• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험원 요인

Search Result 418, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Hydrological drought risk assessment for climate change adaptation in South Korea (기후변화 적응을 위한 우리나라 수문학적 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Seo, Jungho;Chi, Haewon;Kim, Heey Jin;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.6
    • /
    • pp.421-435
    • /
    • 2022
  • As natural disasters have been increasing due to climate change, sustainable solutions are in need to alleviate the degree of drought hazard, assess and project the drought influence based on future climate change scenarios. In assessing drought risk, socio-economic factors of the region must be considered along with meteorological factors. This study categorized drought hazard, exposure, and vulnerability as three major components of drought risk according to the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC) risk assessment framework, and selected indices for each component to quantify the drought risk in South Korea according to the mid-size basins. Combinations of climate scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway; RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5) and socio-economic scenarios (Shared Socio-economic Pathways; SSP 1, SSP2 and SSP3) for the near future (2030-2050) ant the far future (2080-2099) were utilized in drought risk analysis, and results were compared with the historical data (1986-2005). In general, the drought risks for all scenarios shows large increases as time proceeds to the far furture. In addition, we analyzed the rank of drought hazard, exposure, vulnerability for drought risk, and each of their contribution. The results showed that the drought hazard is the most contributing component to the increase of drought risk in future and each basin shows varying contributing components. Finally, we suggested countermeasures for each basin according to future climate change scenarios, and thus this study provides made the basis for establishing drought management measures.

The Risk Factors for the Development of Hypertension in a Rural Area - An 1-Year Prospective Cohort Study - (농촌 지역 주민들의 고혈압 발생 위험요인 - 1년간 전향성 추적 조사 -)

  • Oh, Hee-Sook;Kam, Sin;Yeh, Min-Hae;Kang, Yun-Sik;Kim, Keon-Yeop;Lee, Young-Sook;Park, Ki-Soo;Son, Jae-Hee;Lee, Sang-Won;Ahn, Moon-Young;Chun, Byung-Yeol
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.199-207
    • /
    • 2000
  • Objectives : This study was peformed to identify the risk factors related to the development of hypertension in a rural area. Method : Total of 3,573 subjects in Chung-Song County were interviewed and examined in 1996. The study cohort comprised 2,580 hypertension-free subjects aged above 20. One-year follow up was completed for 1,781 subjects(69.0%) in 1997. General characteristics(age, gender, education level, economic status, marital status), the family history of hypertension, diet, alcohol, smoking, coffee, stress, past history of oral contraceptive and menopausal status in female, height, weight, waist and hip circumference, baseline blood pressure, and serum total cholesterol were considered as risk factors. Results : Multivariate analysis using logistic regression model indicated that age(RH=1.50, 95% CI; 1.15-1.96), the family history of hypertension(RR=2.11, 95% CI; 1.04-4.26), waist-hip ratio(WHR) (RR=2.09, 95%, CI; 1.15-3.79), and baseline systolic blood pressure(130-139/<120mmHg)(RR=3.34, 95% CI; 1.47-7.60) were significant risk factors associated with the development of hypertension above the borderline level in male. In female, age(RR=1.06, 95% CI; 1.03-1.09), change in menopausal status$(no{\rightarrow}yes/no{\rightarrow}no)$ (RR=3.32, 95% CI; 1.01-10.87), baseline systolic blood pressure(120-129/<120mmHg: RR=2.00, 95% CI; 1.02-3.90)(130-139/<120mmHg: RR=2.64, 95% CI; 1.34-5.20) and baseline diastolic blood pressure(85-89/<80mmHg)(RR=4.09, 95% CI; 1.86-8.96) were identified as risk factors. Conclusions : Age and high normal blood pressure were significant risk factors for the development of hypertension above the borderline level. In addition, the family history of hypertension and WHR in men, and the change of menopausal status in women might be significant risk factors in Korea.

  • PDF

An Exploratory Investigation of Archival Reference Services in the National Archives of Korea (국가기록원의 기록제공서비스에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Seol, Moon-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Archives and Records Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.103-124
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study aims to suggest the use-based policies for archival reference service by investigating the actual archival uses and services of the National Archives of Korea (NAK). Considering that there is little information on the overall archival reference service by NAK, an exploratory research method is adopted to understand the current status and issues of the service. In this study, the use of archival records in NAK is investigated from statistical data, and service cases by record type are collected through interviews with archival service professionals of NAK. Then, the success and risk factors of the archival reference service are analyzed in three categories of human resources (reference archivists' competency), tools (finding aids), and records (appropriateness and sufficiency). Based on these analyses, archival reference service policy directions are proposed to strengthen the two different archival roles as "arsenal of rights protection" and "academic information provider."

