• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수출감소

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A Study on Korean FDI in China by Industries and Intra Industry Trade between Two Countries (한국의 대 중국 업종별 FDI와 산업내무역에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seong Ki;Kang, Han Gyoun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.759-780
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyse the effect of Korean FDI(1990-2008) in China by industries on exports and imports between two countries. We use time series regression, Vector Error Correction Model and Impulse Response Function as methodologies. Our findings through empirical tests are as follows. First Korean FDI in China increases Korean exports with China but shows a tendency to decrease due to the local content of China. Second Korean FDI in China increases Korean imports in SITC 8 with China. Finally Korean trade surplus caused by Korean FDI in China shrinks due to the decreasing of exports and increasing of imports in Korea. Korean FDI in China should be oriented host country's market oriented rather than production efficiency oriented because of unfriendly foreign investment environments in China.

Export Behaviors of the Passenger Cars of Gunsan, Pyeongtaek and Ulsan Port (항만별 승용차 수출 행태: 군산항.평택항.울산항)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2011
  • The paper aims at examining the behavioral characteristics of the passenger car export of Gunsan, Pyeongtaek, and Ulsan port. This is accomplished by modelling export demand as exchange rate and the Unites States industrial production. All series span the period January 2001 to December 2010. I first show that both the series and the residuals are stationary at the 5 percent significance level. The result cannot reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration regression at the 5 percent significance level. I hitherto make use of forecast error decomposition and historical decompositions The forecast error decomposition indicates that car export is endogenous to industrial production and exchange rate. The historical decompositions for the export show that the entire difference between actual export and the base forecast can be attributed to industrial production shocks since exchange rate moves closer to the actual data or the base forecast. It indicates that industrial production outperforms exchange rate in explaining the passenger car exports.

A Study on the Export Performance Factors of Korean Steel Products to the EU and the Expected Changes in Exports Following the Implementation of CBAM (한국 철강 제품의 EU 수출 성과 요인과 CBAM에 따른 수출 변화 예상에 관한 연구)

  • Jai-Heon Leem;Yoon-Say Jung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.209-232
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to estimate the export performance factors of Korean Steel Products to the EU and the expected changes in exports according to the CBAM(Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism). the factors influencing the export performance of Korean Steel Products to the EU were analyzed using a Gravity Model, and the expected export amount in the case of a Carbon Tax was calculated assuming that the CBAM would be implemented in 2026, As a result, it was empirically analyzed that economic growth, population growth, exchange rate and manufacturing production index of each EU country have a positive effect on exports in Korea, and it was analyzed that the effects of the single market and system due to the EU's economic community were also helpful in increasing exports but the Carbon Tax is imposed in 2026, reducing Korea's steel exports by about -3.6% to -5.7%

해외직접투자(海外直接投資)의 효과(效果)에 관한 고찰(考察)

  • Kim, Seung-Jeon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.75-138
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    • 1997
  • 해외투자로 인해 수출 및 고용이 감소할 것이라는 우려가 있다. 본고는 이론적, 통계적, 실증적 분석을 통하여 이에 관한 논의를 하고 향후 전망과 함께 정책적 시사점을 도출하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본고의 분석결과 및 투자제도 개선방향을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 해외투자가 아직까지 수출을 대체하였다는 근거는 없다. 향후 국내부품업체의 현지동반진출 확대, 해외자회사의 역할 증대, 국제분업생산체제의 진전 등 해외투자전략의 변화에 따라 해외투자가 수출을 대체할 가능성을 배제할 수 없으나 해외투자의 제한시에는 수출 및 고용에 더욱 악영향을 줄 수 있다. 해외투자를 제한하는 것은 예상되는 실업을 단지 연기시키는 것에 불과하며, 오히려 향후 실업문제가 훨씬 심각해질 수 있다. 해외투자는 기업의 경쟁력 유지 및 구조조정을 위해서는 타대안보다 고용안정에 기여할 수 있다. 또한 과도한 해외투자가 기업 및 국내경제에 미칠 악영향을 우려하여 해외투자를 규제하는 것도 설득력이 약하다. 정부가 해외투자의 과도성 여부를 판달할 능력이 기업보다 우월하다고 할 수 없다. 설령 해외투자 결정이 비합리적으로 이루어질 가능성이 있다 하더라도, 이 문제는 투자기업 및 여신은행 등의 책임을 분명히 하여 기업은 투자성과의 책임을 지고, 여신은행, 채권자 등은 투자기업의 재무현황 및 투자계획의 성공가능성을 고려하여 자금제공을 하도록 유도해야 한다. 따라서 일부 대규모 해외투자에 대한 사전심의로 대표되는 현행규제는 철폐되어야 한다. 일부 대규모 해외투자의 적정성 여부를 판단하기 위해 운용되고 있는 해외투자 심의는 실효성이 없을 뿐만 아니라 신속한 해외투자결정을 방해할 수 있다. 중장기적인 관점에서 해외투자로 인한 국제분업을 국내고용 및 수출의 증가뿐만 아니라 경제성장으로 연결시키기 위해서는 국내의 입지여건을 혁신활동 및 고부가가치 활동에 적합하도록 개선해 나갈 필요가 있다. 한편 단기적 고용감소에 대비한 정책도 필요한데, 고육훈련제도의 개선, 노동시장의 유연성 제고, 고용서비스 개선은 이런 마찰을 완화하는데 기여할 것이다.

