• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선행적 대응

Search Result 512, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

THE STRATEGIC CONSEQUENCES OF A SOUTH KOREAN NUCLEAR SUBMARINE -RISKS AND REWARDS FOR THE US-ROK ALLIANCE- (한국의 핵추진잠수함 확보를 위한 도전과 과제 -한미동맹 측면에서의 전략적 효용성을 중심으로-)

  • Yu, Jihoon;French, Erick
    • Strategy21
    • /
    • s.42
    • /
    • pp.114-153
    • /
    • 2017
  • 고도화 및 가시화되고 있는 북한의 '잠수함발사탄도미사일(SLBM: Submarine Launched Ballistic Missile)'위협에 대응하기 위한 효과적인 전략수단으로써 핵추진잠수함의 필요성에 대한 국민적 관심이 고조되고 있다. 핵추진잠수함의 전략적 가치에 대한 논의가 활발히 진행되고 있는 가운데, 주변국과의 갈등과 국제사회의 비핵화 규범의 미 준수 논란 등 핵추진잠수함 확보과정에서 야기될 수 있는 대·내외의 정치·외교적 파장에 대한 우려의 목소리 또한 높아지고 있다. 그러나, 핵추진잠수함의 필요성 및 확보와 관련한 지금까지의 대부분의 논의들은 한국의 '내부적 논의(Just our own scenario)'에 그치는 한계를 보이고 있다. 전략무기체계로써의 상징성과 그에 따르는 대외적 민감성을 고려 시 일방적이고 독자적인 핵추진잠수함 확보노력은 과정상의 시행착오와 불확실성을 더욱 가중시켜 정책적 실패로 귀결될 수 있는 위험성을 내포하고 있다. 특히, 한반도 평화와 아태지역의 안전보장이라는 공동의 전략적 목표를 공유하고 있는 동맹국인 미국의 공감대와 지지가 뒷받침되지 않은 독자적인 핵추진잠수함 확보노력은 큰 난항이 예상되며 자칫 서로간의 '전략적 신뢰(Strategic Trust)'를 무너뜨려 '한미동맹의 결속력(Alliance Cohesion)'을 약화시키는 요인으로 작용할 수 있다. 미국의 동의와 지지에 기반한 핵추진잠수함 확보를 위해서는 한국의 핵추진잠수함 확보가 동맹의 전략목표 및 미국의 전략적 이해관계에 미칠 수 있는 긍정적, 부정적 효과에 대한 충분한 검토와 논의가 선행되어야 한다. 한미동맹의 공동의 전략목표와 미국의 전략적 이익에 상충하는 한국의 핵추진잠수함 확보시도는 성공 가능성이 낮기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 현실화되고 있는 북한의 핵위협에 대응하고 지역안전보장에 기여할 수 있는 미국과의 연합방위력 증강차원에서의 한국의 핵추진잠수함의 전략적 효용성을 분석하였다. 더불어, 한국의 핵추진잠수함 확보과정에서 야기될 수 있는 대·내외의 기술적, 정치·외교적 사안들을 살펴본 후 한미동맹 차원에서의 정책적 해결방안을 제시하였다. 연구목적을 위해 유사한 역사적 사례연구를 통해 교훈을 도출하였으며, 미국 오바마 1기 행정부에서 미국의 아태지역 및 대북정책을 주도한 전 미국 국무부부장관 제임스 스타인버그(James Steinberg) 및 여러 미국 내 한반도 전문가들의 의견을 수렴하였다. 본 연구가 한국의 핵잠수함 확보를 위한 한미간 발전적 논의의 시발점이 되기를 기대한다.

