• Title/Summary/Keyword: 수문특성분석

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Susceptibility Mapping of Umyeonsan Using Logistic Regression (LR) Model and Post-validation through Field Investigation (로지스틱 회귀 모델을 이용한 우면산 산사태 취약성도 제작 및 현장조사를 통한 사후검증)

  • Lee, Sunmin;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.6_2
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    • pp.1047-1060
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, global warming has been continuing and abnormal weather phenomena are occurring frequently. Especially in the 21st century, the intensity and frequency of hydrological disasters are increasing due to the regional trend of water. Since the damage caused by disasters in urban areas is likely to be extreme, it is necessary to prepare a landslide susceptibility maps to predict and prepare the future damage. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the landslide vulnerability using the logistic model and assessed the management plan after the landslide through the field survey. The landslide area was extracted from aerial photographs and interpretation of the field survey data at the time of the landslides by local government. Landslide-related factors were extracted topographical maps generated from aerial photographs and forest map. Logistic regression (LR) model has been used to identify areas where landslides are likely to occur in geographic information systems (GIS). A landslide susceptibility map was constructed by applying a LR model to a spatial database constructed through a total of 13 factors affecting landslides. The validation accuracy of 77.79% was derived by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the logistic model. In addition, a field investigation was performed to validate how landslides were managed after the landslide. The results of this study can provide a scientific basis for urban governments for policy recommendations on urban landslide management.

Stream Discharge Estimation by Runoff Component Analysis on the Control Point (유출성분 분석에 의한 제어지점의 유출량 산정)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Hwang, Man-Ha;Lee, Bae-Sung;Park, Joo-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.785-789
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    • 2006
  • 유역 수자원의 효율적인 관리 및 배분을 위해서는 세밀한 강우-유출관계의 규명이 무엇보다 중요하다. 이를 위해서는 먼저 하천 유출지점의 정확한 유량정보가 획득되어야 하며, 장기간에 걸쳐 신뢰성 있는 유량자료의 확보는 더욱 중요한 사항이다. 본 연구에서는 하천에서 관측된 유량자료를 장기간(1983년${\sim}$2004년)에 걸친 유출성분으로 분리하는 기법을 활용하여 제어지점의 유출량을 검증하였다. 유량자료를 출구지점의 관측유량$(Q_{ob})$을 회귀수$({\alpha}Q_e)$, 상류유입량$(Q_{up})$ 및 관측강우-유출량$({\beta}Q_{Rain})$의 성분으로 구분하여 산정하는 방식으로 유출량을 추정하였다. 여기서, 회귀수$({\alpha}Q_e)$란 유역 및 하도내 용수이용량의 회귀수, 상류유입량$(Q_{up})$은 상류 유출 제어지점의 관측유량으로 대청댐 방류량, 관측강우-유출량$({\beta}Q_{Rain})$은 유역내 강우에 의한 자연유출량이다. 여기서 사용된 수문기초자료는 대청댐 방류량, 대전 및 청주권 취수량, 강우에 의한 자연유출량, 공주관측유량 등으로 각 성분별로 생성된 일자료를 이용하여 공주지점의 월별, 분기별, 년도별 유출량을 산정하였다. 이 결과는 금강유역에 이미 구축되어있는 SSARR모형을 기반으로 한 RRFS(Rainfall Runoff Forecasting System, 유출예측 시스템)의 결과 및 관측치와 비교되었다. 계산결과 RRFS에 의한 유출량과 대청-공주구간의 유출성분분리에 의한 유출량은 관측값과 전반적으로 근사함을 확인하였으며, 검증지점의 정확한 유출율을 산정할 수 있다면, 관측자료의 연속성 및 신뢰도를 파악하는 척도를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.측결과 있는 대상유역에 대한 적용이 요구된다.-Moment 방법에 의해 추정된 매개변수를 사용한 Power 분포를 적용하였으며 이들 분포의 적합도를 PPCC Test를 사용하여 평가해봄으로써 낙동강 유역에서의 저수시의 유출량 추정에 대한 Power 분포의 적용성을 판단해 보았다. 뿐만 아니라 이와 관련된 수문요소기술을 확보할 수 있을 것이다.역의 물순환 과정을 보다 명확히 규명하고자 노력하였다.으로 추정되었다.면으로의 월류량을 산정하고 유입된 지표유량에 대해서 배수시스템에서의 흐름해석을 수행하였다. 그리고, 침수해석을 위해서는 2차원 침수해석을 위한 DEM기반 침수해석모형을 개발하였고, 건물의 영향을 고려할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 본 연구결과 지표류 유출 해석의 물리적 특성을 잘 반영하며, 도시지역의 복잡한 배수시스템 해석모형과 지표범람 모형을 통합한 모형 개발로 인해 더욱 정교한 도시지역에서의 홍수 범람 해석을 실시할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 모형의 개발로 침수상황의 시간별 진행과정을 분석함으로써 도시홍수에 대한 침수위험 지점 파악 및 주민대피지도 구축 등에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 있을 것으로 판단되었다.4일간의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.게 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.는 초과수익률이 상승하지만, 이후로는 감소하므로, 반전거래전략을 활용하는 경우 주식투자기간은 24개월이하의 중단기가 적합함을 발견하였다. 이상의 행태적 측면과 투자성과측면의 실증결과를 통하여 한국주식시장에 있어서 시장수익률을 평균적으로 초과할 수 있는 거래전략은 존재하므로 이러한 전략을 개발 및 활용할 수 있으며, 특히, 한국주식시장에 적합한 거래전략은 반전거래전략이고, 이 전략의 유용성은 투자자가 설정한 투자기간보다 더욱 긴

