• Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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• 2008.05a
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• pp.25-56
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• 2008

본 연구는 경기순환이 심한 대규모 장치산업에서 투자행동을 어떻게 하는 것이 경기순환의 악영향을 최소화하면서 수익성을 극대화시키는가를 밝히는 것을 목적으로 한다. 대규모 장치산업에서는 호황기에 투자가 집중되는데, 완공까지 걸리는 시간 때문에 적정 수준을 넘어 투자가 이루어지고 이것이 다시 불황기를 불러옴으로써 경기순환이 반복된다. 위와 같은 장치산업의 특성을 반영하여 산업 동태모형을 구성하고 다양한 전략들에 대해 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 일반적인 투자행동 방식인 시황순응 투자는 경기순환에 따른 수익의 부침을 초래할 뿐만 아니라 그것을 지속시킨다. 둘째, 가동률의 신축적 조절이나 설비구축기간의 단축과 같은 유연화 전략은 수익성의 제고와 수익 안정화에 크게 기여한다. 셋째, 수요가 정체된 시장에서는 일정한 투자가 바람직하고, 수요가 성장하는 시장에서는 시황에 역행하는 투자가 바람직하다. 결국 경기순환이 존재하는 산업에서는 유연화 전략 및 변형투자 전략을 통해서 투자행동을 경쟁업체들과 비동기화 시키는 것이 바람직하다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.7 no.5
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• pp.115-127
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• 2006

Although the Korean government have made a plan of housing market with supply and concentrated on the welfare of the people, there are still a lot of problem in housing market for lack of a long-term vision and consistent policy of the government. The plan of 115% of housing diffusion in 2012 is in progress after its acquisition of 100% in 2002, but there are no changes in the rental housing rate of 43% in 2003. In addition, there are getting worse circumstances in the instability of housing market and the low-income bracket, because of the Korean construction firms' bankruptcy with an increase of unsold hosing and a rapid increase of housing prices. The government have made the strategy of revitalizing the economy and regional development by means of a million public rental housing plan for the low-income bracket and welfare. This paper introduces the basic information of the subjective strategy establishment with the analysis of the reciprocal action of influence factors for public rental housing by system dynamics theory and the effect of public rental housing in housing supply market which has a long-term dynamic form.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.4 no.2
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• pp.383-393
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• 1995

석유개발사업은 고도의 위험성, 투자자금의 장기회임성, 그리고 대규모 투자자금의 필요성등의 특성을 가지고 있다. 따라서 개발사업에 참여하기에 앞서 개발비용과 향후 유가추이를 면밀히 검토하여야 한다. 국제원유시장은 기본적으로 공급초과 상태에 있으며 앞으로 상당기간동안 가격은 안정추세를 나타낼 것이다. 단기적 등락에도 불구하고 원유가격은 장기적으로 상승할 것이라는 당대의 견해는 이른바 유한고갈성자원의 희소렌트가 이자율과 같은 속도로 상승한다는 '호텔링의 모형'에 이론적 기초를 두고 있다. 그러나 국제원유시장에서의 원유가격은 경쟁가격이 아니라 OPEC카르텔에 의한 담합가격으로 실제적 시장상황에 비해 인위적으로 높게 유지되어 왔다. '카오스 이론'에 따르면 석유시장은 동태적으로 구조변화를 반복하기 때문에 사전적으로 석유가격을 예측한다는 것은 애당초 불가능하다. 따라서 불규칙적으로 변화하는 석유가격을 예측하려고 노력하기보다는 석유시장의 불확실성을 인정하고 선물시장의 활용을 통해 석유개발과 관련된 위험을 줄여나가야 할 것이다.

• 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2021.04a
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• pp.49-53
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• 2021

'양손잡이 조직(Organizational Ambidexterity)'은 새로운 기회를 찾고 위험을 감수하며, 신제품이나 신사업을 개발해 가는 탐색(Exploration) 역량과, 최소한의 리스크와 보유한 자원을 토대로 기존 제품이나 서비스를 중심으로 효율성을 높이는 활용(Exploitation)적 혁신을 동시에 추구하는 조직의 능력으로 경영자들이 비즈니스 환경의 난기류와 다차원성에 대처하도록 권고하는 개념들 중 하나이다. 본 연구는 스타트업의 양손잡이 역량 균형이 기업 성과에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구를 기반으로 양손잡이 역량이 실제 스타트업에 긍정적으로 영향을 미치는 지를 조사하는데 목적으로 하고 있다. 따라서 탐색(Exploration)과 활용(Exploitation)의 적절한 균형(Balance)을 중심으로 기업성과에 미치는 영향과 더불어 환경적 동태성(Environmental Dynamics)의 조절효과에 대하여 알아보고 분석하였다. 실제로 선행 연구를 통해 탐색(Exploration)과 활용(Exploitation)에 모두 관여하는 양손잡이 기업들이 하나에 집중하는 기업보다 우수한 성과를 달성할 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 탐색(Exploration)과 활용(Exploitation)의 적절한 균형(Balance)을 유지하는 것이 생존과 번영을 위해 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 특히, 자원이 부족한 스타트업의 경우 부족한 자원을 효과적으로 활용하고 양방향으로 행동할 수 있는 능력은 경영 능력과 역량에 달려 있기 때문에 지속적인 생존을 위해 탐색과 활용의 균형을 맞추고 효과적인 조직을 구축해 양손잡이 조직으로 거듭나야만 한다. 양손잡이 조직에 대한 연구 이론은 보통 여유 자원이 높은 대기업을 기준으로 정의되고 있으며, 상대적으로 여유 자원의 수준이 낮은 중소기업이나 스타트업을 위한 양손잡이 조직의 의미와 이러한 기업들이 추구할 수 있는 현실적인 실행방안에 대해서는 연구가 부족한 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구는 실제 스타트업 기업의 성장을 위한 전략적 방향 설정을 제시할 수 있으며, 급격하게 변화하는 시장에서 스타트업의 양손잡이 역량과 기업성과 영향 관계를 분석하여 학술적인 기여를 할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.28-39
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• 2016