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Export Behavior Analysis of Busan Port using Constant Market Share Analysis (CMS 분석을 이용한 부산항 수출행태분석)

  • Mo, Soowon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.239-253
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    • 2013
  • Changes of a port's market share in the exports of domestic ports result from many interrelated factors. Therefore, the analysis of the export performance of a port should be put in perspective by analysing long periods to identify trends. This paper aims to show the development of competitiveness, product and geographical structure of the Busan Port's merchandise exports from 1995 to 2012 using constant-market shares (CMS) analysis. This article is relevant for Busan port because its export market shares have been showing disappointing path. The dynamic consideration of the CMS analysis, which the static indicators have been replaced by time series, helps to track all changes in the export structure and competitiveness of the Busan port over time. The long-term trend of the indicators suggests that it may be very hard for the Busan port to maintain its market share in the global environment. The advantage in competitiveness of the Busan port has vanished and the product and geographical structure effects show negative trends after 1995, pointing to vulnerability in the Busan port's exports.

Market Quality Changes of 'Fuji' Apples Influenced by the Duration of Preshipment Storage and Packaging during Simulated Export (수출 전 저장기간과 모의 수출에 따른 '후지' 사과의 상품성 변화)

  • Piao, Yi-Long;Lee, Jae-Chang;Hwang, Yong-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2002
  • The percentage of watercore occurrence harvested on Nov. 6 (commercial harvest season) was over 80% but fruits seemed not to reach climacteric stage on the basis of ethylene evolution. The occurrence ratio and severity of watercore gradually decreased with the increase of preshipment storage for 2 months. The level of soluble solids did not show a clear tendency during preshipment storage but flesh firmness, fresh weight, and acidity gradually decreased. Although the overall quality of fruit reduced along with the increase of preshipment storage duration after exposure to retail condition at ambient temperature for 1 week, plastic film wrapping (PE 30 um) as well as plastic film wrapping plus ethylene scrubbing had a benefit on keeping freshness of fruit even after retail condition. Waxed fruit showed excellent appearance but browning disorder was developed. Results indicated that moisture barrier such as plastic film wrapping and ethylene removal have a great potential on keeping freshness of fruit during export which required long-term transport under low humidity environment.

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Analysis of Chinese Consumer Preference of Country of Origin for Apples based on National Organic Certification (사과의 국가별 유기인증 결합에 대한 중국 소비자 선호분석)

  • Kwon, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jeong-Nyeon;Hong, Na-Kyoung;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates the effect of organic certification of apples on consumer preference in China as a way to support the expanded export of Korean apples to China. A choice experiment was designed to analyze the apple consumption in China. A total of 298 Chinese consumers answered the survey, and multinomial logit models were used to analyze the results. Organic certification was identified as an important determinant of consumer preference for apples in China, affecting both the evaluation and choice of country of origin. The results also indicated that Korean organic certification significantly increased the probability of Chinese consumers choosing Korean apples. Thus, organic certification by the Korean government should be strengthened to promote apple exports to China, plus the results of this study may provide useful information to promote agricultural product exports and improve the organic certification system.

Analysis on the characteristics of mushroom exports in Gyeongbuk province, Korea (경북지역 버섯 수출의 특징 분석)

  • Jo, Woo-Sik;Park, Ju-Ri;Kang, Min-Gu;Kim, Woo-Hyun
    • Journal of Mushroom
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.199-202
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to address a current mushroom export situation in Gyeongbuk area for establishing exports strategy, and policy of mushrooms export. Mushroom industry has made a rapid growth over the past 20 years in Korea. Gyeongbuk province exports volume of enoki and king oyster mushrooms account for about half of the country, enoki and total exports in 2009, and 81%, increased to 14% in 2010 and 2010, the maximum exports (9,415 tons) and the maximum exports (14,840 grand)was recorded. But, enoki and total exports in 2011, and -15%, decreased to -19% in 2012, and increased to 32% in 2013, 1% in 2014. King oyster mushroom to represent the Netherlands in Europe, exports were higher exports to China is negligible. In the case of China in 2001, 5 spots automated mushroom factory, production, but only 8,000 tons in 2011, 652 mushroom factory, production of 1,100,000 tons and in 2012, 788 mushroom factory, production of 1,520,000 tons quickly grew.

Synchronization Phenomenon between Export Weight & Control Volume, Inland Cargo, Export Cargo, Ship Departure (수출중량과 관제탑관제량, 내항화물입항, 수출화물수송 그리고 선박출항과의 동조화현상)

  • Kim, Shin-Joong;Choi, Soo-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to look for the relationship between export weight and control volume, inland cargo, export cargo transport, ship departure. The analysis period were used for a total of 113 monthly data from January 2011 to May 2020. Data were retrieved from the Korean Statistical Information Service of the Statistics Korea. The data used in this study were performed numerical analysis, index analysis and model analysis using the rate of change from the same month of the previous year. In the trend of the increase rate, the amount of control has plummeted from 150% to 60% due to the influence of Corona 19 in the beginning of 2020. At the same time, export weight and export cargo transport also decreased. As a result of the analysis, export weight showed relatively high synchronization with export cargo transport and control volume. On the other hand, export weight and inland cargo showed relatively low synchronization. Export weight is expected to continue in 2020 after the fluctuation rate began to decrease after 2019. If we can find the point of rebound in control volume or export cargo transport in the future, we can predict the point of increase in export weight. We expect to see an increase in export weight as soon as possible.