• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차 규명

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A Dynamic Analysis of Import Price of Roundwood (원목수입가격(原木輸入價格)의 동태적(動態的) 분석(分析))

  • Han, Sang-Yoel;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Cho, Jae-Hwan;Choi, Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.88 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1999
  • The dynamic relationships among import prices of roundwood are analyzed using the time series approach. A vector autoregression(VAR) model is estimated for six import prices(New Zealand, Chile, Russia, U.S.A., PNG, and Malaysia). Then Granger's causality test, variance decomposition analysis, and impulse response function analysis are also conducted. The major results are summarized as follows : (1) The prices of New Zealand and Russia are caused by only own lagged prices. (2) The prices of Chile and PNG are effected by New Zealand, the price of PNG is effected by New Zealand and Russia, and the price of U.S.A. is effected by those of Chile and PNG, respectively. (3) An exogenous shock in New Zealand will affect the prices of New Zealand, PNG, U.S.A., Chile, Russia. (4) An exogenous shock in Chile may also affect the prices of Chile, U.S.A., Russia.

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Identification of the Sectional Distribution of Sound Source in a Wide Duct (넓은 덕트 단면내의 음원 분포 규명)

  • Heo, Yong-Ho;Ih, Jeong-Guon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2014
  • If one identifies the detailed distribution of pressure and axial velocity at a source plane, the position and strength of major noise sources can be known, and the propagation characteristics in axial direction can be well understood to be used for the low noise design. Conventional techniques are usually limited in considering the constant source characteristics specified on the whole source surface; then, the source activity cannot be known in detail. In this work, a method to estimate the pressure and velocity field distribution on the source surface with high spatial resolution is studied. The matrix formulation including the evanescent modes is given, and the nearfield measurement method is proposed. Validation experiment is conducted on a wide duct system, at which a part of the source plane is excited by an acoustic driver in the absence of airflow. Increasing the number of evanescent modes, the prediction of pressure spectrum becomes further precise, and it has less than -25 dB error with 26 converged evanescent modes within the Helmholtz number range of interest. By using the converged modal amplitudes, the source parameter distribution is restored, and the position of the driver is clearly identified at kR = 1. By applying the regularization technique to the restored result, the unphysical minor peaks at the source plane can be effectively suppressed with the filtering of the over-estimated pure radial modes.

Estimation of Mass Size Distribution of Atmospheric Aerosols Using Real-Time Aerosol Measuring Instruments (실시간 에어로졸 측정장비를 이용한 대기 중 입자상 물질의 무게 농도 분포의 추정)

  • Ji, Jun-Ho;Bae, Gwi-Nam
    • Particle and aerosol research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2013
  • Real-time aerosol measuring instruments have been widely used for the measurement of atmospheric aerosol, diesel particulate matter, or material synthesis. A scanning mobility particle sizer (SMPS) measures the number size distribution of particles using electrical mobility detection technique. An aerodynamic particle sizer (APS) is used to determine the number concentration and the mean aerodynamic diameter of test particles. An electrical low-pressure impactor (ELPI) is a multi-stage impaction device to separate airborne particles into aerodynamic size classes using particle charging and electrical detection techniques. In this study, the performance of these instruments were evaluated to assess their ability to obtain mass concentrations from particle number concentration measurements made as a function of particle size. The effect of determination of particle density on the measurement of mass concentration was investigated for the three instruments.

Factor Analysis of Rambling Impediment of New Graduates and Entrants Between Occupations and Educations in Korea IT Labor Market -A central focus on recent unemployment of one factor findings in korea IT labor market (한국의 IT분야 신규 전문인력의 노동이동 저해 분석 - IT 신규 졸업자의 실업원인 규명을 위하여 -)

  • Jang, Chang-Won
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.131-164
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    • 2005
  • The central focus of this research paper is to explore the recent structural core empirical unemployment reason of IT new professional manpower who graduated in higher education level in Korea. The final goal of this issue is to estimate and analyze rambling impediment in IT manpower labor market between 26 detail occupations and between detail occupations and 3 educational levels of new graduates and entrants who entered in IT 6 occupational groups composing 26 particular occupations. This study uses the 2004 data published by the Ministry of ICT and relies upon both one-way analysis of variance and two-way analysis variance to tackle the issue. According to the ANOVA results, 2 main points were delineated In the one-way analysis of variance method. the total sum of squares (SST) is decomposed into two major components: within sum of squares (SSW) (6 detail occupations, 85%) and between sum of squares (SSG) (26 detail occupation, 15%) The other major finding is that total sum of squares (SST) is decomposed into three major components: between detail occupations (SSG) (19.3%), between educations (SSB) and errors (SSE) (56%) in IT SIW development design group.

