• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수요예측제도

Search Result 59, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

The Study on Aging Feature and Estimated Life-time of a Digital Watt Hour Meter (전자식전력량계 경년특성 및 수명예측 연구)

  • Seol, Leel-Ho;Park, Jae-Duck;Cho, Seong-Hyeon;Park, Jung-Won
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2006.07a
    • /
    • pp.476-477
    • /
    • 2006
  • 최근 IT산업의 눈부신 성장과 고성능 전자소자가 개발됨에 따라 전력계량분야에서도 많은 변화가 있었다. 전자소자를 사용하여 다양한 기능들을 구현할 수 있는 전자식전력량계가 이미 10여년 전부터 도입하여 운용하고 있으며, 다양한 요금제도를 통한 전력사용의 합리화 및 수요관리, 원격검침 등에 기여하고 있다. 전자식전력량계는 현행 관련법령에 따라 전력량계의 검정유효기간이 7년으로 규정되어 있어 검정유효기간의 조정에 대한 필요성이 제기되어 왔다. 검정유효기간은 제품의 수명과 경제적 교체주기에 따라 결정할 사안이므로 이에 대한 기초자료로 활용하고자 가속열화시험 등 몇 가지 수명예측기법을 이용하여 현재 운영중인 전자식전력량계의 수명을 예측하고 그 결과를 제시하고자 한다.

  • PDF

Analysis of the Korean Housing Market Mechanisms and Housing Sales Policies Using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 분양 제도 변화에 따른 주택 시장 영향 분석)

  • Park, Moon-Seo;Ahn, Chang-Bum;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Hwang, Sung-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.42-52
    • /
    • 2009
  • From the beginning of 2000, Korean housing market has experienced cyclical volatility because of the global economic fluctuation such as steady decline in the interest rate and the house price bubble. In response to these state Korean Government announced policies about housing sales system kinds of Sales Unit Price Restraint and Post-Sales System to stabilize housing market. But such policies has brought unprecedented arguments both for and against, most of whom still seem to stick to self-centered judgement ahead of impact on housing market. In an integrated point of view, applying the system dynamics modeling, the paper aims at proposing basic Korean housing market dynamics models based on basis principles of housing market determined by supply and demand. And then, after research policies about housing sales system, analyze Impact on Korean Housing Market by change of Sales Systems applying policies to basic Korean housing market dynamics models.

Improvement scheme of utilization of the results of the post-construction evaluation system (건설공사 사후평가 수행결과 활용도 개선 방안)

  • Lee, Du-Heon;Park, Jae-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.14 no.6
    • /
    • pp.78-89
    • /
    • 2013
  • Post-evaluation system reflects the results of performing a public construction project in the future similar public construction projects to be utilized in the planning. However, the current system simply compares the expected values, such as demand, B/C ratio, cost of construction, construction period, with the actual values after the completion of construction. In addition, most public owner does not actively conduct the post-construction evaluation tasks, so that the evaluation results has not been returned to early stage of a construction project. In this study, status of the post-construction evaluation system is investigated by a survey of the public owner and the construction project evaluation system of the United States and Japan was analyzed. This paper presents the improvement scheme of utilization of the results of the post-construction evaluation system. Through improving the post-construction evaluation system, it is expected that public agencies would easily utilize the post-construction evaluation.

Electricity Demand and the Impact of Pricing Reform: An Analysis with Household Expenditure Data (가구별 소비자료를 이용한 전력수요함수 추정 및 요금제도 변경의 효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Kang, Hye-Jung;Kim, Yong-Gun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.409-434
    • /
    • 2014
  • This paper estimates household demand for electricity using a micro-level household expenditure data set. A two-stage estimation method where the endogenous block price estimates are obtained from a discrete block choice model is used. This method successfully identifies a downward sloping conditional demand function with the data, while both the usual two-stage method with instrumental variable estimation and the Hewitt-Hanemann discrete-continuous model fail to do that. The paper simulates the impacts of two hypothetical pricing reforms that reduce the number of blocks and make the price gap smaller. It is shown that the reform may increase the overall consumer benefit, but is regressive.

Current Issues and Prospects of the Era of School Library Promotion Act - with a focus on manpower issue - (학교도서관진흥법시대의 과제와 전망 - 인력 문제를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jong-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.50 no.4
    • /
    • pp.159-180
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate current issues and prospects which emerged by the revision of School Library Promotion Act in 2018. Based on the analysis of government's teacher placement plan, the writer insist expansion of teacher librarian supply through undergraduate course and graduate school of education. And the necessity of teacher librarians' competency promotion for reading education and information literacy education and unification of divided manpower system come up for the taking root of school library manpower system.

Supply-Demand Forecasting of Principal Engineers in Construction Industry Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 건설 특급기술자 수급전망)

  • Kim, Sung-Tae;Lee, Hyun-Soo;An, Sun-Ju;Ryu, Han-Guk;Park, Moon-Seo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.161-172
    • /
    • 2007
  • By prosperous condition of construction economy in the early 90s in Korea, the government needed a lot of the qualified professional engineers (PE) to manage the construction site. In order to meet the high demand of P.E., Government has established the admitted engineer systems(AES) in 1995 that give the authority of principal engineers to the admitted engineers who do not take the written examination but have equivalent working experience. Since 2000, professional $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ shortage has been resolved. however, the opposite situation, which is serious over-supply of construction engineers has occurred. Thus, Government announced that would abolish the admitted engineer systems as recognized the existent admitted engineers(about 1,000,000 persons) from 2007. However, Professional Engineers Institution has strongly insisted that Government should not recognize existent admitted engineers. From this point of view, it is critical to make the supply-demand forecast systems as a derivative approach of System Dynamics also, that is useful in comparing the argument between Government and Professional Engineers Institution. This paper describes about principal $engineer^{\circ}{\phi}s$ supply change by admitted engineer system abrogation and suggests the idea to regulate the supply and demand with the improvement of the regal system.