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A Study on Coupling TOPMODEL with HyGIS (HyGIS와 TOPMODEL의 연계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung Tak;Choi, Yun Seok;Jang, Jae Hyeok
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2004
  • Hydrological model which is proper to watershed characteristics and analysis purpose must be used when we analyze water resources. But, although proper model is used, if objectivity and reasonability of data is low it is difficult to get good results from the model. So it is very important to decide the data which is used in selected model and estimate parameters by using the applied data. In this study, temporal and spatial data was constructed as standard data of test site and stored in HyGIS (Hydrological Geographic Information System) DB. A system which extracts temporal and spatial data required to run hydrological model from HyGIS DB by connecting TOPMODEL with HyGIS was developed. In this system, we can extract temporal and spatial data which is needed to run TOPMODEL from HyGIS DB and estimate model parameters by using genetic algorithm. We found that HyGIS and the system connected with TOPMODEL was effective to make temporal and spatial data used in TOPMODEL and estimate model parameters. From this study, we suggested the possibility that HyGIS could be applied properly to another hydrological model, too.

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Application and evaluation of improving techniques for watershed water cycle to adapt climate change (Gyeongan-Cheon) (기후변화 적응 유역 물순환 개선 기술 적용 및 평가 (경안천))

  • Jang, Cheol Hee;Kim, Hyeon Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.461-461
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    • 2017
  • 기후변화 적응 유역 물순환 개선 기술은 기후변화가 진행 중에 있거나 예상되는 지역에 대하여 강우-유출수를 지연, 저류, 침투시켜 지속가능한 물순환체계를 유지 회복하도록 하는 기술이라 할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 국내 유역의 특성 및 기후를 반영하기 수월한 물순환 개선 및 평가시스템을 국내 기술로 개발하였다. 개발된 유역 물순환 개선 및 평가시스템은 기존 국가연구개발사업을 통해 개발되고 사업화에 성공한 바 있는 유역 물순환 평가 모형인 CAT(Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool)을 수정 및 개선하여 기후변화에 따른 영향을 평가하고 적응 대책을 수립하기 위한 실무적인 소프트웨어이다. 침투트렌치, 식생침투트렌치, 습지, 저류지, 빗물탱크 등의 물순환개선시설에 대한 효과를 평가할 수 있도록 개별시설의 제원에 따른 물순환개선 효과를 정량적으로 평가할 수 있다. 본 연구의 대상유역으로는 팔당댐 상류의 경안천 유역을 선정하였다. 경안천 유역의 기후변화에 따른 물순환 개선 기술 적용을 위해서 기후변화 시나리오 자료는 기상청 수원 측후소의 1976~2099년 FGOALS-s2, HadGEM-ES, INM-CM4 RCP8.5 시나리오를 적용하였으며 분석기간은 2020s(2010~2039), 2050s(2040~2069), 2080s(2070~2099)로 구분하였다. Baseline은 수원 측후소 과거 30년 1971~2000년 자료를 이용하였고 각 시나리오별 수문성분 및 구조적 물순환 개선기술 적용에 따른 수문성분을 비교 분석하였다. 물순환 개선기술 시나리오 중 침투시설 시나리오는 도시 면적의 20%, 설계침투량은 일본 우수저류침투기술협회 기준인 단위면적($1m^2$)당 10mm 적용하였고, 빗물저장시설 시나리오의 저장시설의 용량은 수도법시행규칙(2011)의 빗물 이용시설기준(도시면적 ${\times}0.05$)을 적용하였다. 시나리오별 강우량은 HadGEM-ES가 증가폭이 크게 나타났고 INM-CM4는 2080s에서 감소 경향을 보였다. 증발산량은 거의 모든 시나리오에서 대부분 감소하였고, 개선기술 적용에 따라 크게 증가하거나 감소폭이 줄어들었다. 직접유출량 및 중간유출량은 기후변화 시나리오별 강우증가분에 따른 미세한 증가 양상을 보였고, 개선기술 적용에 따라 약간 증가하는 양상을 보였다. 지하수유출량의 경우 침투시설 적용으로 함양량이 크게 증가함에 따라 증가폭이 매우 크게 나타났다.

