• Title/Summary/Keyword: 생산량 예측

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Efficient Grid-Independent ESS Control System by Prediction of Energy Production Consumption (에너지 생산량 소비량 예측을 통한 효율적인 계통 독립형 ESS 제어 시스템)

  • Joo, Jong-Yul;Oh, Jae-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose an efficient grid-independent ESS control system through the control of renewable energy and agricultural ICT by utilizing the prediction of energy production and consumption. The proposed system is an integrated management system that can perform maintenance and monitoring by visualizing the accurate phase and data of power system. It can automatically cope, collect, process, and control the data. Also, it can analyze the power generation of solar power generation, consumption pattern of installed facilities, and operation trend of facilities. Further, it can predict the consumption of energy production and present the optimal energy management method by using the OpenAPI of the Korea Meteorological Administration, thereby reducing unnecessary energy consumption and operating cost.

Construction of Onion Sentiment Dictionary using Cluster Analysis (군집분석을 이용한 양파 감성사전 구축)

  • Oh, Seungwon;Kim, Min Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2917-2932
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    • 2018
  • Many researches are accomplished as a result of the efforts of developing the production predicting model to solve the supply imbalance of onions which are vegetables very closely related to Korean food. But considering the possibility of storing onions, it is very difficult to solve the supply imbalance of onions only with predicting the production. So, this paper's purpose is trying to build a sentiment dictionary to predict the price of onions by using the internet articles which include the informations about the production of onions and various factors of the price, and these articles are very easy to access on our daily lives. Articles about onions are from 2012 to 2016, using TF-IDF for comparing with four kinds of TF-IDFs through the documents classification of wholesale prices of onions. As a result of classifying the positive/negative words for price by k-means clustering, DBSCAN (density based spatial cluster application with noise) clustering, GMM (Gaussian mixture model) clustering which are partitional clustering, GMM clustering is composed with three meaningful dictionaries. To compare the reasonability of these built dictionary, applying classified articles about the rise and drop of the price on logistic regression, and it shows 85.7% accuracy.

A study on cabbage wholesale price forecasting model using unstructured agricultural meteorological data (비정형 농업기상자료를 활용한 배추 도매가격 예측모형 연구)

  • Jang, SooHee;Chun, Heuiju;Cho, Inho;Kim, DongHwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.617-624
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    • 2017
  • The production of cabbage, which is mainly cultivated in open field, varies greatly depending on weather conditions, and the price fluctuation is largely due to the presence of a substitute crop. Previous studies predicted the production of cabbage using actual weather data, but in this study, we predicted the wholesale price using unstructured agricultural meteorological data on the web. From January 2009 to October 2016, we collected documents including the cabbage on the portal site, and extracted keywords related to weather in the collected documents. We compared the forecast wholesale prices of simple models and unstructured agricultural weather models at the time of shipment. The simple model is AR model using only wholesale price, and the unstructured agricultural weather model is AR model using unstructured agricultural weather data additionally. As a result, the performance of unstructured agricultural weather model was has been found to be more accurate prediction ability.

The Comparison of Prediction Capability from Various Prediction methods on Demand. (수요예측시스템 상의 다양한 예측방법의 예측력 비교)

  • Kim, Do-Goan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.137-139
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    • 2017
  • Modern manufacturing fields have been changed to use optimal manufacturing volume on the optimal demand prediction. This research is to compare the prediction capability of various prediction methods. And then, it is to suggest a flexible selection of the optimal prediction method according to optimal prediction capability.

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Prediction of Greenhouse Strawberry Production Using Machine Learning Algorithm (머신러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 온실 딸기 생산량 예측)

  • Kim, Na-eun;Han, Hee-sun;Arulmozhi, Elanchezhian;Moon, Byeong-eun;Choi, Yung-Woo;Kim, Hyeon-tae
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2022
  • Strawberry is a stand-out cultivating fruit in Korea. The optimum production of strawberry is highly dependent on growing environment. Smart farm technology, and automatic monitoring and control system maintain a favorable environment for strawberry growth in greenhouses, as well as play an important role to improve production. Moreover, physiological parameters of strawberry plant and it is surrounding environment may allow to give an idea on production of strawberry. Therefore, this study intends to build a machine learning model to predict strawberry's yield, cultivated in greenhouse. The environmental parameter like as temperature, humidity and CO2 and physiological parameters such as length of leaves, number of flowers and fruits and chlorophyll content of 'Seolhyang' (widely growing strawberry cultivar in Korea) were collected from three strawberry greenhouses located in Sacheon of Gyeongsangnam-do during the period of 2019-2020. A predictive model, Lasso regression was designed and validated through 5-fold cross-validation. The current study found that performance of the Lasso regression model is good to predict the number of flowers and fruits, when the MAPE value are 0.511 and 0.488, respectively during the model validation. Overall, the present study demonstrates that using AI based regression model may be convenient for farms and agricultural companies to predict yield of crops with fewer input attributes.

