• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.14 no.11
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• pp.159-167
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• 2009

The vehicles play a significant role in modern people's life as economy grows. The development of car navigation system(CNS) provides various convenience because it shows the driver where they are and how to get to the destination from the point of source. However, the existing map-based CNS does not consider any environments such as traffic congestion. Given the same starting point and destination, the system always provides the same route and the required time. This paper proposes a path planning method with traffic prediction by applying historical driving information to the Fuzzy theory and Bayesian update. Fuzzy theory classifies the historical driving information into groups of leaving time and speed rate, and the traffic condition of each time zone is calculated by Bayesian update. An ellipse area including starting and destination points is restricted in order to reduce the calculation time. The accuracy and practicality of the proposed scheme are verified by several experiments and comparisons with real navigation.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.324-331
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• 2013

Epoxy asphalt concrete is used to reduce dead load and to increase durability on long-span steel bridge overlay. The strength development properties of epoxy asphalt concrete are affected by time and temperature because epoxy asphalt is two-phase reactive materials. The strength development of epoxy asphalt concrete should be predicted precisely to decide traffic opening time. Based on this background in mind, the prediction model for traffic opening time for epoxy asphalt pavement was proposed in this research. The developed model using nonlinear curve fitting revealed R2 value of 0.943 while the R2 value of the existing model using chemical kinetics was 0.806. An improved precise prediction result is to be obtained when the prediction model uses accurate temperature data of pavement.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.21-33
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• 2001

Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) was first introduced in Korea early 1990's, and Korean government has put a lot of efforts for flourishing it in the entire nation. Regardless of these efforts, private participation is not active enough to accelerate ITS implementation in Korea. Expert group made every endeavor to analyze the current situation, and found out some phenomena. It may be summarized as two folds. Firstly, private sector has a lack of confidence on the future ITS market. Budget in the strategic plan is the only publication and guide that private sector can refer to, and it merely indicates deployment costs. Secondly, direction and procedure of R&D are not well defined. It implies that private sector takes too much risk when they invest for R&D. This research, therefore, focuses on the first issues. Concretely, the goal of the project was to establish and analyze the model for estimation the future ITS market side. Author reviewed both quantitative and qualitative models, and concluded that diffusion model in qualitative model was suitable for ITS market estimation. According to model calibration. it is estimated that 14 trillion Won was the market size in 2020 under normal condition. Impact of this result may seduce Information Technology(IT) related private companies into ITS market. Although this research couldn't cover various topics, it nay dedicate in boosting ITS in Korea. Also, it will be a good starting point for further study for the advancement of ITS.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.26 no.12
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• pp.19-27
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• 2021

In this paper, we present a method for effectively predicting traffic volume based on vehicle location data that are collected by using LDP (Local Differential Privacy). The proposed solution in this paper consists of two phases: the process of collecting vehicle location data in a privacy-presering manner and the process of predicting traffic volume using the collected location data. In the first phase, the vehicle's location data is collected by using LDP to prevent privacy issues that may arise during the data collection process. LDP adds random noise to the original data when collecting data to prevent the data owner's sensitive information from being exposed to the outside. This allows the collection of vehicle location data, while preserving the driver's privacy. In the second phase, the traffic volume is predicted by applying deep learning techniques to the data collected in the first stage. Experimental results with real data sets demonstrate that the method proposed in this paper can effectively predict the traffic volume using the location data that are collected in a privacy-preserving manner.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.158-167
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• 2016

This study evaluates potential sources of errors in k-NN(k-nearest neighbor) algorithm such as procedures, variables, and input data. Previous research has been thoroughly reviewed for understanding fundamentals of k-NN algorithm that has been widely used for short-term traffic states prediction. The framework of this algorithm commonly includes historical data smoothing, pattern database, similarity measure, k-value, and prediction horizon. The outcomes of this study suggests that: i) historical data smoothing is recommended to reduce random noise of measured traffic data; ii) the historical database should contain traffic state information on both normal and event conditions; and iii) trial and error method can improve the prediction accuracy by better searching for the optimum input time series and k-value. The study results also demonstrates that predicted error increases with the duration of prediction horizon and rapidly changing traffic states.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.151-162
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• 2002