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Development and Application of the SWAT HRU Mapping Module for Estimation of Groundwater Pollutant Loads for Each HRU in the SWAT Model (SWAT HRU별 지하수 오염부하량 산정을 위한 SWAT HRU Mapping Module 개발 및 적용)

  • Ryu, Ji Chul;Mun, Yuri;Moon, Jongpil;Kim, Ik Jae;Ok, Yong Sik;Jang, Won Seok;Kang, Hyunwoo;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.49-70
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    • 2011
  • The numerous efforts have been made in understanding generation and transportation mechanism of nonpoint source pollutants from agricultural areas. Also, the water quality degradation has been exacerbated over the years in many parts of Korea as well as other countries. Nonpoint source pollutants are transported into waterbodies with direct runoff and baseflow. It has been generally thought that groundwater quality is not that severe compared with surface water quality. However its impacts on groundwater in the vicinity of stream quality is not negligible in agricultural areas. The SWAT model has been widely used in hydrology and water quality studies worldwide because of its flexibilities and accuracies. The spatial property of each HRU, which is the basic computational element, is not presented. Thus, the SWAT HRU mapping module was developed in this study and was applied to the study watershed to evaluate recharge rate and $NO_3-N$ loads in groundwater. The $NO_3-N$ loads in groundwater on agricultural fields were higher than on forests because of commercial fertilizers and manure applied in agricultural fields. The $NO_3-N$ loads were different among various crops because of differences in crop nutrient uptake, amount of fertilizer applied, soil properties in the field. As shown in this study, the SWAT HRU mapping module can be efficiently used to evaluate the pollutant contribution via baseflow in agricultural watershed.

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Determining the Locations of Washland Candidates in the Four Major River Basins Using Spatial Analysis and Site Evaluation (공간분석 및 현장조사 평가 기법을 활용한 4대강 강변저류지 조성 후보지 선정)

  • Jeong, Kwang-Seuk;Shin, Hae-Su;Jung, Ju-Chul;Kim, Ik-Jae;Choi, Jong-Yun;Jung, In-Chul;Joo, Gea-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.44-54
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a comprehensive exploration and evaluation of washland candidate locations by means of field monitoring as well as spatial analysis in six major river system (Han, Nakdong, Nam, Geum, Youngsan, and Seomjin Rivers). Washland(in other words, river detention basin) is an artificial wetland system which is connected to streams or rivers likely to riverine wetlands. Major purpose of washland creation is to control floodings, water supply and purification, providence of eco-cultural space to human and natural populations. Characteristics and functions of riverine wetlands can be expected as well, thus it is believed to be an efficient multi-purpose water body that is artificially created, in terms of hydrology and ecology. Geographical information and field monitoring results for the washland candidate locations were evaluated in 2009, with respect to optimal location exploration, ecosystem connectivity and educational-cultural circumstances. A total of $269\;km^2$ washland candidate locations were found from spatial analysis (main channel of Rivers South Han, 71.5; Nakdong 54.1; Nam, 2.3; Geum, 79.0; Youngsan 46.4; Seomjin 15.7), and they tended to be distributed in mid- to lower part of the rivers to which tributaries are confluent. Field monitoring at 106 sites revealed that some sites located in the Rivers Nam and Geum is appropriate for restoration or artificial creation as riverine wetlands. Several sites in the Nakdong and Seomjin Rivers were close to riverine wetlands (e.g., Upo), habitats of endangered species (e.g., otters), or adjacent to educational facility (e.g., museums) or cultural heritages (e.g., temples). Those sites can be utilized in hydrological, ecological, educational, and cultural ways when evidence of detailed hydrological evaluation is provided. In conclusion, determination of washland locations in the major river basins has to consider habitat expansion as well as hydrological function (i.e. flood control) basically, and further utility (e.g. educational function) will increase the values of washland establishment.

