• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수질 예측

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Sensitivity Analysis of Vortical Hull Girder Vibration (선체 저차 상하고유진동 감도해석)

  • Dae-Seung Cho;Sa-Soo Kim
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.54-61
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a prediction method of natural frequencies of vertical hull girder vibration based on design sensitivity analysis in case of design modification and the variation of loading condition. The resented method premises the vibration analysis by the transfer matrix method. Governing sensitivity equation is derived from the direct differentiation of state vector and transfer matrix to parameters and its transfer over all the hull girder elements. Derivatives of natural frequencies and mode shapes are determined by two trial calculation of the governing equation. Using the derivatives, the changes of natural frequencies and mode shapes can be predicted when mass and stiffness parameter's are changed. As results, it is possible to optimize ship structure as well as to avoid troublesome calculation in hull girder vibration analysis rationally and efficiently. To verify the accuracy and efficiency of the resented method numerical results obtained by both the sensitivity analysis and the ordinary reanalysis far a real ore/bulk carrier in case of the change of mass and stiffness parameters are compared.

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Application of SWAT model for Cheonggecheon watershed (청계천 유역에 대한 SWAT 모형의 적용)

  • Chang, Cheol Hi;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Noh, Seong Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1072-1076
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    • 2004
  • 도시 개발에 의해 우수의 불투수지역 확대, 하천부지의 축소, 산림 및 유수지의 감소 등이 급속히 진행되어 하천유량의 변화, 지하수위의 저하, 용수의 고갈, 생태계의 파괴 등이 발생되어 왔다. 도시지역은 도시형 수해발생, 갈수시의 급수안전도 지하, 평시 하천유량의 감소, 공공수역의 수질악화, 지하수 오열 등 여러 가지 문제에 직면하고 있다. 이러한 문제들은 서울의 경우도 예외는 아니며 청계천 복원 사업과 더불어 그동안 방치되었던 도시유역의 물순환 체계를 분석할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 도시하천 유역의 물순환을 해석하였다. SWAT모형은 미국 농무성 농업연구소(Agricultural Research Service, ARS)에서 개발된 모델로서, 내규모의 복잡한 유역에서 장기간에 걸친 다양한 종류의 토양과 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태에 따른 물과 유사 및 농업화학물질의 거동에 대한 토지관리 방법의 영향을 예측하기 위해 개발되었다. SWAT 모형은 물리적 이론에 근거한 연속모형으로 준분포형 (Semi-Distributed) 모형이다. 본 연구는 도시하천 유역의 물순환체계 변동을 고려한 물순환 정상화 기술을 개발하기 위한 기초단계로서, 청계천 유역에 내해 모형을 적용하였다. 청계천은 중랑천의 제1지류인 지방2급 하천으로 유역면적 $50.96km^2$, 유로연장 13.75km이며, 2003년 7월부터 ,5.9km의 본류구간에 대한 복원공사가 진행 중이다. 적용유역의 수문${\cdot}$기상${\cdot}$지하수 자료는 1993널 1월 1일 $\~$ 2002년 12월 31일까지의 서울 기상청 자료를 이용하였으며, 지형, 토양, 토지이용 자료는 기존에 구축된 GIS 자료를 이용하였다. 모형 적용결과, 도시하천 유역에 대한 SWAT 모형의 적용성을 확인할 수 있었으며 유역의 물순환계를 구성하는 강수, 지표수, 토양수, 지하수 및 하천수 등의 상호 관계 분석을 통해 장기간의 유역 물순환체계 변화를 분석할 수 있었다.

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Uncertainty Analysis of SWAT Model using Monte Carlo Technique and Ensemble Flow Simulations (몬테카를로 기법과 앙상블 유량모의 기법에 의한 SWAT 모형의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Phil-Shik;Kim, Sun-Joo;Lee, Jae-Hyouk;Jee, Yong-Keun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2009
  • 수학적 모델은 수량과 수질의 예측을 위해 현장 조사의 대안으로 사용되어지며 이러한 모델의 사용과 실측에 불확실성이 존재하게 된다. 불확실성에 대한 많은 연구들이 진행되어 왔으나 시나리오에 의한 모델링 과정에서 발생하는 불확실성에 대한 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 산림이 농경지와 목초지로의 변화에 따른 시나리오를 설계한 후 시나리오 적용에 따른 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 매개변수의 불확실성을 분석하고자 하였다. 몬테카를로 기법 (Monte Carlo simulation)을 이용하여 각 매개변수별 1,000개의 난수를 발생하였으며 앙상블 유량모의 기법을 이용하여 미국 Alabama주 카하바강 상류 (50,967ha)를 대상으로 각 난수별 100개의 유량을 통해 불확실성을 분석하였다. 분석 결과 산림지역이 농경지와 목초지로 변화 되었을 때 유출량이 증가하는 것으로 분석되었으며, 임야가 목초지 보다 농경지로 변화되었을 때 유출량은 더욱 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 각 시나리오별 SWAT 매개변수의 불확실성은 AWC (Available water capacity), CN (Curve number), GWREVAP (groundwater re-evaporation coeffeicient), REVAPMN (minimum depth of water in shallow aquifer for re-evaporation to occur)순으로 크게 나타났으며, Ksat (Saturated hydraulic conductivity)와 ESCO(Soil evaporation compensation factor)는 유출량의 변화에 큰 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 분석되었다. 토지피복별 산림 면적이 클 경우 불확실성이 크게 나타나 산림이 목초지와 농경지로 변함에 따라 불확실성은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

