• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이익예측

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A Study on the Advancement of the Contingency Plan upon Prediction of Toxicity Damage Considering Seasonal Characteristics (계절 특성을 고려한 독성 피해예측에 따른 위기대응 고도화에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Man Uk;Hwang, Yong Woo;Lee, Ik Mo;Min, Dal Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2016
  • Today the issue of deterioration of industrial complexes that are located close to life space of residents has been raised as a cause of threats to the safety of local communities. In this study, in order to improve the current risk analysis and scope of community notification, simulated threat zones were comparatively analyzed by utilizing the threat zones of alternative accident scenarios and modes of seasonal weather, and the area with a high probability of damage upon the leakage of toxic substances was predicted by examining wind directions observed at each time slot for each season. In addition, limit evacuation time and minimum separation distance to minimize casualties were suggested, and a proposal to enable more reasonable safety measures for on-site workers and nearby residents made by reviewing the risk management plan currently utilized for emergency response.

A Study on the Combined Decision Tree(C4.5) and Neural Network Algorithm for Classification of Mobile Telecommunication Customer (이동통신고객 분류를 위한 의사결정나무(C4.5)와 신경망 결합 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • 이극노;이홍철
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the new methodology of analyzing and classifying patterns of customers in mobile telecommunication market to enhance the performance of predicting the credit information based on the decision tree and neural network. With the application of variance selection process from decision tree, the systemic process of defining input vector's value and the rule generation were developed. In point of customer management, this research analyzes current customers and produces the patterns of them so that the company can maintain good customer relationship and makes special management on the customer who has huh potential of getting out of contract in advance. The real implementation of proposed method shows that the predicted accuracy is higher than existing methods such as decision tree(CART, C4.5), regression, neural network and combined model(CART and NN).

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Customer Segmentation of a Home Study Company using a Hybrid Decision Tree and Artificial Neural Network Model (하이브리드 의사결정나무와 인공신경망 모델을 이용한 방문학습지사의 고객세분화)

  • Seo Kwang-Kyu;Ahn Beum-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.518-523
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    • 2006
  • Due to keen competition among companies, they have segmented customers and they are trying to offer specially targeted customer by means of the distinguished method. In accordance, data mining techniques are noted as the effective method that extracts useful information. This paper explores customer segmentation of the home study company using a hybrid decision tree and artificial neural network model. With the application of variance selection process from decision tree, the systemic process of defining input vector's value and the rule generation were developed. In point of customer management, this research analyzes current customers and produces the patterns of them so that the company can maintain good customer relationship. The case study shows that the predicted accuracy of the proposed model is higher than those of regression, decision tree (CART), artificial neural networks.

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Analysis of Social Distance using Election and Marriage Preference Data (사회적 거리분석: 선거자료와 결혼선호도자료에서 나타난 지역주의를 중심으로)

  • 이명진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.37-57
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    • 2001
  • Much effort has been made to measure regional difference showing the pattern of regionalism in Korea. Focusing the concept of social distance, this paper examines various election and regional preference data. The paper presets three major findings. First current election data show clear regional cleavage. Second, regional discrimination and prejudice is often found in one' s everyday life. Third, political aspect of regionalism is strongly related to social aspect of regionalism. These findings suggest that regionalism in Korea will survive for the time being. The regionalism is rooted in everyday life. To political elites, it became an attractive and economic way to maintain their power. This tendency will promote the preference for parliamentary system among political elites and the possibility of appearance of regional party.

Determination of Reactivity by MO Theory (XXIII). Substituent Effect on Regioselectivity of Diels-Alder Reactions (分子軌道論에 의한 反應性 決定 (제23보). Diels-Alder 反應의 配向性에 미치는 置換基 效果)

  • Ikchoon Lee;Eun Sook Han;Keun Bae Rhyu
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 1982
  • In order to predict substituent and Lewis acid effects on the regiospecificity of the Diels-Alder reaction, and to investigate the competition for the complexation of Lewis acid between diene and dienophile, frontier orbital theory has been applied to thermal and catalyzed Diels-Alder reaction by means of CNDO/2 MO method. It has been found that: (1) Lewis acid coordinated preferentially with diene rather than dienophile when carbonyl oxygen of acetoxy substituted diene had larger negative atomic charges than that of dienophile. (2) Most of the reaction were neutral electron demand type, and hence 4-C, 2-C and quantitative secondary orbital interacion methods were generally in good accord with experiments. (3) Sulfur activated the adjacent terminal carbon atom greatly to increase diene LUMO-dienophile HOMO interaction through vacant-d-orbital participation, and played an important role in controlling regioselectivity of neutral electron demand reaction type.

