• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신뢰 전이

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Comparative Study of Reliability Design Methods by Application to Donghae Harbor Breakwaters. 2. Sliding of Caissons (동해항 방파제를 대상으로 한 신뢰성 설계법의 비교 연구. 2. 케이슨의 활동)

  • Kim, Seung-Woo;Suh, Kyung-Duck;Oh, Young-Min
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2006
  • This is the second of a two-part paper which describes comparison of reliability design methods by application to Donghae Harbor Breakwaters. In this paper, Part 2, we deal with sliding of caissons. The failure modes of a vertical breakwater, which consists of a caisson mounted on a rubble mound, include the sliding and overturning of the caisson and the failure of the rubble mound or subsoil, among which most frequently occurs the sliding of the caisson. The traditional deterministic design method for sliding failure of a caisson uses the concept of a safety factor that the resistance should be greater than the load by a certain factor (e.g. 1.2). However, the safety of a structure cannot be quantitatively evaluated by the concept of a safety factor. On the other hand, the reliability design method, for which active research is being performed recently, enables one to quantitatively evaluate the safety of a structure by calculating the probability of failure of the structure. The reliability design method is classified into three categories depending on the level of probabilistic concepts being employed, i.e., Level 1, 2, and 3. In this study, we apply the reliability design methods to the sliding of the caisson of the breakwaters of Donghae Harbor, which was constructed by traditional deterministic design methods to be damaged in 1987. Analyses are made for the breakwaters before the damage and after reinforcement. The probability of failure before the damage is much higher than the allowable value, indicating that the breakwater was under-designed. The probability of failure after reinforcement, however, is close to the allowable value, indicating that the breakwater is no longer in danger. On the other hand, the results of the different reliability design methods are in fairly good agreement, confirming that there is not much difference among different methods.

Reliability Assessment of Tunnel Support Systems Using a Probability-Based Method (확률론적 기법을 이용한 터널 지보시스템의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Do-Hyun;Park, Eui-Seob;Song, Won-Kyong;Ryu, Dong-Woo
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2010
  • The present study developed a program which can assess the reliability of tunnel support systems based on a probability-based method. The developed program uses FLAC2D as a solver, and can automatically execute all the processes, associated with numerical and probabilistic analysis. Since a numerical analysis, which models the ground, requires a significant calculation time, it is actually impossible to apply simulation-based methods to probabilistic assessment on the reliability of tunnel support systems. Therefore, the present study used a point estimate method, which is efficient for probabilistic analysis since the method can significantly reduce the number of samples when compared with the simulation-based method. The developed program was applied to a tunnel project, and the results were compared with those through a deterministic approach. From the comparison, it was identified that a probabilistic approach can quantitatively assess the reliability of tunnel support systems based on probability of failure and can be used as a tool for decision making in tunnel support designs.

Optimal Network Design for Enhancing the Precision of National Geodetic Network (국가 측지망의 정밀도 향상을 위한 최적 측지망 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jae-Myoung;Yun, Hong-Sik;Wie, Gwang-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.587-594
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    • 2010
  • This paper describe the optimal design of geodetic network by analytical technique based on the quality criteria of network. We described an example of geodetic network design taking into account the precision, reliability and robustness that are the main criteria of network design. The main goal of this paper is to evaluate the criteria to design the geodetic network coinciding with the criteria of high precision(error ellipse, 2DRMS, CEP), reliability(internal and external reliability) and robustness(maximum shear strain, principal strain, dilatation). The network design parameters computed in this study show that precision and reliability has not much improved by about 2% and 3%, respectively, than the observed network, while robustness has much improved by about 3, 100%. It also shown that maximum errors of precision, reliability and robustness were reduced by 5%, 7% and 16,957%, respectively.

