• Title/Summary/Keyword: 음이항

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Effects on the Accident Reduction of Red Light Camera Using Empirical Bayes Method (경험적 베이즈 방법을 이용한 무인신호위반단속장비의 사고감소 효과)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the effects on the accident reduction according to the installation of RLC (red light cameras). The objective is to analyze the effects on the accident reduction using EB (Empirical Bayes) method. In pursuing the above, the study uses the 728 accident data occurred at the 28 intersections which RLC are installed. The main results are as follows. First, the effects of accident reduction were analyzed to be 20.74% by simple before-after study method. Second, the safety performance functions (SPF) were developed by the Poisson and negative binominal regression models, and since the over-dispersion parameter was close to zero, Poisson model was evaluated to be more appropriate than the negative binominal model. Also, the Poisson model was analyzed to be statistically significant because its ${\rho}^2$ value was 0.409. Finally, the results of analysis using an EB method showed that the accidents were reduced by range from 3.89 to 29.23%.

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Accident Models of 4-Legged Signalized Intersections by Vehicle Type in the Case of Cheongju (4지 신호교차로 차종별 사고모형 -청주시를 사례로-)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Park, Gil-Soo;In, Byung-Chul
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.161-170
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    • 2008
  • This study deals with the accident models by vehicle type. The goal is to develop the accident models by vehicle type using the data of 143 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. In pursuing the above, this study gives the particular attentions to explaining the relationships between the values of EPDO(equivalent property damage only) and the traffic and geometric elements. The main results analyzed are the followings. First, 6 negative binomial models are developed, which are all significant at the 90% confidence level. Second, the values of ${\rho}^2$ by vehicle type are 0.14307(auto), 0.35556(large van), 0.21684(small van), 0.205152(motocycle), 0.32338(light-duty truck) and 0.29046(heavy-duty truck), that are all analyzed to be statistically significant. Finally, the common variable included in all models is ADT(average daily traffic), and the specific variable(SV) of auto is analyzed to be the sum of lane width of main road, SV of large van is the average yellow time, and SV of small van is the difference in the number of lane between main and minor road.

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Characteristics and Models of Intersection Accidents by Elderly Drivers in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged Signalized Intersections (고령운전자 교차로 사고의 특성 및 모형 - 청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Byung-Ho;Han, Sang-Wook;Kim, Kyung-Hwan
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2009
  • This study deals with the traffic accidents of elderly drivers. The objectives are to comparatively analyze the characteristics of accident between the elderly and other drivers, and to develop the models of traffic accidents. In pursuing the above, this paper gives particular attentions to testing the differences between the above two groups, and developing the models(Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between the elderly and other drivers' accidents were clearly defined by the time of day, accident type, etc. Second, 3 accident models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between elderly and other drivers' models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.

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The Study of Relationship among Organizational Justice, Coworker Trust and Knowledge Sharing: Focusing on Government-funded Research Institute (조직공정성, 동료신뢰와 지식공유 간의 관계에 관한 연구 - 정부출연 연구기관을 중심으로)

  • Moon, Sung-Ok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.194-205
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the relationship between organizational justice and coworker trust, and reveals that coworker trust can increase knowledge sharing. A survey was conducted on government funded research institutes located in Daejeon and Sejong regions, and finally, a questionnaire of 255 valid people was used for statistical analysis. To test the hypotheses, correlation analysis, regression analysis, and negative binomial regression analysis were used. As a result of the analysis, both distributive justice and procedural justice were found to have a positive effect on coworker trust, and coworker trust also have a positive effect on knowledge sharing. This study provides implications that organizational justice affects trust in coworkers, and as a result, knowledge sharing can be increased through coworker trust.

Developing an Accident Model for Rural Signalized Intersections Using a Random Parameter Negative Binomial Method (RPNB모형을 이용한 지방부 신호교차로 교통사고 모형개발)

  • PARK, Min Ho;LEE, Dongmin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.554-563
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    • 2015
  • This study dealt with developing an accident model for rural signalized intersections with random parameter negative binomial method. The limitation of previous count models(especially, Poisson/Negative Binomial model) is not to explain the integrated variations in terms of time and the distinctive characters a specific point/segment has. This drawback of the traditional count models results in the underestimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) of the derived coefficient and finally affects the low-reliability of the whole model. To solve this problem, this study improves the limitation of traditional count models by suggesting the use of random parameter which takes account of heterogeneity of each point/segment. Through the analyses, it was found that the increase of traffic flow and pedestrian facilities on minor streets had positive effects on the increase of traffic accidents. Left turning lanes and median on major streets reduced the number of accidents. The analysis results show that the random parameter modeling is an effective method for investigating the influence on traffic accident from road geometries. However, this study could not analyze the effects of sequential changes of driving conditions including geometries and safety facilities.

