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http://dx.doi.org/10.7840/kics.2013.38A.1.108

Emerging Technologies in Mobile Communications for 2020  

Lee, Kyungpyo (아주대학교 산업공학과)
Song, Youngkeun (한국전자통신연구원 기술경제연구부)
Han, Woori (서울대학교 산업공학과)
Lee, Sungjoo (아주대학교 산업공학과)
Publication Information
The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences / v.38A, no.1, 2013 , pp. 108-126 More about this Journal
Abstract
Recently, it becomes essential for firms or nations to forecast the future and identify emerging technologies in order to improve R&D efficiency and gain a competitive advantage. Particularly, the mobile communications industry is characterized by rapid advance and wide application of its technology and thus identifying emerging technologies is more important in the industry than in others. Nevertheless, few attempts have been made to explore its emerging technologies. Therefore, this research aims to develop a methodology to identify the future and emerging technologies especially for the industry and applied it to list top ten emerging technologies for 2020 in the industry. For this purpose, firstly, we focused the key issues in the future targeting 2020 and identified user needs relating to them. Then, candidates of emerging technologies were defined from a set of technologies to meet the needs, for which technological and economic feasibility is assessed to determine their priorities. Finally, the top ten most important technologies were selected and verified. This research is distinct from the previous studies in that it takes a market-pull approach instead of a technology-push approach. The research results are expected to provide valuable information to support strategy- and policy-makings in the mobile communications industry.
Keywords
Mobile communications; emerging technology; future technology; technology forecasting; needs-driven;
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