• Title/Summary/Keyword: 영향력계수

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The Structure of Interrelationship Among the Influential Factors of Migration Using Path Analysis (경로분석을 이용한 인구이동 결정요인들 간의 인과구조)

  • Lee, Hee-Yeon;Park, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.123-141
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    • 2009
  • Interregional migration is viewed as the most important component in regional population change in Korea. The purpose of this study is to analyze the structure of interrelationship among influential factors of interregional migration from the macro-viewpoint. During the period of 2000-05 the correlation between immigration and outmigration among 223 shi gun gu spatial unit was over 0.95, indicating that regions with high outmigration received high immigration. In this study the hypothesized cause-and-effect relationship among six influential factors of total migration flow was analyzed using path analysis. Based on the direct effect culturalwelfare environment has the biggest impact on immigration, while education environment and new housing environment are somewhat less and industrial-job opportunity environment the smallest impact. However based on the indirect effect, fiscal environment has the biggest impact on immigration, while industrial-job opportunity environment and infrastructure environment are somewhat less and new housing environment the smallest impact. If we consider the total effect, fiscal environment and cultural-welfare environment have the most significantly influenced on immigration. In particular, the influence of fiscal environment was remarkable in migration process through nonrecursive path and feedback loop.

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A Demand forecasting for Electric vehicles using Choice Based Multigeneration Diffusion Model (선택기반 다세대 확산모형을 이용한 전기자동차 수요예측 방법론 개발)

  • Chae, Ah-Rom;Kim, Won-Kyu;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Kim, Byung-Jong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2011
  • Recently, the global warming problem has arised around world, many nations has set up a various regulations for decreasing $CO_2$. In particular, $CO_2$ emissions reduction effect is very powerful in transport part, so there is a rising interest about development of green car, or electric vehicle in auto industry. For this reason, it is important to make a strategy for charging infra and forcast electric power demand, but it hasn't introduced about demand forecasting electric vehicle. Thus, this paper presents a demand forecasting for electric vehicles using choice based multigeneration diffusion model. In this paper, it estimates innovation coefficient, immitation coefficient in Bass model by using hybrid car market data and forecast electric vehicle market by year using potential demand market through SP(Stated Preference) experiment. Also, It facilitates more accurate demand forecasting electric vehicle market refelcting multigeneration diffusion model in accordance with attribute progress in development of electric vehicle. Through demand forecasting methodology in this paper, it can be utilized power supply and building a charging infra in the future.

Sensitivity Analysis for Input Parameters of a Radiological Dose Assessment Model (U. S. NRC Model) for Ingestion Pathways (오염 음식물에 의한 피폭선량 평가모델 (U. S. NRC 모델)의 입력변수에 대한 민감도분석)

  • Hwang, Won-Tae;Suh, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Eun-Han;Choi, Young-Gil;Han, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.233-239
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    • 2000
  • The sensitivity analysis of input parameters was Performed fer an ingestion dose assessment model (U. S. NRC's Regulatory Guide 1.109 model) from routine releases of radionuclides. In this study, three kinds of typical Korean foodstuffs (rice, leaff vegetables, milk) and two kinds of radionuclides $(^{l37}Cs,\;^{131}I)$ were considered. The values of input parameters were sampled using a Latin hypercube sampling technique based on Monte Carlo approach. Sensitivity indices, which represent the influence or the importance of input parameters for predictive results, were quantitatively expressed by the partial rank correlation coefficients. As the results, the ratio of the interception fraction to the yield of agricultural plants and the human consumption rate were sensitive input parameters for the considered foodstuffs and radionuclides. Additionally, in case of milk, the transfer factor of radionuclides from animal intake to milk and the daily intake rate of feedstuffs were sensitive input parameters. The weathering removal half-life and the delay time from food production to human consumption were relatively sensitive for $^{137}Cs$ and $^{131}I$ depositions, respectively.