Calibration of Gauge Rainfall Considering Wind Effect (바람의 영향을 고려한 지상강우의 보정방법 연구)

  • Shin, Hyunseok;Noh, Huiseong;Kim, Yonsoo;Ly, Sidoeun;Kim, Duckhwan;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to obtain reliable rainfall data for runoff simulation and other hydrological analysis by the calibration of gauge rainfall. The calibrated gauge rainfall could be close to the actual value with rainfall on the ground. In order to analyze the wind effect of ground rain gauge, we selected the rain gauge sites with and without a windshield and standard rain gauge data from Chupungryeong weather station installed by standard of WMO. Simple linear regression model and artificial neural networks were used for the calibration of rainfalls, and we verified the reliability of the calibrated rainfalls through the runoff analysis using $Vflo^{TM}$. Rainfall calibrated by linear regression is higher amount of rainfall in 5%~18% than actual rainfall, and the wind remarkably affects the rainfall amount in the range of wind speed of 1.6~3.3m/s. It is hard to apply the linear regression model over 5.5m/s wind speed, because there is an insufficient wind speed data over 5.5m/s and there are also some outliers. On the other hand, rainfall calibrated by neural networks is estimated lower rainfall amount in 10~20% than actual rainfall. The results of the statistical evaluations are that neural networks model is more suitable for relatively big standard deviation and average rainfall. However, the linear regression model shows more suitable for extreme values. For getting more reliable rainfall data, we may need to select the suitable model for rainfall calibration. We expect the reliable hydrologic analysis could be performed by applying the calibration method suggested in this research.

Risk Assessment of Levee Embankment Applying Reliability Index (신뢰도 지수를 적용한 하천제방의 위험도 평가)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Byung-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.547-558
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    • 2009
  • General reliability assessment of levees embankment is performed with safety factors for rainfall characteristics and hydrologic and hydraulic parameters, based on the results of deterministic analysis. The safety factors are widely employed in the field of engineering handling model parameters and the diversity of material properties, but cannot explain every natural phenomenon. Uncertainty of flood analysis and related parameters by introducing stochastic method rather than deterministic scheme will be required to deal with extreme weather and unprecedented flood due to recent climate change. As a consequence, stochastic-method-based measures considering parameter uncertainty and related factors are being established. In this study, a variety of dimensionless cumulative rainfall curve for typhoon and monsoon season of July to September with generation method of stochastic temporal variation is generated by introducing Monte Carlo method and applied to the risk assessment of levee embankment using reliability index. The result of this study reflecting temporal and regional characteristics of a rainfall can be used for the establishment of flood defence measures, hydraulic structure design and analysis on a watershed.

An Analysis of Characteristic Parameters for the Design of Detention Pond in Urbanized Area (도시유역에서 저류지 설계를 위한 특성인자 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Kim, Ho-Nyun;Kwak, Chang-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.6 no.4 s.23
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2006
  • Urban development results in increased runoff volume and flowrates and shortening in time of concentration, which may cause frequent flooding downstream. Flow retardation structures to limit adverse downstream effects of urban storm runoff are used. There are various types of flow retardation measures include detention basins, retention basins, and infiltration basins. In basic planning phase, a number of planning models of detention ponds which decide storage volume by putting main variables were used to design detention ponds. The characteristics of hydrological parameters $\alpha,\;\gamma$ which are used in planning models of detention pond were analyzed. In this study, detention ponds data of Disaster Impact Assessment report at 22 sites were analyzed in order to investigate correlation between characteristic of urban drainage basin parameter and characteristics of detention pond parameter due to urbanization effects. The results showed that storage volume was influenced by peak discharge ratio $\alpha$ more than runoff coefficient ratio $\beta$ and peak discharge ratio $\alpha$ was influenced by runoff coefficient ratio $\beta$ less than regional parameter n. Storage ratio was mainly influenced by duration of design rainfall in the case of trapezoidal inflow hydrograph such as Donahue et al. method.

Runoff Analysis for Urban Unit Subbasin Based on its Shape (유역형상을 고려한 도시 단위 소유역의 유출 해석)

  • Hur, Sung-Chul;Park, Sang-Sik;Lee, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.491-501
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    • 2008
  • In order to describe runoff characteristics of urban drainage area, outflow from subbasins divided by considering topography and flow path, is analyzed through stormwater system. In doing so, concentration time and time-area curve change significantly according to basin shape, and runoff characteristics are changed greatly by these attributes. Therefore, in this development study of FFC2Q model by MLTM, we aim to improve the accuracy in analyzing runoff by adding a module that considers basin shape, giving it an advantage over popular urban hydrology models, such as SWMM and ILLUDAS, that can not account for geometric shape of a basin due to their assumptions of unit subbasin as having a simple rectangular form. For subbasin shapes, symmetry types (rectangular, ellipse, lozenge), divergent types (triangle, trapezoid), and convergent types (inverted triangle, inverted trapezoid) have been analyzed in application of time-area curve for surface runoff analysis. As a result, we found that runoff characteristic can be quite different depending on basin shape. For example, when Gunja basin was represented by lozenge shape, the best results for peak flow discharge and overall shape of runoff hydrograph were achieved in comparison to observed data. Additionally, in case of considering subbasin shape, the number of division of drainage basin did not affect peak flow magnitude and gave stable results close to observed data. However, in case of representing the shape of subbasins by traditional rectangular approximation, the division number had sensitive effects on the analysis results.