• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시장점유율모형

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Analysis of market share attraction data using LS-SVM (최소제곱 서포트벡터기계를 이용한 시장점유율 자료 분석)

  • Park, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.879-886
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this article is to present the application of Least Squares Support Vector Machine in analyzing the existing structure of brand. We estimate the parameters of the Market Share Attraction Model using a non-parametric technique for function estimation called Least Squares Support Vector Machine, which allows us to perform even nonlinear regression by constructing a linear regression function in a high dimensional feature space. Estimation by Least Squares Support Vector Machine technique makes it a good candidate for solving the Market Share Attraction Model. To illustrate the performance of the proposed method, we use the car sales data in South Korea's car market.

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An Investigation into the Effect of Marketing Mix Variables on Market Share based on MCI Model and Equity Estimation (MCI 모형과 Equity 추정방식을 이용한 마케팅믹스 변수들이 시장점유율에 미치는 효과에 대한 분석)

  • Lim, Byung Hoon;Kim, Keun Bae
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2004
  • After Nakanishi and Cooper(1982) suggested a way of transforming the complicated nonlinear MCI model into a simple linear form, the application of MCI model has been increased. However, the use of MCI model in Korea is quite limited. The goal of this paper is to demonstrate the practical application of MCI(Multiplicative Competitive Interaction) model to a consumer goods industry. MCI model is a form of the attraction model explaining the relation between marketing mix variables and market share. In this study, multiple sources of empirical data are incorporated in the model formulation stage. In the estimation process, the equity estimation is applied to solve the possible multi-collinearity problem among marketing mix variables. Results from the fitted model suggest meaningful managerial implications for the management of brand equity and the allocation of resources among marketing mix variables.

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Forecasting Future Market Share between Online-and Offline-Shopping Behavior of Korean Consumers with the Application of Double-Cohort and Multinomial Logit Models (생잔효과와 다중로짓모형으로 분석한 구매형태별 시장점유율 예측)

  • Lee, Seong-Woo;Yun, Seong-Do
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.45-65
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    • 2009
  • As a number of people using the internet for their shopping steadily rises, it is increasingly important for retailers to understand why consumers decide to buy products via online or offline. The main purpose of this study is to develop and test a model that enhance our understanding of how consumers respond future online and offline channels for their purchasing. Rather than merely adopting statistical models like most other studies in this field, the present study develops a model that combines double-cohort method with multinomial logit model. It is desirable if one can adopt an overall encompassing criterion in the study of consumer behaviors form diverse sales channels. This study uses the concept of cohort or aging to enable this comparison. It enables us to analyze how consumers respond to online and offline channels as people aged by measuring their shopping behavior for an online and offline retailers and their subsequent purchase intentions. Based on some empirical findings, this study concludes with policy implications and some necessary fields of future studies desirable.

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Analysis of Entrepreneurial Orientation and Market Share using PLS Structural Equations Modelling -Mediating Effect of R & D Capability & BSC Future Value Creation- (PLS 구조방정식 모형을 활용한 기업가적 지향성과 시장점유율간의 실증 분석 - R&D 역량, BSC 미래가치 창출의 매개효과 -)

  • Ko, Il-Kwon;Nam, Jung-Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.348-357
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    • 2020
  • Discussions on entrepreneurship are increasing, but the methodology that can be applied to actual small to mid-sized businesses and venture firms is insufficient, and research on measuring achievement and application is lacking. In this regard, this paper analyzed actual proof on the relationship among entrepreneurial orientation, R&D capabilities, market share, and the creation of BSC future values that can be empirically applied to small to mid-sized businesses and venture firms. A factor analysis and hypothesis verification have been conducted with the SEM model utilizing SmartPLS 3.0 on the recent 7th year (2017) data from the Human Capital Corporate Panel (HCCP) of the Korea Research Institute for Vocational Education and Training. The actual proof analysis revealed that entrepreneurial orientation creates a positive influence on R&D capabilities and the creation of BSC, and also on market share, with R&D capabilities as a parameter. On the other hand, the relationship between entrepreneurial orientation and market share proved to be not statistically meaningful. Future value creation of BSC also could not mediate the relation between entrepreneurial orientation and market share. Therefore, this research has proven that a company must cultivate its personnel's R&D capabilities with their entrepreneurial orientation. Furthermore, it is a significant fact that BSC, the conventional measuring tool for performance management, could not mediate the relationship between entrepreneurial orientation and market share. Future companies aiming at innovation should consider developing a new index that could measure the corporate-level entrepreneurship and conduct performance management.