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PMO Theory of Orbital Interaction (Ⅴ). ${\pi}$-${\pi}$ and ${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ Orbital Interactions (궤도간 상호작용의 PMO 이론 (제5보). ${\pi}$-${\pi}$${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ 궤도간 상호작용)

  • Ik Choon Lee;Ki Yull Yang;Nan Pyo Lee;Wang Ki Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 1985
  • PMO expressions for ${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ orbital interaction have been derived. Important differences between ${\pi}$-${\pi}$ and ${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ interactions predicted by PMO expressions are : (ⅰ) energy splitting in ${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ interaction will be greater than that in ${\pi}$-${\pi}$ interaction, (ⅱ) energy change due to interaction will be more destabilizing in ${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ than in ${\pi}$-${\pi}$ interaction. These predictions were borne out in experimental data and in results of MO theoretical computations. It was pointed out that both STeO-3G and INDO-LCBO methods underestimate ${\pi}^{\ast}$-${\pi}^{\ast}$ orbital interaction and in order to estimate properly with MO theoretical calculation, use of split valence basis set is required.

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Analysis of Social Distance using Election and Marriage Preference Data (사회적 거리분석: 선거자료와 결혼선호도자료에서 나타난 지역주의를 중심으로)

  • 이명진
    • Survey Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.37-57
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    • 2001
  • Much effort has been made to measure regional difference showing the pattern of regionalism in Korea. Focusing the concept of social distance. this paper examines various election and regional preference data. The paper presets three major findings. First. current election data show clear regional cleavage. Second. regional discrimination and prejudice is often found in one's everyday life. Third, political aspect of regionalism is strongly related to social aspect of regionalism. These findings suggest that regionalism in Korea will survive for the time being. The regionalism is rooted in everyday life . To political elites. it became an attractive and economic way to maintain their power. This tendency will promote the preference for parliamentary system among political elites and the possibility of appearance of regional party

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MO Studies on (4 + 2) Cycloadditions of Substituted-Arenediazocyanides and Nitrosobenzenes (치환체-Arendiazocyanide, Nitrosobenzene의 (4 + 2) 고리첨가 반응에 대한 분자궤도론적 연구)

  • Gu Cheun Chung;Seong Kyu Park;Il Doo Kim;Ikchoon Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.284-292
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    • 1984
  • This paper aims to predict the substituent and Lewis acid catalysis effect or reactivity on the regioselectivity of (4+2) cycloaddition reaction of the substituted-E-arene-diazocyanides and nitrosobenzenes. Frontier orbital theory (FMO) has been applied to thermal and catalyzed Diels-Alder reaction by means of CNDO/2 and EHT-SPD methods. It has been found that: (1) The above reaction is positive rho(${\rho}$) values in Hammett equation, so it takes normal electron demand reaction, and four-frontier orbitals and Anh methods are identical with experimental major regioisomer.(2) When electron withdrawing radicals are substituted HOMO and LUMO energies of dienophiles are reduced, and the reactivity is increased. (3) The major regioisomer is predicted as B type, as the Lewis acid makes complexes of dienophile, and polaries LUMO coefficients of dienophile in an opposite way. (4) The linear correlation of Hammett is indicated in the graph of stabilized energies(${\Delta}$E) and sigma(${\sigma}$).

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Discriminating Risky Drivers Using Driving Behavior Determinants (운전행동 결정요인을 이용한 위험운전자의 판별)

  • Ju Seok Oh ;Soon Chul Lee
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.415-433
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted in order to explain the effect of driving behavior determinants such as drivers' personality and attitude that may induce risky driving behavior and to develop a valid method for discriminating risky drivers using the determinants. In the results of surveying 534 adult drivers, 5 driving behavior determinants (avoidance of problems, benefit/stimulus seeking, interpersonal anxiety, interpersonal anger, and aggression) were found to have a statistically significant effect on drivers' various risky driving behaviors. Using these factors, drivers were grouped according to risk levels (normal drivers, unintentionally risky drivers, and intentionally risky drivers). This result suggests that drivers' dangerous behavior level can be predicted using psychological factors such as their personality and attitude. Accordingly, if the driving behavior determinant model and the base score system used in this study are improved through further research, they are expected to be useful in predicting drivers' recklessness in advance, identifying problems, and providing differentiated safe driving education services based on the results.

Study on Military Policy of North Korea (북한군사정책 특징 연구)

  • Kim, Sung Woo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.16 no.3_1
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2016
  • The North Korean regime, Kim Jungun's foreign policy is changed frequently. And their military policy has no gravity. North Korea has developed nuclear weapons and long range missile. Now they have Inter-Continental Ballistic Missile. These activities redound a great threat in Korean peninsula. There are a no possibilities to give up its nuclear weapons and missile development. For the peace in Korean peninsula, we should make North Korea to abandon its nuclear himself through effective sanctions. Now China should effort to control North Korea. To reduce the threat we should coordinate the strategic interests of China and US. This study is to predict the North Korea military activities to analyze "military policies."