• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신뢰 전이

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Long Range Forecast of Garlic Productivity over S. Korea Based on Genetic Algorithm and Global Climate Reanalysis Data (전지구 기후 재분석자료 및 인공지능을 활용한 남한의 마늘 생산량 장기예측)

  • Jo, Sera;Lee, Joonlee;Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Hur, Jina;Kang, Mingu;Choi, Won Jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.391-404
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    • 2021
  • This study developed a long-term prediction model for the potential yield of garlic based on a genetic algorithm (GA) by utilizing global climate reanalysis data. The GA is used for digging the inherent signals from global climate reanalysis data which are both directly and indirectly connected with the garlic yield potential. Our results indicate that both deterministic and probabilistic forecasts reasonably capture the inter-annual variability of crop yields with temporal correlation coefficients significant at 99% confidence level and superior categorical forecast skill with a hit rate of 93.3% for 2 × 2 and 73.3% for 3 × 3 contingency tables. Furthermore, the GA method, which considers linear and non-linear relationships between predictors and predictands, shows superiority of forecast skill in terms of both stability and skill scores compared with linear method. Since our result can predict the potential yield before the start of farming, it is expected to help establish a long-term plan to stabilize the demand and price of agricultural products and prepare countermeasures for possible problems in advance.

A Study of Public Library Untact Service Operation Way Based on a User Perception Survey (이용자 인식조사를 기반으로 한 공공도서관 비대면 서비스 운영 방향에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Dayoung;Noh, Younghee
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.161-188
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    • 2021
  • Libraries are experiencing numerous modifications to multifunctional spaces in response to the declaration of WHO pandemic. Most libraries throughout the globe have reported their closures, including national libraries in every country, and most established facing services have been transformed to untact services. However, the breadth of the service varies by local autonomous entity and library, making it difficult for librarians to act according to their conviction, and also users are feeling inconvenienced. As a result, this study used a user perception survey to determine the extent of non-face-to-face services in the library and to suggest the direction of operation of non-face-to-face services in a pandemic condition. To that purpose, beginning February 12, 2020, an online survey of library customers in 37 public libraries was performed for about three weeks, and the 117 replies were examined using the SPSS statistics tool to perform frequency analysis, regression analysis, correlation analysis, and reliability analysis. By the survey and data survey results, it was recommended that library services be re-established in the direction of non-face-to-face library service operation, that library non-face-to-face services be expanded, that user education be conducted, that non-face-to-face services be promoted, and that user opinions be collected.

Regionalization of rainfall-runoff model parameters based on the correlation of regional characteristic factors (지역특성인자의 상호연관성을 고려한 강우-유출모형 매개변수 지역화)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Sumyia, Uranchimeg;Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.955-968
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    • 2021
  • A water resource plan is routinely based on a natural flow and can be estimated using observed streamflow data or a long-term continuous rainfall-runoff model. However, the watershed with the natural flow is very limited to the upstream area of the dam. In particular, for the ungauged watershed, a rainfall-runoff model is established for the gauged watershed, and the model is then applied to the ungauged watershed by transferring the associated parameters. In this study, the GR4J rainfall-runoff model is mainly used to regionalize the parameters that are estimated from the 14 dam watershed via an optimization process. In terms of optimizing the parameters, the Bayesian approach was applied to consider the uncertainty of parameters quantitatively, and a number of parameter samples obtained from the posterior distribution were used for the regionalization. Here, the relationship between the estimated parameters and the topographical factors was first identified, and the dependencies between them are effectively modeled by a Copula function approach to obtain the regionalized parameters. The predicted streamflow with the use of regionalized parameters showed a good agreement with that of the observed with a correlation of about 0.8. It was found that the proposed regionalized framework is able to effectively simulate streamflow for the ungauged watersheds by the use of the regionalized parameters, along with the associated uncertainty, informed by the basin characteristics.

