• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차한계

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Error Analysis of Trilateration Network by Confidence Ellipse (신뢰타원에 의한 삼변망의 오차해석)

  • 백은기;구재동
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 1995
  • Error analysis is important in horizontal positioning. In case of error analysis, standard error ellipse is generally used to establish the precision regions, but it will be replaced by 95% confidence ellipse. It is more effective than standard error ellipse in resection for measured procedures and establishment for criterias of relative error. Therefore, In this paper deals with analysis of application to 95% confidence ellipse in horizontal positioning. This study deals with error analysis of plane trilateration network which are various types of control point. also, this paper have studied for theory of error analysis in order to using least square adjustment. Thus, This paper's conclusion are as follows; 95% confidence ellipse could be used to establish of specification in korea, also, it is possible for us to predesign for optimum surveying network by 95% confidence ellipse.

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A Non-Uniform Convergence Tolerance Scheme for Enhancing the Branch-and-Bound Method (비균일 수렴허용오차 방법을 이용한 분지한계법 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Sang-Jin;Chen, Xi;Choi, Gyung-Hyun;Choi, Dong-Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.361-371
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    • 2012
  • In order to improve the efficiency of the branch-and-bound method for mixed-discrete nonlinear programming, a nonuniform convergence tolerance scheme is proposed for the continuous subproblem optimizations. The suggested scheme assigns the convergence tolerances for each continuous subproblem optimization according to the maximum constraint violation obtained from the first iteration of each subproblem optimization in order to reduce the total number of function evaluations needed to reach the discrete optimal solution. The proposed tolerance scheme is integrated with five branching order options. The comparative performance test results using the ten combinations of the five branching orders and two convergence tolerance schemes show that the suggested non-uniform convergence tolerance scheme is obviously superior to the uniform one. The results also show that the branching order option using the minimum clearance difference method performed best among the five branching order options. Therefore, we recommend using the "minimum clearance difference method" for branching and the "non-uniform convergence tolerance scheme" for solving discrete optimization problems.

An Error Correction Model for Long Term Forecast of System Marginal Price (전력 계통한계가격 장기예측을 위한 오차수정모형)

  • Shin, Sukha;Yoo, Hanwook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.453-459
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    • 2021
  • The system marginal price of electricity is the amount paid to all the generating units, which is an important decision-making factor for the construction and maintenance of an electrical power unit. In this paper, we suggest a long-term forecasting model for calculating the system marginal price based on prices of natural gas and oil. As most variables used in the analysis are nonstationary time series, the long run relationship among the variables should be examined by cointegration tests. The forecasting model is similar to an error correction model which consists of a long run cointegrating equation and another equation for short run dynamics. To mitigate the robustness issue arising from the relatively small data sample, this study employs various testing and estimating methods. Compared to previous studies, this paper considers multiple fuel prices in the forecasting model of system marginal price, and provides greater emphasis on the robustness of analysis. As none of the cointegrating relations associated with system marginal price, natural gas price and oil price are excluded, three error correction models are estimated. Considering the root mean squared error and mean absolute error, the model based on the cointegrating relation between system marginal price and natural gas price performs best in the out-of-sample forecast.

Point Set Denoising Using a Variational Bayesian Method (변분 베이지안 방법을 이용한 점집합의 오차제거)

  • Yoon, Min-Cheol;Ivrissimtzis, Ioannis;Lee, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.527-531
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    • 2008
  • For statistical modeling, the model parameters are usually estimated by maximizing a probability measure, such as the likelihood or the posterior. In contrast, a variational Bayesian method treats the parameters of a model as probability distributions and computes optimal distributions for them rather than values. It has been shown that this approach effectively avoids the overfitting problem, which is common with other parameter optimization methods. This paper applies a variational Bayesian technique to surface fitting for height field data. Then, we propose point cloud denoising based on the basic surface fitting technique. Validation experiments and further tests with scan data verify the robustness of the proposed method.

A P-type Iterative Learning Controller for Uncertain Robotic Systems (불확실한 로봇 시스템을 위한 P형 반복 학습 제어기)

  • 최준영;서원기
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2004
  • We present a P-type iterative learning control(ILC) scheme for uncertain robotic systems that perform the same tasks repetitively. The proposed ILC scheme comprises a linear feedback controller consisting of position error, and a feedforward and feedback teaming controller updated by current velocity error. As the learning iteration proceeds, the joint position and velocity mrs converge uniformly to zero. By adopting the learning gain dependent on the iteration number, we present joint position and velocity error bounds which converge at the arbitrarily tuned rate, and the joint position and velocity errors converge to zero in the iteration domain within the adopted error bounds. In contrast to other existing P-type ILC schemes, the proposed ILC scheme enables analysis and tuning of the convergence rate in the iteration domain by designing properly the learning gain.

Uncertainty Analysis for the Propeller Open Water Test (프로펠러 단독시험에 있어서 불확실성 해석)

  • G.I. Choi;H.H. Chun;J.S. Kim;C.M. Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 1994
  • Recently, an interest in the uncertainty analysis on measurement and prediction has been growing. An uncertainty analysis method is applied to the P.O.W test where error sources, estimated errors, their propagation route and their sensitivities to the uncertainty items are clearly illustrated. The uncertainty range for the results obtained from the HMRI Propeller Open Water test is within ${\pm}1%$ which is assumed to be lower than an usual measurement error range of ${\pm}1%$. It has been noticed that the uncertainty analysis can be used quite usefully for detecting dominant error-sources and hence improving the experimental measurement accuracy.

