• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험원도출 및 분석

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On the Safety Analysis of High Speed Railway Systems using the Hazard and Operability (HAZOP) technique (HAZOP을 이용한 고속철도시스템의 위험원 식별 및 안전성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Ho-Jeon;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2012.11a
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2012
  • 오늘날 기술의 발전으로 시스템들은 점차 대형화 복잡화 되어가고 있다. 이처럼 점차 대형화 복잡화 되어가고 있는 시스템들은 더욱 커진 사고 및 고장에 대한 위험을 내재하게 된다. 또한 대형 복합 시스템에서 발생하는 사고 및 고장은 바로 큰 재산피해나 인명피해와 직결 될 수 있다. 따라서 체계적인 안전관리의 필요성이 점차 커지고 있다. 이에 대응하여 철도, 항공, 해양 등의 산업에서는 각 산업에 적합한 안전관리체계를 수립하려 노력하고 있으며, 표준 및 매뉴얼을 제정하여 보급에 앞장서고 있다. 예로써 가장 활발히 안전관리체계의 도입을 추구하고 있는 항공 분야에서는 국제민강항공기구와 미 연방항공청의 주도로 안전관리체계에 대한 가이드와 매뉴얼을 만들어 각국의 사정에 맞는 안전관리체계를 도입할 수 있는 바탕을 제공 하고 있다. 이처럼 점차 중요해지고 있는 안전관리체계내에서도 위험원 식별 및 분석활동은 그 중요성이 크다. 이를 통해 도출되는 위험원 및 위험원의 영향 및 원인이 시스템 개발 및 운용에서 수행하게 될 안전관리활동의 바탕이 되기 때문이다. 따라서 위험원 식별 및 분석활동에 적용하기 위한 여러 기법에 대한 연구가 활발히 이뤄지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 여러 가지 위험원 식별 기법 중 HAZOP을 이용하여 고속철도시스템의 위험원 식별 및 분석을 수행 했다. 또한 HAZOP의 수행 및 위험원 식별 활동의 프로세스 모델을 제시함으로써 실질적인 위험원 식별 활동의 수행에 도움이 될 것으로 기대한다.

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Estimating the Value of Statistical Life by Analysing Disease Protective Behavior: Focusing on Medical Examination of Cancer (질병예방행위 분석을 통한 확률적 인간생명가치 추정: 암 검진 행위 분석을 중심으로)

  • Shin, YoungChul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.845-873
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    • 2008
  • This study estimates the VSL(value of a statistical life) as well as the WTP(willingness to pay) for mortality risk reduction using sample selection model with data on liver cancer examination which is associated with little possibility of multi-purpose(i.e. joint production) in averting behavior. The marginal benefits of mortality risk reduction are estimated by applying for household production function model with medical expense and the time required for medical examination of liver cancer. Individuals are more likely to take liver cancer test if they are male, older, higher educated, those with spouse, smoker, more income of household, and more anxious about their health. The costs of liver cancer examination are statistically significantly affected with expected signs by size of mortality risk reduction, sex, period of eduction, those with spouse, and household income. The marginal effect of mortality risk reduction owing to taking liver cancer examination is estimated at 321,097 won. The costs of liver cancer examination are increased by 905 won with more one year of education period and by 1,743 won with more one million won in household income. On liver cancer examination, male spends more 12,310 won than female and those with spouse pay more 7,969 won than those without spouse. Therefore the VSL from mortality risk reduction due to liver cancer examination is 321.10 million won at mean size of mortality risk reduction and mean cost of liver cancer examination. The results of sensitivity tests on costs and effects of liver cancer test shows that the VSLs are estimated in a range from 160.55 million won to 642.19 million won.

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A Framework for Identifying and Analyzing IT Project Risk Factors (IT프로젝트 위험 요인 식별 및 분석 프레임워크 연구)

  • Jangho Choi;Chanhee Kwak;Heeseok Lee
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.87-110
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    • 2017
  • Analyzing and finding the risk factors in information technology (IT) projects have been discussed because risk management is an important issue in IT project management. This study obtained the risk factor checklists with priorities, analyzed the causal relationship of risk factors, and determined their influences on IT project management. However, only few studies systematically classified IT project risk factors in terms of risk exposure. These studies considered both the probability of occurrence and the degree of risk simultaneously. The present study determined 53 IT project risk factors on the basis of literature and expert group discussions. Additionally, this study presented clustering analysis based on the data of 140 project managers. The IT project risk factor classification framework was divided into four areas (HIHF, HILF, LIHF, and LILF). The present results can be used to help IT project managers establish effective risk management strategies and reduce IT project failures. This study also provides academic implication because it considers both the probability of occurrence and the degree of influence of risk factors.

