• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.418-431
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• 2022

Purpose: We propose a new scheme for predicting promise technology and it improves the conventional scheme that misses important lists of patent because of insufficient search formula, and cannot reflect new trend of technology due to the unreleased period of patents. Method: In this paper, we propose a new search formula exploiting TF and TF-IDF with R programming as well as related keywords, and LDA topic modeling scheme is used for analyzing recently published papers in Satellite·Terrestrial Information Convergence Disaster Response. Result: By comparing both schemes with commercial DB, the proposed scheme can find more important patents, and can reflect new trend of technology, compared to the conventional scheme. Conclusion: The proposed scheme can be used to predict promise technologies in the field of Satellite·Terrestrial Information Convergence Disaster Response.

• Transactions of the KSME C: Technology and Education
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• v.3 no.4
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• pp.273-283
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• 2015

In this study, we suggested the methodology and the results of planning of promising technologies in mechanical engineering by focusing on the case of the Korea Institute of Machinery and Materials (KIMM). For dedicated commitment to planning of promising technologies, KIMM newly introduced task-force called as 'specialist unit'. In addition, KIMM combined the investigation of external environments with the analysis of internal capabilities of KIMM and utilized the bibliographic coupling analysis in the process of the exploring sub themes. Finally, we provided 8 promising fields and their sub themes in the mechanical engineering. Our study contributed to the strategic development of the main research programs of KIMM. Our findings can be also utilized as the best practice of planning of promising technologies in the field of mechanical engineering.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.34 no.10B
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• pp.1021-1030
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• 2009

Advanced countries, in recent, are trying hard to acquire intellectual properties on the promising technologies for prior occupation in the future market. The purpose of this study is to derive the IT-based Promising Technologies and find out their implications, focusing on the US patent market known as the most competitive in the world patent market. In this paper, We give a manipulated definition on the IT-based Promising Technologies and deduct the Promising Technologies based on the definition. To accomplish this purpose, we have utilized the US patents granted for the period 2001-2008 in the IT technology. As a result, we have found that 69 fields are classified as the Promising Technologies among 803 IT fields in a criterion of IPC main-group.

• Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.1-10
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• 2012

먼 미래의 기술로만 여겨졌던 홀로그래피 기술이 모두의 기대보다 빨리 현실로 도래할지 모른다는 전망이 종종 등장하고 있으나 우리의 기술적 현실에는 아직 해결해야 할 어려운 숙제들이 산적해 있다. 그러나 응용 분야의 특성과 디지털 홀로그래피 기술의 특성을 고려하여 우선 상용화 추진이 가능한 유망 분야를 도출한다면 디지털 홀로그래피로의 진화를 용이하게 할 것이다. 본고에서는 홀로그래피 기술의 현 주소를 짚어보고 1) 상용화를 위해 고려해야 할 사항, 2) 상용화 유망 분야, 3) 상용화 가능 시기를 도출하되, 홀로그래피 기술을 개발해온 전문가와 잠재적 이용자를 대상으로 심층 면접을 통해 정성적으로 다양한 가능성을 도출해 보고자 하였다. 또한 이들 집단 간의 의견을 비교함으로써 시사점을 도출해 보고자 하였다.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.14 no.spc
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• pp.1187-1208
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• 2011

This research aims to propose a systematic approach to identify emerging technology-product portfolio for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Firstly, operational definition of emerging technology for SMEs is presented. Secondly, research framework is suggested and case study to show usefulness of the newly proposed framwork is analyzed. In detail, reference patent set which represent company's capabilities and business area are constructed. The research constructs patent data set for bibliometric analysis using reference patent set and citing patents to 2nd level. Clustering (expert judgement) and keyword based bibliometric approach are used. Then, cluster activity index (AI) and relevance index (RI) comparing with reference patent set are estimated. With emerging technology-product portfolio using AI and RI, a firm can identify emerging technology-product area and monitoring area.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.345-368
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• 2012