과학자 연구성과에 대한 젠더, 코호트, 조직적 요인 효과: 생화학자를 중심으로

  • Park, Chan-Ung
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.97-124
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    • 2007
  • 국내 생화학 분야 학자들의 연구성과에 영향을 주는 요인은 무엇인가? 특히 젠더는 연구성과에 어떤 영향을 주는가? 이 연구는 다음과 같은 항목에 초점을 두었다. 첫째 연구성과의 특징에 따른 차이를 보기 위해, 연구성과를 학술지 유형에 따라 SCI논문과 비SCI논문으로 구분해서 비교분석했다. 둘째, 교육기간부터 경력기간별로 연구성과에 미치는 요인이 변화할 가능성을 분석하기 위해, 연구성과를 종속변수로 하는 모델을 대학원 기간과 졸업 이후 경력 기간별로 구성했다. 셋째, 연구성과에 대한 이론적 요인으로서 사회인구학적 요인, 조직적 요인, 그리고 이전 연구업적의 누적효과를 음이항모델을 사용해서 분석했다. 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, SCI논문성과의 경우 젠더 효과는 대학원 기간 동안에는 관찰되지 않았지만, 경력 초기부터 다음 기간 연구성과에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. SCI학술지 연구성과의 경우 조직적 요인 중에서 외국 학위가 중요한 것으로 파악되었다. 이전 연구성과 역시 누적적으로 그 후 연구성과에 영향을 주었다. 비SCI논문 수를 분석한 결과, 대학원 기간과 졸업 후 3년간 기간에는 젠더 차이가 관찰되지 않았고, 졸업 후 3-6년 기간에 젠더 효과가 발견되었다. 또한 대학원 기간의 비SCI논문의 누적효과가 지속적으로 나타났다.

How Does the Regulation of Location Affect Firm's Management and Innovation Performance? (정부의 지역 입지규제는 기업 경영 및 혁신성과에 어떤 영향을 미치는가? -평택(경기도)과 천안(충청남도)지역 기업 비교분석을 중심으로-)

  • Seo, Young-Woong;Choi, Seok-Joon;Lee, Si-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.586-603
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    • 2012
  • In order to relieve overcrowding, the Korean government has regulated firm's locations in the capital region of Korea. However, the standard of regulation mainly depends on the place of province. Using KIS-Value data of firms that are located Pyeong-taek(the Capital area) or Cheon-an(Non Capital area), in close proximity to each other, we utilize OLS and negative binomial regression models for identifying the difference of firms' management and innovation performance in terms of firms' location difference(regulation difference). Our analysis shows that innovation performance of firms in Cheon-an does better than Pyeong-taek's, but management performance has no gaps between them. This result indicates that the regulation of firm's location has influence on firm's innovation performance. Thus, regulation policy regarding firms' location need to be minutely amended.

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Comparative Analysis on the Characteristics and Models of Traffic Accidents by Day and Nighttime in the Case of Cheongju 4-legged ignalized Intersections (주·야간 교통사고의 특성 및 사고모형 비교분석 -청주시 4지 신호교차로를 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Doo Seon;Oh, Sang Jin;Kim, Tae Young;Park, Byung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2D
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to comparatively analyze the characteristics and models of traffic accidents by day and nighttime. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to testing the differences and developing the models (multiple linear and non-linear and Poisson and negative binomial regression) using the data of Cheongju 4-legged signalized intersections. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the differences between day and nighttime accidents were defined. Second, 12 accident models which are all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between day and nighttime models were comparatively analyzed using the common and specific variables.

The Hazardous Expressway Sections for Drowsy Driving Using Digital Tachograph in Truck (화물차 DTG 데이터를 활용한 고속도로 졸음운전 위험구간 분석)

  • CHO, Jongseok;LEE, Hyunsuk;LEE, Jaeyoung;KIM, Ducknyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 2017
  • In the past 10 years, the accidents caused by drowsy driving have occupied about 23% of all traffic accidents in Korea expressway network and this rate is the highest one among all accident causes. Unlike other types of accidents caused by speeding and distraction to the road, the accidents by drowsy driving should be managed differently because the drowsiness might not be controlled by human's will. To reduce the number of accidents caused by drowsy driving, researchers previously focused on the spot based analysis. However, what we actually need is a segment (link) and occurring time based analysis, rather than spot based analysis. Hence, this research performs initial effort by adapting link concept in terms of drowsy driving on highway. First of all, we analyze the accidents caused by drowsy in historical accident data along with their road environments. Then, links associate with driving time are analyzed using digital tachograph (DTG) data. To carry this out, negative binomial regression models, which are broadly used in the field, including highway safety manual, are used to define the relationship between the number of traffic accidents on expressway and drivers' behavior derived from DTG. From the results, empirical Bayes (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) analysis are performed for potential risk segments of accident caused by drowsy driving on the future. As the result of traffic accidents caused by drowsy driving, the number of the traffic accidents increases with increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT), the proportion of trucks, the amount of DTG data, the average proportion of speeding over 20km/h, the average proportion of deceleration, and the average proportion of sudden lane-changing.

Count Data Model for The Estimation of Bus Ridership (Focusing on Commuters and Students in Seoul) (가산자료모형(Count Data Model)을 이용한 버스이용횟수추정에 관한 연구 (서울시 통근.통학자를 대상으로))

  • 문진수;김순관;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.123-135
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    • 1999
  • The rapid increase of Passenger cars which is caused by the discomfort of Public transit and the Preference of automobiles is the major factor of increasing traffic congestions in Seoul With the point that leading the automobilists to the Public transit can be the most important Policy to ease these traffic congestions, this study focuses on the behavioral aspects of company employees and university students and investigates factors influencing bus ridership. To be brief, by estimating bus ridership through count models, this study investigates factors which influence bus ridership and elicits Political suggestions which lead automobilists to Public transit. The Purpose in this study is the application of appropriate count data model. The count data models have been widely applied to the economic area from the middle of the 1980s and to transportation aspect mainly in the foreign countries from the latter half of the 1980s. Even though a few studies in this country employed count data model to count data. all of them were Poisson regression models without suitable tests for the importance of the model specification. In the end, as the result of statistical test, negative binomial regression model which is suitable for overdispersed data was found to be appropriate for the data of weekly bus ridership. To emphasize the importance of model specification, both of poisson regression model and negative binomial regression model were estimated and the results were compared.

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