• Title/Summary/Keyword: 여론 변화

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How Accurate are the Telephone Polls in Korea? (전화여론조사의 예측정확도 분석)

  • Cho, Sung-Kyum
    • Survey Research
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 2009
  • In Korea, telephone surveys have been used in election forecasting since 1992. In some elections, predictions were excellent, but in some elections, the predictions based on telephone surveys were not good. So, exit polls have been used along with the telephone surveys in predicting election outcomes since 2001 by the major broadcasting networks. Though telephone surveys, in general, have been less accurate than exit polls in election forecasting from 2000 to 2003, they were more accurate in the 2004 General Election than the exit polls. All predictions on the winners by the telephone surveys turned out to be accurate. But such success has not persisted. In the 2008 General Election, the telephone surveys was less accurate than the exit polls and actually its accuracy fell clown to the level of the 2000 General Election. This paper tried to find out. the factors responsible for the fluctuation of the accuracy of telephone polls.

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Analysis of the effect of the mention in SNS on the result of election (SNS의 관심도가 선거결과에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Choi, Eun-Jung;Choi, Sea-Won;Lee, Se-Yeon;Kim, Myhung-Joo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.191-197
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    • 2017
  • As individual opinions are expressed and discussed through SNS, SNS is used as a new basis to estimate the direction of public opinion. This change also appears in election. So many voters state their views through SNS, so that candidates utilize it as a new space for communication. In this paper, positive mention in SNS were collected and analysed in the course of the election of Korean 20th Congressman, to understand how the mention on election in SNS affects the result of election. This result was compared with the traditional survey on public opinion, to find out which one more corresponds to the result. In conclusion, mention in SNS coincide more with the result of elelction than the traditional survey.

A Changes of Opinion according to the Sejong City Construction Plan Using Media Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 이용한 세종시 건설 계획에 관한 여론 변화)

  • Jo, Sung Su;Lee, Sang Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze on the changes of opinion in terms of Sejong City construction using big data. The research data are newspaper articles related to the argument of construction in Sejong City. The newspaper article data was reported by Hankyoreh, Dong-A Ilbo and Hankook Ilbo. The arguments related to the construction of Sejong City was included the new administrative capita, multifunctional administrative city and amendments of Sejong City. The analysis method used in this study is frequency analysis, sentiment analysis and social network analysis using python and gephi 0.9.2 programs. The results of the analysis are as follows. First, as a result of frequency analysis, the keywords of Hankyoreh showed the characteristics of consent - consent - dissent according to the construction period of Sejong City. The Dong-A Ilbo showed positions of dissent - dissent - consent. In addition, the Hankook Ilbo was analyzed to have the characteristics of dissent - consent - dissent tendency. Secondly, results of sentiment analysis, The Hankyoreh showed positive - positive - negative tone. The characteristic of Dong-A Ilbo is that the focus has changed from negative to negative to positive. The Hankook Ilbo showed that changed from negative to positive to negative. Finally, the results of social network analysis are as follows. At the time of the construction of Sejong City, each opinion of media was showed a changes in issues according to political and ideological characteristics such as conservative, progressive and moderation. In detail, Hankyoreh focused on balanced regional development. The Dong-A Ilbo represented the opinion of the Conservative Party. The Hankook Ilbo was highlighting the issues confronting the conservative party and progressive party during the construction of Sejong City.

기고 - 유통구조 합리화 신규 수요 확대 등 정책목표 중점 추진

  • Yang, Hae-Gu
    • LP가스
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2010
  • 2010년 한해에도 가스산업에 많은 변화가 예상됩니다. 국내적으로는 LPG업계의 담합판정으로 비난 여론이 급등하고 있으며, 기존 LPG 공급지역에 도시가스 보급이 확대되면서 국내 프로판 수요는 감소세 등 LGP 시장이 위기를 맞고 있습니다. 그러나 정부와 LPG업계는 어려운 상황에서도 LPG 경쟁력확보와 소비자 부담 완화 차원에서 LPG시장 안정대책을 금년에도 지속적으로 추진할 것입니다.

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서울시 준공업 지역 아파트 건립 논란-미래 산업 구조 변화 위한 연구 선행돼야

  • Lee, Ho-Gi
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.218
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    • pp.66-69
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    • 2008
  • 최근 서울시와 서울시의회가 준공업 지역 내 공동 주택 건립 허용을 놓고 공방을 벌이고 있다. 서울시의회는 개정안을 내놓았지만 서울시의 강력한 반발과 불리하게 돌아가는 여론 때문에 한발 물러선 상태다. 서울시 준공업 지역의 현황과 준공업 지역을 둘러싼 논쟁의 바람직한 해결 방안은 무엇인지 알아본다.

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교양만화에도 영역확대 바람

  • Heo, Yeon
    • The Korean Publising Journal, Monthly
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    • s.172
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    • pp.6-6
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    • 1995
  • 90년대 들어 지속적인 불황에 시달리던 출판사들이 총 4천억원이 넘는 만화출판물시장에 눈을 돌리기 시작했다. '적어도 손해는 보지 않는다'는 여론으로 발빠른 확산이 이뤄졌고 지금은 과학과 철학, 바둑이나 컴퓨터 역사에 이르기까지 다양한 교양만화들이 선보이고 있다. 변화의 벽에 부딪친 출판계에 만화출판은 새로운 가능성을 보여준다.

