• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위치모수

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Sample size determination based on placements for non-inferiority trials (비열등성 시험에서 위치 방법에 기초한 표본 수 결정)

  • Kim, Jiyeon;Kim, Dongjae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1349-1357
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    • 2013
  • In clinical research, sample size determination is one of the most important things. There are parametric method using t-test and non-parametric method suggested by Kim and Kim (2007) based on Wilcoxon's rank sum test for determining sample size in non-inferiority trials. In this paper, we propose sample size calculation method based on placements method suggested by Orban and Wolfe (1982) and using the power calculated by Kim (1994) in non-inferiority trials. We also compare proposed sample size with that using Kim and Kim (2007)'s formula and that of t-test for parametric methods. As the result, sample size calculated by proposed method based on placements is the smallest. Therefore, proposed method based on placements is better than parametric methods in case that it's hard to assume specific distribution function for population and also more efficient in terms of time and cost than method based on Wilcoxon's rank sum test.

Asymptotic properties of monitoring procedure for parameter change in heteroscedastic time series models (이분산 시계열 모형에서 모수의 변화에 대한 모니터링 절차의 점근 성질)

  • Kim, Soo Taek;Oh, Hae June
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.467-482
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    • 2020
  • We investigate a monitoring procedure for the early detection of parameter changes in location-scale time series models. We introduce a detector for monitoring procedure based on modified residual cumulative sum (CUSUM). The asymptotic properties of the monitoring procedure are established under the null and alternative hypotheses. Simulation results and data analysis are also provided for illustration.

Jackknife parametric estimation in the two parameter exponential model with an identified outlier (하나의 확실한 이상점을 갖는 지수모형에서 모수에 대한 짹나이프 추정)

  • Jung Soo Woo;Chang Soo Lee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 1994
  • When a single identified outlier in a small sample is presented, the samll sample properties of the MLE's and its jackknife estimators of the location and scale parameters in an assumed exponential model will be considered by the method of permanent theory.

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Nonparametric Method in One-way Layout for Umbrella Alternatives based on Placement (일원배치법에서 Umbrella Alternatives에 대한 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Lee, Hyejung;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1181-1189
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    • 2015
  • The treatment effect in clinical tests depending on dose of the drug; however, it can show a decreasing trend in fixed dose level due to side effects. The trend is known as an umbrella pattern; in addition, the method for the umbrella alternative is quite useful when the tendency is predicted in advance. In this paper, we propose a nonparametric method of umbrella alternatives for a one-way layout by using linear placement described in Orban and Wolfe (1982). The Monte Carlo simulation is adapted to compare the power of proposed procedure with previous methods.

Nonparametric method in randomized block design for umbrella alternatives based on aligned method and placement (랜덤화 블록 계획법에서 우산형 대립가설에 대한 정렬방법과 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Kim, Jeonghyun;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1399-1409
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    • 2016
  • Nonparametric methods in randomized block design were suggested by Friedman (1937) for general alternatives and were also proposed by Page (1963) for ordered alternatives in one-way layout; in addition, K-sample rank tests for umbrella alternatives were suggested by Mack and Wolfe (1981). In this paper, we proposed a nonparametric method of umbrella alternatives for randomized block design using the aligned method proposed by Hodges and Lehmann (1962) to use block information and using placement suggested by Kim (1999). Monte Carlo simulation was also adapted to compare the power of the proposed procedure with previous methods.

Nonparametric multiple comparison method in one-way layout based on joint placement (일원배치모형에서 결합위치를 이용한 비모수 다중비교법)

  • Seok, Dahee;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.1027-1036
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    • 2017
  • Multiple comparisons are required to confirm whether or not something is significant if the null hypothesis to test whether the difference between more than three treatments is rejected in a one-way layout. There are both parametric multiple comparison method Tukey (1953) and Nonparametric multiple comparison method based on Kruskal-Wallis (1952).This procedure is applied to a mixed sample of all data and then an average ranking is used for each of three or more treatments. In this paper, a new nonparametric multiple comparison procedure based on joint placements for a one-way layout as extension of the joint placements described in Chung and Kim (2007) was proposed. Monte Carlo simulation is also adapted to compare the family wise error rate (FWE) and the power of the proposed method with previous methods.

