• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정 영역

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A Hybrid System of Wavelet Transformations and Neural Networks Using Genetic Algorithms: Applying to Chaotic Financial Markets (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 웨이블릿분석 및 인공신경망기법의 통합모형구축)

  • Shin, Taek-Soo;Han, In-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 1999
  • 인공신경망을 시계열예측에 적용하는 경우에 고려되어야 할 문제중, 특히 모형에 적합한 입력변수의 생성이 중요시되고 있는데, 이러한 분야는 인공신경망의 모형생성과정에서 입력변수에 대한 전처리기법으로써 다양하게 제시되어 왔다. 가장 최근의 입력변수 전처리기법으로써 제시되고 있는 신호처리기법은 전통적 주기분할처리방법인 푸리에변환기법(Fourier transforms)을 비롯하여 이를 확장시킨 개념인 웨이블릿변환기법(wavelet transforms) 등으로 대별될 수 있다. 이는 기본적으로 시계열이 다수의 주기(cycle)들로 구성된 상이한 시계열들의 집합이라는 가정에서 출발하고 있다. 전통적으로 이러한 시계열은 전기 또는 전자공학에서 주파수영역분할, 즉 고주파 및 저주파수를 분할하기 위한 기법에 적용되어 왔다. 그러나, 최근에는 이러한 연구가 다양한 분야에 활발하게 응용되기 시작하였으며, 그 중의 대표적인 예가 바로 경영분야의 재무시계열에 대한 분석이다. 전통적으로 재무시계열은 장, 단기의사결정을 가진 시장참여자들간의 거래특성이 시계열에 각기 달리 가격으로 반영되기 때문에 이러한 상이한 집단들의 고요한 거래움직임으로 말미암아 예를 들어, 주식시장이 프랙탈구조를 가지고 있다고 보기도 한다. 이처럼 재무시계열은 다양한 사회현상의 집합체라고 볼 수 있으며, 그만큼 예측모형을 구축하는데 어려움이 따른다. 본 연구는 이러한 시계열의 주기적 특성에 기반을 둔 신호처리분석으로서 기존의 시계열로부터 노이즈를 줄여 주면서 보다 의미있는 정보로 변환시켜줄 수 있는 웨이블릿분석 방법론을 새로운 필터링기법으로 사용하여 현재 많은 연구가 진행되고 있는 인공신경망의 모형결합을 통해 기존연구과는 다른 새로운 통합예측방법론을 제시하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 제시하는 통합방법론은 크게 2단계 과정을 거쳐 예측모형으로 완성이 된다. 즉, 1차 모형단계에서 원시 재무시계열은 먼저 웨이브릿분석을 통해서 노이즈가 필터링 되는 동시에, 과거 재무시계열의 프랙탈 구조, 즉 비선형적인 움직임을 보다 잘 반영시켜 주는 다차원 주기요소를 가지는 시계열로 분해, 생성되며, 이렇게 주기에 따라 장단기로 분할된 시계열들은 2차 모형단계에서 신경망의 새로운 입력변수로서 사용되어 최종적인 인공 신경망모델을 구축하는 데 반영된다. 기존의 주기분할방법론은 모형개발자입장에서 여러 가지 통계기준치중에서 최적의 기준치를 합리적으로 선택해야 하는 문제가 추가적으로 발생하며, 본 연구에서는 이상의 제반 문제들을 개선시키기 위해 통합방법론으로서 기존의 인공신경망모형을 구조적으로 확장시켰다. 이 모형에서 기존의 입력층 이전단계에 새로운 층이 정의된다. 이렇게 해서 생성된 새로운 통합모형은 기존모형에서 생성되는 기본적인 학습파라미터와 더불어, 본 연구에서 새롭게 제시된 주기분할층의 파라미터들이 모형의 학습성과를 높이기 위해 함께 고려된다. 한편, 이러한 학습과정에서 추가적으로 고려해야 할 파라미터 갯수가 증가함에 따라서, 본 모델의 학습성과가 local minimum에 빠지는 문제점이 발생될 수 있다. 즉, 웨이블릿분석과 인공신경망모형을 모두 전역적으로 최적화시켜야 하는 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 이 문제를 해결하기 위해서, 최근 local minimum의 가능성을 최소화하여 전역적인 학습성과를 높여 주는 인공지능기법으로서 유전자알고리즘기법을 본 연구이 통합모델에 반영하였다. 이에 대한 실증사례 분석결과는 일일 환율예측문제를 적용하였을 경우, 기존의 방법론보다 더 나운 예측성과를 타나내었다.