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Analysis Ripple Effect for Physical Promotion in Connection with Local Cultural Contents: Primarily based on Specialized Streets (지역 문화콘텐츠의 물리적 홍보 파급효과 분석 -특화거리를 중심으로-)

  • Shon, Sang-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2016
  • Utilization of cultural contents is more and more increasing as it is believed to improve local problems and provide historical values. This kind of business is positive in terms of the fact that it attracts visitors into local areas and activate local commercial areas. Under this trend, the construction of specialized streets is required to be approached with first priority to solve problems of cities. So to speak, it's more important to solve intrinsic problems found in local communities and then approach cultural contents step-by-step rather than constructing new spaces with first priority. Moreover, cultural contents should accompany economic aspects which result in local community-friendly and sympathetically concentrated values. Under this sentiment, the efforts to suggest economic ripple effects for government local government's businesses using cultural contents are very important. This study analyzed how much economic ripple effects is yielded by reflecting cultural contents. As the result of analysis, specialized street with cultural contents applied are proved to be more concentrated on multiplier of expediting employment, income and tax and tourism industry than service industry. On the contrary to this, service industry showed more concentrated multiplier of expediting production, income, added values and chain reaction effect (coefficients for influence and sensitivity for front and rear side of tourism industry. Based on these results, construction of specialized streets with cultural contents applied is proved to help synergy effects for local economy.

Effect of Educational Attainment of Household Head on Eating-out Demand (가구주 학력이 외식수요에 미치는 효과)

  • Kim, Young-Sook;Chun, Soon-Sil
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.1407-1413
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    • 2005
  • Korean households' expenditures on the eating -out have been steadily increasing except for the foreign exchange crisis period. This paper aimed to examine the eating-out expenditures of salary and wage earners's households by educational attainment of household head. We modeled the demand function of eating-out in terms of income and price, examining the responsiveness of eating-out demand to changes in income and price using econometric methods such as regression, rolling regression and impulse response. This paper showed that coefficients of income and price tended to decrease as the income rises in the long-run. Specifically, the higher the educational attainment of household head is, the smaller the coefficients of income and price we. The impulse response analysis also indicated that while price shocks decreased the demand for eating-out, income shocks tended to increase tile demand for eating-out in all the educational attainments. Furthermore income shocks were much greater and last longer than price shocks at all educational attainments of household heads.

Stability Analysis of Multiple Thermal Energy Storage Caverns Using a Coupled Thermal-Mechanical Model (열-역학적 연계해석 모델을 이용한 다중 열저장공동 안정성 분석)

  • Kim, Hyunwoo;Park, Dohyun;Park, Eui-Seob;Sunwoo, Choon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2014
  • Cavern Thermal Energy Storage system stores thermal energy in caverns to recover industrial waste heat or avoid the sporadic characteristics of renewable-energy resources, and its advantages include high injection-and-extraction powers and the flexibility in selecting a storage medium. In the present study, the structural stability of rock mass pillar between these silo-type storage caverns was assessed using a coupled thermal-mechanical model in $FLAC^{3D}$. The results of numerical simulations showed that thermal stresses due to long-term storage depended on pillar width and had significant effect on the pillar stability. A sensitivity analysis of main factors indicated that the influence on the pillar stability increased in the order cavern depth < pillar width < in situ condition. It was suggested that two identical caverns should be separated by at least one diameter of the cavern and small-diameter shaft neighboring the cavern should be separated by more than half of the cavern diameter. Meanwhile, when the line of centers of two caverns was parallel to the direction of maximum horizontal principal stress, the shielding effect of the caverns could minimize an adverse effect caused by a large horizontal stress.