Design of a Smart Attitude Control Algorithm based on the Fuzzy Logic (퍼지 로직 기반 스마트 자세제어 알고리즘의 설계)

  • Oh, Sun Jin
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.257-262
    • /
    • 2019
  • Recently, with a great deal of attention and utilization to the UAV like a drone, many application cases using UAV in various fields have been proliferated rapidly. These UAV, however, has many risks like balance deviation and drone crash due to the external environmental factors. The attitude control algorithm for UAV is the most important portion in order to maintain the safe management of UAV, and the best solution is PID control algorithm which is generously used and almost perfect attitude control technology nowadays. In this paper, we propose the smart attitude control algorithm using fuzzy logic in order to provide safe and continuous attitude control against external environmental factors, and compare the performance through simulation study between PID and our algorithm.

Incidence and Risk Factors of Recurrent Urinary Tract Infections during Antibiotic Prophylaxis in Children with Primary Vesicoureteral Reflux (일차성 방광요관역류 소아에서 항생제 예방요법 중에 발생한 재발성 요로감염의 빈도와 위험인자)

  • Cho Su-Jin;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Lee Jeong-Won;Lee Seung-Joo
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.46-55
    • /
    • 2005
  • Purpose : Recurrent urinary tract Infection(UTI) in primary vesicoureteral reflux(VUR) may lead to serious renal scarring, a major cause of childhood hypertension and end-stage renal disease. To prevent recurrent UTI, low-dose long--term antibiotic prophylaxis has been recommended. However, recurrent UTI still develops during antibiotic prophylaxis, the efficacy of which is now being disputed. The emergence of resistant bacteria has also raised concerns. To evaluate the effect of antibiotic prophylaxis, we investigated recurrent UTI during prophylactic antibiotic use in children with primary VUR Materials : The incidence and risk factors of recurrent UTI were retrospectively evaluated in ninety-one children with primary VUR on trimethoprim- sulfamethoxazole(TMP/SMX) prophylafis during the year following their index febri]e UTI. Results : Recurrent UTI occurred in 31.9%(29/91) children and comprised 0.32 episodes/patient year. Febrile UTI was 0.26 episode/patient year and afebrile UTI was 0.07 episodes/patient year. The recurrent rate of UTI in male patients with phimosis was 37.2%(19/51), which was significantly higher than in males without phimosis 0%(0/5)(P=0.025). In the logistic regression analysis for recurrent UTI, renal scar was the significant risk factor for recurrent UTI [RR 3.8(95% CI 1.0-14.1) P=0.04]. For other well-known risk factors such as sex, age, degree of VUR, APN, and voiding dysfunction, the differences were not significant. Conclusion : TMP/SMX prophylaxis did not prevent recurrent UTI in children with primary VUR. Phimosis and renal scars were the risk factors for recurrent UTI but the grade of primary VUR was not. In VUR without phlmosis and renal scar, a randomized controlled study without antibiotic prophylaxis is required. (J Korean Soc Pediatr Nephrol 2005;9:46-55)

  • PDF

A Study on Hepatitis Infection Risk of Funeral director related to wearing PPE(Personal Protect Equipment) (한국 장례종사자의 개인보호물품 착용에 따른 A형 간염, B형 간염 위험도 및 로지스틱 분석)

  • Hwang, Kyu-Sung;Kim, Jeong-Lae
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.15-20
    • /
    • 2017
  • We are investigated about the Hepatitis infection risk of the funeral director related to wearing PPE(Personal Protect Equipment) within Metropolitan, Chungcheong and Gyeongsang regions in Korea. We are classified that the vaccinated group was classified as low risk group and the non-vaccinated group was classified as high risk group. And we are analyzed the risk rate of infection based on whether or not to wear PPE(personal protective equipment) among high-risk groups. The result is as follows. The mask wearing rate of high-risk group about HAV(hepatitis A virus) is three times lower than that of low-risk group. The surgical glove wearing rate of high-risk group about HBV(hepatitis B virus) is twice lower than that of low-risk group. The surgical glove and mask not wearing rate among the high-risk group observe that potential infection risk was high 4.23 times and 3.5 times, respectively. We are concluded that increasing the risk of potential infection risks from the funeral director could result in increased risk of infection to national public health, including the bereaved family. We are suggested that the funeral director must be bound to vaccinate against hepatitis and make PPE mandatory. It is deemed necessary for the government to develop policies to promote personal health and national health care.

