter. In this paper we study the efficiency of various dispersion parameter estimators in gamma generalized linear models and perform numerical simulations. Numerical studies show that the maximum likelihood estimator and Cox-Reid adjusted maximum likelihood estimator are recommended and that approximate estimates should be avoided in practice.

Stated Preference Analysis of the Impacts of Bus Crowdedness Information on Bus Choice (선호의식 조사를 통한 버스 차내 혼잡도 정보제공이 버스선택에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Back-Jin;Kim, Joon-Ki;Kim, Gyeong-Seok;Oh, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2008
  • The study proposed a new type of bus information, Real-time Bus Crowdedness (RBC) information, to meet various demands of users and improve the convenience level of using public transportation, while existing bus information provided by bus information systems(BIS) were limited to bus operating information such as predicted bus arrival time. To analyze the impacts of providing the proposed RBC information, stated preference(SP) survey was performed and a methodology of disaggregate analysis (e.g., binary logit) was applied to develop passenger choice models. Additionally, passenger choice models incorporating the heterogeneity of different user groups(i.e., by age or trip purposes) were developed to evaluate the different responses on RBC information. The results showed that providing RBC information was significantly related to users' bus choices and the responses of user groups were significantly different, especially the age group of more then 60 was most affected by the RBC information on their bus choices. Also trip purposes were significantly related to users' bus choices, for instance the impacts of providing RBC information was bigger for non-business trips(leisure/meet friend/personal business, shopping, hospital) compared to business trip.

A Study on Reliability Evaluation of Application Software using Binomial-Type Model (이항형 모형을 이용한 응용 소프트웨어 의 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 조성건;이상철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.15 no.25
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1992
  • Computer software users develop and utilize their application software by themselves since Processing methods are different by quantity and qualify of the information The developed model needs input data and error numbers generated during the testing phases. However. total error numbers of the existing model and each error time was needed as data for developing the new model. But, maximum likelihood estimation must be used to exponential model of binomial-type and estimating of parameters by using the searched data. Parameter estimation can be done with trial and error or simulation.

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Exploring interaction using 3-D residual plots in logistic regression model (3차원 잔차산점도를 이용한 로지스틱회귀모형에서 교호작용의 탐색)

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2014
  • Under bivariate normal distribution assumptions, the interaction and quadratic terms are needed in the logistic regression model with two predictors. However, depending on the correlation coefficient and the variances of two conditional distributions, the interaction and quadratic terms may not be necessary. Although the need for these terms can be determined by comparing the two scatter plots, it is not as useful for interaction terms. We explore the structure and usefulness of the 3-D residual plot as a tool for dealing with interaction in logistic regression models. If predictors have an interaction effect, a 3-D residual plot can show the effect. This is illustrated by simulated and real data.

The Effects of Dispersion Parameters and Test for Equality of Dispersion Parameters in Zero-Truncated Bivariate Generalized Poisson Models (제로절단된 이변량 일반화 포아송 분포에서 산포모수의 효과 및 산포의 동일성에 대한 검정)

  • Lee, Dong-Hee;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.585-594
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    • 2010
  • This study, investigates the effects of dispersion parameters between two response variables in zero-truncated bivariate generalized Poisson distributions. A Monte Carlo study shows that the zero-truncated bivariate Poisson and negative binomial models fit poorly wherein the zero-truncated bivariate count data has heterogeneous dispersion parameters on dependent variables. In addition, we derive the score test for testing the equality of the dispersion parameters and compare its efficiency with the likelihood ratio test.

