• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이선형 모델

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The Linear Stability Derivatives by the Transient Maneuvering Method (과도응답법(過渡應答法)을 이용한 조종미계수(操縱微係數)의 추정(推定)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Seung-Keon,Lee
    • Bulletin of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1990
  • To obtain the values of linear stability derivatives, both analytical and experimental methods are now proposed and in use. The experimental method is well known as the planar motion mechanism(PMM) test. Its concept is to drive the model with a prescrived frequency and amplitude of the motion and pick up the hydrodynamic forces. But this kind of method is inconvenient in case we want to know the stability derivatives in wider range of the frequencies. So a different method is attempted that with one test run, we can get the derivatives in wider range of the frequencies. This technique forces the impulsive motion on the model, using the power of the oil pressure pump. This kind of method was originated by Scragg, C.A., Cummins, W.E, or Frank, T., This resarch is a further development of such preceding works. Todd's series 60(Cb=0.7) 2.00M model is chosen for the test and the results are compared with Van Leeuwen's famous PMM test results.

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Evaluating the Safety Effects of Dynamic Message in a Work Zone: A Case Study (도로 공사구간 동적표지판 안전효과 평가: 사례 연구)

  • Moon, Jae-Pil;Lee, Suk-Ki;Cho, Jung-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.46-57
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    • 2019
  • Generally speeding appeared to be the most contributing factor of fatalities occurred in work zones, and highway agencies in South Korea have concerned of the safety of workers and drivers in the poor circumstances. In this study, a portable variable message signs (PVMS) system as an alternative of control speeding in work zones was implemented. This study evaluated the safety effectiveness of the PVMS based on speeds and the compliance with the speed limit. Linear regression and logistic regression models were adopted to quantify the safety effect of the PVMS between the 'before' and 'after'. The results showed that most of points had statistically significant speeds reduction experience after PVMS installation. Also, the percentage of vehicle exceeding the speed limit by 10 km/h or more was decreased significantly between 50 and 80% in the 'after' periods compared to the 'before' periods. Therefore, the PVMS would be contributed to benefit safety in work zones which there is a difference in design speed of the adjacent normal section.

Machine Learning Methods to Predict Vehicle Fuel Consumption

  • Ko, Kwangho
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2022
  • It's proposed and analyzed ML(Machine Learning) models to predict vehicle FC(Fuel Consumption) in real-time. The test driving was done for a car to measure vehicle speed, acceleration, road gradient and FC for training dataset. The various ML models were trained with feature data of speed, acceleration and road-gradient for target FC. There are two kind of ML models and one is regression type of linear regression and k-nearest neighbors regression and the other is classification type of k-nearest neighbors classifier, logistic regression, decision tree, random forest and gradient boosting in the study. The prediction accuracy is low in range of 0.5 ~ 0.6 for real-time FC and the classification type is more accurate than the regression ones. The prediction error for total FC has very low value of about 0.2 ~ 2.0% and regression models are more accurate than classification ones. It's for the coefficient of determination (R2) of accuracy score distributing predicted values along mean of targets as the coefficient decreases. Therefore regression models are good for total FC and classification ones are proper for real-time FC prediction.

Evaluation of ECMWF subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) hydrometeorological forecast across Australia (호주에서의 ECMWF 계절내-계절 수문기상 예측치 평가)

  • Jongmin Park
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.268-268
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    • 2023
  • 전 지구적 급격한 기후변화로 인해 수문기상인자들의 비선형적 변동성이 발생함과 동시에 가뭄, 홍수와 같은 수재해의 발생빈도 및 강도가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 이에 따라, 세계의 유수기관 (NASA, ESA 등)에서는 대기모형과 해양 모형의 결합 및 수치해석적 접근법을 활용하여 계절내-계절 (Subseasonal to seasonal; S2S) 예측치를 생산하여 제공하고 있다. 이에 따라, 본 연구에서는 European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF)에서 산정되는 수문기상인자 (강수량, 증발산량 및 유출량)에 대한 정확도를 평가하고자 한다. 연구지역으로는 다양한 기후대 및 토지 피복으로 구성되어 있으며, El-Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Indian Ocean Diapole (IOD)와 같은 기후 현상이 빈번히 발생하는 호주지역을 대상으로 연구를 수행하였다. ECMWF S2S 자료에 대한 통계적 검증은 1) 지점 기반 관측치와 더불어 2) 물수지 모델 기반 수문 추정치 (The Australian Water Resources Assessment Landscape Model; AWRA-L)와 비교하였다. 연구 결과 S2S 강우 및 증발산량 산정치의 경우 비교적 짧은 예측기간(약 2주)에서 상대적으로 높은 상관관계 (R=0.5~0.6)와 낮은 편차 (강수량 = 0.10 mm/day, 증발산량 = 0.21 mm/day)를 나타내었다. 유출량의 경우, 강우 및 증발산량에 비해 상대적으로 낮은 정확도를 나타내었으며, 예측 기간이 길어짐에 따라 불확실성이 상당히 높아지는 것으로 확인되었다. 이는, S2S 계산과정에서 강우 및 증발산량 뿐만아니라 지표 유출로 도달하기 전까지의 수문기상인자들의 불확실성이 모두 모여 유출량의 불확실성이 높아진 것으로 확인할 수 있었다. 계절적 검증에서는, 강우 및 증발산량 모두 여름철에 높은 상관관계를 나타내었지만 불확실성은 상대적으로 큰 값을 나타내었다. 자세한 분석을 위해, 공간적인 불확실성을 분석해본 결과 ECMWF S2S가 매우 습윤하거나 건조한 지역에서 수문기상인자를 예측하는데 있어 한계성이 나타난 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구를 토대로, 추후 S2S 예측치에 대한 보정과 더불어 미래의 수재해 발생 위험도에 대한 정보를 획득하는데 적용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Crustal Structure of the Korean Peninsula from Broadband Teleseismic Records by Using Receiver Function (광대역 원격지진의 수신함수를 이용한 한반도 지각구조)

  • Kim, So Gu;Lee, Seoung Kyu;Jun, Myung soon;Kang, Ik Bum
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 1998
  • Broadband receiver functions are developed from teleseismic P waveforms recorded at Wonju (KSRS), Inchon (IRIS), and Pohang (PHN), and are analyzed to examine the crustal structure beneath the three stations. The teleseismic receiver functions are inverted in the time domain to the vertical P wave velocity structure beneath the stations. Clear P-to-S converted phases from the Moho interface are observed in teleseismic seismograms recorded at the three stations. We estimated the crustal velocity structures beneath the stations using the receiver function inversion. The general features of inversion results are as follows: (1) For Pohang station, there is a high velocity gradient at a 4~5 km deep for SE and NW back azimuth and a low velocity zone at around 10 km deep. The Moho depth is 28 km for NW direction. (2) The shallow crustal structure beneath Wonju station is somewhat complex and there is a high-velocity zone ($V_p{\simeq}6.8km/sec$) at 3 to 4 km deep. The average crustal thickness is 33 km, and a transition zone exists at a 30~33 km deep of lower crust, of which velocity is abruptly changed 6.4 to 7.9 km/sec. (3) For Inchon station, the crustal velocity gradient monotonously increases up to the Moho discontinuity and the velocity is abruptly changed from 6.2 km/sec to 7.9 km/sec at 29 km deep.

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Design of Integrated LTCC Front-End Module using Measurement-Based Behavioral Model for IEEE 802.11a WLAN Applications (측정기반 거동 모델을 이용한 IEEE 802.11a 무선랜용 LTCC Front-End 모듈 집적화 설계)

  • Han, A-Reum;Yoon, Kyung-Sik
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.5A
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    • pp.490-496
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    • 2007
  • This paper describes the design and implementation of an integrated LTCC front-end module for the IEEE802.11a WLAN applications by performing the behavioral-level simulation using measurement-based behavioral model. To meet the IEEE802.11a WLAN standard, a system transmitting 1024 symbols through 64-QAM process at the rate of 54Mbps should be implemented and nonlinear properties are confirmed by simulations of ACPR and EVM in this circumstance. The right offsets of ACPR which are 30MHz, 20MHz, and 11MHz distant from the center frequency of 5.8GHz are 49.36dBc, 36.90dBc, and 24.58dBc, respectively. The left offsets are 50.14dBc, 30.04dBc, and 28.85dBc, respectively and EVM is 2.94%. The size of the module implemented with LTCC five-layer substrates is $13.4mm{\times}14.2mm$. The measured characteristics of the transmitter show P1dB of 16.2dBm and power gain of 16.73dB. Those of the receiver exhibit the small signal gain of 16.24dB and noise figure of 7.83dB.

복사열 교란에 대한 고체 추진제 응답 함수의 FM 방법에 의한 수치적 계산

  • 김성인;이창진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.04a
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    • pp.22-22
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    • 1999
  • 교란에 대한 고체 추진제의 연소율의 반등에 대한 이해는 고성능 추진제를 설계하는데 매우 중요한 요소이다. 그 동안의 연구는 고체 추진제의 표면에서 발생하는 교란이 매우 작은 크기로 발생한다는 선형적인 가정을 사용하여 이론적인 응답 함수를 구하였다. 특히 실험실에서 행해지는 교란에 대한 추진제의 응답 함수를 구하기 위하여 이용한 비집촉식 교란 방법을 사용하였다. 이 경우 추진제 표면으로 전달되는 복사열 전달의 크기는 레이저에 의한 복사 일전달과 기체 영의 화염에 의한 열전달을 동시에 고려하여야 한다. 그러나 언급하였던 것처럼 대부분의 이론적 연구는 추진제 표면의 온도 구매가 단열인 것으로 가정하여 진행하였다. 이러한 가정을 기체 영역으로부터 추진제로 전달되는 열전달 량이 작은 점소화초기 등에서 타당한 가정이나, 기체 영역에서 연소가 활발하게 진행되는 경우에는 비합리적인 가정이다. 본 연구에서는. 추진제의 응축 영역에서 분포 화학 반응이 발생하여, 기체 영역에서 화학반응에 의한 연소가 진행되는 경우, 복사 열전달의 교란에 대한 추진제의 응답함수를 수치적으로 계산하였다. 이때 기체 영역에서 발생하는 연소 반응은 De Luca 등에 의하여 제안된 실험적 모델인 $\alpha$ $\beta$ ${\gamma}$ 화염 모델을 사용하였으며, 추진제 표면에서의 열전달 균형에 의한 경계 조건을 사용하였다. 그러나 외부로부터 입사되는 복사광 레이저와 기체 영역의 상호 간섭은 고려하지 않았다. 수치 계산에 의한 응답 함수의 특징은 단열 조건이 사용된 이론적 응답 함수에 비하여 낮은 값을 나타내었으며, 최대치를 보이는 주파수 영역도 이론 함수에 비하여 다른 값을 보여주고 있다.연구 분석 결과 기술적 문제점으로는 배기 가스온도가 낮은데 따른 출구 부분의 Bearing, Sealing이 문제가 될 수 있다고 판단되며 배기 가스 자체에 대기 공기중에 함유되어 있던 습기가 얼어붙는(Icing화) 문제가 발생하기 때문에 배기가스의 Icing을 방지하기 위하여 압축기 끝단에서 공기를 추출하여 배기부분에 송출할 필요성이 있는 것으로 판단되었다. 출구가스의 기체 유동속도가 매우 빠르므로 (100-l10m.sec) 이를 완화하기 위한 디퓨저의 설계가 요구된다고 판단된다. 또 연소기 후방에 물을 주입하는 경우 열교환기 및 기타 부분품에 발생할 수 있는 부식 및 열교환 효율 저하도 간과할 수 없는 문제로 파악되었다. 이러한 기술적 문제가 적절히 해결되는 경우 비활성 가스 제너레이터는 민수용으로는 대형 빌딩, 산림, 유조선 등의 화재에 매우 적절히 사용되어 질 수 있을 뿐 아니라 군사적으로도 군사작전 중 및 공군 기지의 화재 그리고 지하벙커에 설치되어 있는 고급 첨단 군사 장비 등의 화재 뿐 아니라 대간첩작전 등에 효과적으로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.가 작으며, 본 연소관에 충전된 RDX/AP계 추진제의 경우 추진제의 습기투과에 의한 추진제 물성 변화는 미미한 것으로 나타났다.의 향상으로, 음성개선에 효과적이라고 사료되었으며, 이 방법이 편측 성대마비 환자의 효과적인 음성개선의 치료방법의 하나로 응용될 수 있으리라 생각된다..7%), 혈액투석, 식도부분절제술 및 위루술·위회장문합술을 시행한 경우가 각 1례(2.9%)씩이었다. 13) 심각한 합병증은 9례(26.5%)에서 보였는데 그중 식도협착증이 6례(17.6%), 급성신부전증 1례(2.9%), 종격동기흉과 폐염이 병발한 경우와 폐염이 각 1례(2.9%)였다. 14

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A Refined Method for Quantification of Myocardial Blood Flow using N-13 Ammonia and Dynamic PET (N-13 암모니아와 양전자방출단층촬영 동적영상을 이용하여 심근혈류량을 정량화하는 새로운 방법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joon-Young;Lee, Kyung-Han;Kim, Sang-Eun;Choe, Yearn-Seong;Ju, Hee-Kyung;Kim, Yong-Jin;Kim, Byung-Tae;Choi, Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 1997
  • Regional myocardial blood flow (rMBF) can be noninvasively quantified using N-13 ammonia and dynamic positron emission tomography (PET). The quantitative accuracy of the rMBF values, however, is affected by the distortion of myocardial PET images caused by finite PET image resolution and cardiac motion. Although different methods have been developed to correct the distortion typically classified as partial volume effect and spillover, the methods are too complex to employ in a routine clinical environment. We have developed a refined method incorporating a geometric model of the volume representation of a region-of-interest (ROI) into the two-compartment N-13 ammonia model. In the refined model, partial volume effect and spillover are conveniently corrected by an additional parameter in the mathematical model. To examine the accuracy of this approach, studies were performed in 9 coronary artery disease patients. Dynamic transaxial images (16 frames) were acquired with a GE $Advance^{TM}$ PET scanner simultaneous with intravenous injection of 20 mCi N-13 ammonia. rMBF was examined at rest and during pharmacologically (dipyridamole) induced coronary hyperemia. Three sectorial myocardium (septum, anterior wall and lateral wall) and blood pool time-activity curves were generated using dynamic images from manually drawn ROIs. The accuracy of rMBF values estimated by the refined method was examined by comparing to the values estimated using the conventional two-compartment model without partial volume effect correction rMBF values obtained by the refined method linearly correlated with rMBF values obtained by the conventional method (108 myocardial segments, correlation coefficient (r)=0.88). Additionally, underestimated rMBF values by the conventional method due to partial volume effect were corrected by theoretically predicted amount in the refined method (slope(m)=1.57). Spillover fraction estimated by the two methods agreed well (r=1.00, m=0.98). In conclusion, accurate rMBF values can be efficiently quantified by the refined method incorporating myocardium geometric information into the two-compartment model using N-13 ammonia and PET.

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Machine learning-based corporate default risk prediction model verification and policy recommendation: Focusing on improvement through stacking ensemble model (머신러닝 기반 기업부도위험 예측모델 검증 및 정책적 제언: 스태킹 앙상블 모델을 통한 개선을 중심으로)

  • Eom, Haneul;Kim, Jaeseong;Choi, Sangok
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.105-129
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    • 2020
  • This study uses corporate data from 2012 to 2018 when K-IFRS was applied in earnest to predict default risks. The data used in the analysis totaled 10,545 rows, consisting of 160 columns including 38 in the statement of financial position, 26 in the statement of comprehensive income, 11 in the statement of cash flows, and 76 in the index of financial ratios. Unlike most previous prior studies used the default event as the basis for learning about default risk, this study calculated default risk using the market capitalization and stock price volatility of each company based on the Merton model. Through this, it was able to solve the problem of data imbalance due to the scarcity of default events, which had been pointed out as the limitation of the existing methodology, and the problem of reflecting the difference in default risk that exists within ordinary companies. Because learning was conducted only by using corporate information available to unlisted companies, default risks of unlisted companies without stock price information can be appropriately derived. Through this, it can provide stable default risk assessment services to unlisted companies that are difficult to determine proper default risk with traditional credit rating models such as small and medium-sized companies and startups. Although there has been an active study of predicting corporate default risks using machine learning recently, model bias issues exist because most studies are making predictions based on a single model. Stable and reliable valuation methodology is required for the calculation of default risk, given that the entity's default risk information is very widely utilized in the market and the sensitivity to the difference in default risk is high. Also, Strict standards are also required for methods of calculation. The credit rating method stipulated by the Financial Services Commission in the Financial Investment Regulations calls for the preparation of evaluation methods, including verification of the adequacy of evaluation methods, in consideration of past statistical data and experiences on credit ratings and changes in future market conditions. This study allowed the reduction of individual models' bias by utilizing stacking ensemble techniques that synthesize various machine learning models. This allows us to capture complex nonlinear relationships between default risk and various corporate information and maximize the advantages of machine learning-based default risk prediction models that take less time to calculate. To calculate forecasts by sub model to be used as input data for the Stacking Ensemble model, training data were divided into seven pieces, and sub-models were trained in a divided set to produce forecasts. To compare the predictive power of the Stacking Ensemble model, Random Forest, MLP, and CNN models were trained with full training data, then the predictive power of each model was verified on the test set. The analysis showed that the Stacking Ensemble model exceeded the predictive power of the Random Forest model, which had the best performance on a single model. Next, to check for statistically significant differences between the Stacking Ensemble model and the forecasts for each individual model, the Pair between the Stacking Ensemble model and each individual model was constructed. Because the results of the Shapiro-wilk normality test also showed that all Pair did not follow normality, Using the nonparametric method wilcoxon rank sum test, we checked whether the two model forecasts that make up the Pair showed statistically significant differences. The analysis showed that the forecasts of the Staging Ensemble model showed statistically significant differences from those of the MLP model and CNN model. In addition, this study can provide a methodology that allows existing credit rating agencies to apply machine learning-based bankruptcy risk prediction methodologies, given that traditional credit rating models can also be reflected as sub-models to calculate the final default probability. Also, the Stacking Ensemble techniques proposed in this study can help design to meet the requirements of the Financial Investment Business Regulations through the combination of various sub-models. We hope that this research will be used as a resource to increase practical use by overcoming and improving the limitations of existing machine learning-based models.

Evaluation of Biological Characteristics of Neutron Beam Generated from MC50 Cyclotron (MC50 싸이클로트론에서 생성되는 중성자선의 생물학적 특성의 평가)

  • Eom, Keun-Yong;Park, Hye-Jin;Huh, Soon-Nyung;Ye, Sung-Joon;Lee, Dong-Han;Park, Suk-Won;Wu, Hong-Gyun
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.280-284
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    • 2006
  • $\underline{Purpose}$: To evaluate biological characteristics of neutron beam generated by MC50 cyclotron located in the Korea Institute of Radiological and Medical Sciences (KIRAMS). $\underline{Materials\;and\;Methods}$: The neutron beams generated with 15 mm Beryllium target hit by 35 MeV proton beam was used and dosimetry data was measured before in-vitro study. We irradiated 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 Gy of neutron beam to EMT-6 cell line and surviving fraction (SF) was measured. The SF curve was also examined at the same dose when applying lead shielding to avoid gamma ray component. In the X-ray experiment, SF curve was obtained after irradiation of 0, 2, 5, 10, and 15 Gy. $\underline{Results}$: The neutron beams have 84% of neutron and 16% of gamma component at the depth of 2 cm with the field size of $26{\times}26\;cm^2$, beam current $20\;{\mu}A$, and dose rate of 9.25 cGy/min. The SF curve from X-ray, when fitted to linear-quadratic (LQ) model, had 0.611 as ${\alpha}/{\beta}$ ratio (${\alpha}=0.0204,\;{\beta}=0.0334,\;R^2=0.999$, respectively). The SF curve from neutron beam had shoulders at low dose area and fitted well to LQ model with the value of $R^2$ exceeding 0.99 in all experiments. The mean value of alpha and beta were -0.315 (range, $-0.254{\sim}-0.360$) and 0.247 ($0.220{\sim}0.262$), respectively. The addition of lead shielding resulted in no straightening of SF curve and shoulders in low dose area still existed. The RBE of neutron beam was in range of $2.07{\sim}2.19$ with SF=0.1 and $2.21{\sim}2.35$ with SF=0.01, respectively. $\underline{Conclusion}$: The neutron beam from MC50 cyclotron has significant amount of gamma component and this may have contributed to form the shoulder of survival curve. The RBE of neutron beam generated by MC50 was about 2.2.