• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차공분산

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Reliability-Based Design of Shallow Foundations Considering The Probability Distribution Types of Random Variables (확률변수의 분포특성을 고려한 얕은기초 신뢰성 설계)

  • Kim, Chang-Dong;Kim, Soo-Il;Lee, Jun-Hwan;Kim, Byung-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2008
  • Uncertainties in physical and engineering parameters for the design of shallow foundations arise from various aspects such as inherent variability and measurement error. This paper aims at investigating and reducing uncertainty from deterministic method by using the reliability-based design of shallow foundations accounting for the variation of various design parameters. A probability distribution type and statistics of random variables such as unit weight, cohesion, infernal friction angle and Young's modulus in geotechnical engineering are suggested to calculate the ultimate bearing capacities and immediate settlements of foundations. Reliability index and probability of failure are estimated based on the distribution types of random variables. Widths of foundation are calculated at target reliability index and probability of failure. It is found that application and analysis of the best-fit distribution type for each random variables are more effective than adoption of the normal distribution type in optimizing the reliability-based design of shallow foundations.

Experimental Study of Estimating the Optimized Parameters in OI (서남해안 관측자료를 활용한 OI 자료동화의 최적 매개변수 산정 연구)

  • Gu, Bon-Ho;Woo, Seung-Buhm;Kim, Sangil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.458-467
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is the suggestion of optimized parameters in OI (Optimal Interpolation) by experimental study. The observation of applying optimal interpolation is ADCP (Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler) data at the southwestern sea of Korea. FVCOM (Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model) is used for the barotropic model. OI is to the estimation of the gain matrix by a minimum value between the background error covariance and the observation error covariance using the least square method. The scaling factor and correlation radius are very important parameters for OI. It is used to calculate the weight between observation data and model data in the model domain. The optimized parameters from the experiments were found by the Taylor diagram. Constantly each observation point requires optimizing each parameter for the best assimilation. Also, a high accuracy of numerical model means background error covariance is low and then it can decrease all of the parameters in OI. In conclusion, it is expected to have prepared the foundation for research for the selection of ocean observation points and the construction of ocean prediction systems in the future.

A Performance Comparison of CCA and RMMA Algorithm for Blind Adaptive Equalization (블라인드 적응 등화를 위한 CCA와 RMMA 알고리즘의 성능 비교)

  • Lim, Seung-Gag
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2019
  • This paper related with the performance comparison of CCA and RMMA blind adaptive equalization in order to reduce the intersymbol interference which is occurred in channel when transmitting the 16-QAM signal, high spectrum efficiencies of nonconstant modulus characteristic. The CCA possible to improve the misadustment and initial convergence by compacting the every signal constellation of 16 by using the sliced symbol of the decision device output, namely statistical symbol, but incresing the computational cost. The RMMA possible to minimize the fast convergence speed and misadjustment and channel tracking capability without increasing the computational cost by obtain the error signal after transform to 4 constant modulus signal based on the region of signal constellation located. In this paper, these algorithm were implemented in the same channel, and the blind adaptive equalization performance were compared using the equalizer output signal constellation, residual isi, MSE, SER. As a result of simulation, the RMMA has better performance in output signal constellation, residual isi and MSE compared to the CCA, but has slow convergence speed about 1.3 times. And the SER performance presenting the robustness to the noise signal, the CCA has more beeter in less SNR, but the RMMA has better in greater than 6dB in SNR.

Analysis of Causality of the Increase in the Port Congestion due to the COVID-19 Pandemic and BDI(Baltic Dry Index) (COVID-19 팬데믹으로 인한 체선율 증가와 부정기선 운임지수의 인과성 분석)

