• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예상 정확도

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Study on Improvement of Frost Occurrence Prediction Accuracy (서리발생 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Yongseok;Choi, Wonjun;Shim, Kyo-moon;Hur, Jina;Kang, Mingu;Jo, Sera
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we constructed using Random Forest(RF) by selecting the meteorological factors related to the occurrence of frost. As a result, when constructing a classification model for frost occurrence, even if the amount of data set is large, the imbalance in the data set for development of model has been analyzed to have a bad effect on the predictive power of the model. It was found that building a single integrated model by grouping meteorological factors related to frost occurrence by region is more efficient than building each model reflecting high-importance meteorological factors. Based on our results, it is expected that a high-accuracy frost occurrence prediction model will be able to be constructed as further studies meteorological factors for frost prediction.

Measurement and Prediction of the Visibility Range by the Variations of the Character Sizes and Illuminance (글자 크기와 조도의 변화에 의한 가시거리 측정과 예상)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.8222-8227
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    • 2015
  • The visibility range is defined from where one can see, which can be changed by the character sizes and illuminances and so on, which of one-hundred and twelve students are measured for three illuminances and three character sizes in this paper. In determining the character sizes and illuminances, the visibility range can be an important data. Functions are proposed whose independent variable is illuminance and whose dependent variable is visibility range in order to predict the visibility range of unmeasured illuminances. The fractional functions are used for three character sizes because the visibility range is invariant according to illuminance. There are three parameters to be determined - k, m, n, which are selected based on the measured visibility ranges. Because the visibility ranges of three character sizes are measured, three k's can be calculated. In this paper the case of minimum variance of three k's is selected, and three parameters - k,m,n- of that case is selected. The three functions according to three character sizes are proposed. The small differences between the measured data and the postulated functions verifies the accuracy of the functions.

Inundating Disaster Assessment in Coastal Areas Using Urban Flood Model (도시홍수모델을 이용한 해안지역의 침수재해평가)

  • Yoo Hwan-Hee;Kim Weon-Seok;Kim Seong-Sam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.299-309
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    • 2006
  • In recent years, a large natural disasters have occurred due to worldwide abnormal weather and the amount of damage has been increased more resulting from high density population and a large-sized buildings of the urbanized area. In this study. we estimate the flooded area according to rainfall probability intensify and sea level in Woreong dong, Masan occurred flood damages by typhoon Maemi using SWMM, a dynamic rainfall-runoff simulation model in urban area, and then analyze the damage of flood expected area through connecting with GIS database. In result, we can predict accurately expected area of inundation according to the rainfall intensity and sea level rise through dividing the study area into sub-area and estimating a flooded area and height using SWMM. We provide also the shelter information available for urban planning and flood risk estimation by landuse in expected flood area. Further research for hazard management system construction linked with web or wireless communication technology expects to increase its application.

Flood Damage Estimation causing Backwater due to the Blockage by Debris in the Bridges (교량에 집적된 유송잡물의 배수영향에 의한 홍수피해 분석)

  • Kim, Soo-Jun;Chung, Jae-Hak;Lee, Jong-Seol;Kim, Ji-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2007
  • The bridge crossing river is the one of the major factors causing backwater level rising. Furthermore, the bridges in the mountainous areas increase the flood damage in the upstream of the bridge due to the blockage by debris. In this research, the effects of debris to the magnitude of flood damage in the study river basin were simulated by using HEC-RAS and HEC-GeoRAS models. With assumption that the backwater caused by debris blocking the space between bridge piers is the only factor causing inundation, the unsteady flow simulation was carried out with various case studies. The potential inundation area with the overflow locations and volumes could be estimated as the results of simulation. However, the simulation results also reveal the limitations of inaccurate estimation of inundation area and depth. To overcome these hindrances, DEM and satellite images were applied to the simulation. By readjusting the inundation area using digital maps and satellite images and calibrating overflow volume and depth using DEM, the accuracy of simulation could be increased resulting more accurate flood damage estimation.

A Development of Design Prototype of Smart Clothing for Healthcare Based on Sensing Technology of Vital Signs (생체 신호 측정기술에 기반한 건강관리용 스마트 의류 디자인 프로토타입 개발)