Evaluation of Partial Safety Factors on Sliding of Monolithic Vertical Caisson of Composite Breakwaters (혼성제 직립 케이슨의 활동에 대한 부분안전계수 산정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Park, Dong-Heon;Kwon, Hyuk-Jae;Lee, Sun-Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2009
  • Partial safety factors of the load, resistance, and reliability function are evaluated according to the target probability of failure on sliding mode of monolithical vertical caisson of composite breakwaters. After reliability function is formulated for sliding failure mode of caisson of composite breakwaters regarding bias of wave force, uncertainties of random variables related to loads, strengths are analyzed. Reliability analysis for the various conditions of water depth, geometric, and wave conditions is performed using Level II AFDA model for the sliding failure. Furthermore, the reliability model is also applied to the real caisson of composite breakwaters of Daesan, Dong- hae, and Pohang harbor. By comparing the required width of caisson of composite breakwater according to target probability of failure with the other results, the partial safety factors evaluated in this study are calibrated straightforwardly. Even though showing a little difference on the 1% of target probability, it may be found that the present results agree well with the other results in every other target probability of failure.

Reliability Verification of Numerical Prediction Method on Pile Behaviour Characteristics using Field Static Loading Test (현장정재하시험을 이용한 말뚝 거동특성 수치해석 예측기법의 신뢰성 검증)

  • Nam, Hosung;Baek, Seungcheol
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2017
  • Numerical analysis method for prediction of pile behaviour characteristics has widely been used in detail design process before construction because field static loading test requires high cost. However, the reliability verification of numerical analysis of result is not permitted compare with field test. In this study, to verify the numerical analysis results, pile behaviour prediction was compared with field static loading test results. For exact analysis of interaction between pile and ground, soil investigation and in-situ test such as boring, SPT and bore-hole shear test were performed before pile static loading test. During the static loading test, pile behaviour characteristics were analyzed under every loading condition. After static pile loading test, numerical analysis was carried out under same condition with static pile loading test. In the numerical analysis, to apply same loading condition with each loading condition in the field test and to compare with between the results of numerical analysis, the field test results for reliability were verified with the results of numerical analysis.

Reliability Analysis of Hot-Standby Sparing System with Common Cause Failures for Railway (공통고장모드를 고려한 대기 이중계 구조의 철도 시스템 신뢰도 분석)

  • Park, Chan-woo;Chae, Eunkyung;Shin, Duck-ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.349-355
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    • 2017
  • Failures of railway systems can result in train delays or accidents, and therefore high reliability is required to ensure safety of railway systems. To improve reliability, railway systems are designed with redundant systems so that the standby system will continue to function normally even if the primary system fails. Generally, overall system reliability can be evaluated by the reliabilities of the parts of the whole system and the reliability of the redundant system considering common failures in case of each system is not conform physical, functional and process independent. In this study, the reliability of the hot-standby sparing system is analyzed the independent systems and dependent systems with common failures. The reliability for the standby system can be effectively analysed using Markov models, which can model the redundant configuration and the state transition.

River discharge measurement and analysis for Nakdong-river basin in 2008 (2008년 낙동강 유량측정 및 유출특성 분석)

  • 유량조사사업단 유량조사실 낙동강그룹
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1889-1893
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    • 2009
  • 수자원을 효율적으로 관리하고 이용하여 홍수 피해를 저감하고 환경친화적인 수자원의 역할을 제대로 자리매김하기 위하여 무엇보다 필요한 사항은 신뢰성 있는 유량자료를 기초자료로 확보하는 것이다. 그러나 기존의 유량 측정은 측정기준의 불명확, 예산과 측정장비의 부족, 전문 인력의 부재로 인해 유량자료의 신뢰성에 대한 문제가 지속적으로 제기되어 왔다. 따라서 정도 높은 유량 자료를 생성하고자 최근 유량조사사업단의 설립과 함께 유량측정을 전문적으로 담당하는 인력이 국내 주요지점에 대한 유량측정과 분석을 일상적으로 수행하는 등 유량자료의 품질의 개선노력이 계속되고 있다. 본 연구는 강화된 유량측정 기준과 개선된 방법론에 따른 현장측정을 통해 정밀한 유량측정성과를 확보하여 측정된 유량측정성과의 일상 검증을 통해 보다 정밀한 유량측정성과를 확보하고자 하였다. 또한, 유량측정 전 과정이 적절하게 이루어졌는지를 평가하여 낙동강권역의 신뢰성 있는 수위-유량관계곡선을 개발하였으며 개발된 곡선식을 이용하여 유량자료를 생성하고 유출률 분석 등을 통해 2008년 낙동강권역의 유출특성을 검토하였다. 2008년 낙동강권역의 유출특성은 낙동강 상류 및 동해 및 남해지역에 집중된 강수분포와 높은 가뭄지수로 인해 2008년 발생한 호우사상은 침투 및 증발에 의한 손실에 따라 유출량이 적게 평가되어 평균유출률은 약 30% 내외로 작게 산정되고 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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Reliable Information Search mechanism through the cooperation of MultiAgent in Distributed Environment (분산환경에서 멀티에이전트 상호협력을 통한 신뢰성 있는 정보검색기법)