  • Lee, Choong-Ho;Park, Keun-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2021
  • The shipping industry plummeted and was depressed due to the global economic crisis caused by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in the US in 2008. In 2020, the shipping market also suffered from a collapse in the unstable global economic situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but unexpectedly, it changed to an upward trend from the end of 2020, and in 2021, it exceeded the market of the boom period of 2008. According to the Clarksons report published in May 2021, the decrease in cargo volume due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has returned to the pre-corona level by the end of 2020, and the tramper bulk carrier capacity of 103~104% of the Panamax has been in the ports due to congestion. Earnings across the bulker segments have risen to ten-year highs in recent months. In this study, as factors affecting BDI, the capacity and congestion ratio of Cape and Panamax ships on the supply side, iron ore and coal seaborne tonnge on the demand side and Granger causality test, IRF(Impulse Response Function) and FEVD(Forecast Error Variance Decomposition) were performed using VAR model to analyze the impact on BDI by congestion caused by strengthen quarantine at the port due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the loading and discharging operation delay due to the infection of the stevedore, etc and to predict the shipping market after the pandemic. As a result of the Granger causality test of variables and BDI using time series data from January 2016 to July 2021, causality was found in the Fleet and Congestion variables, and as a result of the Impulse Response Function, Congestion variable was found to have significant at both upper and lower limit of the confidence interval. As a result of the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition, Congestion variable showed an explanatory power upto 25% for the change in BDI. If the congestion in ports decreases after With Corona, it is expected that there is down-risk in the shipping market. The COVID-19 pandemic occurred not from economic factors but from an ecological factor by the pandemic is different from the past economic crisis. It is necessary to analyze from a different point of view than the past economic crisis. This study has meaningful to analyze the causality and explanatory power of Congestion factor by pandemic.

Development of a Gene's Functional Classifying System for a Microarray Data using a Gene Ontology (유전자 온톨로지를 이용한 마이크로어레이 데이터의 유전자 기능 분석 시스템의 개발)

  • Lee, Jong-Keun;Park, S.S.;Hong, D.W.;Yoon, J.H.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2006.10c
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    • pp.246-251
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    • 2006
  • 마이크로어레이 실험은 수 천에서 수 만개의 유전자 발현 결과를 동시에 측정할 수 있어 질병의 발현 형질 분류 등에 유용하게 이용되고 있다. 그러나 마이크로어레이 실험은 동일한 플랫폼의 실험이라 할지라도 환경 등에 따라 그 실험 결과에 차이가 나는 등 오차를 항상 포함하고 있다. 또한 마이크로어레이 실험은 아직 고가의 실험으로 분류되어 다수의 샘플에 대한 반복 실험 결과를 얻기 어려운 상황이다. 따라서 이종의 플랫폼, 데이터 포맷, 정규화 기법 등이 서로 다른 데이터를 효율적으로 통합하여 유용한 정보를 추출하는 새로운 방식의 개발이 필요하다. 본 논문은 이와 같은 문제를 해결하기 위한 기초 단계 연구 결과이다. 마이크로어레이 실험 데이터로부터 통계적 방법을 이용하여 유의(informative) 유전자를 추출하고 유전자 온톨로지(Gene Ontology : GO)와의 연계를 통하여 유전자 정보의 기능적 분류 결과를 사용자에게 제공하는 유전자 기능 분석 시스템의 설계 및 구현 방안을 보인다. 본 시스템의 실험방법에서는 3-Fold Filtering 기법을 통하여 발현 차가 큰 유전자를 추출하고, t-검정 기법에 의하여 이들 유전자를 순위화 하였으며, 이 중 상위 100개의 유전자를 유의 유전자로 추출하였다. 다음, 이 들 유의 유전자의 t-검정 값을 GO의 유전자 기능을 나타내는 해당 텀 (term)에 가중치로 부과하여 각 유전자들과 기능적으로 연관성이 높은 텀들을 추출한다. 또한 본 연구의 유효성을 검증하기 위하여 본 시스템에 의한 마이크로어레이 데이터 분석 결과를 전문가에 의한 유전자 기능 분석 결과와 비교한다.투명성 있는 서비스를 제공하고 높은 신뢰성과 안정성이 확보될 수 있도록 구성하고자 한다. Query 수행을 여러 서버로 분산처리하게 함으로써 성능에 대한 신뢰성을 향상 시킬 수 있는 Load Balancing System을 제안한다.할 때 가장 효과적인 라우팅 프로토콜이라고 할 수 있다.iRNA 상의 의존관계를 분석할 수 있었다.수안보 등 지역에서 나타난다 이러한 이상대 주변에는 대개 온천이 발달되어 있었거나 새로 개발되어 있는 곳이다. 온천에 이용하고 있는 시추공의 자료는 배제하였으나 온천이응으로 직접적으로 영향을 받지 않은 시추공의 자료는 사용하였다 이러한 온천 주변 지역이라 하더라도 실제는 온천의 pumping 으로 인한 대류현상으로 주변 일대의 온도를 올려놓았기 때문에 비교적 높은 지열류량 값을 보인다. 한편 한반도 남동부 일대는 이번 추가된 자료에 의해 새로운 지열류량 분포 변화가 나타났다 강원 북부 오색온천지역 부근에서 높은 지열류량 분포를 보이며 또한 우리나라 대단층 중의 하나인 양산단층과 같은 방향으로 발달한 밀양단층, 모량단층, 동래단층 등 주변부로 NNE-SSW 방향의 지열류량 이상대가 발달한다. 이것으로 볼 때 지열류량은 지질구조와 무관하지 않음을 파악할 수 있다. 특히 이러한 단층대 주변은 지열수의 순환이 깊은 심도까지 가능하므로 이러한 대류현상으로 지표부근까지 높은 지온 전달이 되어 나타나는 것으로 판단된다.의 안정된 방사성표지효율을 보였다. $^{99m}Tc$-transferrin을 이용한 감염영상을 성공적으로 얻을 수 있었으며, $^{67}Ga$-citrate

