• Title/Summary/Keyword: 역사지진

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Approach to the Earthquake Prediction by Analyzing Foreshocks of Large Korean Historical Earthquakes (역사지진에서 강진의 전진에 대한 특성 분석을 통한 지진 예지에 대한 고찰)

  • E, Sang-Hion;Lee, Kie-Hwa
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2005
  • Seismicity changes associated with foreshocks of large Korean historical earthquakes of MMI > VIII are investigated for earthquake prediction study. A number of tests showed that b-values of foreshocks associated with these large earthquakes are most stable for precursor period of 13 years before the earthquake and rectangular source area of $1.1^{\circ}$ by $1.1^{\circ}$ around the epicenter. The b-values of foreshocks for 11 large events of MMI > VIII for the above foreshock area and precursor period turns out to be smaller than the value of 0.36 for the whole historical earthquakes with average 0.27. Epicenters of these foreshocks of small b-values are distributed close to the location of the main large earthquake. These observations indicate a possibility of predicting large earthquakes by closely monitoring the change of b-value for an extended period over decades in the Korean peninsula.

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Approach to the Earthquake Prediction by Analyzing Foreshocks of Large Korean Historical Earthquakes (역사지진에서 강진의 전진에 대한 특성 분석을 통한 지진 예지에 대한 고찰)

  • E, Sang-Hion;Lee, Kie-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2005
  • Seismicity changes associated with foreshocks of large Korean historical earthquakes of MMI > VIII are investigated for earthquake prediction study. A number of tests showed that b-values of foreshocks associated with these large earthquakes are most stable for precursor period of 13 years before the earthquake and rectangular source area of 1.1o by 1.1o around the epicenter. The b-values of foreshocks for 11 large events of MMI > VIII for the above foreshock area and precursor period turns out to be smaller than the value of 0.36 for the whole historical earthquakes with average 0.27. Epicenters of these foreshocks of small b-values are distributed close to the location of the main large earthquake. These observations indicate a possibility of predicting large earthquakes by closely monitoring the change of b-value for an extended period over decades in the Korean peninsula.

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Historical earthquake data of Korean (한반도의 역사지진자료)

  • Lee, Gi Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 1998
  • Korea boasts of abundant historical earthquake records of almost 1900 events. The epicenters and intensities of these earthquakes are determined on the basis of descriptions and felt areas of the events. It turns out that most of the earthquakes occurred on major faults or tectonic boundaries of the peninsula except for the northeastern part which had been the least disrupted by tectonic disturbances during the Mesozoic. It appears that the crustal layers of the southern and northwestern parts of the peninsula had been severely ruptured during the Mesozoic disturbances and some of the faults thus generated have been active since. The seismicity of the peninsula had been rather low from the first to the fourteenth century, but unusually high from the fifteenth to the eighteenth century, and have been rather low since. This period of unusually high seismicity of the peninsula coincides with that of the northeastern part of China, suggesting the two areas are seismologically closely connected. It appears that most of the seismicity of the peninsula results from the high stress propagating from the Himalayas where the Eurasian and Indian plates collide. The data file of Korean historical earthquakes is not yet complete and supplementary studies are under way. The main purpose of this paper is to provide the data file of Korean historical earthquakes analyzed up to date for geoscientists and engineers in need of this file.

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Recent Observations of Micro-earthquakes and Its Implications for Seismic Risk in the Seoul Metropolitan Region, Korea (최근 관측된 수도권 지역 미소지진과 지진위험성)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Han, Minhui;Kim, Myeongsu;Kyung, Jai-Bok
    • The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.253-260
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    • 2016
  • A moment magnitude 3.1 earthquake occurred in the Seoul metropolitan region (SMR), Korea, on 9 February 2010. The unexpected shaking attracted much attention and raised concerns about the seismic hazards and risks in the SMR, which was regarded as an area safe from any earthquake hazard. The SMR has a population of 25 million and is one of the largest metropolitan areas in the world. A shakemap for a scenario earthquake with magnitude 6.5 and focal depth 12 km implies that the SMR will be exposed to serious risk because of its large population and the high vulnerability of its buildings. Although the instrumentally recorded earthquakes discussed in this article cannot be classified as major events, they should not be discounted as insignificant. Considering the low seismicity, micro-earthquakes below the magnitude of a conventional seismic network can achieve would be used to estimate background information in the evaluation of earthquake hazards and risks.

Maximum Earthquakes in the Korean Peninsula (한반도의 최대지진)

  • 이기화
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • 한반도 주요 지체구조구에 대한 최대지진을 지진 및 지질자료를 이용하여 여러 가지 방법으로 결정하였다. 한반도에서 발생한 가장 큰 지진은 MMI IX - X의 범위에 걸치며 이는 M= 7.0 - 7.7 에 해당한다. Gumbel의 극대치 제3분포를 이용하면 지체구조구별 최대지진은 M = 7.1 - 7.9의 범위에 놓이고, 응력방출 양상을 분석하면 M = 6.7 - 7.7 가 도출된다. 단층길이와 규모와의 상관관계에서 최대지진은 M = 7.4 - 7.6 에 놓인다. 한반도의 주요 지체구조구 사이에 최대지진의 현격한 차이를 나타내는 지진 및 지질학적 증거는 없다. 역사지진의 평가에서 강진들은 대략 1 계급( M=0.7) 과대 평가되는 경향이 있으므로, 한반도의 최대지진은 대략 M = 7.0으로 추정된다.

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Seismic Characteristics of Tectonic Provinces of the Korean Peninsula (한반도 주요 지체구조구별 지진학적 특성)

  • Lee, Kie-Hwa;Kim, Jung-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2000
  • The seismicity of the Korean Peninsula shows a very irregular pattern of strain release typical of the intraplate seismicity. The Korean Peninsula may be divided into several tectonic provinces of differing tectonics. In this analysis, seismicity parameters for each tectonic province are evaluated from historical as well as instrumental earthquake data of the Korean Peninsula to examine the differences in seismic characteristics among tectonic provinces. Statistical analysis of the earthquake data made of incomplete data before the Choseon Dynasty and complete data afterwards reveals that there exist no significant differences in seismic characteristics between the tectonic provinces. It turns out the b-value in the intensity-frequency relation for the whole peninsula is about 0.6 and the maximum earthquake is about MMI X. The results of this study may be used in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of the Korean Peninsula and in estimating the design earthquake in earthquake engineering.

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