A Case Study on the Risk Impact and Loss Cost of Temporary Aircraft Runway Construction (임시 활주로 건설공사의 위험영향 및 손실비용 사례분석)

  • Kang, Hyunwook;Lee, Wonbae;Kim, Minjung;Kim, Yongsu
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to derive the risk factors that occurred during the construction of the temporary aircraft runway and to analyse the risk costs and loss costs. For this purpose, actual construction data made during the construction of the aircraft runway were investigated. And the risk factors that occurred during the construction work were derived. So the increased construction costs and loss costs due to risk factors were analyzed. The results of this study are as follows: 1)The number of risk factors that occurred during the construction of the aircraft runway was derived from eight. 2)It was calculated that the total risk cost of 5.2million won, the risk cost of the owner's should be 243 million won and the cost of the contractor should be 277million won. 3)Owner's was up 2.36% from its planned budget and the contractor lost -277million won out of its planned profit of 443million won, resulting in a residual profit of 165million won. The results of the study are used as a reference for estimating risk factors and contingency that should be considered in aircraft runway construction.

A study on deriving safety management guidelines through statistical analysis of accident data in university labs (대학 연구실 사고데이터의 통계분석을 통한 안전관리 가이드라인 도출에 대한 연구)

  • Seo, Jaeshin;Kang, Juhyuk;Yoon, Younggeun;Oh, Taekeun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2022
  • Safety accidents in university laboratories are constantly occurring due to various chemical, physical, and biohazard risk factors. In this study, the trend of accident occurrence and correlations between factors were derived through statistical and cross-analysis of 192 accident cases in university labs between 2016 and 2020. Directions and strategies were prepared from the correlations of major factors, and guidelines for improvement of the laboratory safety management system were suggested by comparing and analyzing existing policy directions for laboratory accidents.

A study on a Prediction of Dangerous Failure Rate in the Embedded System for the Track Side Functional Module (TFM에 대한 내장형제어기의 위험측고장률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • SHIN Ducko;LEE Jae-Hoon;LEE Key-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.170-175
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    • 2005
  • This study presents a prediction of a failure rate in a safety required system that consists of a embedded control system, requiring a satisfaction of a quantitative safety requirement. International Standards are employed to achieve a regular procedures in the whole life cycle of a system, for the purpose of a prediction and a evaluation of a fault that might be able to be happened in a system. This International Standards uses SIL (Safety Integrity Level) to evaluate a safety level of a system. SIL is divided into 4 levels, from level 1 to level 4, and each level has functional failure rate and dangerous failure rate of a system. In this paper we describe the conventional method to predict the dangerous failure rate and propose a method using hazard analysis to predict the dangerous failure rate. The conventional method and the technique using hazard analysis to predict the dangerous failure rate are made a comparison through the control modules of the interlocking system in KTX. The proposed method verify better effectiveness for the prediction of the dangerous failure rate than that of the conventional method.

On the Development of Safety Requirements Based on Functional Analysis of LRT Stations in Concept Development Stage (경전철 역사 개념설계 단계에서 기능분석 결과를 활용한 안전요구사항의 생성방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joo-Uk;Jung, Ho-Jeon;Park, Kee-Jun;Kim, Joorak;Han, Seok Youn;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.382-391
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    • 2016
  • For safety-critical systems including railways, there has been a growing need for effective and systematic safety management processes. The outcomes of efforts in this area are international safety standards, such as IEC 61508, 62278, and ISO 26262. One of the principal activities in the safety process is hazard analysis. For this reason, considerable efforts have been directed toward methods of hazard analysis. On the other hand, the hazard analysis methods reported thus far appear to be unclear in terms of their relationship with the system design process. In addition, in some cases, the methods appear to rely heavily on information regarding the hardware and software components, the number of which is increasing. These aspects can become troublesome when design changes are necessary. To improve the situation, in this paper, hazard analysis was carried out using the result of functional analysis early in the concept development stage for a safety-critical system design. Because hazard analysis is carried out at the system level and the result is then used to develop the safety requirements, improvements can be expected in terms of the development time and cost when design changes are required due to changes in the requirements. As a case study, the generation of safety requirements for the development of light rail transit stations is presented.