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On-line Fundamental Frequency Tracking Method for Harmonic Signal and Application to ANC (조화신호의 실시간 기본 주파수 추종 방법과 능동소음제어에의 응용)

  • Kim, Sun-Min;Park, Young-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.263-268
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a new indirect feedback active noise control (ANC) scheme based on the fundamental frequency estimation is proposed for systems with a harmonic noise. When reference signals necessary for feedforward ANC configuration is difficult to obtain, the conventional ANC algorithms for multi-tonal noise do not measure the reference signals but generate them with the estimated frequencies. However, the beating phenomena, in which certain frequency components of the noise vanish intermittently, may make the adaptive frequency estimation difficult. The confusion in the estimated frequencies due to the beating phenomena makes the generated reference signals worthless. The proposed algorithm consists of two parts. The first part is a reference generator using the fundamental frequency estimation and the second one is the conventional feedforward control. We propose the fundamental frequency estimation algorithm using decision rules, which is insensitive to the beating phenomena. In addition, the proposed fundamental frequency estimation algorithm has good tracking capability and lower variance of frequency estimation error than that of the conventional cascade ANF method. We are also able to control all interested modes of the noise, even which cannot be estimated by the conventional frequency estimation method because of the poor SIN ratio. We verify the performance of the proposed ANC method through simulations for the measured cabin noise of a passenger ship and the measured time-varying engine booming noise of a passenger vehicle.

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Errors in Net Ecosystem Exchanges of CO2, Water Vapor, and Heat Caused by Storage Fluxes Calculated by Single-level Scalar Measurements Over a Rice Paddy (단일 높이에서 관측된 저장 플럭스를 사용할 때 발생하는 논의 이산화탄소, 수증기, 현열의 순생태계교환량 오차)

  • Moon, Minkyu;Kang, Minseok;Thakuri, Bindu Malla;Lee, Jung-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2015
  • Using eddy covariance method, net ecosystem exchange (NEE) of $CO_2$ ($F_{CO_2}$), $H_2O$ (LE), and sensible heat (H) can be approximated as the sum of eddy flux ($F_c$) and storage flux term ($F_s$). Depending on strength and distribution of sink/source of scalars and magnitude of vertical turbulence mixing, the rates of changes in scalars are different with height. In order to calculate $F_s$ accurately, the differences should be considered using scalar profile measurement. However, most of flux sites for agricultural lands in Asia do not operate profile system and estimate $F_s$ using single-level scalars from eddy covariance system under the assumption that the rates of changes in scalars are constant regardless of the height. In this study, we measured $F_c$ and $F_s$ of $CO_2$, $H_2O$, and air temperature ($T_a$) using eddy covariance and profile system (i.e., the multi-level measurement system in scalars from eddy covariance measurement height to the land surface) at the Chengmicheon farmland site in Korea (CFK) in order to quantify the differences between $F_s$ calculated by single-level measurements ($F_s_{-single}$ i.e., $F_s$ from scalars measured by profile system only at eddy covariance system measurement height) and $F_s$ calculated by profile measurements and verify the errors of NEE caused by $F_s_{-single}$. The rate of change in $CO_2$, $H_2O$, and Ta were varied with height depending on the magnitudes and distribution of sink and source and the stability in the atmospheric boundary layer. Thus, $F_s_{-single}$ underestimated or overestimated $F_s$ (especially 21% underestimation in $F_s$ of $CO_2$ around sunrise and sunset (0430-0800 h and 1630-2000 h)). For $F_{CO_2}$, the errors in $F_s_{-single}$ generated 3% and 2% underestimation of $F_{CO_2}$ during nighttime (2030-0400 h) and around sunrise and sunset, respectively. In the process of nighttime correction and partitioning of $F_{CO_2}$, these differences would cause an underestimation in carbon balance at the rice paddy. In contrast, there were little differences at the errors in LE and H caused by the error in $F_s_{-single}$, irrespective of time.