Water Quality Forecasting of River using Neural Network and Fuzzy Algorithm (신경망과 퍼지 알고리즘을 이용한 하천 수질예측)

  • Rhee, Kyoung-Hoon;Kang, Il-Hwan;Moon, Byoung-Seok;Park, Jin-Geum
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2005
  • This study applied the Neural Network and Fuzzy theory to show water-purity control and preventive measure in water quality forecasting of the future river. This study picked out NAJU and HAMPYUNG as the subject of investigation and used monthly the water quality and the outflow data of KWANGJU2, NAJU, YOUNGSANNPO and HAMPYUNG from 1995 to 1999 to forecast BOD, COD, T-N, T-P water density. The datum from 1995 to 1999 are used for study and that of 2000 are used for verification. To develop model of water quality forecasting, firstly, this research formed Neural Network model and divided Neural Network model into two case - the case of considering lag and not considering. And this study selected optimal Neural Network model through changing the number of hidden layer based on input layer(n) from n to 3n. Through forecasting result, the case without considering lag showed more precise simulated result. Accordingly, this study intended to compare, analyse that Fuzzy model using the method without considering lag with Neural Network model. As a result, this study found that the model without considering lag in Neural Network Network shows the most excellent outcome. Thus this study examined a forecasting accuracy, analyzed result and verified propriety through appling the method of water quality forecasting using Neural Network and Fuzzy Algorithms to the actual case.

The Effect of Climate Change on Water Quality Analysis in a Dam River Basin (기후변화시나리오에 따른 댐유역의 장기 수질변화 예측)

  • Jung, Je Ho;Kim, Dong Il;Choi, Hyun Gu;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2011
  • To assess the impact of climate change on water quality in an impounded river basin, this study estimated future air temperature and rainfall in the years of 2020, 2050 and 2080 by statistically downscaling the simulation results from two GCM models combined with two emission scenarios (A2 and B1). Both scenarios were selected from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) suggested by IPCC. The A2 scenario represents an extreme condition whereas the B1 scenario represents a clean and energy efficient condition which is similar to that of study basin. With the results of estimated climate factors and land use data, the discharge and the concentrations of BOD, TN and TP in the Andong dam basins were simulated using the SWAT model. The change in BOD concentration for the B1 emission scenario was greater than the A2 scenario in the annual increase range and the pollution level. The concentration of TN was decreased during March? June which is drought period and increased again afterward. In contrast to TN, the concentration of TP was generally decreased. The change in TP concentration was greater for the B1 scenario than the A2 scenario.

Comparative Evaluation of QUAL2E and QUAL-NIER Models for Water Quality Prediction in Eutrophic River (부영양 하천의 수질예측을 위한 QUAL2E와 QUAL-NIER 모델의 비교·평가)

  • Choi, Jungkyu;Chung, Sewoong;Ryoo, Jaeil
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.54-62
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    • 2008
  • It is often believed that a more complex water quality model is better able to simulate reality. The more complex a model, however, the more parameters are involved thus increases the cost and uncertainty of modeling processes. The objective of this study was to compare the performance of two steady-state river water quality models, QUAL2E and QUAL-NIER, that have different complexity. QUAL-NIER is recently developed by National Institute of Environmental Research aiming to enhance the simulation capability of QUAL2E for eutrophic rivers. It is a carbon based model that considers different forms, such as dissolved versus particulate and labile versus refractory, of carbon and nutrients, and the contribution of autochthonous loading due to algal metabolism. The models were simultaneously applied to Nakdong River and their performance was evaluated by statistical verification with field data. Both models showed similar performance and satisfactorily replicated the longitudinal variations of BOD, T-N, T-P, Chl.a concentrations along the river. The algal blooms occurred at the stagnant reaches of downstream were also reasonably captured by the models. Although QUAL-NIER somewhat reduced the magnitude of errors, the hypothesis tests revealed no statistical evidence to justify its better performance. The contribution of autochthonous carbon and nutrient load by algal metabolism was insignificant because the hydraulic retention time is relatively short compare to the time scale of kinetic reactions. The results imply that the kinetic processes included in QUAL-NIER are too complex for the nature and scale of the real processes involved, thus needs to be optimized for improving the modeling efficiency.