  • Park Min-Gi;Kim Cui-Tae;Lee Jae-Wan
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2004
  • As the internet is widely distributed. the intelligent search agent is commonly used to meet the needs of user. But these Intelligent multi-agents are so independent each other that they can not give reliability of information and also have difficulty in coping with the dynamic distributed environments due to the short of cooperation abilities among multiagent. To resolve these problems. this paper proposes the mechanism for efficient cooperation and information processing by creating agency within broker agent and clustering multi agent's agency using neural network. For reliability of information. we also propose the multiagent management mechanism that can improve the information update problems which are in existing search systems and evaluate the performance of this research through simulation.

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Software Reliabilit Growth Models for an Imperfect Debugging with Induced Software Faults (소프트웨어 내에 잠입한 에러에 의한 불완전 디버깅을 고려한 소프트웨어 신뢰도성장모델)

  • Lee, J.K.;Lee, K.H.;Park, K.C.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.18 no.5 s.83
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2003
  • 소프트웨어의 신뢰성을 정량적으로 평가하는 데 있어서 소프트웨어 개발 프로세스의 시험단계나 사용자의 운용단계에 처한 동적 환경상태에서 소프트웨어 고장발생기능 현상을 기술한 소프트웨어 신뢰도성장모델을 많이 제안하고 있다. 대다수의 모델이 발생된 소프트웨어 고장의 발생원인에 대한 완전한 수정을 요구하는 완전 디버깅 환경을 가정하고 있다. 그러나 실제 개발자가 디버깅 작업을 수행할 때 완전한 수정이 불가능하기 때문이다. 다시 말해서 여러 소프트웨어 개발자가 경험한 이러한 디버깅 작업을 행하는 경우에는 결함을 제거하는 데 한계가 있기 때문에 수정 작업시 새로운 결함이 삽입되는 경우가 많다. 즉, 결함 수정은 불완전 환경에 처한다. 본 논문에서는 결함 수정시 신규 결함의 삽입 가능성을 고려하고 불완전 디버깅 환경에 대한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모델을 제안한다. 소프트웨어 동작 환경 하에서 발생된 소프트웨어 고장과 시험 전 소프트웨어 내의 고유 결함에 의한 고장과 동작중에 랜덤하게 삽입된 결함에 의해 발생되는 고장 등 2종류의 결함을 고려하여 비동차 포아송과정(NHPP)에 의한 소프트웨어 고장발생 현상을 기술한다. 또한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 평가에 유용한 정량적인 척도를 도출하고 실측 데이터를 이용하여 적용한 결과를 제시하고 기존의 모델과의 적합성을 비교, 분석한다.

Development of Cause Classification Method for Improving Reliability of Electrical Fire Statistics (전기화재 조사 및 통계의 신뢰성 향상을 위한 원인분류방법의 개발)

  • Jeon, Jeong-Chay;Jeon, Hyun-Jae;Lee, Sang-Ick;Yoo, Jae-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.466-471
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    • 2007
  • Electrical fires form over 30 percent of fires, but the study on the reliability of electrical fire statistics is not performed. Electrical roe occupancy was very high due to investigating and classifying fires, which is not directly continuous with electrical cause, as electrical fire because insufficiency of cause classification method or system, and the problems of the reliability of electrical fire statistics were presented. So, the reliability of electrical fire statistics must be guaranteed by improvement of the existing cause classification method of electrical fire. This paper analyzed the problems of electrical rue statistics by the existing cause classification method of electrical fire and presented the new method to classify causes of electrical fire.

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