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Uncertainty of the operational models in the Nakdong River mouth (낙동강 하구 환경변화 예측모형의 불확실성)

  • Cho, Hong Yeon;Lee, Gi Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.4-4
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    • 2022
  • 낙동강 하구 환경/생태 복원을 위하여 "해수유입"으로 하구환경을 조성하는 사업이 추진되고 있으며, 해수 유입 규모와 빈도에 따른 생태환경변화를 예측하는 연구수요가 증가하고 있는 상황이다. 보다 구체적으로는 단기간의 해수유입에 의한 흐름 및 염분 확산범위 예측과 더불어 보다 장기간의 지형변화, 수질환경 변화, 생태환경 변화 등에 대한 예측이 필요한 상황이다. 그리고 그 예측의 대부분을 수치모델에 크게 의존하고 있는 상황이다. 그러나, 수치모형을 이용한 단기 예측은 가까운 미래에 대한 입력조건을 사용하여야 하기 때문에 입력조건에 대한 불확실성이 포함되고, 환경생태모형의 불확실성에 따른 예측 한계 등으로 인하여 오차가 누적되기 때문에 직접적인 활용에 크게 제한이 따를 수 있다. 또한 운영과정에서 어떤 분산, 편향 오차 등이 지속적으로 발생하는 경우, 모델 예측 결과에 대한 신뢰수준이 크게 감소하기 때문에 모델의 적절한 운영기법이 요구된다. 모델은 관심을 가지는 자연현상에 대한 근사(approximation)이고, 예상하지 못한 오차가 발생할 수 있기 때문에 관측 자료를 이용한 자료동화(data assimilation) 과정이 운영모델에서는 필수적인 부분이다. 이론적인 기반이 탄탄한 유체역학 기반 기상예측의 경우에도, 가용한 모든 지점의 관측 자료를 이용한 자료 동화과정을 통하여 모델 예측 결과를 개선하여 나가는 과정을 포함하여 운영하고 있다. 이 과정이 포함하는 중요한 개념은 수치모델이 가지고 있는 (예측 수준의) 한계를 인정하고, 수치모델에 전적으로 의존하는 것이 아니라 관측 자료를 이용하여 그 한계를 저감하여 나가는 과정이다. 모니터링은 모델의 한계를 알려주는 지표이다. 모델링과 모니터링의 불가피한 상호의존 관계를 의미하는 이 개념은 단기간의 흐름, 염분 확산 예측으로 한정되지 않고, 장기적인 변화가 예상되는 생태환경변화 모델에도 적용이 된다. 즉각적인 변화보다는 장기적인 관점에서 파악하여야 하는 생태학적인 변화는 보다 다양한 인자가 관여하기 때문에 어떤 측면에서는 모델보다는 적절한 빈도와 항목에 대한 관측계획 수립(monitoring design)이 더 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 이론적인 질량보존(mass conservation) 방정식을 기반으로 하는 모델은 다양한 현실적인 인자의 영향을 받기 때문에 모델의 한계를 인정하고, 모니터링 자료를 적극적으로 활용하여 불확실성을 저감하는 접근방식이 요구된다.

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A study for null lens design of autostigmatic type and the limitation of measurement accuracy for ultra precision manufacturing of large aspherical surface (대형 비구면의 초정밀 가공을 위한 자동무수차점 방식의 널 렌즈 설계 및 측정 정밀도의 한계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kil-Seon;Rim, Cheon-Seog
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2005
  • A null lens system of autostigmatic type, consisting of two mirrors, is designed for testing a large aspherical mirror. The system is theoretically analyzed to determine the limitation of measurement accuracy according to the manufacturing and alignment errors. We confirmed that irregularity of the null lens surface is the principal factor among tolerances in limiting measurement accuracy. Consequently, we can predict that measurement accuracy will be from 5λ/100 to 4λ/1000 according to the amount of this irregularity. That is, we can present the limitation of possible measurement accuracy with actual alignment and manufacturing errors.

A Study on Performance Limit Index of Feedforward ANC (피드포워드 ANC의 한계성능지표에 관한 연구)

  • 김현석;박영진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.161-164
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    • 1995
  • 실시간 ANC 이전에, 소음원으로부터 대상계를 거친 신호와 소음원신호가 오차계를 거친 신호를 측정함으로서 이론적인 한계성능을 파악하기 위한 지표를 제시하였다. 이 지표는 오차계를 통과한 신호를 입력으로, 대상계를 통과한 신호를 출력으로 하는 계의 선형화 정도를 나타내는 다중기여도함수와 흡사한 형태로 나타났다. 제한된 상황에서 ANC 성능을 최대화 하고자 할 때 이 지표는 레퍼런스와 부가음원의 위치 및 갯수 결정등 여러가지 파라메터 결정에 매우 유용하게 쓰일 수 있다고 생각된다.

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The analysis of error characteristics in self-imaging and improved optimization of waveguide structure for multi-mode interference devices (자아결상원리의 오차 해석을 통한 다중모드간섭기의 최적화)

  • 홍정무;오범환;이승걸;이일항;우덕하;김선호
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2002
  • Simple principles of self-imaging in Multi-Mode Interference (MMI) devices are based on the approximation of propagation constants. The analysis of the basic nature of the self-imaging principle reveals the problems of previous optimization methods, and provides a new scheme to optimize the external variables for the reconciliation of approximation problems by considering two different tendencies of approximation effects. Furthermore, the representative mode method is proposed to make the application easy. This optimization method provides an essential method for stable design and fabrication of MMI devices with improved characteristics.