Heterogeneity Analysis of the Male Birth Ratio Data (남아 출생률 자료에 대한 이질성 분석)

  • Lim, Hwa-Kyung;Song, Seuck-Heun;Song, Ju-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2009
  • Since 1990, identifying the sex of fetus and illegal abortion has brought the sex ratio imbalance at birth in Korea due to a notion of preferring a son to a daughter, socio-economic development, population policy, and so forth. Although there have been many researches such as time series analysis and region difference analysis to monitor this sex ratio imbalance, they have a defect that time and space could not be included in the analysis simultaneously. This study analyzes the sex ratio imbalance at birth, taking into account time and region at the same time. The analysis considered the numbers of male and female babies, who were born as the third or latter in their families, in 2000 and 2001 at 234 Gu / Si / Goon administrative districts. Here, we suggest a mixture model of binomial distributions, assuming heterogeneous populations. The estimation of the location parameters, weights and correlation coefficient of the mixture model is conducted by the EM algorithm, and the heterogeneity of the regions is expressed as a picture using ArcView GIS.

An Analysis of Spatial Determinants of Inventor Networks in Korea (발명자 네트워크의 공간적 결정요인 분석)

  • Jeong, Jun Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2016
  • This paper attempts to explore the spatial structure of inventor networks and their determinants among 230 shi-gun-gu regions in Korea by investigating the residence of co-inventors engaged in Korean patent applications to the Korean Intellectual Office and exploiting a zero inflated negative binomial model to accommodate an estimation to the count nature of a dependent variable and its excess of zeros. Several variables are found to affect the spatial linkage of inventor networks. Spatial links extend beyond the region if it has more own R&D-related specific assets (private R&D, patent productivity, population, education); if it is physically close to and has technological similarity with the other region. The assets of the other region plays a positive role if, in a similar way, the other region has more R&D-related specific assets.

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Estimating Profitability of Private Finance Investment Using Real Option : Quantifying Value of Overturn Share Ratio and Minimum Revenue Guarantee (실물옵션에 의한 민간투자사업 사업타당성 평가 : 초과수익분배비율 및 최소수입보장비율 가치 정량화)

  • Jung, Woo-Yong;Koo, Bon-Sang;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.606-609
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    • 2008
  • Traditionally, the feasibility of the private investment is determined by NPV(Net Presented Value) based on DCF(Discounted Cash Flow) and the volume of government's subsidiary without quantifying the effect of overturn share ratio and MRG(Minimum Revenue Guarantee), these variables which can seriously effect on the economic feasibility. One of the most important reasons why these variables are not underestimated is that the quantifying methods are insufficiently or so complicatedly studied to apply practically the real project. Therefore, this study suggests the modified binominal option model to estimate the overturn share ratio and MRG and estimates how much these variables impact the private investment. Also, these results are helpful to estimate how much the government's subsidiary can be reduced.

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Analyzing the Influence of Policy Measures for Growth Management Plan (성장관리방안 정책수단의 영향력 분석)

  • Jeon, Byung-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.253-268
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    • 2020
  • This study examined the effectiveness of policy measures in a growth management plan by analyzing empirically the influence of regulations and incentives in a non-urban growth management plan of Sejong City using the binomial logistic model. The parcel unit data related development location of Sejong City from 2012 to 2017 was used in the model. The analysis showed that time regulation in the growth management plan has a negative (-) impact on the spread of development, which means it is effective in slowing urban sprawl by lowering the profits of developers. The time regulation applied in Sejong City needs to be used actively in other cities in Korea to prevent urban sprawl. Nevertheless, floor ratio incentives had no influence in inducing development within the growth management area, which means a new incentive policy to meet the local characteristics is needed to strengthen the effectiveness of the growth management plan. This study is meaningful because it attempted an empirical analysis of the effects of the growth management plan at The National Territory Act, and this study could encourage further studies.

Effects of the Residential Area and Personal Characteristics of Households on the Preference of Residential Location Factors (가구의 거주지역 및 인적 특성요인이 주거입지 선호에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Wonseok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.173-188
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to analyze the effects of the residential area and personal characteristics of households on the preference of residential location factors. The main results of this study are as follows. Firstly, considering the results of multiple regression analysis, it can be seen that preference of location factors is differentiated according to the residential area and personal characteristics of households by individual location factors. Secondly, considering the results of binomial logistic regression analysis, it can be also elucidated that the preferred location factors are differentiated according to the residential area and personal characteristics of the households. Therefore, it is judged that the residential area and personal characteristics of household and the location factors of the household are mutually influencing each other.