On-site Application of a Vehicle Tunnel Ventilation Simulator (도로터널 환기시뮬레이션 모델 현장적용 연구)

  • 이창우;김효규
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.319-327
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    • 2001
  • Introduction of new design tools has been required to optimally design and operate the ventilation system of long vehicle tunnels.. The demand has led to wide spread use of the simulation technique throughout the would to analysis the dynamic relationship among the variables associated with vehicle tunnel ventilation. This paper aims at performing on-site study at local tunnels to test the applicability of NETVEN, a simulation model vehicle tunnel ventilation. The study was carried out at four urban as well as highway tunnels model of vehicle tunnel ventilation. The study was carried out at four urban as well as highway tunnels employing different ventilation systems as well as traffic methods. There were some discrepancies sound between the simulation output and measurements and the following four factors are considered to mainly cause those disagreement. (1) The real situation shows distinctive transient and retarding characteristics with respect to air flow and contaminant dispersion, while ventilation forces are not steady-state and in particular those traffic and climatic variables show significant instantaneous variation. (3) Near the exit portal, the CO levels show bigger differences. The general trend is that data with higher CO concentrations carry bigger discrepancies. Turbulent diffusion is though to be the main reason for it and also contribute to the fact hat the highest CO concentrations are found at the locations somewhat inward, not at the exit portals. (4) Higher traffic rate results in higher discrepancies of ventilation velocity. Along with the exhaust characteristics, the vehicle aerodynamic characteristics need to be studied continuously in order to reduce the velocity disagreement.

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Evaluation and Application of QUAL2E and QUAL2K Models in Anyang Stream (안양천에서 QUAL2E와 QUAL2K 모델의 적용 및 평가)

  • Jung, Sung-Soo;Kim, Kyung-Sub
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.544-551
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    • 2008
  • QUAL2K enhanced QUAL2E and applied in real fields efficiently incorporates denitrification process, sediment-water interaction process, bottom algae and detritus. Also, the CBOD of QUAL2K is divided into two real parts, one is slow CBOD(sCBOD) and another is fast CBOD(fCBOD). The simulation results of QUAL2E and QUAL2K models in Anyang Stream were compared and analyzed in water quality constituents of DO, BOD, Org-N, NH$_3$-N, NO$_3$-N, Org-P, Dis-P and Chl-a respectively. The similar results were shown in Org-N, NH$_3$-N, Org-P and Chl-a both QUAL2K and QUAL2E models. But the different results were revealed in DO, BOD, Dis-P and NO$_3$-N by the influence of new incorporating processes. DO was shown relatively low values in the effect of bottom algae. BOD which is influenced by particulate organic matter was revealed high values. NO$_3$-N was closed to the real values by the two processes of denitrification and sediment-water interaction. To evaluate the running results of QUAL2K and QUAL2E models, a simple statistical analysis was conducted. According to the statistical analysis, QUAL2K represented less relative error and coefficient of variation than QUAL2E in almost all of constituents. It was found that QUAL2K, which simulates the water quality more realistically, can be applied to control and manage the water problems of river or river-run reservoir effectively.

A Study on the Safe Blasting Design by Statistical Analysis of Ground Vibration for Vibration Controlled Blasting in Urban Area (II) (도심지 미진동 제어발파에서 진동분석을 통한 안전 발파설계에 관한 연구(II) - 진동측정 자료의 통계적 분석을 위주로 -)

  • 김영환;안명석;박종남;강대우;이창우
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2000
  • Abstract The characteristics of bed rock in the study area was classified by means of the crack coefficient estimated from the seismic velocities of in-situ and intact rocks. Various statistical methods were investigated in order to minimize the possible errors in estimating the predictive equation of blasting vibration and to enhance the determination coefficient $R^2$, for more reliable estimation. The determination coefficient showed the highest in the analysis for those groups using weighting function with the number of samples. The analysis for the weighting function employed with standard coefficient and variance also enhanced the determination coefficients significantly compared to the others, but the reliability was slightly lower than results obtained former method. Therefore the most reliable predictive equation of blasting vibration was found to be obtained from a regression analysis of the mean vibration level using the weighting of same distance groups within 15m with the same explosive charge weight per delay. The coefficients, K and n 317.4 and -1.66, respectively, when using the square root scaling, and 209.9 and -1.66, respectively, when using the cube root scaling. The analysis also showed that the square root scaling may be used in the distance less than 31m form the blast source, and the cube root scaling in the distance more than 31m for safe design.

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