Recurrent Neural Network Model for Predicting Tight Oil Productivity Using Type Curve Parameters for Each Cluster (군집 별 표준곡선 매개변수를 이용한 치밀오일 생산성 예측 순환신경망 모델)

  • Han, Dong-kwon;Kim, Min-soo;Kwon, Sun-il
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.297-299
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    • 2021
  • Predicting future productivity of tight oil is an important task for analyzing residual oil recovery and reservoir behavior. In general, productivity prediction is made using the decline curve analysis(DCA). In this study, we intend to propose an effective model for predicting future production using deep learning-based recurrent neural networks(RNN), LSTM, and GRU algorithms. As input variables, the main parameters are oil, gas, water, which are calculated during the production of tight oil, and the type curve calculated through various cluster analyzes. the output variable is the monthly oil production. Existing empirical models, the DCA and RNN models, were compared, and an optimal model was derived through hyperparameter tuning to improve the predictive performance of the model.

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Prediction of Rice Prices and Search for a Period of Weather Affecting the Prices Based on a Linear Regression Model (선형회귀모델을 사용한 쌀 가격 예측 및 쌀 가격에 영향을 미치는 날씨의 시기 탐색)

  • Choi, Da-jeong;Seo, Jin-kyeong;Ko, Kwang-Ho;Paik, Juryon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.07a
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    • pp.37-38
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    • 2022
  • 농산물의 산지 가격이나 도매가격이 등락하면, 즉시 또는 일정한 시차 이후에 소비자가격도 등락한다. 본 논문에서는 선형회귀모델을 통해 쌀 가격을 예측하고 쌀 가격에 영향을 미치는 날씨의 시기를 찾아보고자 한다. 이에 따라 KAMIS, 기상자료개방포털, KOSIS에서 수집한 날씨, 생산량, 그리고 소비자물가 등락률 데이터를 이용하여 쌀 가격 예측을 수행하고, 날씨 데이터와 쌀 가격 데이터의 날짜 간격을 두어 날씨가 쌀 가격에 영향을 미치는 시기를 알아보았다. 모델 평가 결과, 2개월 간격을 두고 예측한 RMSE가 164.135로 가장 큰 영향을 미쳤다. 본 연구를 기반으로 향후 다른 농산물의 가격 예측도 가능할 것이며 농산물에 영향을 미치는 변수의 시기도 예측할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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투포원 연사기의 진동특성에 관한 연구

  • 김환국;전두환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Fiber Society Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.220-226
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    • 1998
  • 현재의 산업은 물리적인 생산량 증대보다는 작업환경개선을 통한 최적생산을 추구하는 방향으로 변화하고 있으며, 작업환경개선의 일환으로 공장내 기계의 진동 및 소음의 수준을 저감시키는 노력이 꾸준히 진행중이다. 따라서 이러한 노력은 해석 및 실험을 통한 사전예측, 예측결과를 이용한 설계단계부터의 제진 및 저소음설계등으로 이어지며, 또한 제작 완료 후에 계측결과의 분석 및 평가에 의한 진동 및 소음의 저감연구 등으로 나타나고 있다.(중략)

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An Implementation of Greenhouse Horticultural Crop Growth Forecasting Tool Using Mobile Device (모바일 단말기를 이용한 시설 원예작물 생장 예측도구 개발)

  • Kim, Hee-Sung;Kwon, Hye-Eun;Kim, Jong-Kwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2012.11a
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    • pp.1209-1211
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    • 2012
  • 최근 들어 모바일 단말기의 보급이 확대되면서 스마트 워크, NFC, USN등 사회 전반적으로 많은 분야에서 활용도가 높아지고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 모바일 단말기를 활용하여 농가에서 시설 원예작물의 생장 및 생산량을 예측하고 데이터를 관리하기 위한 연구를 진행하여 농가에서의 모바일 단말기 활용을 돕고 시설 원예작물의 재배에 도움이 되고자 한다.

Development of Examination Model of Weather Factors on Garlic Yield Using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 마늘 생산에 미치는 날씨 요인에 관한 영향 조사 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Shinkon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.480-488
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    • 2018
  • The development of information and communication technology has been carried out actively in the field of agriculture to generate valuable information from large amounts of data and apply big data technology to utilize it. Crops and their varieties are determined by the influence of the natural environment such as temperature, precipitation, and sunshine hours. This paper derives the climatic factors affecting the production of crops using the garlic growth process and daily meteorological variables. A prediction model was also developed for the production of garlic per unit area. A big data analysis technique considering the growth stage of garlic was used. In the exploratory data analysis process, various agricultural production data, such as the production volume, wholesale market load, and growth data were provided from the National Statistical Office, the Rural Development Administration, and Korea Rural Economic Institute. Various meteorological data, such as AWS, ASOS, and special status data, were collected and utilized from the Korea Meteorological Agency. The correlation analysis process was designed by comparing the prediction power of the models and fitness of models derived from the variable selection, candidate model derivation, model diagnosis, and scenario prediction. Numerous weather factor variables were selected as descriptive variables by factor analysis to reduce the dimensions. Using this method, it was possible to effectively control the multicollinearity and low degree of freedom that can occur in regression analysis and improve the fitness and predictive power of regression analysis.