• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험대응

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밀도 기반 공간 군집체계를 반영한 해양사고 위험 예측 모델 개발에 관한 연구

  • 양지민;최충정;백연지;임광현;노유나
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.146-147
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    • 2023
  • 해양사고는 도로교통과 달리 지속적으로 증가하고 있으며, 인명피해가 주로 발생하는 주요 사고의 치사율은 도로교통의 11.7배 이상이다. 해양사고는 외부 환경에 따라 사고 위치가 변하고 즉각적인 조치가 어려워 타 교통에 비해 대형 사고로 이어질 가능성이 매우 크다. 그러나 여전히 사고가 발생하고 난 후 대응하는 등 사후적 관리 단계에 무르고 있어 사고의 주요 요인을 사전에 식별·관리하는 선제적 관리단계로의 전환 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 해양사고 발생 지점 밀도 기반의 가변 공간 군집체계를 반영한 해양사고 예측모델을 개발하였다. 반복적인 공간 가산분석을 통해 밀도가 높을수록 작은 규모의 격자 체계를 가질 수 있도록 상세한 공간 군집체계를 구성하였으며, 단순 사고 위험도 예측뿐만 아닌 사고 인과관계를 설명할 수 있는 BN(Bayesian Network) 기반의 모형을 사용하여 해양사고 위험예측 모델을 개발하였다. 또한, Cost-of-Omission을 통해 해양사고 예측확률의 변화와 각 변수들의 영향력을 확인하였으며, 월별 해양사고예측 결과를 GIS를 활용하여 2D/3D 기반으로 시각화하였다.

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Security Problems in Aircraft Digital Network System and Cybersecurity Strategies (항공기 디지털 네트워크 시스템 보안 문제점과 사이버 대응 전략)

  • Lim, In-Kyu;Kang, Ja-Young
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.633-637
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    • 2017
  • Cyber attacks on aircraft and aeronautical networks are not much different from cyber attacks commonly found in the ground industry. Air traffic management infrastructure is being transformed into a digital infrastructure to secure air traffic. A wide variety of communication environments, information and communications, navigation, surveillance and inflight entertainment systems are increasingly threatening the threat posed by cyber terrorism threats. The emergence of unmanned aircraft systems also poses an uncontrollable risk with cyber terrorism. We have analyzed cyber security standards and response strategies in developed countries by recognizing the vulnerability of cyber threats to aircraft systems and aviation infrastructure in next generation data network systems. We discussed comprehensive measures for cybersecurity policies to consider in the domestic aviation environment, and discussed the concept of security environment and quick response strategies.

A study on The Private Investigator usage for Enterprise Security Activity: Focusing on countermeasure to the Industrial Spy (민간조사원(탐정)을 활용한 기업보안활동의 강화방안: 산업 스파이에 대한 대응방안을 중심으로)

  • Sin, Sung-Gyun;Park, Sang-Jin
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.20
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    • pp.199-228
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    • 2009
  • National security of post cold-war since 1990's shift that conception of the national security transfer traditional military strength to economic strength. Accordingly, the national interest about how to protect the of the high-technology industry enterprises has become contentious social issue. The U.S. and advanced countries promote the policy to protect The United State's Economic Espionage Act(EEA). The Korea reaching to high level a field at IT, Shipbuilding, Steel, Automobile Industry and huge capital investment to high-technology & development. But, systematic industry security activity not an unfold. So private investigator collect the evidence and information of business case for prevent danger is efficient. The private investigator system, deal with the matter efficiently, will good system to prevent economic loss of business, state and nation through make a good use in business crime that machinery of law difficult to intervene. This article countermeasure about industry spy through make a good use of private investigator.

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Development of Hedging Rule for Drought Management Policy Reflecting Risk Performance Criteria of Single Reservoir System (단일 저수지의 위험도 평가기준을 고려한 가뭄대비 Hedging Rule 개발)

  • Park, Myeong-Gi;Kim, Jae-Han;Jeong, Gwan-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.501-510
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    • 2002
  • During drought or impending drought period, the reservoir operation method is required to incorporate demand-management policy rule. The objective of this study is focused to the development of demand reduction rule by incorporating hedging-effect for a single reservoir system. To improve the performance measure of the objective function and constraints, we could incorporate three risk performance criteria proposed by Hashimoto et al. (1982) by mixed-integer programming and also incorporate successive linear programming to overcome nonlinear hedging term from the previous study(Shih et al., 1994). To verify this model, this hedging rule was applied to the Daechung multi-purpose dam. As a result, we could evaluate optimal hedging parameters and monthly trigger volumes.

School Closures during Coronavirus Disease 2019 Outbreak (코로나바이러스감염증-19 유행과 교육기관 등교 정상화)

  • Cho, Eun Young;Choe, Young June
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2021
  • School closures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have been outlined in studies from different disciplines, including economics, sociology, mathematical modeling, epidemiology, and public health. In this review, we discuss the implications of school closures in the context of the current COVID-19 pandemic. Modeling studies of the effects of school closures, largely derived from the pandemic influenza model, on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 produced conflicting results. Earlier studies assessed the risk of school reopening by modeling transmission across schools and communities; however, it remains unclear whether the risk is due to increased transmission in adults or children. The empirical findings of the impact of school closures on COVID-19 outbreaks suggest no clear effect, likely because of heterogeneity in community infection pressure, differences in school closure strategies, or the use of multiple interventions. The benefits of school closings are unclear and not readily quantifiable; however, they must be weighed against the potential high social costs, which can also negatively affect the health of this generation.

