• Title/Summary/Keyword: 실업문제

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Application of Web Query Information for Forecasting Korean Unemployment Rate (실업률 예측을 위한 인터넷 검색 정보의 활용)

  • Kwon, Chi-Myung;Hwang, Sung-Won;Jung, Jae-Un
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2015
  • Unemployment is related to social issues as well as personal economics activity so various policies have been made to reduce the unemployment rate in many countries. Because of delay inherent in the survey mechanism to collect unemployment data, it takes lots of time to acquire survey unemployment data. To develop proper policies for reducing unemployment rate at the right time, it is quite critical to obtain faster and more accurate information concerning about unemployment level. To remedy this problem, recently an advanced analytics utilizing internet queries is suggested. To examine the potential of Web query information, this research investigates the usefulness of internet activity data to predict Korean unemployment rate. One of selected web-query data(unemployment claim) has a quite strong correlation with unemployment rate. This research employes a time series approach of the ARIMA model that utilizes the information of keyword queries provided by the Naver(Korean representative portal site) trend together with unemployment rate data provisioned from Statistics Korea. With respect to model selection guidelines of mean squared error and prediction error, the model with utilizing the web query information shows better results than the model without such information. This suggests that there is a strong potential for the used method, which needs to be further explored.

The Structure and Spatial Patterns of Unemployment in Germany (독일 실업문제의 구조적 특성과 공간적 전개양상)

  • Ahn, Young-Jin;Lee, Won-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2001
  • This paper is to examine the trends and structures of unemployment as well as its spatial patterns in Germany. Germany once achieved a well-developed employment system and full employment. Since 1970, however, unemployment has been one of the major issues in Germany. During the last three decades the unemployment rate has risen to unprecedented levels and stayed high. After the German unification, especially, labor market is characterized by the mass unemployment and the structural selective process of unemployment to be imposed on German workers. And regarding to the spatial patterns of massive unemployment, this study shows critical disparities between South and North Germany being overlapped with new disparities between East and West Germany. We can explain the regional differentiation of unemployment on the base of typical mismatch of labour market allocation. It is also shown that massive unemployment is related not only to policy shifts in labor market but also to structural transformation after the unification.

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A Comparative Study on Unemployment Insurance, Social Assistance and ALMP in OECD Countries (실업안전망 국제비교연구: 실업보험, 사회부조, 적극적노동시장정책의 제도조합과 유형화)

  • Lee, Sophia Seung-yoon
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.345-375
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    • 2018
  • This study examines labour market and unemployment protection policies as a configuration in 12 OECD countries in order to investigate how countries from different regime conform to or diverse from previous welfare state regime discussion, and to examine its relationship with poverty and inequality. In analyzing the combination of the unemployment insurance, the unemployment assistance, and active labour market policy, firstly, fuzzy scores of unemployment insurance was calculated by analyzing the strictness of eligibility, duration of benefit and the generosity of income replacement rate. For unemployment assistance, the ratio of public assistance expenditure to the GDP in each country and the ratio of unemployment benefit level to the average wage in each country have been considered. As for the active labour market policy, the total expenditure per GDP of this policy was converted into fuzzy points and analyzed. As a result, 5 types in 2005 and 6 types in 2010 were generated. Specifically, 'assistance type(iAp)', 'insurance type (Iap)', 'comprehensive safety net type (IAP)', 'weak safety net type(iap)' were analyzed. This paper suggested policy implication for South Korean case, which consistently had high score for weak safety net type(iap).

(Problem analysis of the Computer Education Curriculum for Vocational High School) (실업계 고등학교의 컴퓨터 교육과정 문제점 분석)

  • 장순규;이태욱
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.3 no.8
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    • pp.999-1006
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    • 2002
  • Now Vocational High School have many Problems. The Alternative proposal, to easy go on to university of same tract can not a substitute of the basic cause. Vocational High School is needed to the practical curriculum for her place. This article analyzes the problems of the Computer Education Curriculum for Vocational High School by compared with the demanded Curriculum, haying his or her Career when the student complete the Vocational High School course.

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Estimating the Structure of the Short and the Long Run Variations in the Domestic Youth Unemployment (국내 청년실업의 단.장기 변동구조 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2008
  • The government employment statistics show the close comovement of the whole domestic unemployment rate with the youth unemployment rate for the past 10 years, implying the dominant influence of the unemployment of the youth age. This study investigates the structure of the short-run variation and the process of the long-run adjustment in the unemployment rates of the youth and middle ages by formulating the dynamic equation system. The estimation result consistently reflects the vulnerability of the youth class in the aggravation of the employment condition. The effect of exogenous changes is found to be persistent in the unemployment rates of both ages, which appear to have similar structures of the long-run time path. However, the youth unemployment rate turns out to have a relatively long adjustment process to the long-run equilibrium.

