• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정나무회귀분석

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A Study of Factors Influencing University Royalty through Education Satisfaction (교육만족도를 통한 대학생들의 대학 충성도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 연구)

  • Kang, Min-Chae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.365-374
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to verify relation between satisfaction of university education and royalty based on analysis of satisfaction survey result of enrolled all students in J regional university. The university royalty in addition to drop out rate is one of the key indicators of managing university performance and it is differentiated approach that has positive perspectives. Based on satisfaction survey results, first, there was a significant difference in satisfaction by school year and grade range. Second, the analysis result of logistic regression method that had been performed to verify the construct which affecting university royalty of students show that satisfaction with lecture, academic guidance, educational environment and self management in academic life were the significant impact on royalty. Also, the decision tree analysis show that top decision factor is self-satisfaction of university life to determine university royalty.

Variable selection with quantile regression tree (분위수 회귀나무를 이용한 변수선택 방법 연구)

  • Chang, Youngjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.1095-1106
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    • 2016
  • The quantile regression method proposed by Koenker et al. (1978) focuses on conditional quantiles given by independent variables, and analyzes the relationship between response variable and independent variables at the given quantile. Considering the linear programming used for the estimation of quantile regression coefficients, the model fitting job might be difficult when large data are introduced for analysis. Therefore, dimension reduction (or variable selection) could be a good solution for the quantile regression of large data sets. Regression tree methods are applied to a variable selection for quantile regression in this paper. Real data of Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) players are analyzed following the variable selection approach based on the regression tree. Analysis result shows that a few important variables are selected, which are also meaningful for the given quantiles of salary data of the baseball players.

Analysis on Geographical Variations of the Prevalence of Hypertension Using Multi-year Data (다년도 자료를 이용한 고혈압 유병률의 지역간 변이 분석)

  • Kim, Yoomi;Cho, Daegon;Hong, Sungok;Kim, Eunju;Kang, Sunghong
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.935-948
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    • 2014
  • As chronic diseases have become more prevalent and problematic, effective cares for major chronic diseases have been a locus of the healthcare policy. In this regard, this study examines how region-specific characteristics affect the prevalence of hypertension in South Korea. To analyze, we combined a unique multi-year data set including key indicators of health conditions and health behaviors at the 237 small administrative districts. The data are collected from the Annual Community Health Survey between 2009 and 2011 by Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other government organizations. For the purpose of investigating regional variations, we estimated using Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) and decision tree model. Our finding first suggests that using the multi-year data is more legitimate than using the single-year data for the geographical analysis of chronic diseases, because the significant annual differences are observed in most variables. We also find that the prevalence of hypertension is more likely to be positively associated with the prevalence of diabetes and obesity but to be negatively associated with population density. More importantly, noticeable geographical variations in these factors are observed according to the results from the GWR. In line with this result, additional findings from the decision tree model suggest that primary influential factors that affect the hypertension prevalence are indeed heterogeneous across regional groups. Taken as a whole, accounting for geographical variations of health conditions, health behaviors and other socioeconomic factors is very important when the regionally customized healthcare policy is implemented to mitigate the hypertension prevalence. In short, our study sheds light on possible ways to manage the chronic diseases for policy makers in the local government.

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A Study on the Fraud Detection of Industrial Accident Compensation Insurance (산재보험 부정수급 식별모형에 관한 연구)

  • Ham, Seung-O;Hong, Jeong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.342-345
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    • 2008
  • 산재 발생 시 산재근로자는 근로복지공단을 통해서 각종 급여를 받게 된다. 본 논문은 심사 과정과 급여지급 후에 부정수급으로 판명된 산재 청구 건을 데이터 마이닝을 통해서 분석하여 부정수급의 유형을 발견하고자 한다. 이 연구에서는 서울관내 4개 지사에서 8년 동안(2000년$\sim$2007년)의 총 61,536명의 최초요양 신청을 한 산재근로자 자료를 대상으로 하였고, 종속변수에 영향을 미치는 8개의 독립변수를 선택해서 사용한다. 데이터 마이닝을 적용함에 있어서 가장 효율적인 허위 부정 탐지 모델을 만들기 위해 의사결정나무분석(Decision Tree)과 로지스틱 회귀분석(Logistic Regresion)등의 다양한 기법을 적용하여 결과를 비교분석 하고, 오분류 비용을 적용하여, 최적의 분류결정 값을 가지는 모델을 도출한다. 분석결과, 로지스틱 회귀분석이 산재보험 부정수급 유형 발견에 보다 효과적인 모델로 판명되었다. 또한 판별점(Cut-Off) 0.01로 했을 때 4개변수(요양기간, 업종형태, 의료기관, 재해발생형태)가 부정수급에 탐지하는데 영향력이 큰 변수로 선정되었다.

