• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수치 모델링

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Enhancing Medium-Range Forecast Accuracy of Temperature and Relative Humidity over South Korea using Minimum Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) Statistical Correction Technique (연속 순위 확률 점수를 활용한 통합 앙상블 모델에 대한 기온 및 습도 후처리 모델 개발)

  • Hyejeong Bok;Junsu Kim;Yeon-Hee Kim;Eunju Cho;Seungbum Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.23-34
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    • 2024
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration has improved medium-range weather forecasts by implementing post-processing methods to minimize numerical model errors. In this study, we employ a statistical correction technique known as the minimum continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) to refine medium-range forecast guidance. This technique quantifies the similarity between the predicted values and the observed cumulative distribution function of the Unified Model Ensemble Prediction System for Global (UM EPSG). We evaluated the performance of the medium-range forecast guidance for surface air temperature and relative humidity, noting significant enhancements in seasonal bias and root mean squared error compared to observations. Notably, compared to the existing the medium-range forecast guidance, temperature forecasts exhibit 17.5% improvement in summer and 21.5% improvement in winter. Humidity forecasts also show 12% improvement in summer and 23% improvement in winter. The results indicate that utilizing the minimum CRPS for medium-range forecast guidance provide more reliable and improved performance than UM EPSG.

Development of a Numerical Modeling Technique for Predicting Groundwater flow and Heat Transport in a Standing Column Well (수주지열정의 지하수 유동 및 지열 이동 예측을 위한 수치 모델링 기법 개발)

  • Park, Seongmin;Hwang, Gisub;Moon, Jongphil;Kihm, Jung-Hwi
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2016
  • Numerical modules based on a conventional thermo-hydrological numerical model, TOUGH2, are developed to provide a numerical modeling technique for a standing column well (SCW). Cooling and heating operations for two different types of SCW are then simulated using these modules. Modeling showed these operations to be significantly influenced by heat exchange and fluid mixing between the SCW and the adjacent geologic formation and groundwater. The results also reveal that heat exchange between the oppositely flowing outflow and inflow in the PVC or PE pipe and the SCW borehole is an important factor. Overall, the numerical modeling technique developed here can reasonably simulate fluid flow and heat transport phenomena in the complex internal structures of a SCW. The proposed technique can be used practically for the quantitative analysis of heat exchange in a SCW at the design, construction, and operation stages.

A benchmark for two-dimensional numerical subduction modeling using COMSOL Multiphysics® (콤솔 멀티피직스를 활용한 2차원 수치 섭입모델링 벤치마크)

  • Yu, Suhwan;Lee, Changyeol
    • Journal of the Geological Society of Korea
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.683-694
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    • 2018
  • Subduction has been the focal point of numerical studies for decades because it plays an important role in the Earth's mass and energy circulations and generates earthquakes and arc volcanoes which are closely related to the human lives. Among the studies on subduction, numerical modeling has been broadly applied to the quantitative studies on the subducting slab in the mantle which cannot be directly observed. In this study, we benchmark the numerical subduction modeling using a finite element package, COMSOL $Multiphysics^{(R)}$ and the results are consistent with the previously reported benchmark results.

Application of Weakly Coupled Data Assimilation in Global NWP System (전지구 예보모델의 대기-해양 약한 결합자료동화 활용성에 대한 연구)

  • Yoon, Hyeon-Jin;Park, Hyei-Sun;Kim, Beom-Soo;Park, Jeong-Hyun;Lim, Jeong-Ock;Boo, Kyung-On;Kang, Hyun-Suk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2019
  • Generally, the weather forecast system has been run using prescribed ocean condition. As it is widely known that coupling between atmosphere and ocean process produces consistent initial condition at all-time scales to improve forecast skill, there are many trials on the application of data assimilation of coupled model. In this study, we implemented a weakly coupled data assimilation (short for WCDA) system in global NWP model with low horizontal resolution for coupled forecast with uncoupled initialization, following WCDA system at the Met Office. The experiment is carried out for a typhoon evolution forecast in 2017. Air-sea exchange process provides SST cooling and gives a substantial impact on tendency of central pressure changes in the decaying phase of the typhoon, except the underestimated central pressure. Coupled data assimilation is a challenging new area, requiring further work, but it would offer the potential for improving air-sea feedback process on NWP timescales and finally contributing forecast accuracy.

Comparison of Modelling Characteristics of Distinct Element Analysis Based on Implicit and Explicit Algorithm (Implicit 및 explicit 알고리즘에 기초한 개별요소 수치해석 방법의 모델 링 특성 비교 연구)

  • 류창하
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Rock Mechanics Conference
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    • 2000.09a
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2000
  • The distinct element method has been effectively applied to the analysis of stability and behavior of jointed rock masses. In this paper the modelling characteristics of different types of distinct element model were investigated. Arch tunnel examples were chosen to compare the calculation results of two computer codes, NURBM and CBLOCK, where the former is based on implicit algorithm, and the other on explicit one. CBLOCK calculations show that joint properties are very important parameters in the stability analysis and that the joint stiffness ratio associated with joint configuration could be used as an indicator, whereas NURBM differ from that. Some other disagreements were also identified.