A Study on the Change of Hire Payment Method to Reduce the FFA Basis Risk (FFA 베이시스위험 축소를 위한 용선료 지급기준 변경의 타당성 검토)

  • Lee, Seung-Cheol;Yun, Heesung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.46 no.4
    • /
    • pp.359-366
    • /
    • 2022
  • While the Forward Freight Agreement (FFA) has emerged as an effective hedging tool since early 1990, the basis risk and cash flow distortions have been addressed as obstacles to the active use of FFAs. This research analyses the basis risk of FFAs and provides a feasible suggestion to reduce it. Basis risk is divided into timing basis, route basis, size basis, and low liquidity basis. The timing basis is defined as the difference between the physical hire, fixed on the specific contract date and the FFA settlement price, calculated by averaging spot rates for a certain period. Timing basis is considered the worst in eroding the effectiveness of FFAs. This paper suggests a change of hire payment criterion from contract date to 15-day moving average, as a means of mitigating the basis risk, and analyzed the effectiveness through historical simulation. The result revealed that the change is effective in mitigating the timing basis. This study delivers a meaningful implication to shipping practice in that the change of hire payment criterion mitigates the basis risk and eventually activates the use of FFAs in the future.

The Effects of Adolescent's Relationships with Parents and School/institute Teachers as Protection Factors for Game Addiction: Comparative Analysis of Elementary, Middle, and High School Levels (청소년 게임중독의 보호요인으로서 청소년과 부모 및 학교·학원 교사와의 관계의 영향: 초·중·고 학교급별 비교분석)

  • Song, Indeok
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.20 no.8
    • /
    • pp.298-314
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study was conducted for the purpose of empirically analyzing the effects of the adolescents' relationships with major adults as the protection factors for their game addiction. Specifically, the discriminatory effects of adolescents' relationships with their parents, school teacher, and educational institute teachers on game addiction among elementary, middle, and high school students were compared. Analyzing the data from "2019 Korean Children and Youth Happiness Index" (N=7,454), it was found that adult relationships are significant factors explaining the level of game addiction even after controlling the influence of adolescents' demographic and social characteristics, game use behavior, and friend relationship factors. In the case of elementary school students, the relationship with their mothers reduces the risk of game addiction, while for middle and high school students, the relationship with fathers acts as a protection factor for game addiction. Meanwhile, the protection effects of the relationship between teenagers and school teachers on game addiction was found only in middle school students, and contrary to expectations, the relationship with the educational institute teacher did not have a significant impact on the game addiction of teenagers. Based on the above major research results, this study discussed on the development of programs and policies for the prevention and intervention of youth game addiction and provided suggestions for the follow-up research in the future.

A Study on the Factors Affecting the Intention to use public Institution staff's Cloud Computing Service (공공기관 조직구성원의 클라우드 컴퓨팅 서비스 이용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hyukra;Kim, SeonMyung
    • Informatization Policy
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.49-66
    • /
    • 2014
  • In the last few years, cloud computing has grown from being a promising business concept to one of the fast growing segments of the IT industry. However, as more and more information on individuals and companies are placed in the cloud, concerns on just how safe the computing environment is have gradually increased. In this study, it will be explored if key characteristics of cloud computing services would affect the behavioral intention to use public cloud computing services. A conceptual model is developed and seven research hypotheses are proposed for empirical testing. The proposed model is examined through structural equation analysis. The results show that perceived risk has statistically significant effect on the privacy concern of users and the privacy concern has a negative influence on the trust. Finally, the trust has a positive effect on the attitude and the attitude has statistically significant effect on use intention. Implications of these findings are discussed for both researchers and practitioners and future research issues are raised as well.

A Study on the Analysis of Present Navigation Method at the Ulsan waterways from the viewpoint of Pilot (도선사의 관점에서 본 울산항 도선구의 통항 현황 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kei-Yel;Lee, Dong-Sup;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.35 no.6
    • /
    • pp.469-475
    • /
    • 2011
  • Ulsan pilotage is one of the most busy pilots boarding among the korean pilotages. The route layout of ulsan port is simple but the complex degree of marine traffic flow is high because there are many navigating ships from/to piers and anchorages nearby route. So, this paper is surveyed and analysised the navigating dangerous factors as to navigation danger elements in/near the route, the proper distance between piers at the ulsan waterways. And this research assures the same place where shiphandling bunder is occurred to compare the danger sense of pilot with environment stress to represented the mariner's shiphandling stress quantitatively at the ulsan route.