• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.303-303
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• 2018

안정적인 수자원 운용을 위해서는 정확한 유량예측 기술이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 유량예측 정확도의 개선을 위해 베이지안 추론(Bayesian inference) 기법과 앙상블 유량 예측(Ensemble Streamflow Prediction, ESP) 기법의 결합을 통한 새로운 유량예측 기법(Bayesian ESP)을 제안하였다. ESP를 통한 유량 예보 앙상블은 베이지안 추론의 사전정보로 활용되며, 관측 유량과 ESP 전망 결과의 선형관계를 통해 우도함수가 추정된다. 우도함수는 관측 유량이 존재하는 과거 기간에 대한 ESP를 수행한 후 예보 시점의 관측 유량(concurrent observed flow)과 선행 관측 유량(lagged observed flow)과의 다중선형회귀 모형을 통해 추정된다. 사전정보와 우도함수는 정규분포로 가정되며, 따라서 최종 유량예측인 사후정보 역시 정규분포함수로 산정되게 된다. Bayesian ESP은 ESP에서 발생하는 강우-유출모형 오차의 개선을 통해 수문예측의 정확도를 개선하게 되며 정규분포함수로 최종 결과가 산정되므로 확률예보 형태의 수문 전망도 가능하다. 본 기법을 전국 35개 댐 유역에 시범적용을 한 결과, 모든 유역에서 기존 ESP 기법 대비 수문예측 정확도의 개선을 가져왔으며, 우도함수 추정에 있어 선행 유량의 포함 여부가 수문 예측 정확도의 추가적인 개선을 가져왔다. 본 기법은 주간 예보부터 계절 예보까지 탄력적으로 구축이 가능하며 적용 결과 리드 타임이 길어질수록 예측 능력이 감소되었지만 전체 구간에 있어서 Bayesian ESP 기법이 가장 우수한 예측 정확도를 보여주었다.

• Journal of KIISE:Databases
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• v.31 no.5
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• pp.479-491
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• 2004

Location information of mobile objects is applied to vehicle tracking, digital battlefields, location based services, and telematics. Their location coordinates are periodically measured and stored in the application systems. The linear function is mainly used to estimate the location information that is not in the system at the query time point. However, a new method is needed to improve uncertainties of the location representation, because the location estimation by linear function induces the estimation error. This paper proposes an application method of the cubic spline interpolation in order to reduce deviation of the location estimation by linear function. First, we define location information of the mobile object moving on the two-dimensional space. Next, we apply the cubic spline interpolation to location estimation of the proposed data model and describe algorithm of the estimation operation. Finally, the precision of this estimation operation model is experimented. The experimentation comes out more accurate results than the method by linear function, although the proposed location estimation function uses the small amount of information. The proposed method has an advantage that drops the cost of data storage space and communication for the management of location information of the mobile objects.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.25 no.7
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• pp.604-614
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• 2004

Using three-components geomagnetic data from a permanent geomagnetic observatory in Icheon, we have computed the power spectrum of each geomagnetic component, amplitude, phase and estimation error of transfer function for each day in the 6 months period July 2002${\sim}$December 2002. The temporal variation of power spectrum have random appearances with repeating relative strong and weak magnitude, which is considered as solar activities. However, there is no clear long-term trend. In the case of amplitude, phase and error of transfer function, even though there are some random patterns over the periods of 1000 s and under 100 s, they seem to be comparatively stable without manifest temporal changes. Futhermore, we have estimated electrical field by assuming P$_{1}\;^{0}$ spherical harmonics and then calculated the approximated apparent resistivity for each day. As a result, the variations of resistivity depend on the temporal magnitude of spectral power in horizontal magnetic fields rather than hydrological changes in near surface.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.1-9
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• 2009

This paper presents stress distribution around a central crack tip in a tensile plate using phase-shifting photoelasticity and a power series stress function. Isochromatic data along the straight lines far from the crack tip were obtained by phase shifting photoelasticity and were used as input data of the hybrid experimental analysis. By using the complex-type power series stress equations, the photoelastic stress distribution fields in the vicinity of the crack and the mode I stress intensity factor were obtained. With the help of image processing software, accuracy and reliability was enhanced by twice multiplying and sharpening the measured isochromatics. Actual and reconstructed fringes were compared qualitatively. For quantitative comparison, percentage errors and standard deviations of the percentage errors were calculated for all measured input data by varying the number of terms in the stress function. The experimental results agreed with those predicted by finite element analysis and empirical equation within 2 percent error.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.29 no.2C
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• pp.213-221
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• 2004

