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주택저당대출선택(住宅抵當貸出選擇) : 실증분석(實證分析)

  • Jeong, Se-Yeong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.185-205
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    • 1995
  • 주택구입자들이 여러가지 주택저당대출대안(代案)중에서 하나를 선택하는 요인이 무엇인지를 찾아내기 위해 기존의 연구들과 달리 본 연구에서는 변동금리주택저당대출이 동질적이 아니고 이자율 위험에 있어서 서로 상이(相異)함을 고려하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 기존의 연구결과와 달리 금융시장 특성뿐만 아니 라 주택구입자특성요인도 주택 저당대출 선택결정에 영향을 주는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 특히 주택 저당대출대안(代案)들 사이의 이자율차이가 중요한 요인으로 나타났으며, 주택저당대출이 자율의 분산이 클수록 그 대출은 기피되는 것으로 분석되었다. 주택 저당대출이자율과 위험 자산수익률간의 공분산을 제외한 모든 공분산들은 주택저당대출선택에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 차입자특성 중에서는 주택구입자의 나이, 소득, 또는 가족수가 증가하거나, 미래의 이자율이 상승하리라 예상하면 변동금리 보다는 고정 금리주택 저당대출이 선호되는 것으로 나타났으나, 이자율 위험이 높은 변동금리대출과 이자율 위험이 낮은 변동금리대출 사이의 선택에서는 전자(前者)가 선호되는 것으로 밝혀졌다.

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A Study on the relationship analysis between the K-REITs loaning rate and interest rate variables (K-REITs의 차입이자율과 금리 변수 간 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Jin;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.676-686
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the long term relationship between the K-REITs' lending rate and interest rate variables based on ARDL (autoregressive distributed lag) and also examined the short term relationship based on the ARDL-ECM model. In the results of the empirical test, there is a co-integration relationship among the K-REITs' lending rate, 3 year government bond (rate), 3 year government bond (rate), corporation bond (rate) (AA-, 3year) and general fund loan rate. This means that the K-REITs' lending rate is related to the long term interest rate. The corporate general fund loan rate has a significant correlation with the K-REITs' lending rate in the long term relation and short term adjustment process. The establishment of a management plan by the REITs considering the trends in the corporate general fund loan rate in the decision making process for finance sector borrowings can be practically helpful for the K-REITs.

A Test on the Efficiency of Monetary Policy in Korea (한국 통화정책의 효율성 검정)

  • Cho, Seonghoon;Huh, Hyeon-seung;Woo, Hee Yeul
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.117-133
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    • 2007
  • This paper evaluates the efficiency of monetary policy in Korea within the framework of interest rate feedback rules. For this, a small open macroeconomic model is constructed in a similar fashion to Ball (1999). The model is shown to capture key features of the Korean economy well. Using this estimated model, optimal instrument rules are derived for a set of different monetary policy objectives. Empirical results find that the actual monetary policy in the class of instrument rules was not very effective in stabilizing the output gap relative to inflation. However, seemingly successful inflation stabilization observed in the data are not consistent with the policy rules as the reaction of the interest rate to inflation is very low. It also appears that the central bank did not react right to movements in the real exchange rate. This paper offers some suggestions for the conduct of monetary policy in Korea.

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The Spillover from Asset Determinants to Ship Price (자산가격결정요인의 선박가격에 대한 파급효과 분석)

  • Choi, Youngjae;Kim, Hyunsok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2016
  • This study empirically examines the dynamic specification of the ship price model based on a vector autoregressive model and data covering from January 2000 to October 2014. Our results are summarized as follows: first, the relationship between ship price and interest rate shows significantly negative and the relationship between ship price and freight rate shows positive. It provides consistent implication that ship price depends on interest rate and freight rate under the dynamic Gordon model. Second, we apply an impulse response analysis to ship price and find the responses of the ship price from both factors, interest rate and freight rate, which affect during seven periods approximately. Finally, the results of a variance decomposition indicate that freight rate is more important than interest rate on the ship price.

Empirical Analysis on Exchange Rate Determination in Global Foreign Exchange Markets : The Case of 10 Major Countries (글로벌 외환시장의 환율 결정구조 분석에 관한 실증연구 : 주요 10개국을 중심으로)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.221-246
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    • 2010
  • The paper is basically attempted to reveal a mechanism of exchange rate determination in global foreign exchange markets. For a theoretical framework, uncovered interest rate parity(UIRP), covered interest rate parity(CIRP), and real interest rate parity(RIRP) are tentatively adapted, and GARCH-M model is employed for an econometric methodology. Empirical evidence shows that the UIRP is superior to others, and the RIRP is better than the CIRP in explaining how exchange rates are determined in global exchange markets. All of them, however, is not fully supported by economic theories. Following Frankel(1989), country premium, volatility premium, and currency premium are evaluated to see if which premium is a crucial in disturbing the RIRP, and it is found that country and currency premiums are a major components in disturbing the RIRP. To this end, market-oriented and market-determined systems has to be built to avoid currency disputes which is undergoing hot issue in global foreign exchange market.