A Study on the Resistve Switching Characteristic of Parallel Memristive Circuit of Lithium Ion Based Memristor and Capacitor (리튬 이온 기반 멤리스터 커패시터 병렬 구조의 저항변화 특성 연구)

  • Kang, Seung Hyun;Lee, Hong-Sub
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2021
  • In this study, in order to secure the high reliability of the memristor, we adopted a patterned lithium filament seed layer as the main agent for resistive switching (RS) characteristic on the 30 nm thick ZrO2 thin film at the device manufacturing stage. Lithium filament seed layer with a thickness of 5 nm and an area of 5 ㎛ × 5 ㎛ were formed on the ZrO2 thin film, and various electrode areas were applied to investigate the effect of capacitance on filament type memristive behavior in the parallel memristive circuit of memristor and capacitor. The RS characteristics were measured in the samples before and after 250℃ post-annealing for lithium metal diffusion. In the case of conductive filaments formed by thermal diffusion (post-annealed sample), it was not available to control the filament by applying voltage, and the other hand, the as-deposited sample showed the reversible RS characteristics by the formation and rupture of filaments. Finally, via the comparison of the RS characteristics according to the electrode area, it was confirmed that capacitance is an important factor for the formation and rupture of filaments.

The Influence of China's Network Video Features on Consumer Subscription Satisfaction and Continuous Subscription Intentions (중국 인터넷 동영상 특성이 소비자 구독 만족도와 지속구독의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Zhang, XinDan;Wang, Lu;Pang, QiWei;Bae, Ki-Hyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.423-435
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this paper is to verify the influence of the characteristics of Chinese online video on users' subscription satisfaction and continuous subscription intention. For this purpose, this paper conducted online and offline questionnaire for customers who had subscription experiences within one month from April 16 to May 16, 2021. A total of 338 questionnaires were collected, except for 55 dishonest responses and non-subscription responses. A total of 283 copies were used for empirical analysis. The analysis results are as follows. First, before implementing the hypothesis verification of this paper, the results of analyzing the rationality and reliability of the measurement concept show six factors of online video characteristics, such as accuracy, social impact, service quality, content diversity, information, and entertainment. Second, among the six factors of the characteristics of online video, accuracy, social influence, service quality, and information have a "positive (+)" impact on subscription satisfaction. Third, in addition to the content diversity and entertainment in the characteristics of online video, the other four factors have a positive impact on consumers' continuous subscription intention. Fourth, subscription satisfaction has a positive impact on continuous subscription intention. Fifth, there is a media effect of subscription satisfaction between the characteristics of online video and the intention of continuous subscription.

A Study on the Improvement of Public Cloud Technology and Policy (공공 클라우드 기술과 정책의 개선방안에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, So Hui;Lee, Yu Rim;Lee, Il-Gu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2021
  • Due to the Covid-19 Pandemic, the world is facing the most serious crisis since the Great Depression, and is facing a new paradigm of the Untact era. Korea has also announced various policies and legal systems, including the 'Korean version of the New Deal', but it is conflicting between the use of information and the protection of information. In this paper, we derive thresholds by analyzing policies, statutes and technologies in the public cloud. Based on this, we propose to introduce the "Building a Nationwide Public Virtual Machine" as a key task to secure the next-generation national growth engine so that all citizens can use digital services in a secure and reliable environment with equal access to information. Through this, all citizens can use various digital new technology services only with low-priced and low-specification terminals, and by establishing a dedicated center for information protection, we want to respond to rapidly increasing security threats. It also points out that the domestic cloud-related legal system only emphasizes the use of information while overlooking the importance of security, and suggests the right direction for the legal system to move forward.

Improvement in Regional-Scale Seasonal Prediction of Agro-Climatic Indices Based on Surface Air Temperature over the United States Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 미국 지표 기온 기반 농업기후지수의 지역 규모 계절 예측성 개선)

  • Chan-Yeong, Song;Joong-Bae, Ahn;Kyung-Do, Lee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.201-217
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    • 2022
  • The United States is one of the largest producers of major crops such as wheat, maize, and soybeans, and is a major exporter of these crops. Therefore, it is important to estimate the crop production of the country in advance based on reliable long- term weather forecast information for stable crops supply and demand in Korea. The purpose of this study is to improve the seasonal predictability of the agro-climatic indices over the United States by using regional-scale daily temperature. For long-term numerical weather prediction, a dynamical downscaling is performed using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, a regional climate model. As the initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF, the global hourly prediction data obtained from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM) are used. The integration of WRF is performed for 22 years (2000-2021) for period from June to December of each year. The empirical quantile mapping, one of the bias correction methods, is applied to the timeseries of downscaled daily mean, minimum, and maximum temperature to correct the model biases. The uncorrected and corrected datasets are referred WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively in this study. The daily minimum (maximum) temperature obtained from WRF_UC presents warm (cold) biases over most of the United States, which can be attributed to the underestimated the low (high) temperature range. The results show that WRF_C simulates closer to the observed temperature than WRF_UC, which lead to improve the long- term predictability of the temperature- based agro-climatic indices.