As science and technology are the core engines of economic and social affairs, it is becoming increasingly necessary to explore new promising technologies in order to secure competitiveness in science and technology with a view to helping upgrade the country's overall competitiveness and promoting industrial development. The governments of major advanced countries provide R&D support for promising future technologies. Even in South Korea, a study is being carried out to set up a model for forecasting future technologies and reinforcing the relevant survey system. This study intends to explore methods of identifying promising future technologies in the bio-science sector, which has emerged as a new growth engine. It will use a text-mining technique to collect and analyze theses in the bio science sector. It will identify key research sectors by analyzing thesis contour lines, and then review promising future key research subjects through in-depth study.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.38A no.1
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• pp.108-126
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• 2013

Recently, it becomes essential for firms or nations to forecast the future and identify emerging technologies in order to improve R&D efficiency and gain a competitive advantage. Particularly, the mobile communications industry is characterized by rapid advance and wide application of its technology and thus identifying emerging technologies is more important in the industry than in others. Nevertheless, few attempts have been made to explore its emerging technologies. Therefore, this research aims to develop a methodology to identify the future and emerging technologies especially for the industry and applied it to list top ten emerging technologies for 2020 in the industry. For this purpose, firstly, we focused the key issues in the future targeting 2020 and identified user needs relating to them. Then, candidates of emerging technologies were defined from a set of technologies to meet the needs, for which technological and economic feasibility is assessed to determine their priorities. Finally, the top ten most important technologies were selected and verified. This research is distinct from the previous studies in that it takes a market-pull approach instead of a technology-push approach. The research results are expected to provide valuable information to support strategy- and policy-makings in the mobile communications industry.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.211-212
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• 2016

기술예측이란 전략적 연구개발 분야 및 미래유망기술 도출을 위해 장기적인 과학, 기술, 경제, 사회 현상을 조사하기 위한 과정이다. 미래 기술예측의 효과적 추진을 위해 체계적인 방법론과 프로세스를 개발 적용하여 미래 기술의 수용성과 예측성, 참신성을 높일 수 있는 방법으로 인간의 6가지 감각을 기반으로 한 미래 기술예측조사 및 유망기술의 발굴 및 선정을 위한 새로운 접근방식으로써 예측조사 프레임워크를 제안한다.

• Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.80-89
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• 2019

Prospecting future social environmental changes and improvement research on future technologies is required for prospecting promising technology, as it would be useful for institution·company to set up technical planning. This study aims at providing a methodology for retaining international technology competitiveness, marketable industry, and sustainable promising technology in a field of new growth engine industry such as national unmanned aerial vehicle industry. We draw a result by analysing with tools such as KrKwic, Excel, NetMiner, presenting methods of a Social Network Analysis, sub-group analysis, and cognitive map analysis based on patent data in a field of unmanned aerial vehicle industry. Therefore, this study explored the technology evolution of UAV and to prospect promising technology. As a result, some future promising technologies are prospected as what worths concentrated investment, such as 'system integration tech', 'assessment/airworthiness certification tech', 'avionics', 'pilot control tech', 'identification of friend or foe', 'flight control tech', 'supportive equipment'.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2011.06c
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• pp.145-148
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• 2011

국가연구개발사업의 성과제고가 과학기술계 주요 이슈로 부상되면서 사업의 경제적 성과창출에 초점을 둔 기술이전 및 사업화에 대한 요구가 높아지고 있다. 국가연구개발사업에 대한 종합적인 서비스를 제공 하는 NTIS는 국가연구개발성과를 부가가치 창출로 연계시킬 수 있도록 지원하기 위해서 우수유망기술정보 서비스를 도입하였다. 우수유망기술정보는 국가연구개발과제에 대한 최종평가 결과가 우수한 과제의 연구성과(기술) 중 기술이전·사업화의 가능성이 있거나 후속연구를 통해 기술이전 사업화가 가능한 기술을 칭한다. NTIS에서는 2008년부터 우수유망기술정보 DB를 구축하였고 관련 서비스를 제공하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 우수유망기술정보서비스와 관련된 국내외 현황에 대해서 조사하였고 그에 따른 시사점을 제시하였다. 국가연구개발사업에 대한 대내외 환경변화 및 공익적인 사업성격을 고려하여 NTIS 우수유망기술정보서비스의 활용과 관련한 현황을 파악하였고, 개선점을 도출하였다. 더 나아가서 향후 효과적인 활용을 위한 방안을 도출하였다.