Flood Frequency Analysis Considering Probability Distribution and Return Period under Non-stationary Condition (비정상성 확률분포 및 재현기간을 고려한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob;Kim, Hyeong Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.610-610
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    • 2015
  • 수공구조물의 설계에서는 홍수빈도분석을 통해 산정된 특정 재현기간에서의 확률수문량이 설계기준으로 사용된다. 그러나 최근 기후변화로 인해 이상기후 현상이 심해짐에 따라 수문기상자료의 정상성을 가정하는 기존의 홍수빈도분석은 변화되는 수문현상을 적절히 표현하지 못하는 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 확률분포의 모수가 시간에 따라 변화하는 비정상성 빈도분석기법을 적용하였으며 확률분포의 모수들을 최우추정법으로 추정하였다. 또한, 분위수 추정과정에서도 비정상성을 고려하여 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간 및 위험도와 비교분석하였다. 확률분포는 GEV 분포를 사용하여 정상성 및 비정상성 모형 4개를 구축하였다. 특히, 비정상성 모형은 위치모수만 선형 경향성을 가지는 경우, 규모모수만 선형경향성을 가지는 경우, 위치 및 규모모수가 선형경향성을 가지는 경우의 3가지로 구분하여 적용하였다. 구축된 4개의 모형 중 적합모형을 선정하기 위해 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 사용하였으며 적합모형선정 절차를 체계적으로 구축하고 적용하여 적합모형을 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 구축된 비정상성 홍수빈도분석 기법은 우리나라의 8개 다목적댐 (충주댐, 소양강댐, 안동댐, 임하댐, 합천댐, 대청댐, 섬진강댐, 주암댐)으로부터 취득된 과거 관측 댐 유입량을 대상으로 하여 적용되었다. 우도비 검정과 Akaike 정보기준을 이용한 적합 모형 선정 결과 합천댐과 섬진강댐이 비정상성 GEV 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었고, 나머지 지점의 다목적댐들은 정상성 모형에 적합한 것으로 분석되었다. 합천댐과 섬진강댐의 경우 비정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간이 정상성 가정에서 산정된 재현기간보다 매우 작게 산정되었으며 확률수문량과 위험도는 크게 산정되었다. 적합모형으로 정상성 모형이 선정된 6개의 다목적댐 중 소양강댐은 Mann-Kendall 비모수 경향성 검정 결과 유의하지는 않지만 비교적 큰 선형경향성을 가지고 있었다. 비록 비정상성 모형이 적합모형으로 선정되지는 않았지만 소양강댐에 비정상성 모형을 가정하여 재현기간과 확률수문량, 위험도를 분석한 결과 정상성 모형 가정에서 산정한 결과와 상당한 차이가 있었다. 이와 같은 결과는 수문자료의 정상성과 비정상성을 고려한 홍수빈도분석이 향후 수공구조물의 설계에 있어서 신뢰성 있는 확률수문량을 결정하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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A goodness - of - fit test for the exponential distribution with unknown parameters (모수가 미지인 상황에서의 지수분포성 적합도 검정방법)

  • 김부용
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.157-170
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    • 1991
  • This article is concerned with the goodness - of - fit test for exponentiality when both the scale and location parameters are unknown. A test procedure based on the $L_1$-norm of discrepancy between the cumulative distribution function and the empirical distribution function is proposed, and the critical values of the test statistic are obtained by Monte Carlo simulations. Also the null distributions of the proposed test statistic are presented for small sample sizes. The power of tests under certain alternative distributions is investigated to compare the proposed test statistic with the well-known EDF test statistics. Our Monte Carlo power studies reveal that the proposed test statistic has good power properties, for moderate-to-large sample sizes, in comparison to other statistics although it is a conservative test.

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STBL 모형의 모수추정 및 예측방법의 비교

  • Kim, Deok-Gi;Lee, Seong-Deok;Kim, Seong-Su;Lee, Chan-Hui;Lee, Geon-Myeong
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.129-142
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 공간시계열자료가 공간의 위치와 시간의 흐름에 따라 동시에 관측되는 분야인 기상, 지질, 천문, 생태, 역학 등에서 아주 넓이 사용되고 있고 그 수요가 점차 증가하는 이 시기에 복잡한 공간시계열 중선형(STBL) 모형에 대한 모수 추정 방법 중 수치 해석적 방법인 Newton-Raphson 방법과 Kalman-Filter 방법을 비교하고, 두 가지 방법에 의한 예측력을 비교하여 보았다.

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Nonparametric method using linear placement statistics in randomized block design with replications (반복이 있는 랜덤화 블록 계획법에서 선형위치통계량을 이용한 비모수 검정법)

  • Kim, Aran;Kim, Dongjae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.931-941
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    • 2017
  • Typical Nonparametric methods for randomized block design with replications are two methods proposed by Mack (1981) and Mack and Skillings (1980). This method is likely to cause information loss because it uses the average of repeated observations instead of each repeated observation in the processing of each block. In order to compensate for this, we proposed a test method using linear placement statistics, which is a score function applied to the joint placement method proposed by Chung and Kim (2007). Monte Carlo simulation study is adapted to compare the power with previous methods.