The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea (암석학회지)

The Petrological Society of Korea (한국암석학회)
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Recent Observations of Micro-earthquakes and Its Implications for Seismic Risk in the Seoul Metropolitan Region, Korea

최근 관측된 수도권 지역 미소지진과 지진위험성

  • 김광희 (부산대학교 지질환경과학과) ;
  • 한민희 (부산대학교 지질환경과학과) ;
  • 김명수 (기상청 국가지진화산센터) ;
  • 경재복 (한국교원대학교 지구과학교육과)
  • Received : 2016.07.25
  • Accepted : 2016.08.22
  • Published : 2016.09.30
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Abstract

A moment magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred in the Seoul metropolitan region (SMR), Korea, on 9 February 2010. The unexpected shaking attracted much attention and raised concerns about the seismic hazards and risks in the SMR, which was regarded as an area safe from any earthquake hazard. The SMR has a population of 25 million and is one of the largest metropolitan areas in the world. A shakemap for a scenario earthquake with magnitude 6.5 and focal depth 12 km implies that the SMR will be exposed to serious risk because of its large population and the high vulnerability of its buildings. Although the instrumentally recorded earthquakes discussed in this article cannot be classified as major events, they should not be discounted as insignificant. Considering the low seismicity, micro-earthquakes below the magnitude of a conventional seismic network can achieve would be used to estimate background information in the evaluation of earthquake hazards and risks.

2010년 2월 9일 수도권에서 모멘트 규모 3.1 지진이 발생했다. 수도권 지역에서는 계기지진 관측이 시작된 후 오랫동안 유감지진 보고가 없었기 때문에, 이 지진은 수도권의 지진 위험성과 위해성을 상기시키는 계기가 되었다. 수도권은 약 2천 5백만 명의 인구밀집지역으로서 인구수 측면에서 본다면 세계에서 가장 큰 대도시 중 하나이다. 이 지진이 발생한 위치에서 규모 6.5의 지진이 발생했음을 가정하여 지진동을 시뮬레이션 해보면, 많은 인구와 구조물의 취약성으로 인하여 서울을 포함한 수도권 지역은 매우 심각한 위해성을 가지고 있을 것으로 생각된다. 본 연구의 동기를 제공한 시흥 지진이 피해를 야기할 수 있는 주요 지진으로 간주될 수는 없지만, 이 지역의 역사적 지진기록과 최근 지진발생 현황에 비추어 볼 때 그 중요성을 간과해서는 안 된다. 또한 수도권처럼 지진발생이 많지 않은 곳에서는 기존의 지진관측망으로 감시하는 지진보다 작은 규모의 지진을 지진위험성 및 위해성 평가에 사용할 것을 제안한다.

Keywords

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