• Title/Summary/Keyword: 순서형로짓모형

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A Study on Determinants of Use and Satisfaction of Reverse Mortgage Considering Socioeconomic Characteristics of the Elderly (고령층의 사회경제적 특성을 고려한 주택연금 이용 및 만족도 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Jae Song;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the reverse mortgage utilization and satisfaction of the elderly. Based on the survey data of the reverse mortgage demand in 2016, we carried out empirical analysis using the binary logit model and the ordered logit model. First of all, as a result of the empirical analysis using the binary logit model, the determinants of using the reverse mortgage were age, region, assets, household member, children with financial help, and education level. As a result of the empirical analysis using the ordered logit model, the determinants of the satisfaction level of the reverse mortgage were estimated to be age, gender, and region. Based on the results of the empirical analysis, it is necessary to find a way to increase the participation rate of the reverse mortgage and to improve the satisfaction of the user.

A Bayesian Threshold Model for Ordered Categorical Traits (순서범주형자료 분석을 위한 베이지안 분계점 모형)

  • Choi Byangsu;Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2005
  • A Bayesian threshold model is considered to analyze binary or ordered categorical traits. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about the category probability as well as the regression coefficients is described. The model can be regarded as an alternative to the ordered logit regression model. Numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the efficiency of the model.

The Study on Traffic Accident of Commercial Vehicle using Odered Logit Model (순서형 로짓모형을 이용한 화물차 운전자 사고 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Byoung-Jo;Ko, Eun-Hyeck;Yang, Sung-Ryong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.265-266
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 수집된 자료에서 화물차 교통사고를 분류하고 계절과 기상상태, 도로유형, 법규위반, 사고유형 측면에서 각각의 변수들이 사고 심각도에 미치는 영향을 파악함으로써 유의하게 화물차 교통사고 심각도를 높이는 요인을 분석하고자 하였다. 화물차 사고는 가을의 경우 사고 심각도의 오즈비가 1.23배로 증가하고, 안개가 꼈을 경우 사고 심각도는 16.49배 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 법규위반, 도로형태, 사고유형 등 여러 요인에 의한 사고 위험도가 증가했지만 특히 도로 외 이탈로 인한 추락사고에서 사고 위험도가 크게 나타났으며 전도전복으로 인한 사고 위험도도 큰 것으로 나타났다.

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Analysis of Consumer Preference of Nonghyup by Ordered Logit Model in the Chungnam Province (순서화 로짓모형을 이용한 농협의 선호도 분석: 충남지역 주민을 대상으로)

  • Woo, Jae-Young
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.405-438
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to analyse the consumer and regional dwellers preferences of nonghyup influenced by contributions of socio-economical using ordered logit model. The survey data were obtained from 225 adults in Chungnam province, cross sectional data in 2007. This paper especially estimates the impact of socio-economic characteristics, such as sex, occupation, school career, and emotional and subjective recognition of contributions of regional socio-economical and culture development, social welfare, It also examines the impact of recognition of cooperational level with local government's policy, customer satisfaction ratings, degree of business ethics. The main results are as follows; the consumer and regional dwellers preferences of nonghyup is not affected by sex, occupation, school career. But the consumer and regional dwellers preferences of nonghyup is influenced by emotional and subjective recognition of contributions of regional socio-economical and culture development, social welfare, It also influenced by emotional and subjective recognition of policy cooperation level with local government, customer satisfaction ratings, degree of business ethics.

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Analysis of Bus Accident Severity Using K-Means Clustering Model and Ordered Logit Model (K-평균 군집모형 및 순서형 로짓모형을 이용한 버스 사고 심각도 유형 분석 측면부 사고를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Insik;Lee, Hyunmi;Jang, Jeong Ah;Yi, Yongju
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2021
  • Although accident data from the National Police Agency and insurance companies do not know the vehicle safety, the damage level information can be obtained from the data managed by the bus credit association or the bus company itself. So the accident severity was analyzed based on the side impact accidents using accident repair cost. K-means clustering analysis separated the cost of accident repair into 'minor', 'moderate', 'severe', and 'very severe'. In addition, the side impact accident severity was analyzed by using an ordered logit model. As a result, it is appeared that the longer the repair period, the greater the impact on the severity of the side impact accident. Also, it is appeared that the higher the number of collision points, the greater the impact on the severity of the side impact accident. In addition, oblique collisions of the angle of impact were derived to affect the severity of the accident less than right angle collisions. Finally, the absence of opponent vehicle and large commercial vehicles involved accidents were shown to have less impact on the side impact accident severity than passenger cars.

Imputation for Binary or Ordered Categorical Traits Based on the Bayesian Threshold Model (베이지안 분계점 모형에 의한 순서 범주형 변수의 대체)

  • Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.597-606
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    • 2005
  • The nonresponse in sample survey causes a problem when it comes time to analyze dataset in public-use files where the user has only complete-data methods available and has limited information about the reasons for nonresponse. Recently imputation for nonresponse is becoming a standard approach for handling nonresponse and various imputation methods have been devised . However, most imputation methods concern with continuous traits while many interesting features are measured by binary or ordered categorical scales in sample survey. In this note. an imputation method for ignorable nonresponse in binary or ordered categorical traits is considered.