Since 2002, Korea Government has introduced Green Standard for Energy and Environmental Design Certification for reducing GHG emission in building area. However, total number of G-SEED Certification is only around 1% of total number of approved apartment buildings despite the various boosting policies. In this situation, most boosting policies and policy improvement researches are leaning toward the supplier's aspect. However, comprehensive relation and dynamics between consumer and supplier has to be considered because housing market is operated by market participants' mutual interaction. Therefore, this research presents system dynamics models based on decision making analysis of consumer and supplier in G-SEED Certification apartment building market. Then, this research evaluate the validity of boosting policies using the model. The proposed analysis can assist government to make next G-SEED Certification boosting policy.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.131-144
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• 2021

The organizational ambidexterity is an organizational strategy designed to pursue exploration activities to seize new opportunities and exploitation activities to efficiently use resources. Most of these ambidextrous structures have been studied for large corporations with slack resources, and there are still not many studies on the necessity of an ambidextrous structure for startups with relatively low-level resources. However, recently, the startup ecosystem is being advanced globally, and the amount of VC investment is rapidly increasing. This is a time when a lot of venture fund is invested in startups and a startup-friendly environment for rapid growth is created. This is the time to discuss the necessity and applicability of an ambidextrous organizational structure for startups. Therefore, this study conducted a hypothesis test whether the importance and necessity of balance that startups solving market problems with new ideas and utilizing accumulated resources have. To conduct this study, we analyzed 140 startups data gathered from the survey and the moderation effect was also analyzed. As a result of the study, it was verified that the balance of startup exploration and exploitation had a significant effect on startup performance, and the moderating effect of environmental dynamics was found to have a significant effect on the relationship with non-financial performance. Therefore, for startups with insufficient resources, it was concluded that the surplus resources generated in the process of a firm's growth should be effectively utilized and the balance between exploration and exploitation should be balanced from the initial stage of searching for a new business. In other words, it was confirmed that it is important for continuous growth and survival to seek the structure of an ambidextrous organization in order to internalize a mechanism that enables startups to pursue both effectiveness and efficiency in the long term. This study suggests a strategic direction for the growth of startups from the perspective of organizational structure. We expect that this meaningful results on the relationship between the ambidextrous capabilities of startups and performance contribute to the growth of startups in the rapidly growing startup venture environment.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.41 no.2
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• pp.1-29
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• 2018

The paper reviews the trend of youth employment in Korea in recent years and examines whether the change in labor demand through declining business dynamism is one of the causes. The analysis based on Employment Insurance database finds that the rate of job creation declined over the period from 1999 to 2014 and that the job creation of small- and medium-sized enterprises fell sharply. This is partly explained by entry of fewer firms than before given that young firms tend to experience rapid employment growth. In fact, it is confirmed that the share of firms under age 6 in employment level and job creation declined. The finding that young firms employ young workers more than old firms suggests that a smaller role of young firms in the economy had a negative effect on youth employment.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.41-62
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• 2001

Perhaps, one of the typical emerging markets drawing tremendous attention from not only business professionals but also policy-makers would be the mobile Internet services. In recent years many research institutes reported their predictions on the growth of the mobile Internet services market, announcing that the market would show explosive growth and replace the wired Internet service market rapidly. Unfortunately, however, the reality we are facing at present is quite different from their expectations. The realized share of the mobile services in Korea last year has turned out remaining only about one percent of the total network service revenue. What are the reasons for the gap between the prospects and the reality? Starting from this question, this paper attempts to explore the generic pitfalls of the traditional number-crunching methods adopted thus far for the forecast of newly emerging market trends, and present an alternative by introducing systems thinking to the mobile Internet service market as an example, followed by its rationale as a new tool for forecasting and some reasoning about why traditional methods are no longer appropriate.

• International Area Studies Review
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.213-238
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• 2009

This paper empirically examines effects of exporting on employment over the period 2000-2007 for Korean listed and non-listed manufacturing firms. The paper employs the dynamic panel model of labor demand and controls for simultaneity of the exports and real wages using a two step random effect Tobit-DPD (Dynamic Panel Data) procedure. Our empirical results suggest that surprisingly, there is no robust evidence for employment effects of exporting of Korea's large firms and small-medium sized firms during the sample period after Korean financial crisis. This implies that Korean exporting patterns have been changed in a way that exporting highly capital intensive goods leads to importing more intermediate goods and thus to countervailing the employment effects of exporting. This suggests that expansion of exporting by lowering exporting prices through the bilateral FTA might not be helpful to enhancing employment in Korea.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.367-391
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• 2022

We develop an energy-economy Bayesian DSGE model with the two sectors of electricity generations-traditional (fossil, nuclear) and renewable energy. Under imperfect substitutability between the two sectors, a technological shock on renewable energy sectors does not sufficient to facilitate energy conversion and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Technology innovation on greenhouse gas emission reduction is also required. More importantly, sufficient investment should be derived by a well-functioning electricity market where electricity price plays a signal role in efficient allocation of resources. Indeed, market rigidities cause reduced consumption.