Forecasting the Evolution of Demand for the Large Sized Television of Next Generation Using Conjoint and Diffusion Models (컨조인트와 확산모형을 이용한 차세대 대형 TV의 수요 예측)

  • 이종수;조영상;이정동;이철용
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구는 마케팅 분야에서 주로 사용되는 신제품확산모델(new product diffusion model)들이 기본적인 배스 모형(Bass model)에 기반하여 개별 소비자의 이질성(heterogeneity)을 반영하지 못하고, 제품이 시장에 출시되기 이전 단계에 시장수요를 예측하지 못하는 한계를 극복하기 위한 방법론을 제시하기 위해 진행되었다. 연구에 사용된 방법론을 살펴보면, 먼저 컨조인트(Conjoint) 분석을 통해 제품의 개별 속성들에 대한 소비자의 선호 구조를 파악하고, 이를 통해 추정된 정적(static)인 소비자 효용함수를 시장 및 기술 환경의 변화에 대한 적절한 예측자료와 결합하여 동적(dynamic)인 효용함수로 전환함으로써 시간에 따른 동적(dynamic) 시장 점유율(market share)을 예측하고, 그 결과를 신제품확산모델로부터 도출된 잠재시장(market potential) 추정치와 결합함으로써 신제품의 판매량을 예측한다. 또한 본 연구에서 제시하는 모델을 한국의 30인치 이상 대형TV 시장에 대해 실증적으로 분석하였으며, CRT TV, Projection TV, LCD TV, PDP TV에 대한 시장수요를 예측하였다. 분석 결과, 소비자들은 TV 선택시 화질과 가격에 민감한 반응을 보이는 것을 알 수 있으며, 이를 바탕으로 한 시장 예측 결과, 단기적으로는 가격 경쟁력이 있는 Projection TV가 높은 시장 점유율을 보이지만, 50인치 이상 LCD TV가 상용화될 경우, LCD TV가 다른 TV들보다 상대적으로 많은 판매량을 보일 것으로 예측되었다. 또한 TV 크기에 따른 소비자들의 선택을 살펴본 결과 50∼60인치대에 비해 40인치대 크기의 TV가 많이 판매될 것으로 예상된다.

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데이터마이닝을 이용한 이탈확률에 기반한 고객 세분화

  • 홍태호;전성용
    • Proceedings of the Korea Association of Information Systems Conference
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    • 2005.12a
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2005
  • 현재의 이동통신시장은 시장의 포화상태로 인해 신규 고객의 확보보다는 기존 고객의 유지에 마케팅 활동을 강화하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이탈고객관리(churn management)를 위한 방안으로 데이터마이닝 기법에 기반하여 고객을 등급별로 세분화하였다. 이동통신 고객데이터를 활용하여 로짓모형, 인공신경망, SVM 등을 이탈고객 예측모형을 개발하였고, 각 모형별 성과를 통계적으로 비교하였다. 이탈고객 예측모형을 통해 고객의 이탈가능성을 등급화하여 등급별 이탈확률과 점유율, 적중률을 산출하였다. 제안된 고객등급화 방법을 통해 이동통신사들은 고객의 이탈확률에 따른 차별화된 마케팅 전락을 수행할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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선택 실험법을 이용한 친환경 보일러의 시장 점유율 예측

  • Kim, Mi-Jeong;Bae, Jeong-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.595-625
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    • 2012
  • Recently environment-friendly pellet boilers have interests as emissions of greenhouse gases are regulated internationally and energy security becomes more important to oil addicted countries including Republic of Korea. But the Korean market for pellet boilers is on the initial stage due to the high production costs relative to other conventional boilers. Hence the Korean government has supported financially and promoted the pellet boiler business. In this sense, it would contribute market stratergy and effective promotion policy for both of the government and private companies if we can forecast market shares of pellet boilers appropriately. For this purpose, this study surveyed potential consumers' preferences on pellet boilers among various alternatives using a choice experiment reflecting intangible costs. As the market share of new technology increases, intangible costs decline. According to different intangible cost scenarios, we experimented people's preferences on oil, gas, electric, and pellet boilers. A multinomial logit model was employed to estimate coefficient parameters of common attributes for various alternative boilers. Based on the estimates, we forecasted market shares of individual boilers. We found that as intangible costs decline, the market share of pellet boiler increase substantically while market shares of electric and gas boilers decrease dramatically. The market share of oil boiler did not change significantly. Meanwhile, as people are more rich, more educated, and exposed to advertisement on pellet boilers, the likelihood of choosing the pellet boiler increases.

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Analysis of Effects of Autonomous Vehicle Market Share Changes on Expressway Traffic Flow Using IDM (IDM을 이용한 자율주행자동차 시장점유율 변화가 고속도로 교통류에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Ko, Woori;Park, Sangmin;So, Jaehyun(Jason);Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.13-27
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the impact of traffic flow on the market penetration rate of autonomous vehicles(AV) was analyzed using the data for the year 2020 of the Yongin IC~Yangji IC section of Yeongdong Expressway. For this analysis, a microscopic traffic simulation model VISSIM was utilized. To construct the longitudinal control of the AV, the Intelligent Driver Model(IDM) was built and applied, and the driving behavior was verified by comparison with a normal vehicle. An examination of the study results of mobility and safety according to the market penetration rate of the AV, showed that the network's mobility improves as the market penetration rate increases. However, from the point of view of safety, the network becomes unstable when normal vehicles and AVs are mixed, so there should be a focus on traffic management for ensuring safety in mixed traffic situations.