Severity Analysis of the Pedestrian Crash Patterns Based on the Ordered Logit Model (Ordered Logit Model을 이용한 보행자 사고 심각도 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Jai-Sung;Kim, Sang-Youp;Hwang, Kyung-Sung;Baik, Seung-Yup
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2009
  • This Paper presents the severity analysis result of the year 2006 national pedestrian crashes using the data base of 37,589 records prepared for the National Police Bureau. A set of attributing factors considered to affect pedestrian crash patterns were selected, and their contributing effects were investigated by applying the Ordered Logit Model. This model was selected because this model has been able to afford satisfactory results when the dependent variable involved ordered severity levels; fatal, injury, and property- damage-only in this investigation. The investigation has unveiled the followings; First, the pedestrian crash patterns were dependent upon human -drivel and pedestrian- characteristics including gender, age, and drinking conditions. Second, other contributing factors included vehicle, roadway geometric, weather, and hour of day characteristics. Third, seasonal effect was not contributive to crash patterns. Finally, the application of the Ordered Logit Model facilitated the ordered severity level analysis of the pedestrian crash data. This paper concludes that conventional wisdom on the pedestrian crash characteristics is largely truthful. However, this conclusion is limited only to the data used in this analysis, and further research is required for its generalization.

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Analyzing the Determinants and Estimate cost against Resettlement on New Town Project Using Ordinal Logit Model (순서형로짓모형을 이용한 재정비촉진지구의 재정착비용추정 및 결정요인 분석)

  • Choi, Yeol;Park, Sung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2D
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this paper is to analyze resettlement cost and decision factors of resettlement since Redevelopment Promotion Projects. Range of resettlement cost was averagely increased 204% by using actual data. Consequently, the research is operated for aboriginal people in these areas by a questionnaire. The questionnaire ask a payment range of the resettlement cost with 4 stages; 150% and less, 180% and less, 200% and less, excess of 200%. Research scope is consist of Seo-kumsa, Civil Park, Chung-mu and Young-do. These areas are redevelopment of Busan metropolitan city. Resettlement is come under the influence of the resettlement cost and many factors by each specific character. In many alternatives for resettlement, understanding the reason why aboriginal peoples select a certain alternative and if we actualize the proper alternative, aboriginal peoples' resettlement ratio will be increased. Moreover it ask housing characteristic, housing life pattern for understanding aboriginal peoples' characteristic. Also data analysis model is ordinal logistic model'. In analysis result, resettlement cost is 150% of aboriginal assets. and significance parameter is sex, job, income, region, affection, attachment, housing possession type, size and others have influence on aboriginal peoples' resettlement.

Analysis of Relative Risk by Accident Types at Intersections, Crosswalk and Tunnel Sections (교차로, 횡단보도, 터널 구간에서 사고유형에 따른 상대적 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Hyunmi;Jeon, Gyoseok;Kim, Hyung Jun;Jang, Jeong Ah
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.841-851
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    • 2019
  • This study presents risk ranking by accident types at intersections, crosswalk and tunnel sections. An ordered logit model was used to estimate the accident severity of traffic accidents based on 58,868 accident records that have occurred on the Seoul and Gyeonggi-do over the period 2014-2017. The factors affecting the injury severity were identified by the estimated model first, and risk ranking was proposed according to conditions of accident occurrence using relative ratio analysis later. The analysis results showed that the injury severity dramatically depends on the location and time of the accident. The analysis results showed that the injury severity dramatically depends on the location and time of the accident. Furthermore, there are severe injury cases in terms of the injury severity despite the small number of occurrence of traffic accident, or there are severe injury cases in terms of the injury severity despite the high frequency of occurrence of traffic accident.

A Study on the Demand of Taxi Transfer Discount Using Ordinal Logistic Model (순서형 로짓 모형을 활용한 택시환승할인수요에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Ki Young;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2018
  • Busan city implemented 'taxi transfer discount system' since October 2017 in order to create for new demand taxis. However, due to the low transfer discount amount and limited payment method to prepaid cards, it is difficult to attain the aim. In this study, we investigated the usage status of taxi transfer discount system and the intention to use taxi transfer discount system according to the discount amount level. We established a model of intention to estimate demand of taxi transfer discount using ordinal logistic model. The results of analysis are as following. The critical reason for low usage was to limit taxi transfer discount payment methods to prepaid cards other than post-paid cards which is used for most transportation payment. It was found that the discount rate for taxi transfers was affected in order of payment method, the purpose of the travel, major transportation, frequency taxi use, age, transportation costs, and the discount of taxi transfers. Also, the taxi transfer discount could be expected to increase to 1,550 won based on the price elasticity of demand due to changes in taxi transfer discount rate.