Shear Wave Velocity Structure Beneath White Island Volcano, New Zealand, from Receiver Function Inversion and H-κ Stacking Methods (수신함수 역산 및 H-κ 중합법을 이용한 뉴질랜드 White Island 화산 하부의 S파 속도구조)

  • Park, Iseul;Kim, Ki Young
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2014
  • To estimate the shear-velocity ($v_s$) structure beneath the WIZ station on White Island in New Zealand, we applied receiver function (RF) inversion and H-${\kappa}$ stacking methods to 362 teleseismic events (Mw > 5.5) recorded during April 20, 2007 to September 6, 2013. Using 71 RFs with errors less than 20% after 200 iterative computations, we determined that the depth to Moho of $v_s$ = 4.35 km/s is $24{\pm}1km$ within a 15 km radius of the station. In an 1-d $v_s$ model derived by RF inversions, a 4-km thick low-velocity layer (LVL) at depths of 18 ~ 22 km was identified in the lower crust. This LVL, which is 0.15 km/s slower than the rocks above and below it, may indicate the presence of a deep magma reservoir. The H-${\kappa}$ stacking method yielded an estimate of the depth to the Moho of 24.5 km, which agrees well with the depth determined by RF inversions. The low $v_p/v_s$ ratio of 1.64 may be due to the presence of gas-filled rock or hot crystallizing magma.

Automatic Parameter Estimation of Hydrogeologic Field Test around Underground Storage Caverns by using Nonlinear Regression Model (비선형 회귀모형을 이용한 지하저장공동 주변 현장수리지질시험 매개변수의 자동 추정)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Cho, Won-Cheol;Kim, Nam-Won
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.359-369
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    • 2008
  • For the design and effective management of underground storage caverns, preliminary investigation on the hydrogeologic parameters around caverns and analysis on the groundwater flow must be carried out. The data collection is very imporatnat task for the hydrogeologic design so various hydraulic tests have been performed. When analyzing the injection/fall off test data, existing graphical method to estimate the parameters in Theis' equation is widely used. However this method has some sources of error when estimating parameters by means of human faults. Therefore the method of estimating parameters by means of statistical methods such as regression type is evaluated as a useful tool. In this study, nonlinear regression analysis for the Theis' equation is suggested and applied to the estimation of parameters for the real field interference data around underground storage caverns. Damping parameter which reduce the iteration numbers and inhance the convergence is also introduced.

A Sensitive Detection of Actinide Species in Solutions Using a Capillary Cell (모세관 셀을 이용한 수용액 내 악티나이드 화학종의 고감도 검출)

  • Cho, Hye-Ryun;Park, Kyuong-Kyun;Jung, Euo-Chang;Song, Kyu-Seok
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2009
  • Absorption spectra for a quantitative analysis of actinide elements such as U(VI) and Pu(V) were measured by using a liquid waveguide capillary cell (LWCC) which has an optical path length of 1.0 meter. In order to investigate radioactive elements, a LWCC is installed in a glove box and is coupled to a spectrophotometer with optical fibers. Limits of detection (LOD) for the system were determined as 0.74 and 0.35 M with molar absorption coefficients of 8.14${\pm}$0.07 (414 nm) and 17.00${\pm}$0.16 (569 nm) $M^{-1}cm^{-1}$ for U(VI) and Pu(V) ions, respectively. The measured LOD values are about 30 times more sensitive when compared to those achievable by using a conventional quartz cell with an optical path length of 1.0 cm. As an application with an enhanced sensitivity, a quantitative analysis for micromolar concentrations of Pu(V) has been performed to decrease the uncertainty in the formation constant of the Pu(VI)-OH complex.

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Development of Bond Strength Model for FRP Plates Using Back-Propagation Algorithm (역전파 학습 알고리즘을 이용한 콘크리트와 부착된 FRP 판의 부착강도 모델 개발)

  • Park, Do-Kyong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2006
  • In order to catch out such Bond Strength, the preceding researchers had ever examined the Bond Strength of FRP Plate through their experimentations by setting up of various fluent. However, since the experiment for research on such Bond Strength takes much of expenditure for equipment structure and time-consuming, also difficult to carry out, it is conducting limitedly. This Study purposes to develop the most suitable Artificial Neural Network Model by application of various Neural Network Model and Algorithm to the adhering experiment data of the preceding researchers. Output Layer of Artificial Neural Network Model, and Input Layer of Bond Strength were performed the learning by selection as the variable of the thickness, width, adhered length, the modulus of elasticity, tensile strength, and the compressive strength of concrete, tensile strength, width, respectively. The developed Artificial Neural Network Model has applied Back-Propagation, and its error was learnt to be converged within the range of 0.001. Besides, the process for generalization has dissolved the problem of Over-Fitting in the way of more generalized method by introduction of Bayesian Technique. The verification on the developed Model was executed by comparison with the resulted value of Bond Strength made by the other preceding researchers which was never been utilized to the learning as yet.