A Study of the Standard Structure for the Social Disaster and Safety Incidents Data (사회재난 및 안전사고 데이터 분석을 위한 표준 구조 연구)

  • Lee, Chang Yeol;Kim, Taehwan
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.817-828
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: In this paper, we propose a common dataset structure which includes the incidents investigation information and features data for machine learning. Most of the data is from the incidents reports of the governmental part and restricts on the social disaster and safety areas. Method: Firstly, we extract basic incidents data from the several incident investigation reports. The data includes the cause, damage, date, classification of the incidents and additionally considers the feature data for the machine learning. All data is represented by XML standard notation. Result: We defined the standard XML schema and the example for the incidents investigation information. Conclusion: We defined the common incidents dataset structure for the machine learning. It may play roles of the common infrastructure for the disaster and safety applications areas

Stability Analysis of Revetments in Meandering Channel using Two-Dimensional Numerical Model (2차원 수치모형을 이용한 만곡부 호안의 안정성 분석)

  • Chun, Myeong-Ho;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Yoon, Kwang-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.606-606
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    • 2012
  • 최근 지구 환경변화에 따른 기후변화의 영향으로 이상홍수 발생의 위험성이 증가하고, 상습적으로 홍수피해가 반복되고 있다. 홍수피해의 원인 중 하나인 하천제방의 붕괴는 월류, 침식, 제체불안정, 구조물에 의한 파괴 등으로 구분되고 이 중 월류 및 침식은 제방 파괴의 주된 원인으로 최근 통계자료에 보고되고 있다. 제방붕괴의 주된 원인 중 하나인 침식파괴로부터 제방을 보호하기 위해 제내지 사면에 호안공을 설치하며, 하천설계기준 해설(2009)에서는 제방 또는 하안을 유수에 의한 파괴와 침식으로부터 직접 보호하기 위해 제방 앞비탈에 설치하는 구조물로 정의하고 있다. 특히 사행하천의 만곡부에서는 제방파괴의 위험성이 높을 뿐만 아니라 국부적으로 집중되는 유속분포는 제방의 안정성을 위협한다. 또한 원심력, 2차류(secondary flow) 등에 의한 수위상승 등에 의해 제방이 파괴되고 월류되어 홍수피해가 발생할 가능성이 큰 취약지점이라고 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 2차원 수치모형을 이용하여 만곡부 흐름 특성을 분석하고 수리실험을 통해 측정된 유속 및 수위분포 결과와 비교하여 분석하였다. 또한 수리실험에서 도출된 호안 붕괴 시의 흐름을 구현하여 호안 붕괴 시 국부유속 및 전단응력을 계산하고 만곡부 호안의 안정성을 위한 설계인자를 분석하였다. 연구결과로 제시된 만곡부 안정성을 위한 설계인자는 국외 호안공 설계식과 비교하여 국부유속 및 전단응력의 설계인자의 적합성을 검토하고 국내 만곡부 호안의 안정성 설계기법개발에 도움이 될 수 있는 설계인자를 제시하고자 한다.

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재결서 키워드 분석을 통한 해양사고 위험요인 식별 연구

  • 임광현;백연지;최충정;양지민;고우리;노유나
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.148-149
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    • 2023
  • 우리나라에서는 매년 2천여 건 이상의 해양사고가 발생하고 있으며, 정부는 해양사고의 발생 현황 및 원인분석을 통해 사고 저감을 위한 정책을 수립하고 있다. 중앙해양안전심판원에서는 '해양사고심판법'에 따라 해양사고의 원인을 조사하여 이를 재결서의 형태로 공개하고 있다. 이번 연구에서는 재결서의 원인판단 주제어를 기반으로 텍스트 마이닝을 수행하여 사고 종류별 해양사고 위험요인을 식별하였다. 도출된 키워드는 해양사고의 발생 원인과 밀접한 관계가 있는 키워드로 볼 수 있으므로, 해양사고의 원인분석 및 사고 예방대책 수립에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 전망된다.

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