• Title/Summary/Keyword: 생존함수

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The Confidence Bands for the Survival Function in Random Censorship Model (임의중도절단된 자료에서 생존함수의 동시신뢰대 구성)

  • Lee, Won-Kee;Song, Myung-Unn;Song, Jae-Kee;Park, Hee-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 1998
  • We consider the problem of obtaining the confidence bands for the survival function with incomplete data. It is a rather simple procedure for constructing confidence bands of survival function. This method uses the weak convergence of normalized cumulative hazard estimator to a mean zero Gaussian process whose distribution can be easily approximated through simulation. Finally, we compare the performance of the proposed confidence bands through Monte Carlo simulation and we applied to construct the proposed bands with the Leukemia patient data.

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A Study on the Tolerance to the Soil Properties and Water Contents of Vitex rotundifolia Seedlings for Extension of Rehabilitation Plant (순비기나무의 녹화소재 이용성 확대를 위한 토양 및 토양수분 적응성에 관한 연구)

  • Park Chong-Min;Kim Do-Gyun
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.316-325
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    • 2004
  • This study was carried out to survey the usability of Vitex rotundifolia as an afforestation and landscaping plant on destroyed slopes, sandyhills of sea boards, and places in need of landscaping. The growth characteristics of seedlings and rooted cuttings of Vitex rotundifolia in soils of varying properties and water content ere studied. In three test soils, with a water content of 5% each, the survival rate was more than 70ole for seedlings and more than 40% for rooted cuttings. This demonstrates that Vitex rotundifolia is a very strongly xeric tree species. The length of stem, the diameter of root stock, leaves, and the length of root increased in all the three types of soil as the quantity of soil water increased. The difference of the growth in response to the water content of the soil was most pronounced in the length of the stem. The growth of seedlings was most notable in the weathered granitic soil. The sea sand and the red silt loam came second and third, respectively. However, there was no major difference in the three test soils. Thus, Vitex rotundifolia appears well-suited to several soil properties and soil water quantities, which makes it very useful as an afforestation and landscaping plant in various sites.

Comparison of parametric and nonparametric hazard change-point estimators (모수적과 비모수적 위험률 변화점 통계량 비교)

  • Kim, Jaehee;Lee, Sieun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1253-1262
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    • 2016
  • When there exists a change-point in hazard function, it should be estimated for exact parameter or hazard estimation. In this research, we compare the hazard change-point estimators. Matthews and Farewell (1982) parametric change-point estimator is based on the likelihood and Zhang et al. (2014) nonparametric estimator is based on the Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard estimator. Simulation study is done for the data from exponential distribution with one hazard change-point. The simulated data generated without censoring and the data with right censoring are considered. As real data applications, the change-point estimates are computed for leukemia data and primary biliary cirrhosis data.

On the analysis of multistate survival data using Cox's regression model (Cox 회귀모형을 이용한 다중상태의 생존자료분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sung Chil Yeo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.53-77
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    • 1994
  • In a certain stochastic process, Cox's regression model is used to analyze multistate survival data. From this model, the regression parameter vectors, survival functions, and the probability of being in response function are estimated based on multistate Cox's partial likelihood and nonparametric likelihood methods. The asymptotic properties of these estimators are described informally through the counting process approach. An example is given to likelihood the results in this paper.

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Comparing Survival Functions with Doubly Interval-Censored Data: An Application to Diabetes Surveyed by Korean Cancer Prevention Study (이중구간중도절단된 생존자료의 생존함수 비교를 위한 검정: 한국인 암 예방연구 중 당뇨병에의 응용)

  • Jee, Sun-Ha;Nam, Chung-Mo;Kim, Jin-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.595-606
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    • 2009
  • Two tests were introduced for comparing several survival functions with doubly interval-censored data and illustrated with data surveyed by Korean Cancer Prevention Study (Jee et al., 2005). The test which extended Kim et al. (2006)'s test to the doubly interval-censored data has an advantage over Sun (2006)'s test in terms of saving computation time because the proposed test only depends on the size of risk set, and also the proposed test is applicable to continuous failure time data as well as discrete failure time data unlike Sun's test. Comparing male with female groups on the incubation time of diabetes was highly different and the survival of female group was longer than that of male one. Regardless of gender, the difference in survival functions of four age groups was highly significant with p-value of less than 0.001. This trend was more remarkable for female group than for male one. Simulation results showed that the significance level of both tests was well controlled and the proposed test was better than Sun's test in terms of power.