Identification of Be Levels Correlated with Intrinsic Defect in p-GaSb Grown by Molecular Beam Epitaxy

  • Kim, Jun-O;Lee, Sang-Jun;Kim, Chang-Su;No, Sam-Gyu;Choe, Jeong-U;Park, Dong-U;Kim, Jin-Su;Kim, Jong-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2010.02a
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    • pp.167-167
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    • 2010
  • 반도체는 도핑하지 않으면 대부분 n형을 나타내는 것에 반하여 GaSb는 p형을 보이는 반도체로서, 그 근원은 명확하게 규명되어 있지 않은 상태이다. GaSb의 p형 불순물인 Be은 Ga과 치환 ([$Be_{Ga}$])되므로, p형 전도의 근원으로 추정되는 잔존결함인 [$Ga_{Sb}$]와 그 복합체인 [$Ga_{Sb}-Sb_{Ga}$]와 높은 상관관계를 가질 것으로 예측된다. 본 연구에서는 Be을 도핑한 GaSb:Be 에피층을 MBE 방법으로 성장하여, PL 스펙트럼과 Hall 효과 분석을 통하여 p형 전도의 근원을 조사하였다. 도핑하지 않은 u-GaSb는 DA (deep acceptor)와 함께 A 준위를 나타낸 반면, p-GaSb:Be의 PL 스펙트럼은 Be 도핑농도가 증가함에 따라 FWHM가 줄어들면서 점차 높은 에너지 영역으로 변위하지만 농도가 가장 높은 시료에서는 PL의 FWHM가 증가하면서 에너지는 감소함이 관측되었는데, 이것은 A 피크와 Sb 관련 피크가 경쟁적으로 중첩되어 나타난 현상으로 분석된다. Hall 효과 결과는 유효 전하밀도의 증가에 따라 이동도는 감소하는 전형적인 의존성을 나타내었으며, u-GaSb의 Hall 이동도가 p-GaSb:Be의 값보다 작은 것은 u-GaSb에 잔존하는 DA에 의한 산란 때문으로 해석된다. Gaussian 형태로 분해하여 얻은 A ([$Ga_{Sb}$])와 DA ([$Ga_{Sb}-Sb_{Ga}$]) 및 Be 관련 피크로부터 특정 도핑농도 ($1.2{\times}10^{17}cm^{-3}$)의 시료를 제외한 모든 p-GaSb:Be에는 A 피크가 중첩되고 A와 Be 준위 중간에 Be과의 복합체인 중간상태(intermediate state)인 [$Be^*$]가 존재함이 관측되었는데, 특정 도핑농도에서는 [$Be_{Ga}$]이 우세하지만 더 이상 농도가 증가하면 [$Be_{Ga}$] 준위의 강도는 오히려 감소함을 관측할 수 있었다. 이것은 적정 이상의 Be을 도핑할 경우, A ([$Be_{Ga}$])와 $Be^*([Be_{Ga}-Ga_Sb}])$가 형성 ($A[Ga_{Sb}]+Be{\rightarrow}Be^*[Be_{Ga}-Ga_{Sb}]+[Be_{Ga}]$)됨을 보여 주는 중요한 결과인 것으로 분석된다. A, [Be], [$Be^*$] PL 피크 에너지는 각각 779, 787, 794 meV (오차범위 ${\pm}3\;meV$)이고, [$Be_{Ga}$]의 활성화 에너지는 ($23{\pm}3\;meV$) (20 K)임을 밝혔다.

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A Case Study of GIS-Based Site Classification in the Gyeongsang Province Constrained by Geologic and Topographic Information (GIS기반의 지질·지형 자료를 활용한 경상도지역의 지반분류 사례)

  • Kang, Su-Young;Kim, Kwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.136-145
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    • 2009
  • Site characteristic is an important input parameter in the geologic hazard assessments including, but not limited to, earthquakes, liquefaction and landslides. Although it is a routine to use data collected by boreholes or seismic prospecting for site classifications, we used indirect methods using the geologic and the topographic maps. A site classification map in the Gyeongsang Province has been produced by GIS tools based on geologic age, rock types, and elevations from the geologic map and the topographic map of Korea. Site B (rock site) is dominant in the study area, although softer soils are observed along rivers and in reclaimed lands. We have found that 73% of the site classification results in the study are in concordance with those obtained from borehole data. Observed discrepancies are attributed to errors in the geologic and the topographic maps. For some sites, the origin of the differences is not clear, which requires a further field study or a drilling. Site classification from this study provides essential information for reliable hazard assessments of earthquakes, floods, landslides and liquefaction. Results obtained in the study also play a crucial role in land use planning for developing areas.

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