A Study on the Difference of Strategies for Conflict Resolution between Rural Residents and Urban-to-Rural Migrants (게임이론에 근거한 농촌원주민과 귀농·귀촌인 간 갈등해결 전략차이 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-kyun;Park, Sang-hyeok
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.151-163
    • /
    • 2019
  • In recent years, as the population of ear and aged villages has increased, the problem of conflict between rural residents and urban-to-rural migrants has been widespread. For successful rural community, such conflict resolution is more important than anything else. However, if we look at previous studies. It is true that there are many studies that focus on people who are not rural residents or urban-to-rural migrants. This study was conducted to find out the difference of strategies for conflict resolution between rural residents and urban-to-rural migrants. This study derives the factors of conflict based on the contents of previous studies, To see the difference, five strategies were used from the response strategies that were used in the 'Computer Prisoner's Dilemma Contest' held by Axelrod (2009). I would like to know what kind of strategies of rural residents and urban-to-rural migrants. All analyzes were done using SPSS 22.0 for Windows, and the results of each conflict resolution analysis showed that the indigenous conflicts were low All. Among the causes of conflict, the highest level of conflict was caused by the 'rural residents who did not understand urban culture'. The strategy is the most used, followed by tit for tat Strategy, and all-c strategy, in that order. However, It is not uncommon for employers to use a work-type strategy, and it can be seen that the strategy changes depending on the cause. As can be seen from the above results, The conflict resolution strategies are almost similar strategies. It can be seen that conflict resolution strategy is used differently according to personality. The purpose of this study is to investigate the differences in conflicts in the rural areas. In particular, it is meaningful to examine the choice of solution strategies based on game theory through reviewing prior research and eliciting actual conflict factors in the field. Successful rural settlement can be achieved not through stakeholder competition but through mutual cooperation by gaining cooperation to the other side. Mutual cooperation is more profitable than betrayal in various conflict situations. The secret to maintaining and communicating smoothly is not to use the other person to fill his or her selfish interests, but to reject it for profit, but to draw cooperation from the other party.

Development of Noise and AI-based Pavement Condition Rating Evaluation System (소음도·인공지능 기반 포장상태등급 평가시스템 개발)

  • Han, Dae-Seok;Kim, Young-Rok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study developed low-cost and high-efficiency pavement condition monitoring technology to produce the key information required for pavement management. A noise and artificial intelligence-based monitoring system was devised to compensate for the shortcomings of existing high-end equipment that relies on visual information and high-end sensors. From idea establishment to system development, functional definition, information flow, architecture design, and finally, on-site field evaluations were carried out. As a result, confidence in the high level of artificial intelligence evaluation was secured. In addition, hardware and software elements and well-organized guidelines on system utilization were developed. The on-site evaluation process confirmed that non-experts could easily and quickly investigate and visualized the data. The evaluation results could support the management works of road managers. Furthermore, it could improve the completeness of the technologies, such as prior discriminating techniques for external conditions that are not considered in AI learning, system simplification, and variable speed response techniques. This paper presents a new paradigm for pavement monitoring technology that has lasted since the 1960s.

Local Revitalization Movement through Revival of Traditional Ceramic Industry in Japan - A Case of Mashiko-cho in Tochigi-ken (전통 도자기산업의 부활과 지역활성화운동 -일본 토치기현(栃木縣) 마시코정(益子町)의 사례-)

  • Hong, Sung-Heup
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.597-612
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper is an anthropological study on the regional revitalization movement by the traditional ceramic industry in Mashiko-cho, Japan. It especially deals with the issues like history of revitalization based on ceramics, idealogical features and roles of core activist group, and adaptive strategies of local society to the ever-changing circumstances. The ceramic industry of Mashiko-cho had developed vigorously in 19C, and had passed many critical points in 20C. In 1960s, the ceramic industry of Mashiko-cho developed stably through introducing of Mingei(民藝) ideology and artists. This is evaluated as a 'bottom-up' regional revitalization movement and a active utilization of traditional cultural resources. In Mashiko-cho, the ideological leadership of cultural artist groups have been central roles in the regional revitalization movement. The representative cases are transformation of production of ordinary ceramics to production of Mingei ceramics from the middle of 1950s, official organization of core activist group and establishment of direct sale system by the producers in the middle of 1960s, and full-scale cooperation of private sector and public sector from the beginning of 1980s. Nonetheless the regional revitalization movement by the traditional ceramic industry in Mashikocho have come out well up to now, it should make new tradition which is well-matched to the ever-changing circumstances as seeing various and complex differentiation on the inside of local society.