Taxonomy and Countermeasures for Generative Artificial Intelligence Crime Threats (생성형 인공지능 관련 범죄 위협 분류 및 대응 방안)

  • Woobeen Park;Minsoo Kim;Yunji Park;Hyejin Ryu;Doowon Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.301-321
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    • 2024
  • Generative artificial intelligence is currently developing rapidly and expanding industrially. The development of generative AI is expected to improve productivity in most industries. However, there is a probability for exploitation of generative AI, and cases that actually lead to crime are emerging. Compared to the fast-growing AI, there is no legislation to regulate the generative AI. In the case of Korea, the crimes and risks related to generative AI has not been clearly classified for legislation. In addition, research on the responsibility for illegal data learned by generative AI or the illegality of the generated data is insufficient in existing research. Therefore, this study attempted to classify crimes related to generative AI for domestic legislation into generative AI for target crimes, generative AI for tool crimes, and other crimes based on ECRM. Furthermore, it suggests technical countermeasures against crime and risk and measures to improve the legal system. This study is significant in that it provides realistic methods by presenting technical countermeasures based on the development stage of AI.

VaR Estimation of Multivariate Distribution Using Copula Functions (Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량분포의 VaR 추정)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Lee, Jae-Hyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2011
  • Most nancial preference methods for market risk management are to estimate VaR. In many real cases, it happens to obtain the VaRs of the univariate as well as multivariate distributions based on multivariate data. Copula functions are used to explore the dependence of non-normal random variables and generate the corresponding multivariate distribution functions in this work. We estimate Archimedian Copula functions including Clayton Copula, Gumbel Copula, Frank Copula that are tted to the multivariate earning rate distribution, and then obtain their VaRs. With these Copula functions, we estimate the VaRs of both a certain integrated industry and individual industries. The parameters of three kinds of Copula functions are estimated for an illustrated stock data of two Korean industries to obtain the VaR of the bivariate distribution and those of the corresponding univariate distributions. These VaRs are compared with those obtained from other methods to discuss the accuracy of the estimations.

Effects of Service Quality and Privacy Risk on Customer Satisfaction and Continuous Use Intention in Convenience Store Parcel Delivery Service: Moderating Role of Contactless Tendency

  • Na-Eun Jung;Hyung-Seok Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.9
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    • pp.255-268
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of service quality and privacy risk on customer satisfaction and continuous use intention for convenience store parcel delivery service, and verify the moderating effect of contactless tendency. This study employed PLS-path modeling to test the research hypotheses. The results of the study were as follows: 1) service quality factors of convenience store parcel delivery (i.e., service price, reliability, and convenience) had significant effects on customer satisfaction. However, responsiveness had no significant effect on customer satisfaction; 2) privacy risk had a significant effect on both customer satisfaction and continuous use intention; 3) customer satisfaction had a significant effect on continuous use intention; and 4) contactless tendency moderated the relationship between responsiveness and satisfaction. The findings of the study are expected to provide valuable insights for future research and the development of practical service strategies.

The Study on Local Government's Disaster Safety Governance using Big Data (빅데이터를 활용한 지방정부 재난안전 거버넌스 -서울시를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Young-mi
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.61-67
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    • 2017
  • In order to establish and operate a rapid and effective disaster safety management system in an emergency situation that threatens the safety of citizens, such as disaster, accident or terrorism, appropriate responses are necessary. An integrated task execution system for rapid response and restoration should be implemented not only by the central ministries related to disaster management and response, but also by local governments, NGO, and individuals, under clear role sharing. In the case of Seoul city, it is urgent to establish an effective disaster management system for preventing and responding to disasters, because of the increasing possibility of natural disasters due to climate change, the threat of terrorism, urban decay and the industrial accidents. From the perspective of governance, this study tried to seek out countermeasures such as disaster response system and command system at disaster site centering on Seoul city government interdepartmental organization system, implementation process and systematization of response procedures.

A Study on the Risk Assessment for Strengthening Management Safety of Hydrogen Fueling Station (수소충전소의 경영안전성 강화를 위한 위험성평가 추가 항목 연구)

  • Lee, Jang Won;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.520-531
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Based on the risk evaluation of hydrogen fueling stations, this study aims to find a plan to strengthen management safety by examining profitability and management risk, which are major concerns of employers. Method: The risk evaluation was divided into 'acceptable risk' and 'allowable risk' over time from the stage of installation of hydrogen fueling stations, and compared and analyzed with the results of existing studies. Result: Existing studies have been appropriately applied to the risk assessment performed at the stage of installing hydrogen fueling stations. However, possible risks could be found at the operational stage. In other words, it was derived that an evaluation of management risk was also necessary. And through this, it was confirmed that the safety of hydrogen fueling stations was strengthened. Conclusion: The risk assessment that precedes the stage of installing hydrogen fueling stations is appropriate because significant results have been derived from the 'acceptable risk' assessment. However, the operator needs to evaluate the risks that may occur at the operating stage, that is, the 'allowable risks' and prepare countermeasures. Therefore, it is proposed to add management risk assessment items to build and operate safer hydrogen fueling stations.