추계적 이자율하(利子率下)에서 옵션평가(評價)를 위한 단순접근법(單純接近法)

  • Kim, In-Jun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 1992
  • 이 논문에서는 주식의 수익률 대신 초과수익률(超過收益率)에 초점을 맞추므로서 기존의 옵션평가모형(評價模型)들의 제약점들을 극복하여 추계적 이자율하(利子率下)에서 주식(株式)옵션에 대한 간단한 평가식(評價式)을 유도하였다. 이 논문에서 제시하는 모형은 표면적으로는 Merton의 모형과 유사하지만 경제학적 및 실증적 의미에는 중요한 차이가 있으며, 주식수익율(株式收釜率)의 순간적(瞬間的) 표준편차(標準偏差)가 이자율에 따라서 변하므로 이자율의 불확실성이 옵션가격결정에 중요한 역할을 할 수 있음을 보여준다. 옵션가격으로부터 구한 주식수익률의 암묵적 표준편차와 주식가격으로부터 구한 주식수익률의 표준편차 사이의 관계에 대한 상충되는 실증적 결과는 이자율(利子率)의 불확실성(不確實性)을 옵션평가모형(評價模型)에 반영하지 못한데 기인한다고 할 수 있다.

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The Monte Carlo Simulation and Algorithm on the Relationship Interest Rate Models for the Pricing of Bond Options (채권 옵션의 가격결정을 위한 이자율 모형의 관계에 대한 알고리즘과 몬테 카르로 시뮬레이션)

  • Lee, Gwangyeon;Park, Kisoeb
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we deal with two pricing of bond options using the relationship between the forward rate model and the Libor rate model. First, we derive a formula for obtaining discounted bond prices using the restrictive condition of the Ritchken and Sankarasubramanian (RS), and then use the volatility function relationship of the forward rate and the Libor rate models to find the analytic solution (AS) of bond options pricing. Second, the price of the bond options is calculated by simulating several scenarios from the presented condition using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). Comparing the results of the implementation of the above two pricing methods, the relative error (RE) is obtained, which means the ratio of AS and MCS. From the results, we can confirm that the RE is around 3.9%, which means that the price of the bond options can be predicted very accurately using the MCS as well as AS.

The Role of Exchange Rate in the Spillover Effect of U. S. Interest Rate (미국 금리의 국제 전파효과에 대한 환율의 역할)

  • Jo, Gab-Je
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.49-68
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    • 2017
  • This paper investigates the spillover effect of the U.S. Interest on Korea's interest rate as well as the role of exchange rate in the spillover effects, by utilizing a open macro model on the determinants of long-term interest rates. According to the cointegration estimation and the Impulse response function, it is found that, across both long-term and short-term, there exist the spillover effect of the U.S. Interest on Korea's interest rate. The fiscal deficit and expected exchange rate have significantly positive relationship with the Koreas's long-term interest rate. Further, foreign exchange market intervention in Korea did not have significant effect on the spillover effect. Thus, this study suggests that exchange rate flexibility would not be enough to restrain the spillover effects of the U.S. interest rate.

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명사컬럼-글로벌 중소기업의 경영이론 "TPM 법칙"

  • 허범도
    • The Monthly Technology and Standards
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    • s.71
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    • pp.11-12
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    • 2007
  • "TPM 법칙"은 글로벌 경영환경 속에서 중소기업이 생존해 나가는데 필요한 하나의 프로세스(process)이자 전략(strategy)이고, 정책(policy )이자 동시에 법칙(law)이다.

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Lipid A of Salmonella typhimurium Suppressed T-cell Mitogen-Induced Proliferation of Murine spleen Cells in the Presence of Macrophage (Salmonella typhimurium lipid A를 처리한 식세포 존재 조건에서 mitogen에 유도되는 이자 세포의 증식억제)

  • Kang, Gyong-Suk;Chung, Kyung-Tae
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.17 no.1 s.81
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2007
  • Infection with virulent or attenuated Salmonella typhimuriumhas known to induce reduction in proliferative responses of spleen cells. We investigated a role of lipid A from S. typhimurium, a B cell mitogen, on proliferation of spleen cells by T cell mitogens such as concanavaline A and phytohemagglutinin under in vitro and ex vivo conditions. Lipid A alone induced proliferation of spleen cells in vitroin a dose-dependent manner. However, subsequent treatment of concanavaline A or phytohemagglutin in after lipid A treatment induced proliferation suppression of murine spleen cells in vitro and ex vivo. Removal of macrophages from spleen cells, which were obtained from a lipid A-injected mouse, restored proliferation by concanavaline A and phytohemagglutinin, indicating that macrophages appeared to play a role in lipid A-induced suppression. Secreted molecules from macrophages did not accounted for the suppression because suppressive effect was not achieved when the supernatant from macrophage-containing spleen cell culture was conditoned to macrophage-depleted spleen cell culture. Co-culture of spleen cells from lipid A-treated and - untreated mice showed proliferation suppression as increasing cell numbers of lipid A-treated mouse. These data suggested that the cell-to-cell contact of macrophage with splenic lymphocyte cells is responsible for immune responses against lipid A, which is applicable to the case of human S. typhi infection.