• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.3A
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• pp.539-546
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• 2006

The reliability analysis of simply-supported composite plate girder and box girder bridges under positive flexure is performed. The bridges are designed based on the AASHTO-LRFD specification. A performance function for flexural failure is expressed as a function of such random variables as flexural resistance of composite section and design moments due to permanent load and live load. For the flexural resistance, the statistical parameters obtained by analyzing over 16,000 samples of domestic structural steel products are used. Several different values of statistical parameters with the bias factor in the range of 0.95-1.05 and the coefficient of variation in the range of 0.15-0.25 are used for the live-load moment. Due to the lack of available domestic measured data on the dead load moment, the same values of statistical properties used in the calibration of AASHTO-LRFD are applied. The reliability indices for the composite plate girder and box girder bridges with various span lengths are calculated by applying the Rackwitz-Fiessler technique.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.25-36
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• 1995

The application of the reliability analysis is investigated as a probabilistic approach to the assessment of ship's structural strength and to the establishment of design format for longitudinal strength. Reliability analyses are carried out for 34 ships of tankers and bulk carriers built in HHI for some failure modes such as tensile yielding, compressive buckling and ultimate strength of hull girder. The safety assessment of each ship, the calculation of sensitivity factors and the derivation of target reliability index are performed. As results. the difference of reliability indices among ships is great for all modes. To provide more uniform levels of safety the establishment of new strength criteria using partial safety factors is performed. The partial safety factors for the design format are obtained according to the AFOSM method and the reliability-conditioned(RC) method. Finally, a design format using partial safety factors has been proposed. We could find out that new strength criteria can produce consistent reliability indices which are close to the target value.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.41 no.6
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• pp.763-771
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• 2008

Uncertainties are pervasive in engineering geological problems. Therefore, the presence of uncertainties and their significance in analysis and design of slopes have been recognized. Since the uncertainties cannot be taken into account by the conventional deterministic approaches in slope stability analysis, the probabilistic analysis has been considered as the primary tool for representing uncertainties in mathematical models. However, some uncertainties are caused by incomplete information due to lack of information, and those uncertainties cannot be handled appropriately by the probabilistic approach. For those uncertainties, the theory of fuzzy sets is more appropriate. Therefore, in this study, fuzzy reliability analysis has been proposed in order to deal with the uncertainties which cannot be quantified in the probabilistic analysis due to the limited information. For the practical example, a slope is selected in this study and both the probabilistic analysis and the fuzzy reliability analysis have been carried out for planar failure. In the fuzzy reliability analysis, the dip angle and internal friction angle of discontinuity are considered as triangular fuzzy numbers since the random properties of the variables cannot be obtained completely under the conditions of limited information. In the study, the fuzzy reliability index and the probabilities of failure are evaluated from fuzzy arithmetic and compared to those from the probabilistic approach using Monte Carlo simulation and point estimate method. The analysis results show that the fuzzy reliability analysis is more appropriate for the condition that the uncertainties arise due to incomplete information.

• Geotechnical Engineering
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.39-50
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• 1989

A method is investigated to analyze the reliability of the gravity retaining wall which is designed to allow a limiting translational movement induces by the earthquake loading. Application of FOSM method to the Richards and Elms model yields a practical procedure for the analyses of the reliability and sensitivity of the retaining wall sujected to the earthquake. After examination of the practice (or the earthquake design of the retaining wall, the methods of the reliability analysis are considered. Finally, this study presents the step-by.step procedure for analyzing the reliability of the earth retaining structure for pratical convinience.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.10-16
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• 1983

When analyzing a complex system with repair environments, it is necessary to calculate such parameters as availability and various kinds of failure time measures. These measures are defined and methods of calculating them using Markov process are presented. Analyzing the various system states, numerical values of the reliability measures can be obtained by calculating the state probabilities. And these techniques are widely applied to reliability prediction and also to maintenance strategy.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.3-16
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• 1999