  • PDF

Determination of the Accurate Effective Length for Buckling Design of Cable-Supported Bridges (케이블지지교량의 좌굴설계를 위한 유효좌굴길이 산정)

  • Jin, Man Sik;Kyoung, Yong Soo;Lee, Myung Jae;Kim, Moon Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
    • /
    • v.16 no.3 s.70
    • /
    • pp.355-363
    • /
    • 2004
  • In order to obtain the effective length factor of beam-column members of plane frames, this paper extensively used an alignment chart approach, based on the nomograph given in LRFD-AISC specification commentaries. However, it should be noted that various simplifications and assumptions were introduced in constructing the alignment chart. To overcome the practical limitations of the alignment chart, this paper proposes a simple but accurate procedure that determined the effective buckling length for stability design of main members of cable-supported bridges. This method requires the full system buckling analysis. The numerical examples showing the suitability of the present scheme are discussed and some conclusions are drawn.

E-Discovery Process Model and Alternative Technologies for an Effective Litigation Response of the Company (기업의 효과적인 소송 대응을 위한 전자증거개시 절차 모델과 대체 기술)

  • Lee, Tae-Rim;Shin, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.10 no.8
    • /
    • pp.287-297
    • /
    • 2012
  • In order to prepare for the introduction of the E-Discovery system from the United States and to cope with some causable changes of legal systems, we propose a general E-Discovery process and essential tasks of the each phase. The proposed process model is designed by the analysis of well-known projects such as EDRM, The Sedona Conference, which are advanced research for the standardization of E-Discovery task procedures and for the supply of guidelines to hands-on workers. In addition, Machine Learning Algorithms, Open-source libraries for the Information Retrieval and Distributed Processing technologies based on the Hadoop for big data are introduced and its application methods on the E-Discovery work scenario are proposed. All this information will be useful to vendors or people willing to develop the E-Discovery service solution. Also, it is very helpful to company owners willing to rebuild their business process and it enables people who are about to face a major lawsuit to handle a situation effectively.

Prediction of KOSPI using Data Editing Techniques and Case-based Reasoning (자료편집기법과 사례기반추론을 이용한 한국종합주가지수 예측)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.12 no.6
    • /
    • pp.287-295
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper proposes a novel data editing techniques with genetic algorithm (GA) in case-based reasoning (CBR) for the prediction of Korea Stock Price Index (KOSPI). CBR has been widely used in various areas because of its convenience and strength in compelax problem solving. Nonetheless, compared to other machine teaming techniques, CBR has been criticized because of its low prediction accuracy. Generally, in order to obtain successful results from CBR, effective retrieval of useful prior cases for the given problem is essential. However. designing a good matching and retrieval mechanism for CBR system is still a controversial research issue. In this paper, the GA optimizes simultaneously feature weights and a selection task for relevant instances for achieving good matching and retrieval in a CBR system. This study applies the proposed model to stock market analysis. Experimental results show that the GA approach is a promising method for data editing in CBR.

  • PDF

An Exploratory Study to Respond to Industry 4.0 Dysfunction in Small and Medium Manufacturers (중소제조기업의 Industry 4.0 역기능 대응방안에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Young;Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.169-174
    • /
    • 2018
  • Today, the world has reached 'Industry 4.0'. Industry 4.0 has high uncertainty in various aspects because it is based on building a smart chain where the various elements that make up the industry can communicate with each other. Based on the above facts, based on the researches of the previous researchers, we have searched for the countermeasures of small and medium sized manufacturing companies in Korea in order to minimize the negative aspects of establishing the basic concepts and functioning of Industry 4.0. As a result, efforts to accurately identify and address the uncertainties of Industry 4.0 in a variety of ways will help to drive business growth and economic growth in the country through smart factories, which are at the heart of Industry 4.0.