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Investigating Factors Influencing University Students' Intention to Dropout based on Education Satisfaction (교육만족도 관점에서 학생의 학업중단 의도에 대한 연구)

  • Han, Dong-Wook;Kang, Min-Chae
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate factors affecting dropout intention based on education satisfaction survey analysis of local J university. Total 7,248 survey data which has high trustability were analyzed. Analysis of variance was performed to verify differences between each grade and credits level. There are significant differences between the year grade and credit level. Especially the result show that the satisfaction of freshman is higher than the other grade students. To verify relation between intention to dropout and satisfaction of university education logistic regression analysis method has been applied and satisfaction of academic guidance, vocational guidance, environment of education and self-satisfaction of university life are significantly related to the dropout intention. The most important variable is self-satisfaction of university life which determine dropout intention through decision tree analysis.

An Analysis for Price Determinants of Small and Medium-sized Office Buildings Using Data Mining Method in Gangnam-gu (데이터마이닝기법을 활용한 강남구 중소형 오피스빌딩의 매매가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Mun, Keun-Sik;Choi, Jae-Gyu;Lee, Hyun-seok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.414-427
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    • 2015
  • Most Studies for office market have focused on large-scale office buildings. There is, if any, a little research for small and medium-sized office buildings due to the lack of data. This study uses the self-searched and established 1,056 data in Gangnam-Gu, and estimates the data by not only linear regression model, but also data mining methods. The results provide investors with various information of price determinants, for small and medium-sized office buildings, comparing with large-scale office buildings. The important variables are street frontage condition, zoning of commercial area, distance to subway station, and so on.

데이터마이닝을 활용한 이탈고객 스코어링 모델 개발

  • 한상태;이성건;강현철;유동균
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2001
  • 최근의 많은 기업에서는 방대한 고객 데이터베이스를 활용하여 자사의 경쟁력을 갖추는 방안으로써 데이터마이닝을 선택하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 데이터마이닝을 활용해 손해보험사의 데이터베이스를 분석하여 자동차보험 고객의 이탈을 방지하는 이탈고객 스코어링 모델을 개발하였다. 분석방법론으로는 의사결정나무와 로지스틱 회귀분석을 사용하였으며 기업에서의 데이터마이닝을 위한 일련의 과정을 상세히 기술하고 기업의 데이터베이스가 가지고 있는 문제점을 지적하였다.

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Classification Analysis for the Prediction of Underground Cultural Assets (매장문화재 예측을 위한 통계적 분류 분석)

  • Yu, Hye-Kyung;Lee, Jin-Young;Na, Jong-Hwa
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.106-113
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    • 2009
  • Various statistical classification methods have been used to establish prediction model of underground cultural assets in our country. Among them, linear discriminant analysis, logistic regression, decision tree, neural network, and support vector machines are used in this paper. We introduced the basic concepts of above-mentioned classification methods and applied these to the analyses of real data of I city. As a results, five different prediction models are suggested. And also model comparisons are executed by suggesting correct classification rates of the fitted models. To see the applicability of the suggested models for a new data set, simulations are carried out. R packages and programs are used in real data analyses and simulations. Especially, the detailed executing processes by R are provided for the other analyser of related area.

Comparison of Methodologies for Characterizing Pedestrian-Vehicle Collisions (보행자-차량 충돌사고 특성분석 방법론 비교 연구)

  • Choi, Saerona;Jeong, Eunbi;Oh, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2013
  • The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.

Ananlyzing Customer Management Data by Datamining (Focused on Apartment Customer Classification) (데이터마이닝을 통한 고객관리데이터의 분석 (아파트고객 세분화를 중심으로))

  • Baek, Shin Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.69-72
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    • 2004
  • 기업간의 경쟁이 심화되고 정보의 중요성에 대한 인식이 확대되어 가는 상황에서 다량의 데이터로부터 가치 있는 데이터를 추출하는 CRM 데이터 마이닝은 중대한 관심사가 아닐 수 없다. 본 연구는 데이터마이닝의 여러 활용 분야 중 고객세분화를 위해 최근 많이 사용되고 있는 데이터마이닝 기법인 로지스틱 회귀분석, 의사결정나무, 신경망 알고리즘 기법들을 비교하며, 이를 실제 아파트 고객의 데이터를 이용하여 검증하고자 한다. 따라서, 아파트 고객 세분화를 위한 데이터마이닝 수행시 기법 선택의 기준과 비교 평가의 기준을 제시하는 데 연구목적 있다.

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