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Suggestion on Reasonable Boundary Conditions for Modeling a Tunnel Shield by Displacement Control Method (변위 제어를 통한 터널 쉴드 모델링의 적정 경계조건 제안)

  • Kim, Jeong-Soo;Kim, Moon-Kym
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.512-515
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    • 2011
  • 터널 해석은 주로 지표침하와 터널 라이닝 내 단면력 산정에 초점이 맞춰지며 이는 시공단계를 고려한 3차원 수치해석 모델을 이용해 결정할 수 있다. 수치해석 시 shield는 응력 제어, shell element로 모델링하는 방법 등으로 모사될 수 있다. 한편 변위 제어를 통한 쉴드 모사는 shield를 적절한 경계조건으로 처리함으로서, 다른 shield 모사 방법에 비해 모델링 작업을 간소화하고 해석의 효율성을 높일 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 변위 제어에 의한 shield 모사를 위한 적정 경계조건을 제안한다. 이를 위해 시공단계가 고려된 유한요소해석을 사용하여, 쉴드 및 굴착면에서의 경계조건 변화와 이에 따른 지표침하 관측 수행하였다. 제안된 shield 변위 제어로부터 얻어진 해석결과를 이론적인 해와 비교함으로서, 제시된 shield 모델링 방법의 적정성과 지반 거동 변화를 평가하고자 한다. 해석 결과는 지반 모델의 지표침하를 기준으로 관찰되었으며, 변위제어에 의한 결과와 요소에 의한 모델링 결과가 유사하게 얻어짐을 보여준다. 또한 변위제어의 쉴드 모사에서 회전 구속보다 변위 구속 조건에 지배적으로 영향을 받음을 확인하였다.

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Response characterization of slim-hole density sonde using Monte Carlo method (Monte Carlo 방법을 이용한 소구경용 밀도 존데의 반응 특성)

  • Won, Byeongho;Hwang, Seho;Shin, Jehyun;Park, Chang Je;Kim, Jongman;Hamm, Se-Yeong
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2014
  • We performed MCNP modeling for density log, and examined its reliability and validity comparing the correction curves from physical borehole model. Based on the constructed numerical model, numerical modelings of density sonde in three-inch borehole were carried out under the various conditions such as the existence and type of casing or fluid, and also the stand-off between the sonde and borehole wall. These results of numerical modeling quantitatively reflect effects of casing and fluid in borehole, and moreover, demonstrate constant patterns with interval change from borehole wall. From this study, numerical modeling using MCNP shows a good applicability for well logging, and therefore, can be efficiently used for the calibration of well logging data under the various borehole conditions.

A Study on Efficient Technique of 3-D Terrain Modelling (3차원 지형모델링의 효율적 기법에 관한 연구)

  • 윤철규;신봉호;양승룡;엄재구
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.207-213
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to aim at presenting efficient technique of 3-D Terrain Modelling through multilateral approach methods and to compare with raw data, using low-densed randomly located point data. The subject religion of this study are selected two sites and take into consideration for degree of freedom about low-densed randomly located point data. The result of this study by precision analysis of digital cartographic map-ping using low-densed randomly located point data bave shown that . First, making digital cartographic map, the technique of making it using low-desned randomly located point data by TIN-based results to good and fast run-time in A and B sites all together. Second, the visualization analysis results of digital cartographic map using TIN and GRID-based terrain modeling techniqus similar exacts A and B sites, but the terrain modeling techniqus by TIN-based are small data size than GRID-based with the data with the data size of saving with DXF files. Third, making digital catographic map using terrain modeling techniques by Grid-based, the standard errors of low-densed randomly located point data and interpolated data using gridding method have more good results by radial basis function interpolation techniques at A and B sites all together.

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Investigation of Applicability of OpenFOAM for Regular Wave Modeling of Floating Vertical Plate (부유식 연직판의 규칙파 모델링을 위한 오픈폼 적용성 검토)

  • Oh, Sang-Ho;Kim, Gunwoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.382-388
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    • 2017
  • This study performed an OpenFOAM-based numerical modeling for simulating performance of wave reduction by a floating vertical plate. Based on the Waves2FOAM library, an internal wave generation and energy dissipation with sponge layers schemes were further implemented. The performance of wave generation and dissipation was first tested with a simple two-dimensional analysis. Then, numerical simulation was carried out with the experimental data of Briggs et al. (2001) for the two regular wave cases. In general, the modeling results agreed well with the experimental data, showing better agreement than the numerical analysis by WAMIT that is included in Briggs et al. (2001).

Characteristics of Air Pollutant Dispersion from Vehicle Emission in the Street Canyons (도심 협곡 내의 자동차에서 발생된 대기오염물질의 확산 특성)

  • 박성규;김신도;이희관
    • Proceedings of the Korea Air Pollution Research Association Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.221-222
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    • 2002
  • 대기질의 예측에는 여러 가지 물리적 또는 수치적 모델링 기술이 이용되고 있다. 최근 들어 급격한 컴퓨터의 발달과 더불어 수치모델을 이용한 예측 기술이 활발히 개발 이용되고 있다. 그러나 이러한 수치 모델링 기술은 대도시 특히, 높은 건물과 그들에 의해 형성된 도심 협곡을 고려하는 경우 현재의 수치 모델이 가지고 있는 여러 가지 가정에 의해 많은 어려움을 직면하고 있는 실정이다. (중략)

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