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An Exploratory Study on the Life Career Education in Home Economics Education across the life span (가정교과에서 '생활과 연계된' 생애 관점의 진로교육 탐색)

  • Lee, Soo-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.123-142
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to find out how career education has been positioned in secondary school home economics education, and to clarify the identity of career education as one part of home economics education. Furthermore, this study tries to give alternative teaching-learning strategies for life career education across the life span. It deals with home economics curricular and journals. It also analyses the 21 sorts of home economics textbooks and one career and vocation textbook in secondary school, which are supposed to be based on the newly revised 2007 curriculum. As a research method this study takes a qualitative approach. As follows are the results of this study. First, career education has been positioned as one part of home economics education. Second, both career and vocation education and home economics education have dealt with the contents related to career such as self-understanding, career-exploring, deciding-making related to career, career-designing. However, career and vocation education has focused on 'vacational career', whereas home economics education has focused on 'life career' across the life span. Third, this study proposed three alternative teaching-learning strategies for life career education across the life span.

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Group Cohesiveness Context Aware Computing Methodology for Computer Mediated Communication (컴퓨터 매개 커뮤니케이션(CMC)에서의 집단 응집성 인식 방법론)

  • Kim, Jong-Ok;Kwon, Oh-Byung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2011
  • Context-aware computing aims to enable the on-line applications and services to be executed in a timely and automated manner. Many of such applications and services involve group-level interactions. For more smoothing communication within a community, specific group-level issues such as group dynamics must be considered. To do so, obtaining group-level contexts such as the role, conflict resolution and norms, are key ingredients to improve group performance. Since group context is not the same as a simple summation of individual context, as group is not just a simple set of individuals, awaring individual context is not sufficient for group-level communication support. However, context-aware computing research still has stressed more on individual context. This leads us to the motivation of searching for group context aware method. Hence, the of this paper is to propose a novel methodology which automatically recognizes group context. Especially, we focus on group conhesiveness in this paper just because group cohosiveness is one of the important variables to control the performance of group interaction. To verify the applicability of the proposed method, an empirical test has been conducted to compare the performance of the proposed methodology with that of conventional methods.

Surface Characteristics of Dental Casting Palladium Alloy for Replacement of Gold Alloy (금대체를 위한 치과주조용 파라듐 합금의 표면특성)

  • Park, Seon-Yeong;Hwang, In-Jo;Yu, Ji-Min;Park, Min-Gyu;Im, Sang-Gyu;Bae, Ho-Seong;Choe, Han-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.196-196
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    • 2016
  • 치과나 기공소로부터 높은 원가로 인한 재료선택에 어려움을 겪고 있어 귀금속 금합금의 물성을 가질 수 있도록 하면서 가격급등으로 인한 문제 해결하기 위한 비귀금속 합금으로 대체가 필요하기에 이에 따른 연구가 이루어져 국산 제품의 상품화를 위해 파라듐을 이용하여 적합한 새로운 합금을 개발하는 것이 필요하다. 치과용 골드합금은 미국치과의사 협회의 구정에 의하면 1형부터 4형까지 분류하고 있으며 3형에 해당하는 강도와 기계적인 특성을 갖도록 파라듐으로 대체하는 연구가 진행중이거나 시판되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 2형, 3형 및 4형을 대체가능하도록 팔라듐을 기반으로 한 새로운 합금을 설계하고 합금의 성분원 소인 Au(1~5), Pd(20~25), Ag(70~75), In(1.5) 및 Zn(2)등으로 조성을 변화시켜 측량 후 합금을 제조하기 위하여 아르곤 분위기하의 진공아크용해로를 이용하여 용해하였다. 정량된 금속을 진공아크 용해로에 장입하고 용해는 균질한 합금이 되도록 최소한 6회 이상 용융을 실시하며 합금성분의 손실이 발행하지 않도록 보정을 하였다. 합금의 미세조직 관찰을 위하여 샘플을 고속 다이아몬드 정밀 절단기(Acculom-5, STRUERS, Denmark)를 이용하여 절단한 후 2000 grit의 Sic 연마지에서 단계적으로 $0.3{\mu}m$ 알루미나 분말까지 연마한 후 초음파 세척을 하였다. 준비한 시편은 KCN과 $(NH_4)_2S_2O_8$을 1:1로 혼합한 부식액으로 에칭한 후 OM과 SEM을 이용하여 조직을 관찰하였으며 각 샘플의 성분변화는 EDS 분석을 통해 확인하고 결정구조는 XRD를 사용하여 분석하였다. 경도시험은 비커스경도시험기를 이용하여 5kg의 하중을 30초간 작동시켜 압흔을 연결된 micron으로 평균값을 측정하였다. 각 시편의 부식거동은 POTENTIOSTAT(Model PARSTAT 2273, EG&G, USA)을 이용하여 구강 내환경화 유사한 $36.5{\pm}1^{\circ}C$의 0.9% NaCl에서 실시하였다. 인가전위는 -1500mV에서 1000mV까지 1.67 mV/min의 주사속도로 인가하여 시험을 수행하였으며 분극곡선으로부터 부식전위와 부식전류밀도 및 부동태영역의 전류밀도로 금속의 용출거동을 조사하였으며 부식이 끝난 시편은 FE-SEM과 EDS를 사용하여 조사하였다. 기계적인 특성은 Pd-Ag에 3wt%의 Au를 첨가한 합금이 Pd-Ag에 1.5wt%합금을 첨가한 경우에 비하여 기계적인 특성이 증가하고 내식성이 크게 증가하였다. 이들 합금에 Cu를 11wt%를 첨가한 경우는 비커스경도가 200이상으로 높게 나타났지만 내식성이 크게 감소하였다.