  • Cho, Hyun-Yee;Lee, Joo-Hyeon;Lee, Chung-Keun;Lee, Myoung-Ho
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.02b
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    • pp.227-232
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    • 2006
  • 스마트 의류의 발달은 pc 를 분산, 부착한 웨어러블 컴퓨터의 연구로부터 진행되어 왔으며, 1990 년대 후반 이후 착용자 감성을 고려해 더욱 편안하며, 의복과 유사한 외관을 디자인 하려는 노력이 전개되고 있다. 스마트 의류는 엔터테인먼트, 비즈니스, 스포츠, 의료 분야에 적용 등 다양한 애플리케이션으로 연구, 개발되고 있으며, 최근 들어서는 생체신호 센서를 이용한 건강관리용 스마트 의류의 연구가 주목 받고 있다. 건강에 대한 관심과 라이프 스타일의 변화, 고령화 사회의 예상으로 인해 건강복지에 대한 필요성이 증가하는 최근 트렌드를 볼 때, 건강 관리용의 스마트 의류의 수요는 증가될 것으로 예상된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기본적인 생체신호 뿐 아니라 심장 질환, 호흡기 질환을 측정할 수 있는 건강 개념의 스마트 의류 디자인을 개발하였다. 이 스마트 의류는 기존의 의복의 형태와 착용감은 그대로 유지하면서 의복 착장 시 생체 신호를 전송, 모니터링 할 수 있도록 설계하였다. 개발된 의복은 심전도, 체온 센서로 구성되어 있으며, 이를 통해 심전도, 호흡량, 맥박, 체온 등의 생체신호를 얻을 수 있다. 디자인 프로토타입의 기기 위치 선정은 선행 연구에서 제시한 '착용성 향상을 위한 웨어러블 컴퓨터 디자인 지침' 을 기반으로 설계하여 착장 시 기기로 인한 이물감이 느껴지지 않도록 하였으며 또한, 기기의 하중을 최소화 하였다. 의복의 디자인은 센서의 안정된 부착과 활동성, 센서의 정확한 측정을 고려하여 표피의 면적 변화를 고찰하여 디자인하였다. 이 스마트 의류는 노인, 건강 이상자, 통원 치료자에게 평상시의 건강을 체크 함으로써 보다 원활한 치료의 가능으로 의료 복지에 기여할 것으로 예상되며, 디자인 프로토타입의 개발을 통하여 센서기반 스마트 의류의 가능성을 제시했다는 점에서 이 연구의 의의가 있다.

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Geographical Information System for Nuclear Disaster Prevention (원자력방재를 위한 지리정보시스템)

  • Lee, Gwang-Pyo;Lee, Yun;Kim, In-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 2007
  • 고리, 월성, 울진, 영광 등4개 원전부지와 하나로 연구용 원자로 부지에 대해 방사성물질의 대기 중 누출사고 발생 시 대축척 전자지도와 연계한 사고정보 파악, 예상피해분석, 방재시설 및 소개정보 활용 등을 통해 중앙정부 및 지방자치단체가 방사능 물질 피해지역관리 및 신속하고 효율적인 주민대응조치 수립을 위한 의사 결정 지원할 수 있는 방사능방재 지리정보시스템 구축이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 고리, 월성, 울진, 영광, 대전지역의 원자력 발전소 및 연구용 원자로 반경 40km이내 지역의 행정경계, 도로, 등고, 수계, 건물 등의 일반지형지물정보와, 비상계획구역 내 마을의 상세정보, 집결지, 대피소, 교통통제소, 환경방사능감시기, TLD등의 방재시설물 위치 및 관련 상세정보, 관공서, 경찰서, 소방서, 보건소, 학교, 병원 등의 방재관련 지형지물 위치 및 관련 상세정보, 원전부지 내 인구분포, 보유 차량 분포, 농작물 재배 현황, 축산물 재배현황 등의 방재관련 사회통계정보를 포함하는 공간 및 속성 데이터베이스는 구축하였다. 이를 기반으로 방사선 피폭영향 평가시스템(FADAS)의 예상평가결과를 전자지도 상에 표출하고, 이에 근거한 예상피해를 분석하며, 소개단계 대상 마을 검색 및 바람장 분석을 활용한 소개경로 제시 등을 통해 주민보호조치 의사결정을 지원하며, 사고대응 및 소개현황 정보를 관리하는 웹 기반의 원자력방재 지리정보시스템을 확대 개발하였다. 방재시설물 및 방재관련 지형지물, 방재관련 사회통계자료의 검색기능 및 실시간 원전 바람장 정보조회, 실시간 ERMS 수집정보 조회, 수치예보 정보 조회, 온라인DB관리 등의 확대 구현을 통해 사고대응조치 및 피해분석업무를 지원하였다. 본 연구를 통한 원자력방재 지리정보시스템 완성을 통해 방사능 비상시 중앙본부와 지역본부 및 유관기관 간에 지리정보와 연계한 정확한 사고정보 및 방재정보의 신속한 공유를 제공하고, 적절한 비상대응조치 의사결정 및 주민보조조치 수행을 지원하여 효율적인 사고지역 관리 및 인적 물적 자원의 피해를 최소화하는데 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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Feasibility Study for Introducing Window Cleaning Device (유리창 청소작업의 자동화 장비 도입에 대한 타당성 분석)