The object of this study is to develop an operating time prediction model for expressways using toll collection data. A Prediction model based on modular neural network model was developed and tested using real data. Two toll collection system(TCS) data set. Seoul-Suwon section for short range and Seoul-Daejeon section for long range, in Kyongbu expressway line were collected and analyzed. A time series analysis on TCS data indicated that operating times on both ranges are in reasonable prediction ranges. It was also found that prediction for the long section was more complex than that for the short section. However, a long term prediction for the short section turned out to be more difficult than that for the long section because of the higher sensitivity to initial condition. An application of the suggested model produced accurate prediction time. The features of suggested prediction model are in the requirement of minimum (3) input layers and in the ability of stable operating time prediction.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.1591-1601
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• 2013

In this study, It is conducted for novice drivers about driving behavior and psychological characteristics analysis to reduce traffic accident risk and provide the basic data of education program development. Therefore, this study classified by the category-specific characteristics and hazard prediction through survey of the novice driver and unpredictable behavior and psychological characteristics were studied. The novice and general characteristics and driving behavior with vehicle simulators, comparison and analysis of the novice driver traffic safety education basic research direction based on the statistical results. Prediction the results of this study, the Hazard of the driver, speeding, traffic violation, information providing omission, abrupt change, the number of accidents in all areas novice driver is high compared to the general driver. In addition, Novice driver showed a statistically significant level of Hazard compared to the general driver target novice drivers and the general ability to predict Hazard of violation, abrupt change, and a number of traffic accidents were omitted level of speeding and other information providing level drivers all showed similar results. Vehicle simulator. The experimental results showed that novice drivers compared to drivers poorly overall driving performance. It showed a notable difference in the number of collisions, especially novice drivers compared to drivers in complex road traffic conditions due to a lack of driving experience and learning ability are considered.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2016.10a
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• pp.367-369
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• 2016

정보통신기술이 발전함에 따라 수많은 데이터가 발생하고 있다. 이러한 '빅데이터'의 활용은 국민의 니즈 파악, 공공서비스 제공 등 미래 경쟁력의 핵심 가치라 할 수 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 기상데이터와 교통데이터를 수집한 후, 분산 시스템 환경 하에서 실행되는 기계학습 알고리즘을 이용하여 기상기후와 관련된 교통 정체 구간 예측 시스템에 대해 제안하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.5
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• pp.441-451
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• 2014

This study proposes a novel performance measure, which is referred to as Hazardous Spacing Index (HSI), to be used for evaluating safety of traffic stream on freeways. The basic principle of the proposed methodology is to investigate whether drivers would have sufficient stopping sight distance (SSD) under limited visibility conditions to eliminate rear-end crash potentials at every time step. Both Road Weather Information Systems (RWIS) and Vehicle Detection Systems (VDS) data were used to derive visibility distance (VD) and SSD, respectively. Moreover, the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) method was adopted to predict both VD and SSD in estimating predictive HSIs, which would be used to trigger advanced warning information to encourage safer driving. The outcome of this study is also expected to be used for monitoring freeway traffic stream in terms of safety.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.1
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• pp.125-134
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• 2010

It is occurred bus arrival time errors when a bus arrives at a bus stop because of a variety of traffic condition such as traffic signal cycle, the time to get on and off a bus, a bus-only lane and so on. In this paper, bus delay time which is occurred as the result of traffic condition was estimated with Markov Chain process and bus arrival time at each bus stop was predicted with it. As the result of the study, it is confirmed to improve accuracy than the method of bus arrival time prediction with existing method (weighed moving average method) in case predicting bus arrival time using 7 by 7 and 9 by 9 matrixes.