Water Quality Simulation of Juam Reservoir Depend on Total Pollution Loads Control (총량규제에 따른 주암호의 장래 수질 예측)

  • Jang, Sung-Ryong;An, Ki-Sun;Kwon, Young-Ho;Han, Jae-Ik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2010
  • When the Juam multipurpose dam which is connected with existing large water supply facilities is finished, water environment is changed from stream to lake. The changed quality of water should be examined. In this study, the result of water quality forecasting is analysed and an effective management plan of water quality is presented. Tn this study, the WASPS model that is a dynamic water quality simulation model was selected to forecast the water quality. This model forecasts movement of change of pollutants. For an application of the model, the subject areas were divided into seventeen sub-areas by considering change temperature depending measuring points and on depth of water. Meteorological data collected by the meteorological observatory and data about quality measured by the Korea Water Resources Development Corporation were used for an operation of the model. As a result of quality examination through quality data and estimated pollutant loading, the water quality environment criterion was grade II and the nutritive condition was measured as meso-graphic grade. In this study, an effective management was planned to improve water quality by reducing pollution load. According to the result of examination, when more than 30% of BOD was reduced it was recorded that the environment standard of water quality was improved to the second grade.

STSAT-3 Operations Concept (과학기술위성 3호 운영개념)

  • Lee, Seung-Hun;Park, Jong-Oh;Rhee, Seung-Wu;Jung, Tae-Jin;Lee, Dae-Hee;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2011
  • The Science and Technology Satellite-3 (STSAT-3) is based on the KITSAT-1, 2, 3 and STSAT-1, 2 which were Korea micro-satellites for the mission of space and earth science. The objectives of the STSAT-3 are to support earth and space sciences in parallel with the demonstration of spacecraft technology. The STSAT-3 carries an infrared (IR) camera for space & earth observation and an imaging spectrometer for earth observation. The IR payload instrument of the STSAT-3, Multi-purpose Infrared Imaging System (MIRIS), will observe the Galactic plane and North/South Ecliptic poles to research the origin of universe. The secondary payload instrument, Compact Imaging Spectrometer (COMIS), images the Earth's surface. The data acquired from COMIS are expected to be used for various application fields such as monitoring of disaster management, water quality studies, and farmland assessment. In this paper we present the operations concept of STSAT-3 which will be launched into a sun-synchronous orbit at a nominal altitude of 600km in late 2012.

Numerical Simulation of water quality by ${\Delta}COD$ method for Inner Productivity Estimation of Yeong-Il Bay (간이변환 수질예측모델에 의한 영일만 내부생산성 평가)

  • Yoon, Han-Sam;Ryu, Cheong-Ro;Lee, In-Cheol;Kim, Heon-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2003
  • This study investigated the yearly variation of pollutant loads outflowing from six watershed of Yeong-il Bay and compared the relationship of pollutant load and water quality, and estimated the Inner productivity of Yeong-Il Bay by using ${\Delta}COD$ method which analysis nonlinear process of water quality. As the estimated results for the pollutant loads of Yeong-Il Bay, total COD load outflowing from Hyeong-san river in flood season(summer) of 2001 year was 2275.0 kg/hr and in dry(low water) season(winter) 852.8 kg/hr, respectively. Load quantity in flood season was about 2.67 times than that in dry season. And as the calculated results of the net-flux of water for seven divisions, it showed that the net-flux of water increased for the divisions of the north coast and inner sea of Yeong-Il Bay but decreased for the south coast. On the contrary, for the cases which water quantity increase from land, the net-flux of water in estuary front of Hyeong-san river decreased but outflowing quantity of that though division of the south coast of Homi-got increased. Finally, this study compared the Inner productions for flood and dry season of Yeong-il Bay by using ${\Delta}COD$ method.

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Water Quality Prediction at Mandae Watershed using SWAT and Water Quality Improvement with Vegetated Filter Strip (SWAT 모형을 이용한 만대천 유역의 비점오염 예측과 초생대 수질 개선 효과 분석)

  • Lee, Ji-Won;Eom, Jae-Sung;Kim, Bom-Chul;Jang, Won-Seok;Ryu, Ji-Chul;Kang, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Ki-Sung;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2011
  • Mandae watershed in Gangwon province has been known as one of soil erosion hot spot watersheds within Hanggang basin. Thus numerous efforts have been made to reduce soil erosion and pollutant loads into receiving watershed. However, proper best management practices have not been suggested because no monitoring flow and water quality data were available. Thus, modeling technique could not be utilized to evaluate water quality issue properly at Mandae watershed to develop and implement the best management practices. In this study, the SWAT model was applied to the Mandae watershed, Gangwon province to evaluate the SWAT prediction ability and water quality improvement with vegetated filter strip (VFS) in this study. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) and Coefficient of determination ($R^2$) values for flow simulation were 0.715 and 0.802, respectively, and the NSE and $R^2$ values were 0.903 and 0.920 for T-P simulation indicating the SWAT can be used to simulate flow and T-P with acceptable accuracies. The SWAT model, calibrated for flow and T-P, was used to evaluate water quality improvement with the VFS in agricultural fields. It was found that approximately 56.19 % of T-P could be reduced with vegetated filter strip of 5 m at the edge of agricultural fields within the watershed (34.86 % reduction with VFS of 1m, 48.29 % with VFS of 3 m). As shown in this study, the T-P, which plays key roles in eutrophication in the waterbodies, can be reduced with proper installation of the VFS.