  • Kim, Kyoon-Tai
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.612-618
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    • 2020
  • In recent years, the demand for external window cleaning has increased, but the process is a very dangerous manpower-dependent operation. In addition, it is difficult to clean at the desired frequency in a business that values cleanliness. Therefore, there is a need to automate this work. This paper presents the concept of a device that can be attached to a specific window and clean the window continuously. The economic feasibility of this device was analyzed. The estimated manufacturing cost of the equipment was approximately 10 million won, but the possible investment cost was at least 9.8 million won for five years of endurance and 103 million won for 10 years of endurance. Therefore, the expected savings well exceed the equipment cost, and it was evaluated as having economic feasibility. Since this study analyzed only quantitative indicators, the expected cost reduction due to a reduction in safety accidents, productivity improvement, construction time reduction, and quality improvement was not considered. Therefore, it is expected that the calculated economic feasibility will be more accurate if the cost reduction effect by the automation equipment is calculated by adding the expected values not considered in this study.

How Do Elementary School Teachers Teach Prediction, Inference, and Hypothesis? (초등 교사는 예상, 추리, 가설을 어떻게 지도할까?)

  • Yang, Ilho;Kim, Yeomyung;Lim, Sungman
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.841-854
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the teaching methods of prediction, inference, and hypothesis. The major data source was gathered by in-depth interview of science teachers (about 50-80 minutes for each interview). The interviews were conducted using semi-structured interview protocol, which consisted of three major parts: (1) Teacher's definition of prediction, inferences, hypothesis, (2) Teaching methods of prediction, inferences, and hypothesis and (3)Reasons of teacher's inaccurate perceptions of prediction, inference, and hypothesis. All the interviews were audio-taped and transcribed. Topics in the questions were categorized. The results were as follows: Teachers recognized the importance of prediction, inferences, and hypothesis. But they didn't have an accurate conception and they have great difficulty in classifying and explaining the prediction, inferences, and hypothesis. To find out the teaching methods, researcher investigated the inquiry activities, teaching times, usage of terms, teachers' questions, and teaching difficulties. Reasons for having difficulty were lack of teaching competency, difficulties from the students, and problems in the present curriculum. Finally, we discovered that the reasons for teacher's inaccurate perceptions of prediction, inference, and hypothesis were two factors. One is internal factors, which include the lack of scientific inquiry process skills, burdens of science subject and lack of science education knowledge. The other is external factors, which include education system for evaluations and lack of teacher education. In conclusion, this study suggested establishing more elementary teacher education programs that include strengthened concepts of inquiry process skills and teaching methods.

Case histories on design alternatives during excavation of underground LPG storage cavern and traffic tunnel using TSP survey (TSP 탐사를 이용한 지하유류저장공동 및 도로터널의 시공 중 설계변경 사례 고찰)

  • Cha Sung-Soo;Kim Se-Hoon;Yun Sang-Pil;Bae Jung-Sik;Lee Jin-Moo
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1999.08a
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    • pp.117-136
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    • 1999
  • The geophysical survey at pre-investigation stage can hardly provide the detailed information on geological structure of site which has difficulty in access and thick overburden. The TSP (VSP applied in tunnel) survey at post-investigation stage can show the detailed geology ahead of tunnel and around cavern. The TSP survey was carried out at the Pyongtaek LPG storage cavern site during the cavern excavation and provided the location and orientation of the fault inferred below Namyangho. In order to confirm the result of TSP survey four boreholes were drilled in access tunnel. The fault was also detected by borehole survey and the location was coincided with the result of TSP survey. Depend on the result of TSP survey and core logging, the design such as cavern layout and length could have been changed. As another case history the TSP survey was performed at the Mumeuje road tunnel which has poor geological information due to thick overburden. The support design was also changed on the base of TSP survey.

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Multi-Dimensional Flood Damage Analysis (Ⅰ): Principle and Procedure (다차원 홍수피해산정방법(Ⅰ): 원리 및 절차)

  • Choi, Seung-An;Yi, Choong-Sung;Shim, Myung-Pil;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.1 s.162
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the flood damages including losses of human lifes and property have been rapidly increased according to extreme floods. And we know that the flood control project is needed for diminishing flood damages. However, we have had the lacks in a reasonable methodology for the economic analysis of food control project. This study aims to improve the existing economic analysis method for flood control project. So, first of all, we understand the problems of existing economic analysis and investigate the methodologies of foreign countries. Based on that, the Multi-Dimensional Flood Damage Analysis(MD-FDA) is developed in this study. The survey of properties on the floodplain is conducted, then the damage rate obtained by evaluating the monetary values of surveyed property is applied, and the expected flood damage is calculated. Also by considering damage area in the floodplain as well as spatial distribution of inundated depth using GIS, the flood damages are evaluated more accurately than existing method. From the study, we know that the MD-FDA can improve the problems of existing method and evaluate the reasonable flood damages by using updated nation리 statistics.