Measurement of Unemployment and Extended Unemployment Indicators in Korea (실업률 측정의 문제점과 보완적 실업지표 연구)

  • Hwang, Soo Kyeong
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.89-127
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    • 2010
  • This paper explores the causes and solutions of the problem that the official unemployment rate does not adequately represent the reality of the employment situation in Korea. First, compared to ILO's international standards, there are several differences in the measurement of unemployment in Korea, for example, the treatment of unpaid family workers working less than 18 hours per week, the classification of persons who are waiting for a new job or temporarily laid-off, and the criteria of job search activities. The questionnaire structure of the Labor Force Survey in Korea also misleads the judgment of economic activity state. Comparing the responses of the basic survey to those of the supplementing survey, approximately 90% of the responses show discrepancies and this indicates the possibility of misclassification. Next, this paper suggests the extended unemployment indicators as alternative, based on the current survey. The extended unemployment indicators support the presence of significant amounts of hidden unemployed and underemployed. And, it is found that the analyses using those indicators are very useful for the investigation of many aspects of employment dynamics.

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Kangwondo's Unemployment Counterplan : Review and Priorities (강원도의 실업대책 : 평가와 과제)

  • Lee, Jong-Min;Kim, Young-Sik
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.12
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    • pp.275-301
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    • 1999
  • The year of 1998 was a very hard time for the most of Koreans. The rate of unemployment, which had averaged between 2 and 2.5 percent for many years, has continued to rise as the industrial production declined from the first quarter of 1998. The seasonally unadjusted unemployment rate recorded high of 8.4 percent in the first quarter of 1999, and the number of the unemployed as 1.75 million. On the other hand, the unemployment rate in Kangwondo used to be smaller than the nation-wide rate. However, this should not be taken as evidence that Kangwondo's economy used to perform better than others, because the participation rate also used to be smaller in Kangwondo than other regions. Anyhow, the unemployment problem is one of urgent issues in Korean society. The purpose of this paper is to overall review Kangwondo's unemployment counterplan and to make priorities about what we have to do against the long-run unemployment. In addition to implementing unemployment countermeasure of the central government, Kangwondo has to devise in itself unemployment counterplan reflecting local attributes.

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국내외 대학 패션관련학과의 산학연 관련 교육과정 분석

  • 고순영;박명자
    • Proceedings of the Costume Culture Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.61-62
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    • 2003
  • 최근 경기부진에 따른 고용악화로 실업이 늘고, 고학력자들과 청년실업의 문제는 심각한 사회문제로까지 부각되는 반면, 기업측면에서 보면 우수 인력자들의 부족 현상 또한 심각한 고용문제로 대두되고 있다. 따라서 국내 패션관련 학과에서는 우수한 패션디자이너와 기술자를 양성하는 산학협동 교육시스템을 운영하여 패션산업 현장에서 필요한 우수 전문인력을 양성하고, 산학공동협력 프로그램을 활성화하고 산학교류를 확대하여 졸업생들의 취업률을 향상시키고자 하는 움직임이 일고 있다. (중략)

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Comparative Analysis of Youth Unemployment in Korea and Japan: Implications for Korea (한국과 일본의 청년실업 비교분석 및 시사점)

  • Baak, SaangJoon;Jang, Keunho
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.58-108
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    • 2019
  • This paper analyzes the determining factors in the unemployment rate among young people in their 20s by studying data from 30 OECD countries between 2000 and 2017. It identifies reasons why Korea has a higher youth unemployment rate than Japan, and assesses what implications Japan's youth unemployment measures could have on Korea. The study highlights the variables that have meaningful impacts on youth unemployment. They include the unemployment rate among the working-age population, the percentage of each age bracket in the overall population, the GDP growth rate, the percentage of wage laborers in each age group, the percentage of elderly people, and the percentage of part-time workers. This paper also finds that a decline in the youth population, especially among people in their 20s, does not help to address the issue of youth unemployment. Secondly, this paper explains the additional factors behind Korea's higher youth unemployment rates. One is Korea's disadvantageous employment environment, compared to that in Japan, in terms of wage earnings. Other factors include the existence of fewer decent corporate jobs than in Japan, and wide disparities in wages between large and small corporate jobs. Therefore, while making efforts to resolve long-term and structural problems, it is necessary to actively promote policy measures to solve short-term mismatch problems of youth employment by referring to Japanese policy examples.