• Title/Summary/Keyword: 상향식 모형

Search Result 49, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

A Mathematical Structure and Formulation of Bottom-up Model based on Linear Programming (온실가스감축정책 평가를 위한 LP기반 상향식 모형의 수리 구조 및 정식화에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Hu Gon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.150-159
    • /
    • 2014
  • Since the release of mid-term domestic GHG goals until 2020, in 2009, some various GHG reduction policies have been proposed. There are two types of modeling approaches for identifying options required to meet greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement targets and assessing their economic impacts: top-down and bottom-up models. Examples of the bottom-up optimization models include MARKAL, MESSAGE, LEAP, and AIM, all of which are developed based on linear programming (LP) with a few differences in user interface and database utilization. In this paper, we suggest a simplified LP formulation and how can build it through step-by-step procedures.

A Study on Constructing Bottom-up Model for Electric Sector (전력부문 온실가스 감축정책 평가를 위한 상향식 모형화 방안)

  • Kim, Hugon;Paik, Chunhyun;Chung, Yongjoo;Ahn, Younghwan
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.114-129
    • /
    • 2016
  • Since the release of mid-term domestic GHG goals until 2020, in 2009, some various GHG reduction policies have been proposed to reduce the emission rate about 30% compared to BAU scenario. There are two types of modeling approaches for identifying options required to meet greenhouse gas (GHG) abatement targets and assessing their economic impacts: top-down and bottom-up models. Examples of the bottom-up optimization models include MARKAL, MESSAGE, LEAP, and AIM, all of which are developed based on linear programming (LP) with a few differences in user interface and database utilization. The bottom-up model for electric sector requires demand management, regeneration energy mix, fuel conversation, etc., thus it has a very complex aspect to estimate some various policies. In this paper, we suggest a bottom-up BAU model for electric sector and how we can build it through step-by-step procedures such that includes load region, hydro-dam and pumping storage.

Marginal Abatement Cost Analysis for the Korean Residential Sector Using Bottom-Up Modeling (상향식 모형을 이용한 국내 주거부문의 온실가스 한계감축비용 분석)

  • Chung, Yongjoo;Kim, Hugon;Paik, Chunhyun;Kim, Young Jin
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.58-68
    • /
    • 2015
  • A marginal abatement cost analysis has been conducted to analyze the effects of abatement measures on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for the Korean residential sector. A bottom-up model using MESSAGE has been developed by defining the energy demand and constructing the reference energy system for the residential sector. A great amount of activity data has also been analyzed. Abatement potentials and related costs of individual abatement measures are investigated. The result from the marginal abatement cost analysis may provide general guidelines and procedures for the establishment of GHG abatement polices.

장기 에너지 수요전망 및 정책 시사점

  • 이원우
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.8
    • /
    • pp.3-18
    • /
    • 1999
  • 에너지 수요전망을 위하여 상향식(bottom-up) 모형인 LEAP(Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System) 모형을 이용하였다. 본 모형에서는 기본적으로 최종에너지 소비부문을 산업, 수송, 가정, 상업의 4부문으로 구분하여, 각 부문별 소비행태 및 수요 특성을 반영하였다. (중략)

  • PDF

Numerical Analysis on the Behavior of a Slope with Upward Drainable Soil Nails during Rainfall (수치해석을 통한 상향식 배수겸용 쏘일네일링에 대한 강우모형사면 거동 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Nam;Lee, Choul-Kyu;Lee, Kang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-22
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, numerical analyses and model tests were conducted to figure out the behavior of a slope reinforced by upward drainable soil nails during rainfall. The model tests were carried out on both reinforced and unreinforced slopes. To verify the results of the tests, seepage analyses were performed and compared with the test results using a commercial program, SEEP/W. The results showed that the numerical analyses have in overall a good agreement with the experiments in the variations of ground water level and pore water pressure even though there is some time delay for the experiment before the changes in the ground water level and pore water pressure after rainfall are observed, while the numerical analyses not.

Climate Change Policy Analysis Considering Bottom-up Electricity Generation System (발전부문 하이브리드 모형을 사용한 기후변화 정책효과 분석)

  • Oh, Inha;Oh, Sang-Bong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.22 no.4
    • /
    • pp.691-726
    • /
    • 2013
  • We develop a hybrid model which allows the change in electricity generation mix by adding the electricity-sector components of bottom-up model to the conventional CGE model. The electricity sector is represented as a sum of separate generation technologies, each of which has the form of DRTS (Decreasing Returns to Scale) production function, unlike the conventional CGE model. We compare the effects of the 30% emission reduction target using the hybrid model with those using the conventional CGE model. The cost of meeting the target is lower with the hybrid model than the conventional CGE. It is consistent with previous studies in that adding the bottom-up components to the top-down model reduces the cost of emission reduction. In an extra analysis we find that an additional regulation like RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard) increases the cost.