Digital Twin-Based Communication Optimization Method for Mission Validation of Swarm Robot (군집 로봇의 임무 검증 지원을 위한 디지털 트윈 기반 통신 최적화 기법)

  • Gwanhyeok, Kim;Hanjin, Kim;Junhyung, Kwon;Beomsu, Ha;Seok Haeng, Huh;Jee Hoon, Koo;Ho Jung, Sohn;Won-Tae, Kim
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2023
  • Robots are expected to expand their scope of application to the military field and take on important missions such as surveillance and enemy detection in the coming future warfare. Swarm robots can perform tasks that are difficult or time-consuming for a single robot to be performed more efficiently due to the advantage of having multiple robots. Swarm robots require mutual recognition and collaboration. So they send and receive vast amounts of data, making it increasingly difficult to verify SW. Hardware-in-the-loop simulation used to increase the reliability of mission verification enables SW verification of complex swarm robots, but the amount of verification data exchanged between the HILS device and the simulator increases exponentially according to the number of systems to be verified. So communication overload may occur. In this paper, we propose a digital twin-based communication optimization technique to solve the communication overload problem that occurs in mission verification of swarm robots. Under the proposed Digital Twin based Multi HILS Framework, Network DT can efficiently allocate network resources to each robot according to the mission scenario through the Network Controller algorithm, and can satisfy all sensor generation rates required by individual robots participating in the group. In addition, as a result of an experiment on packet loss rate, it was possible to reduce the packet loss rate from 15.7% to 0.2%.

Launch Environment Test for Scale magNetospheric and Ionospheric Plasma Experiment (SNIPE) Engineering Qualification Model (초소형위성 SNIPE(Scale Magnetospheric and Ionospheric Plasma Experiment) 시제인증모델의 발사환경시험 및 분석)

  • Kim, Min-Ki;Kim, Hae-Dong;Choi, Won-Sub;Kim, Jin-Hyung;Kim, KiDuck;Kim, Ji-Seok;Cho, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Space Technology and Applications
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.319-336
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    • 2021
  • This paper discusses the results of launch environment tests for the engineering qualification model (EQM) of nanosatellite Scale magNetospheric and Ionospheric Plasma Experiment (SNIPE) for scientific missions and lessons learned for the design of nanosatellites. SNIPE is a group of four formation-flying 6U nanosatellites with a range of payloads for missions including space weather measurement. We developed the EQM to verify the preliminary design prior to fabricating the flight model. Launch environment test of EQM was conducted for the first time in 2019, and all failures were corrected and verified at the second test conducted in 2021. A notable point of the two tests is that the nanosatellite deployer used in the first test is different from that of the second test. The second deployer has the capability to fix the internal satellite whereas the first deployer just contains and deploys the satellite. Thus actual mechanical loads the satellite receives is reduced for the second test compared to the first test. This work compares the mechanical responses of two tests and proposes general guidelines for structural design of nanosatellites.

A Study on Stability evaluation in the freezing/thawing process of urine specimen analytes (소변 검체 분석물질의 냉/해동 과정 안정성 평가 연구)

  • Kim, Min Kyung;Kim, Sung Wook;Hwang, You Seong;Oh, Eunha
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.52-62
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to find a way to improve the stability and quality of urinalysis by checking the changes in the measurement values of representative clinical chemistry test items according to the repeated freezing and thawing before the urine test and the thawing process. All subjects were 10 healthy males, and the freeze and thaw stability test was performed using their urine samples. In the case of micro-albumin and amylase, there was no statistical significance at 37℃ with time, but at 42℃ and 60℃, there was a statistically significant change in the results with time. There were statistically significant changes in BUN, creatinine, uric acid, and glucose. As a result of long-term stability, after 7 days, glucose mutation increased and amylase decreased at 60℃. In the case of glucose and amylase, there was a statistically significant change in the results over time. To obtain accurate test results, accurate standardization of urinalysis including appropriate collection, storage, and storage methods of urine samples is required and systematic study of conditions for securing stability for each biomaterial is required.