A new method for design of two-channel finite-impulse response(FIR) quadrature mirror-image filter(QMF) banks with low reconstruction delay using weighting function is proposed. The weighting function used in this paper is calculated from the previous updated filter coefficients vector which is adjusted from iteration to iteration in the design of QMF banks. In this paper, passband and stopband edge frequency are used in design of QMF banks with low delay characteristic in time domain instead of specific frequency interval where the artifacts occur in conventional design method. The investigation of specific frequency interval where artifacts occur can not be required by using passband and stopband edge frequency. Some comparisons of performance are made with other existing design method to demonstrate the proposed method for QMF bank design. and it was observed that the proposed method using the weighted function and passband and stopband edge frequency improves the peak reconstruction error by 0.001 [dB], the peak-to-peak passband ripple by 0.003[dB], SNR with a white noise by 7[dB] and SNR with a step input by 32[dB], but with a reduction of the computational efficiency because of updating the weighting function over the conventional method in Ref [11].

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.11
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• pp.963-972
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• 2009

The objective of this study is to evaluate an application of stochastic continuous storage function model with ensemble Kalman filter technique. The case study is performed at the upstream basin of Jibo streamflow gauge including Andong and Imha dam. Test period is for the rainy season during 2006 and 2007. Long term runoff analysis is feasible in the case of using deterministic model. Ensemble members for input data and parameters are generated using Monte Carlo simulation for the purpose of applying ensemble Kalman filter technique. The cumulative absolute errors of stochastic model to the deterministic one are improved for the amount of 17.5 %, 18.3 % and more than 40.0 % for Andong dam, Imha dam and Jibo station, respectively. The results indicate that the stochastic model improves the accuracy of the simulated discharge considerably.

• Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.495-508
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• 2005

Moving objects are spatiotemporal data that change their location or shape continuously over time. Their location coordinates are periodically measured and stored i3l the application systems. The linear function is mainly used to estimate the location information that is not in the system at the query time point. However, a new method is needed to improve uncertainties of the location representation, because the location estimation by linear function induces the estimation error. This paper proposes an application method of the cubic spline interpolation in order to reduce deviation of the location estimation by linear function. First, we define location information of the moving object on the two-dimensional space. Next, we apply the cubic spline interpolation to location estimation of the proposed data model and describe algorithm of the estimation operation. Finally, the precision of this estimation operation model is experimented. The experimentation comes out more accurate results than the method by linear function.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.85-90
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• 2019

This paper related with the M-CMA adaptive equalization algorithm which is possible to improve the residual isi and robustness performance compare to the current MMA algorithm that is reduce the intersymbol interference occurs in channel when transmitting the QAM signal. The current MMA algorithm depend on the cost function and error function using fixed signal dispersion constant, but the M-CMA algorithm depend on the new proposed cost function and error function using multiple dispersion constant. By this, it is possible to having robustness of the CMA and simultaneous compensation of amplitude and phase of MMA. The computer simulation was performed in the same channel and noise environment for compare the proposed M-CMA and current MMA algorithm. The equalizer output signal constellation, residual isi, MD, MSE learning courves and SER, represents the robustness were used for performance index. As a result of simulation, the M-CMA has more superior to the MMA in robustness and other performance index.

• Industry Promotion Research
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.1-7
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• 2021

We investigated multi-layer perceptrons and supervised learning algorithms, and also examined how to model functional relationships between covariates and response variables using a package called neuralnet. The algorithm applied in this paper is characterized by continuous adjustment of the weights, which are parameters to minimize the error function based on the comparison between the actual and predicted values of the response variable. In the neuralnet package, the activation and error functions can be appropriately selected according to the given situation, and the remaining parameters can be set as default values. As a result of using the neuralnet package for the infertility data, we found that age has little influence on infertility among the four independent variables. In addition, the weight of the neural network takes various values from -751.6 to 7.25, and the intercepts of the first hidden layer are -92.6 and 7.25, and the weights for the covariates age, parity, induced, and spontaneous to the first hidden neuron are identified as 3.17, -5.20, -36.82, and -751.6.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.419-442
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• 2020

The majority of the natural gas demand in South Korea is mainly determined by the heating demand. Accordingly, there is a distinct seasonality in which the gas demand increases in winter and decreases in summer. Moreover, the degree of sensitiveness to temperature on gas demand has changed over time. This study firstly introduces changing temperature response function (TRF) to capture effects of changing seasonality. The temperature effect (TE), estimated by integrating temperature response function with daily temperature density, represents for the amount of gas demand change due to variation of temperature distribution. Also, this study presents an innovative way in forecasting daily temperature density by employing functional principal component analysis based on daily max/min temperature forecasts for the five big cities in Korea. The forecast errors of the temperature density and gas demand are decreased by 50% and 80% respectively if we use the proposed forecasted density rather than the average daily temperature density.