The Impact of SSM Market Entry on Changes in Market Shares among Retailing Types (기업형 슈퍼마켓(SSM)의 시장진입이 소매업태간 시장점유율 변화에 미친 영향)

  • Choi, Ji-Ho;Yonn, Min-Suk;Moon, Youn-Hee;Choi, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.115-132
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    • 2012
  • This study empirically examines the impact of SSM market entry on changes in market shares among retailing types. The data is monthly time-series data spanning over the period from January 2000 to December 2010, and the effect of SSM market entry on market shares of retailing types is analyzed by utilizing several key factors such as the number of new SSM monthly entrants, total number of SSMs, the proportion of new SSM entrant that is smaller than $165m^2$ to total new SSM entrants. According to the Korean Standard Industrial Classification codes, the retailing type is classified into 5 groups: department stores, retail sale in other non-specialized large stores(big marts), supermarkets, convenience stores, and retail sale in other non-specialized stores with food or beverages predominating (others). The market shares of retailing types are calculated by the ratio of each retailing type monthly sales to total monthly retailing sales in which total retailing sales is the sum of each retailing type sales. The empirical model controls for the size effects with the number of monthly employees for each retailing type and the macroeconomic effects with M2. The empirical model employed in this study is as follows; $$MS_i=f(NewSSM,\;CumSSM,\;employ_i,\;under165,\;M2)$$ where $MS_i$ is the market share of each retailing type (department stores, big marts), supermarkets, convenience stores, and others), NewSSM is the number of new SSM monthly entrants, CumSSM is total number of SSMs, $employ_i$ is the number of monthly employees for each retailing type, and under165 is the proportion of new SSM entrant that is smaller than $165m^2$ to total new SSM entrants. The correlation among these variables are reported in

    .
    shows the descriptive statistics of the sample. Sales is the total monthly revenue of each retailing type, employees is total number of monthly employees for each retailing type, area is total floor space of each retail type($m^2$), number of store is total number of monthly stores for each retailing type, market share is the ratio of each retailing type monthly sales to total monthly retailing sales in which total retailing sales is the sum of each retailing type sales, new monthly SSMs is total number of new monthly SSM entrants, and M2 is a money supply. The empirical results of the effect of new SSM market entry on changes in market shares among retailing types (department stores, retail sale in other non-specialized large stores, supermarkets, convenience stores, and retail sale in other non-specialized stores with food or beverages predominating) are reported in
    . The dependant variables are the market share of department stores, the market share of big marts, the market share of supermarkets, the market share of convenience stores, and the market share of others. The result shows that the impact of new SSM market entry on changes in market share of retail sale in other non-specialized large stores (big marts) is statistically significant. Total number of monthly SSM stores has a significant effect on market share, but the magnitude and sign of effect is different among retailing types. The increase in the number of SSM stores has a negative effect on the market share of retail sale in other non-specialized large stores(big marts) and convenience stores, but has a positive impact on the market share of department stores, supermarkets, and retail sale in other non-specialized stores with food or beverages predominating (others). This study offers the theoretical and practical implication to these findings and also suggests the direction for the further analysis.

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  • LCD 산업의 경쟁력 향상을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 응용

    • Jang, Hyeon-Ju;Kim, Do-Hun
      • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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      • 2008.06a
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      • pp.585-589
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      • 2008
    • LCD (Liquid Crystal Display)는 디지털 기기의 주요 구성 요소이며, 모든 크기의 FPD (Flat Panel Display) 시장에서 지배적인 시장점유율을 보인다. 그러나 많은 전문가들은 LCD 산업이 수년 내에 OLED (Organic Light Emitting Diodes), 3차원 디스플레이, 플렉서블 디스플레이와 같은 차세대 디스플레이 기술의 강력한 도전에 직면할 것이라고 예상한다. 이러한 경쟁환경에서 LCD 산업이 살아남기 위한 방안으로 본 연구에서는 LCD 산업의 경쟁력의 원천을 밝혀내고, 이를 극대화하는 전략적 방향을 제시한다. 이를 위해 먼저 LCD 산업구조와 가치사슬을 분석하여 LCD 산업의 경쟁력을 제고하기 위한 기본적인 전략적 대안을 개발한다. 이 단계에서 얻어진 통찰력을 바탕으로, 인과지도(causal loop diagram)와 시스템 다이나믹스 (system dynamics) 방법론을 활용하여 기존의 LCD 산업구조에서 판매량, 시장점유율 및 이익 등의 핵심 지표에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 구조적 특징을 규명한다. 또한, 여기서의 다이나믹스 모형을 바탕으로, LCD 제조업자의 관점에서 프로세스 역량을 극대화할 수 있는 전략적 대안을 모색한다.

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