A Study on the Global Co-movement & Spillover Effect of Housing Price (주택가격의 글로벌 동조화와 파급경로에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Young Gil
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.39-52
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    • 2014
  • This study examines the degree of global co-movement & spillover effect among the housing price of ten major countries of OECD including Korea, based on the 3 hypothesis. The data used in this study is quarterly house price index of OECD countries from 1975 to 2012. VAR model is used to analyze the co-movement, and Granger causality methodology is used for the analysis of Spillover Effect. It is found that entire period of study is that the global house prices showed the co-movement, but the coefficient was weak. Since 2008 global financial crisis, the co-movement increased significantly and the adjusted R-square of this model increased 78% compared to the entire period (1975-2012). In general, all hypotheses in this study were significant, and the common shock hypothesis were most significant. In case of Korea, the degree of co-movement was weak compared to the other countries and spillover effect was independent since 2008.

Analysis of Forestry Household Income Inequality using Gini Coefficient Decomposition by Income Sources (소득원천별 지니계수 분해법을 이용한 임가의 소득불평등 분석)

  • Kim, Eui-Gyeong;Kim, Bo-Kyeong;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.108 no.3
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    • pp.392-404
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the impact of various income sources on income inequality of forestry households. Data from the Forestry Household Economy Survey from 2013-2016 were analyzed using the Gini coefficient decomposition method via income source. In particular, the income inequality analysis of forestry households was broken down into separate analyses based on group, i.e., the whole of forestry households and the five income quintile classes. The results of the analyses showed that income inequality of forestry households is primarily affected by forestry and nonforestry incomes and income quintile class. Moreover, income inequality of the highest income quintile class was largely affected by forestry income compared with other sources of income, whereas that of other income quintile classes was largely affected by nonforestry income. Therefore, in order to reduce income inequality in forestry households, it is necessary to increase the proportion of forestry income in the lower four quintile classes. Given that the income of the lowest quintile class is negative, it is necessary to devise ways to improve the proportion and quantity of forestry income. At the same time, as forestry income increases, a policy alternative is also required to improve inequality in forestry income.

The Learning Stress, Immersion and Satisfaction in FTF and NFTF Classes of Major Subjects in Junior College

  • Gyeoung-Ran, Moon
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2023
  • This study is a case study comparing and examining the effects of non-face-to-face(NFTF) classes in the 2021-2 semester and face-to-face(FTF) classes in the 2022-2 semester on learning immersion, learning stress, and learning satisfaction. The learning immersion and learning satisfaction of 240 students were analyzed in NFTF and FTF classes of department S of C junior college where the same textbook, same subject, and same professor were taught. For data processing, SPSS Ver. 23.0 was used. The data is used to measure reliability by Cronbach's α, t-test, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and multiple regression analysis. The results of this study are as follows. First, learners' learning immersion was higher in FTF than NFTF classes among engineering major subjects. Second, it was found that there was a difference in learning stress according to the types of FTF and NFTF classes in engineering major subjects. Third, it was found that there were differences in practice content, communication, and task performance of sub-factors of learning satisfaction according to FTF and NFTF class types in engineering major subjects. In conclusion, it was found that FTF classes had a more positive effect on learning immersion and satisfaction, and NFTF classes had a more negative effect on learning stress.

A Study on the Analysis of the Interconnection structure between Major countries and Korean Water transport industry (주요 국가 및 우리나라 수상운송업 간의 상호 연관구조 분석 연구)

  • Seon-youl Park;Ho Park
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 2023
  • This study is for analyzing the relation between Korean Water transport and the other main countries Water transport. In the Free trade system, Maritime transport has a high impact on the global economy as well as the each countries. The division of labor through the global value chain(GVCs) has became the ordinary activity in business, and in Maritime shipping,, there are the International trade among countries. Therefore, This study analyze relation of Korean water transport and other 13 regions using World Input-Output Table(WIOT) by Asia Development Bank(ADB). The result of analysis, the proportion of intermediate goods in the input structure of Korean water transport is about 70%, and the ratio of using domestic products is higher than the major European countries. However, since 2000, intermediate inputs from foreign countries have steadily increased, and added value has decreased. Countries with a high relation with Korean Water transport industry are United States(USA) on the input structure, Singapore(SIN) and Japan(JPN) on the distribution structure. Analyzing the relation through the production inducement coefficient, Singapore(SIN) has the high relationship with Korean Water transport industry.