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원자력 발전의 필요성

  • 전재풍
    • 전기의세계
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    • v.39 no.11
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 1990
  • 세계의 인구증가와 경제성장에 따라 필연적으로 에너지 소비량도 증가하게 될것이다. 1989년 10월 유엔(UN) 총회에서 국제원자력기구 사무총장인 Hans Blix박사가 연설한 [세계 경제 발전과 전반적인 에너지 소요증가에 따른 원자력의 역할에 대한 재평가]에 의하면 앞으로의 20년간 2차에너지의 소비량은 지금보다 50%-70% 증가할 것으로 예상되며 이로 인한 이산화탄소의 발생량을 감소시키기 위해서는 화석연료의 사용억제가 필요한데 완전한 해결책은 없으나 그래도 원자력발전이 산성비나 기상변화에 영향을 주지 않으면서 세계 에너지 수급 균형에 크게 기여할 수 있다는 점을 강조하고 있다. 또한 최근에는 원자력발전에 대한 세계각국의 여론동향도 원전의 긍정적 역할을 재인식하면서 필요성에 대한 찬성여론이 증가하고 있는 추세이며 특히 안전성에 역점을 두고 개발되고 있는 신형안전로에 대해서는 더욱 좋은 반응을 보이고 있는 것으로 조사되고 있다. 자원빈국이며 비산유국인 우리나라의 경우 앞으로의 에너지 위기에 대처하기 위해서는 고갈성 화석연료의 대체가 가능한 태양에너지, 해양에너지 및 연료전지와 같은 신.재생에너지의 개발이 시급하나 아직 실용화가 요원한 상태이고 보면 앞에서 서술한 여러가지 원자력발전의 필요성을 고려할때 기술집약형 대체에너지인 원자력발전사업의 지속적인 추진만이 에너지 문제의 현실적 해결책이라고 믿어진다.

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Evaluating Public Support System on Media the Case of Special Act on Supporting Local Press (미디어 지원제도의 성과와 한계 지역신문발전지원특별법을 중심으로)

  • Yi, Byong-Nam;Kim, Sae-Eun
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.46
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    • pp.280-322
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is put on the evaluation of public support for media with the case of Special Act on Supporting Local Press whose main purpose can be said to help local press in crisis intending the improvement of news quality. However, it was controversial whether public support on specific media under the governmental leadership, which is related to the disputes on its abrogation with the change of the regime. Therefore, this study tries to evaluate its achievement focused on its effect on the diversity of public opinion especially with the eyes of audience. In-depth interviews were executed to find out whether it had helped local press to improve public interest for the last three years of public support. The interviewees, the readers as well as monitors of local press, answered that there had been some improvement in news quality and diversity of local press in general. However, they thought that fund support for news gathering cost was problematic and would be negative in the long-term perspective. In conclusion, the interviewees regarded Special Act on Supporting Local Press as necessary one to help local press in crisis but pointed out also that the act might not enough to change local press because the situation they were facing is so complex. Hence, this study argues that the evaluation of Special Act on supporting Local Press should be approached Abstracts 683 not on the basis of political logics but of the public interest and democracy.

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The Impact of Changes in Social Information Processing Mechanism on Social Consensus Making in the Information Society (정보화사회에 있어서 사회적 정보처리 메커니즘의 변화가 사회적 컨센서스 형성에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Jin, Seung-Hye;Kim, Yong-Jin
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.141-163
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    • 2011
  • The advancement of information technologies including the Internet has affected the way of social information processing as well as brought about the paradigm shift to the information society. Accordingly, it is very important to study the process of social information processing over the digital media through which social information is generated, distributed, and led to social consensus. In this study, we analyze the mechanism of social information processing, identify a process model of social consensus and institutionalization of the results, and finally propose a set of information processing characteristics on the internet media. We deploy the ethnographic approach to analyze the meaning of group behavior in the context of society to analyze two major events which happened in Korean society. The formation process of social consensus is found to consist of 5 steps: suggestion of social issues, selective reflection on public opinion, acceptance of the issues and diffusion, social consensus, and institutionalization and feedback. The key characteristics of information processing in the Internet is grouped into proactive response to an event, the changes in the role of opinion leader, the flexibility of proposal and analysis, greater scalability, relevance to consensus making, institutionalization and interaction. This study contributes to the literature by proposing a process model of social information processing which can be used as the basis for analyzing the social consensus making process from the social network perspective. In addition, this study suggests a new perspective where the utility of the Internet media can be understood from the social information processing so that other disciplines including politics, communications, and management can improve the decision making performance in utilizing the Internet media.

Building Casebase for the Content Analysis in Internet Community (인터넷 커뮤니티 콘텐츠 분석을 위한 사례베이스 구축)

  • Ko, Min Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.937-938
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    • 2009
  • 인터넷의 대중화로 커뮤니티에 콘텐츠가 대량으로 생성되고 있고, 이들은 또 다른 측면의 여론으로 그 비중이 커져가고 있다. 이러한 변화에 기존에 구축된 웹 데이터베이스를 기준으로 생성된 인터넷 커뮤니티 콘텐츠를 처리하고자 할 경우, 새로이 생성된 언어와 패턴으로 인하여 분류 및 관리에 어려움이 많다. 본 연구는 이를 해결하기 위해서 실시간으로 웹로봇을 활용하여 새로운 사례와 데이터를 수집하고, 이를 사례별로 분류한 사례베이스를 구축하여 대량의 커뮤니티 콘텐츠 분석이 가능하다.