Common Business Analysis of Disaster and Safety Response Processes Based on Crisis Management SOP Manuals for Development of BRM (재난안전 분야 기능분류체계(BRM) 개발을 위한 위기관리 표준매뉴얼(SOP) 기반 공통업무 분석)

  • Gang, Ju-yeon;Han, Hui-jeong;Myung, Hyun;Oh, Hyo-jung
    • The Korean Journal of Archival Studies
    • /
    • no.58
    • /
    • pp.191-224
    • /
    • 2018
  • In order to effectively respond to repeated disasters, the most important thing is the systematic management of records which were produced from past disaster response processes. It is necessary to develope a business reference model(BRM) to incorporate scattered disaster safety record information resources into the record management system. In this regard, this study examined crisis management standard operation procedures(SOP) manuals and analyzed common businesses of disaster and safety response processes. Based on analysis of 28 manuals three times, 1,667 main business transactions are drawn, which are grouped by 5 middle functions and 20 small functions. Furthermore, by looking at forecast records by business type, several insight is proposed in terms of disaster and safety response business processes and of disaster and safety records management.

Flash flood risk indicator for ungauged area of Seoul metropolitan region (수도권 미계측지역에 대한 돌발홍수위험도 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Byong Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.94-94
    • /
    • 2016
  • 돌발홍수는 수십 $km^2$ 이하의 유역에서 강우가 발생한 후 6시간 이내의 단시간에 홍수징후가 나타나는 현상으로 정의될 수 있다. 돌발홍수를 잘 예측하기 위해서는 국지적으로 발생하는 집중 호우를 잘 예측해야 하며 유역내 공간적인 수문반응해석을 통해 돌발홍수를 예측하는 기술이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 유역내 공간적인 수문반응을 잘 모의하기 위해 TOPLATS 지표해석모형을 이용하였다. TOPLATS(TOPMODEL based Land Atmosphere Transfer Scheme) 모형은 물수지와 에너지수지를 통해 단위격자에 대한 실제증발산량, 토양수분량, 지하수면깊이, 지표유출량, 잠열, 현열, 지열, 순복사량 등을 모의하며 소유역단위로 지하수면깊이를 재분포시키는 특성을 가지고 있다. 돌발홍수 위험도를 산정하기 위해 실제 돌발홍수 피해사례를 조사하였으며 피해지역과 대응되는 격자 수문성분과의 상관성 분석을 통해 돌발홍수 위험도 모형을 산정하였다. 대상지역은 수도권 전체지역을 모의하기 위해 한강, 임진강, 안성천 유역을 대상지역으로 선정하였다. 수도권 지역은 약 11,930 km2이며 2009~2012년동안 총 38건의 돌발홍수 피해사례가 신고되었다. 기상자료는 기상청 AWS와 ASOS 시단위 강우, 기온, 상대습도, 풍속, 일조, 기압자료를 이용하였다. 돌발홍수 피해사례 38건에 대해 대응되는 모의격자의 수문성분을 분석하였으며 27(71%)에서 구조요청시점에 대해 강우량, 지표유출량, 토양수분량, 지하수면깊이가 적절하게 모의되는 것을 확인하였다. 강우조건에 따른 돌발홍수 위험도는 구조요청시점 기준 선행시간 4~6시간까지 71~87%, 구조요청시점으로 한정된 0시간에서는 42~52%로 나타났다. 이상의 결과로부터 지표해석모델을 이용한 격자 수문성분과 통계적 돌발홍수지수모형으로부터 산정된 돌발홍수 위험도는 산지 미계측지역에 대한 돌발홍수를 예측하는데 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF