• Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.115-121
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• 2005

Seismicity changes associated with foreshocks of large Korean historical earthquakes of MMI > VIII are investigated for earthquake prediction study. A number of tests showed that b-values of foreshocks associated with these large earthquakes are most stable for precursor period of 13 years before the earthquake and rectangular source area of 1.1o by 1.1o around the epicenter. The b-values of foreshocks for 11 large events of MMI > VIII for the above foreshock area and precursor period turns out to be smaller than the value of 0.36 for the whole historical earthquakes with average 0.27. Epicenters of these foreshocks of small b-values are distributed close to the location of the main large earthquake. These observations indicate a possibility of predicting large earthquakes by closely monitoring the change of b-value for an extended period over decades in the Korean peninsula.

• Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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• 1998.04a
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• pp.3-20
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• 1998

• Proceedings of the KSEG Conference
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• 2003.04a
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• pp.87-92
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• 2003

한반도는 판 내부지역으로서 지구조적 과정이 느리게 진행된다. 그 결과 지진발생빈도가 낮으며 불규칙한 지진발생특성을 보인다. 우리나라에는 약 1900년 간의 역사지진기록과 약 100년 간의 계기지진자료가 있어 지진발생특성 연구에 중요한 정보를 제공하고 있으나, 이들 지진자료를 이용할 때에는 자료의 신뢰성과 정밀도에 유의할 필요가 있다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.759-774
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• 2017

Earthquake concerns have grown after a remarkable earthquake incident on September 12th, 2016 in Gyeongju, Korea. Earthquake forecasting is gaining in importance in order to guarantee infrastructure safety and develop protection policies. In this paper, we adopt a power-law distribution model to fit past earthquake occurrences in Korea with various historical and modern seismological records. We estimated power-law distribution parameters using empirical distributions and calculated the future probabilities for large earthquake events based on our model. We provide the probability that a future event has a larger magnitude than given levels, and the probability that a future event over certain levels will occur in a given period of time. This model contributes to the assessment of latent seismological risk in Korea by estimating future earthquake probabilities.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.309-329
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• 1995

Seismicity and stress state in the Korean peninsula are studied using the catalogue of historical earthquakes and that from the seismological observations before the 1960s, with the aid of instrumental catalogue up to 1995. It seems that the completeness of the historical catalogue has a significant enhancement during the first two hundred years of the Yi dynasty, i.e., from the 1400s to the 1600s. From then on the catalogue may be regarded as near to complete for strong earthquakes in an overall sense. From the distribution of strong earthquakes, three seismic zones may be identified. From the south to the north, those are the southern seismic zone (남부지진대), the Seoul-Pyongyang seismic zone (서울-평양지진대), and the northern seismic zone (북부지진대). The mechanisms of some earthquakes obtained using first motion read- ings are reevaluated with a grid testing method. The results indicate that the compressional axis is nearly horizontal along the EW direction.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.33 no.7
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• pp.637-644
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• 2012

The Seoul metropolitan area is densely populated with 40 percent of Korean people and quite weak to the seismic hazard. According to the analysis of historical documents, the largest earthquake occurred in this area is MMI VIII-IX acompanying with a large shaking, collapse of stone walls, collapse of houses, and many casualties. Two times of damaging earthquakes occurred in the first century (A.D. 27, 89), and there was a long quiet period of about 1430 years. Another big earthquakes re-occurred three times in the 16-17 century (1518, 1613, 1692) and then a quiet period has continued to the present time. Just after Seoul earthquake in 1518, aftershocks occurred almost 19 days consecutively and many triggered earthquakes occurred not only in Seoul metropolitan area but also in Hwanghae province, northern Korea. It indicates that the largest potential earthquake in and around Seoul is MMI VIII-IX with a long occurrence period of about 1400-1500 years.

• The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.253-260
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• 2016

A moment magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred in the Seoul metropolitan region (SMR), Korea, on 9 February 2010. The unexpected shaking attracted much attention and raised concerns about the seismic hazards and risks in the SMR, which was regarded as an area safe from any earthquake hazard. The SMR has a population of 25 million and is one of the largest metropolitan areas in the world. A shakemap for a scenario earthquake with magnitude 6.5 and focal depth 12 km implies that the SMR will be exposed to serious risk because of its large population and the high vulnerability of its buildings. Although the instrumentally recorded earthquakes discussed in this article cannot be classified as major events, they should not be discounted as insignificant. Considering the low seismicity, micro-earthquakes below the magnitude of a conventional seismic network can achieve would be used to estimate background information in the evaluation of earthquake hazards and risks.

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1998.10a
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• pp.363-363
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• 1998

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1999.05a
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• pp.425-425
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• 1999

• Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.91-98
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• 2000

The seismicity of the Korean Peninsula shows a very irregular pattern of strain release typical of the intraplate seismicity. The Korean Peninsula may be divided into several tectonic provinces of differing tectonics. In this analysis, seismicity parameters for each tectonic province are evaluated from historical as well as instrumental earthquake data of the Korean Peninsula to examine the differences in seismic characteristics among tectonic provinces. Statistical analysis of the earthquake data made of incomplete data before the Choseon Dynasty and complete data afterwards reveals that there exist no significant differences in seismic characteristics between the tectonic provinces. It turns out the b-value in the intensity-frequency relation for the whole peninsula is about 0.6 and the maximum earthquake is about MMI X. The results of this study may be used in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of the Korean Peninsula and in estimating the design earthquake in earthquake engineering.