A Study on proposals of policies for investment by the utilizations of DGPS system (DGPS 시스템 활용을 통한 수익성 확보방안 연구)

  • 송면규;유형열;이헌택;김기문
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-21
    • /
    • 1999
  • In this paper, we analyzed the trends and activities of DGPS facilities and operations in the advanced countries, evaluated requisitions in its relevant part, and proposed preparations to the KORA's policies for estimation the efficiency of KORA's investments in promotions to the DGPS market by introduction of DGPS system in domestic.

  • PDF

금속복합 재료의 제조 및 응용

  • 한경섭;김영한
    • Journal of the KSME
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.46-56
    • /
    • 1992
  • 이 글에서는 현재까지 개발된 금속복합재료의 제조공법 중에서 비교적 보편화되어 있는 분말야 금법, 가압용침법, 복합주조법 등에 대하여 소개하였고, 제조된 재료가 가지는 일반적인 기계적 성질에 대하여 설명하였다. 그리고 금속복합재료의 대표적인 응용분야와 현재 국내에서도 큰 관심을 끌고 있는 자동차엔진의 부품소재로서 금속복합재료의 응용기술에 대해 소개하였다. 국 내에서 금속복합재료의 관련 연구는 주로 학교와 연구소를 중심으로 발전되어 왔으나 근년에 자동차 산업의 비약적인 발전과 항공산업 분야에서 잠재적인 수요가 예측되면서 일부 기업체에서 응용 연구를 시작하였다. 그러나 금속복합재료의 기초 소재가 되는 경합금과 보강재의 제도기 술은 선진국에 비해 크게 뒤져 있다. 현재까지 국내에서의 연구동향은 주로 금속복합재료의 제조공정개발과 물성 평가에 치중하여 왔다. 기계공업이 발전하면서 점점 더 고기능성 소재가 요구되어지는 현황을 감안할 때 금속복합재료의 실질적 응용분야의 개척과 함께 기초 소재의 개발 연구는 시급한 과제이다.

  • PDF

An Empirical Study of Profiling Model for the SMEs with High Demand for Standards Using Data Mining (데이터마이닝을 이용한 표준정책 수요 중소기업의 프로파일링 연구: R&D 동기와 사업화 지원 정책을 중심으로)

  • Jun, Seung-pyo;Jung, JaeOong;Choi, San
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.511-544
    • /
    • 2016
  • Standards boost technological innovation by promoting information sharing, compatibility, stability and quality. Identifying groups of companies that particularly benefit from these functions of standards in their technological innovation and commercialization helps to customize planning and implementation of standards-related policies for demand groups. For this purpose, this study engages in profiling of SMEs whose R&D objective is to respond to standards as well as those who need to implement standards system for technological commercialization. Then it suggests a prediction model that can distinguish such companies from others. To this end, decision tree analysis is conducted for profiling of characteristics of subject SMEs through data mining. Subject SMEs include (1) those that engage in R&D to respond to standards (Group1) or (2) those in need of product standard or technological certification policies for commercialization purposes (Group 2). Then the study proposes a prediction model that can distinguish Groups 1 and 2 from others based on several variables by adopting discriminant analysis. The practicality of discriminant formula is statistically verified. The study suggests that Group 1 companies are distinguished in variables such as time spent on R&D planning, KoreanStandardIndustryClassification (KSIC) category, number of employees and novelty of technologies. Profiling result of Group 2 companies suggests that they are differentiated in variables such as KSIC category, major clients of the companies, time spent on R&D and ability to test and verify their technologies. The prediction model proposed herein is designed based on the outcomes of profiling and discriminant analysis. Its purpose is to serve in the planning or implementation processes of standards-related policies through providing objective information on companies in need of relevant support and thereby to enhance overall success rate of standards-related projects.

A Study on Early Termination Payment Option of BTO PPI Projects (BTO 민간투자사업 해지시지급금 매수청구권 가치에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.121-130
    • /
    • 2011
  • Real option values of early termination payment for selected BTO PPI projects are studied using binomial models. Two cases of early termination payments are considered; an option with the condition of private participants' default, and an option without the condition. Values vary depending upon parameter values such as revenues, costs, discount rates, debt ratio, and volatility of revenues. For selected projects, the option values without the default condition are estimated as 1%~7% of total project costs, whereas the option values with the default condition are estimated as 0%~1.89% of total project cost. When actual revenues differ from the forecasted revenues, apparently the option values deviate from the values based upon the forecasted revenues. When actual revenues fall short of the forecasted revenues, the option values increase by a large amount whereas the option values decrease by a small amount in the opposite case. This implies that the option values can be quite bigger than the values based upon the forecasted revenue especially when the revenue forecast uncertainty is large. This study is expected to play an important role in improving the early termination payment option policy of the government in PPI projects in Korea.