Simple Estimation in Proportional Odds Model under Censoring

  • Kim, Ju-Sung;Seo, Min-Ja;Won, Dong-Yu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.889-898
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we propose a new estimator of relative odds ratio in the two-sample case of proportional odds model under censorship. Also, we show that the estimator consistent and asymptotically normal by using martingale-representation. The efficiency of the proposed is assessed through a simulation study.

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Estimation in a Two-Sample Proportional Odds Model

  • Kim, Ju-Sung;Seo, Min-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.327-334
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we propose a new estimator of relative odds ratio in the two-sample case of proportional odds model. Also, we show that the estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. The efficiency of the proposed is assessed through a simulation study.

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A Life Evaluation Method for Efficient Maintenance of Water Mains (상수관로의 효율적 유지관리를 위한 수명 평가 방법)

  • Choi, Chang-Log;Park, Su-Wan;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Bae, Cheol-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.271-275
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 상수관로의 잔존수명을 통계적 기법 중 하나인 비례위험모형(PHM)에 적용하여 평가하였다. 비례위험모형을 구축하기 위한 개별관로의 생존시간은 관로의 파손율이 한계파손율에 도달하는 시간으로 정의하였다. 즉, Park and Loganathan(2002)에서 제시한 GPBM을 적용하여 시간에 따른 개별관로의 파손율을 추정하고 추정된 파손율과 한계파손율의 상등관계를 통해 생존시간을 산정하였다. 또한, 본 연구대상관로에 대한 GPBM을 구축함에 있어, 매설시점에서 누적파손횟수를 0으로 한 파손기록을 입력자료에 추가하는 방법과 가중계수(WF)의 범위를 수정함으로써 기존의 GPBM을 보완하였다. 이로써 파손사건이 최소 1회 이상 기록된 강관 및 주철관에 대한 비례위험모형을 구축하였다. 이와 같이 수정된 방법론은 관로 파손사건 등의 자료의 축적이 미비한 국내 여건에서 비례위험모형 및 GPBM과 같은 통계적 모형을 구축할 때 유용할 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구대상관로의 비례위험모형에 포함된 유의한 공변수는 관종과 관경 그리고 길이이며 관종은 비례성 가정을 위배하여 시간종속형 변수로 모형화되었다. 최종 채택된 PHM모형을 통해 생존함수를 추정하였으며 추정된 생존함수를 이용하여 개별관로의 잔존수명 및 경제적 수명 그리고 각 수명에 대한 95% 신뢰구간을 산정하였다. 또한 개별관로의 경제적 수명에 영향을 미치는 공변수의 위험비율도 분석하였다. 분석결과 강관의 평균 경제적 수명은 약 25.1년이고 주철관은 약 21년으로 산정되었다. 또한 관종에 따른 경제적 수명에 도달할 상대적인 위험률은 전반적으로 주철관이 높으나 20년 이상 매설된 관로에서는 강관의 위험률이 높을 것으로 분석되었다. 관경과 길이는 크기에 비례하여 상대적 위험률도 증가하였다.

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A Statistical Methodology to Estimate the Economical Replacement Time of Water Pipes (상수관로의 경제적 교체시기를 산정하기 위한 통계적 방법론)

  • Park, Su-Wan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.457-464
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes methodologies for analyzing the accuracy of the proportional hazards model in predicting consecutive break times of water mains and estimating the time interval for economical water main replacement. By using the survival functions that are based on the proportional hazards models a criterion for the prediction of the consecutive pipe breaks is determined so that the prediction errors are minimized. The criterion to predict pipe break times are determined as the survival probability of 0.70 and only the models for the third through the seventh break are analyzed to be reliable for predicting break times for the case study pipes. Subsequently, the criterion and the estimated lower and upper bound survival functions of consecutive breaks are used in predicting the lower and upper bounds of the 95% confidence interval of future break times of an example water main. Two General Pipe Break Prediction Models(GPBMs) are estimated for an example pipe using the two series of recorded and predicted lower and upper bound break times. The threshold break rate is coupled with the two GPBMs and solved for time to obtain the economical replacement time interval.

A comparison of the statistical methods for testing the equality of crossing survival functions (교차하는 두 생존함수의 동일성 검정법에 관한 비교연구)

  • Lee, Youn Ju;Lee, Jae Won
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.569-580
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    • 2015
  • Log-rank is widely used for testing equality of two survival functions, and this method is efficient only under the proportional hazard assumption. However, crossing survival functions are common in practice. Therefore, many approaches have been suggested to test equality of them. This study considered several methods; Renyi type test, modified Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer-von Mises test, and weighted Log-rank test, which can be applied when the survival functions cross, and simulated power of those methods. Based on the simulation results, we provide the useful information to choose a suitable approach in a given situation.