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The effect of Meister high school students' career maturity with respect to the impact on school maladjustment (마이스터고등학교 학생들의 진로성숙도가 학교 부적응에 미치는 영향)

  • Yoo, Jae-Man;Lee, Byung-Wook
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect Meister high school students' career maturity with respect to the impact on school maladjustment. Also, this study clarify the relationship. This study purpose is to permanently provide Meister as the basis for the vocational education sector career education needed to faithfully serve as a special purpose high schools. Tools used for the survey is maladaptive measurement tools developed by Leegyumi (2004) and Career maturity measurement tools developed at Korea Research Institute for Vocational Education and Training (2012). Using these tools, a reliability test was conducted. Meister students' career maturity was conducted correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis to analyze the impact of school maladjustment. Independent variables are consisted of career maturity and independence, attitude toward the job, planning, self-understanding, rational decision-making, information retrieval, knowledge of the desired job, career exploration and ready for action. Meister high school student's career maturity according to the students' background variables are little girls was higher than boys, but it was not statistically significant. T-test was conducted to ascertain the career maturity and school maladjustment differences of adaptation groups and maladaptive group in meister school students in background variables. A career maturity and school maladjustment between adaptive and maladaptive population groups showed a statistically significant difference in background variables.

Discussion on Formulation Process and Configuration of Fire-Fighting Vulnerable Zone Model (소방취약지 모델의 구성과 정립프로세스 논의)

  • Kim, Seong Gon;Chang, Eun Mi;Choi, Gap Yong;Kim, Hi Tae
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2014
  • There are numbers of unpredictable risk factors in the disaster scenes such as fire, explosion and fail to early life-saving or holding the flames which can lead to massive damage. In particular, fire-fighters who arrive on the scene within 5 minutes after dispatching, have a limitation to get aware to the situation of scene fully, because of immediate deploy to disaster scene with limited information. This situation may lead to disturbance that fire-fighters perform effective fire-fighting activities, to put fire-fighter's life at risk by misjudge the situation. Previous domestic and International studies focused vulnerability for spatial area or features which can damage to life and property in the event of anticipated. In this study, we have been developed fire-fighting vulnerable zone model that can analyze comprehensively hindrance factors for fire-fighting activities targeting whole life cycle of fire-fighting activities from dispatch to fire suppression or life-saving. In addition, we have been given shape to finality and applicability for our model by defining the new concept of fire-fighting vulnerable zone which can be distinguished from the concept of fire vulnerable area in previous studies. The results of this study can be used to analysis fire-fighting vulnerable zone type analysis, establish fire-fighting policies and improve the performance of decision-making process.

Flash Flood Risk Assessment using PROMETHEE and Entropy Method (PROMETHEE와 Entropy 기법을 이용한 돌발홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Jun, Hwan-Don;Park, Moo-Jong;Jung, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2011
  • Previously most of flood prevention efforts have been made for relatively large watersheds near to channel flow. However, as economical development and the expansion of leisure areas to mountainous region, human casualty by flash flood occurs frequently, requiring additional prevention activity. Therefore, to reduce the damage of human lives and property by flash flood, we develop an assessment method for flash flood occurrence for mountainous areas considering various factors involving it. PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the MCDM(Multi-Criteria Decision Making) was adopted to assess the contribution of each factor to the risk of the flash flood in the mountainous area. The main evaluation criteria are classified into three categories, namely, the regional and rainfall characteristics, and geographical features. Also, the Entropy method is used to determine the weight of each evaluation criteria without survey. The suggested method based on PROMETHEE with Entropy method is applied to BongHwa region to verify its applicability. After applied, the method successfully assesses the relative risk of flash flood occurrence of each sub region in the BongHwa region. Out of the seventeen sub-regions, five, seven and five of them are evaluated as high-risk, medium-risk, and low-risk, respectively. To verify the results, we searched the historical data of flash flood and the flash flood had occurred in one of high-risk sub-regions at 2008.

The Effect of consumer characteristics on purchasing Creating Shared Value products : Focusing on social-psychological variables and value congruency in the decision-making of cosmetics purchases (소비자의 특성이 공유가치창출 제품 구매에 미치는 영향 : 화장품 구매의사결정에 미치는 사회심리학적 변인과 가치일치성을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Yoon Ji;Yoo, Gilsang;Park, Sunkyung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2021
  • This study focuses on the individual characteristics of consumers and creating shared value in relation to recent increasing value consumption. Specifically, it was intended to verify what socio-psychological variables of consumers affect value congruency and product purchase intentions in relation to cosmetics products based on creating shared value activities. In order to verify hypothesis, an online survey was conducted, and the main and mediate effects of the variables were verified through SPSS' Process Macro method. As a result of empirical analysis, the higher the ethical identity, altruism, and consumer effectiveness, the higher the value congruency. Altruism and consumer effectiveness had a positive impact on purchase intentions. We also find that value congruency has a significant mediating effect on the effect of socio-psychological variables on purchase intention. The results of this study provide practical values and implications for companies' need to emphasize consumers' consumption behavior as it can have a significant positive impact on society. It also suggests the importance of finding out what values consumers seek. In other words, this study can provide strategic implications for public relations plans when performing marketing activities by utilizing the values pursued by CSV in companies. Future research will provide strategic implications for promotional measures when marketing is carried out if the consumer's segment is further refined to verify the effectiveness of creating shared value.

A Study on the Franchise Business Environment and its Strategy in United Kingdom (영국 프랜차이즈 사업 환경과 진출 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Han-Byul;Lee, Sang-Youn
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2012
  • Franchise system in Korea has been developed in different way compared with American way of franchising based on mutual contract and intellectual property context. Korean franchising is mostly based on product distribution franchise concept rather than business format franchise in which franchisor makes revenue sources from providing their products as much as possible thru group purchasing and logistics rather than receiving royalty. Many franchise enterprises from Korea drive to enter into global franchise market based on the successful performance of Korean way of franchising. Korean enterprises are required to prepare completely for research and survey regarding local culture, custom, way of life and legal matters etc. when entering into global franchise market to gain a substantial performance. CaffeBene recently entered into American franchise business with success, and many other Korean franchise enterprises have a deep interest in proceeding with global franchise business modeling CaffeBene case. There is no Korean franchise enterprise in United Kingdom in which service franchise area in particular with personal service is considered to become a promising and potential franchise business and many people show a great interest in Oriental foods and beverages with well-being trend. Korean franchise enterprises have now access to United Kingdom easier because IT industry including internet of the country have been developed by leaps and bounds since London Olympic in 2012. The purpose of this study is to suggest key success factors and basic strategy such as situation analysis, selecting business format, and marketing strategy for successful launching of franchise business in United Kingdom.

Stock Price Direction Prediction Using Convolutional Neural Network: Emphasis on Correlation Feature Selection (합성곱 신경망을 이용한 주가방향 예측: 상관관계 속성선택 방법을 중심으로)

  • Kyun Sun Eo;Kun Chang Lee
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.21-39
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    • 2020
  • Recently, deep learning has shown high performance in various applications such as pattern analysis and image classification. Especially known as a difficult task in the field of machine learning research, stock market forecasting is an area where the effectiveness of deep learning techniques is being verified by many researchers. This study proposed a deep learning Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model to predict the direction of stock prices. We then used the feature selection method to improve the performance of the model. We compared the performance of machine learning classifiers against CNN. The classifiers used in this study are as follows: Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Neural Network, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, Bagging, and Random Forest. The results of this study confirmed that the CNN showed higher performancecompared with other classifiers in the case of feature selection. The results show that the CNN model effectively predicted the stock price direction by analyzing the embedded values of the financial data