This paper presents the results of sensitivity analysis based on an example study to verify a newly developed reliability-based model for rock slopes considering uncertainties of discontinuities and failure modes-plane, wedge, and toppling. The parameters that are needed for sensitivity analysis are the variability of discontinuity properties (orientation and strength of discontinuities), the loading conditions, and the rock slope geometry. The variability in orientation and friction angle of discontinuities, which can not be considered in the deterministic analysis, has a great influence on the rock slope stability, The stability of rock slopes including failure modes is more influenced by the selection of dip direction of cutting rock face than any other design variables, The example study shows that the developed reliability-based analysis model can reasonably assess the stability of rock slope.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.85-90
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• 2010

This paper presents a technique to evaluate the reliability of customers in Community Energy System(CES). Operators of the CES are responsible for a reliable energy supply to their customers. Due to the strategy of the priority on their customers, the restoration process of DGs should be reordered when system outage happens. The previous study has proposed the technique in the distribution system in which one operator owns all DGs. Case studies in Bus 2 of Roy Billinton Test System(RBTS) verify that the accuracy of the proposed technique is comparable to that of previous technique, and the distribution system divided into several CESs changes the reliability index of customers in the CESs.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.90-90
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• 2020

상수관망시스템은 관할 지역 내 생활 및 공업용수를 공급하기 위한 사회기반시설물로써, 비상시에도 사용자의 용수 수요를 충족하기 위한 안정적인 성능이 요구된다. 이러한 상수관망시스템의 용수공급능력은 비상시 용수공급가능량, 공급수압 등 여러 가지 수리해석 결과를 통해 판단할 수 있다. 그러나, 시스템의 설계 및 운영 과정에서 다양한 성능들을 시간·공간적으로 모두 고려하는 것은 매우 복잡한 과정을 거치므로, 복합적인 용수공급 성능을 집약적으로 평가하기 위한 신뢰도 지수들이 개발되었다. 여기서 신뢰도 지수들은 각각의 이론적 접근방법에 따라 시스템의 특정 성능에 다소 편중된 평가 결과를 갖는 것으로 알려져 있으며, 따라서 상수관망시스템의 설계 및 운영 시, 목적과 특성에 맞는 적합한 신뢰도 지수를 선정하고, 적용하기 위한 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 상수관망시스템의 구조적 특성 및 핵심 성능에 따른 신뢰도 지수별 적용성을 평가하기 위해, 다양한 형태의 네트워크에서 몇 가지 공급부하 시나리오를 바탕으로 수리해석 결과와 신뢰도 지수 간의 상관성을 분석하였다. 또한, 다기준 분석기법을 통해 종합적인 시스템 핵심 성능에 대한 신뢰도 지수의 상관성을 분석함으로써, 시스템 전반에 대한 신뢰도 지수별 적용성을 함께 평가하였다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 상수관망시스템의 설계 또는 기존 시스템의 보강 및 운영계획 수립 등을 위한 연구에서 폭넓게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.41 no.4
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• pp.291-297
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• 2017

Reliability analysis of a mechanical system has been developed in order to consider the uncertainties in the product design that may occur from the tolerance of design variables, uncertainties of noise, environmental factors, and material properties. In most of the previous studies, the reliability was calculated independently for each performance of the system. However, the conventional methods cannot consider the correlation between the performances of the system that may lead to a difference between the reliability of the entire system and the reliability of the individual performance. In this paper, the joint probability density function (PDF) of the performances is modeled using a copula which takes into account the correlation between performances of the system. The system reliability is proposed as the integral of joint PDF of performances and is compared with the individual reliability of each performance by mathematical examples and two-bar truss example.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.463-474
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• 2002

A two-dimensional water quality management model, Unsteady/Uncertainty Water Quality Model(UUWQM), is developed for a hydrodynamic analysis, an advection-diffusion analysis, and a reliability analysis by using uncertainty technique. The model is applied to the 35 km reach of Sungju to Hyunpoong in the midstream of Nakdong River. 2-D hydrodynamic and water quality analyses are peformed in this reach. Important input variables are decided by sensitivity analysis and verified by Monte Carlo method. Frequency distributions of water quality concentrations are computed from MFOSM method and Monte Carlo method at several locations in this study area. A water quality management system is constructed by calculating the violation probabilities of existing water quality standards.