A Comparative Study of Global Economic Models for Climate Change Policy: A Structural and Technological Analysis (기후변화 글로벌 경제모형의 구조 및 기술적 변화에 따른 비교 분석)

  • Hong, Jong Ho;Kim, Changhun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.419-457
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study aims at understanding the characteristics of global economic models, which are widely used for climate change policy analysis. A literature review study was conducted in order to derive general features of top-down models such as CGE and bottom-up/hybrid models such as GTEM. Furthermore, a structural analysis was carried out by applying parameter and structural components from other models to a particular model to observe the potential differences in outcomes. Literature review shows that bottom-up or hybrid models generally have higher level of reduction potentials than top-down models in the long run. This contradicts the conclusion presented by IPCC, and raises the need for more rigorous investigation through structural analysis. Structural analysis of EPPA model indicates that the structural component of the energy sector in a particular model is the most influential factor in predicting baseline emissions and reduction potentials. This includes the structure among energy, capital, and labor inputs, and the substitution elasticities within the energy bundle. Technology bundle can establish the conclusions from literature review, and change in Armington elasticities do not significantly affect the outcome in aggregate.

  • PDF

Study of Estimation Model for Wartime Stockpile Requirement of Intelligent Ammunition against Enemy Armored Vehicles (장갑차량 공격용 지능형 포탄의 전시 소요량 산정 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hong-Yong;Chung, Byeong-Hee
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
    • /
    • v.34 no.2
    • /
    • pp.143-162
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper aims to formulate the method of estimating the wartime stockpile requirement of 155mm self-propelled artillery including intelligent ammunition for armored vehicles, currently being developed. The usual method of utilizing war-game simulation results in considerable margins in expected occupancy ratio between ground forces and air forces for each weapon system for armored vehicles. Also, the method tends to produce excessive output greater than the minimal stockpile requirements; therefore, the study aims to overcome limitations like these by the allocation method for each weapon system according to targets. This allocation method is better than war-game simulation method.

Cancer Metastasis Simulation with Agent-based Modeling (에이전트 기반 모델링을 이용한 암 전이 시뮬레이션)

  • Park, Chan-Ho;Won, Hong-Hee;Yoo, Si-Ho;Cho, Sung-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.61-65
    • /
    • 2003
  • 암의 성장을 정확하게 예측할 수 있다면 암으로 고통 받는 많은 사람들에게 적절한 치료 및 처방을 내릴 수 있을 것이다. 그 동안 암의 성장을 예측하기 위하여 많은 연구가 진행되어왔는데 크게 나누어 하향식 설계 방법과 상향식 설계 방법이 있다. 하향식 방법은 전체적인 흐름을 파악하기는 쉽지만, 지역적 특성을 고려하기 어렵다는 단점이 있고, 상향식 방법은 지역적 특성은 고려하기 쉽지만, 전체적인 흐름을 파악하기 어려운 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 두 가지 방법을 혼합한 방법을 사용하여 지역적으로는 불규칙적인 암의 성장 모습과 암이 다른 조직으로 전이되는 모습을 동시에 관찰 할 수 있게 하였다. 아울러 시뮬레이션된 암의 모형이 실제 임상학적인 모습과 유사하다는 것을 발견하였다.

  • PDF

Development of Stress Equations of Jointed Concrete Pavement using Finite Element Method (유한 요소법을 이용한 줄눈 콘크리트 포장 응력식 개발)

  • Jung, Kil-Su;Kim, In-Tai;Ryu, Sung-Woo;Cho, Yoon-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.167-181
    • /
    • 2008
  • A pavement structure analysis model plays a very important role which can correlate input variables to performance models. In this research, a standard shell element model was developed by use of the ABAQUS program so that behaviors of concrete pavements be analyzed. The model was verified in terms of its accuracy by way of comparing the results to those gathered from closed-form Solutions, the Everfe program, and the ABAQUS program with a solid model. Many input variables were analyzed in the model, and the results were stored in a database. Based on the SPSS program, stress equations with respect to temperature and curling effects were developed. All models gave over 0.90 of R2 value except the case considering top-down curling (R2=0.86)

  • PDF