• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.335-335
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• 2022

남한상세 기후변화 전망보고서(2021)는 2100년대 강원도 강수량이 현재보다 19% 증가하고, 평균기온이 현재보다 6.5℃ 상승할 것으로 공표했다. 강원도는 영동지역과 영서지역으로 분리돼 기후 차이가 분명하다. 기상청 ASOS 데이터(1986~2020)를 이용해 기후 특성을 확인한 결과 영동지역 강수량은 1,463mm, 평균기온은 10.5℃, 상대습도는 66%로 분석됐고, 영서지역 강수량은 1,307mm, 평균기온은 11℃, 상대습도는 68%로 분석됐다. 영동지역 강수량이 영서지역 강수량보다 약 156mm 더 많으며, 이는 영동지역에서 큰 규모의 우심 피해가 발생할 가능성이 존재함을 의미한다. 강원도 평년 우심 피해 현황을 살펴본 결과 영동지역은 5회(피해액: 62억 원), 영서지역은 24회(피해액: 62억원)가 발생했다. 이는 미래로 갈수록 더 심해질 것으로 판단되며, 이런 기상 재난을 객관적으로 판단할 수 있는 기준이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 강원도 기후 재난취약성을 평가했다. 이를 위해 기후변화 위험성, 기후변화 민감도, 기후변화 적응능력 지표를 활용해 기후변화 취약성 지표를 선정했다. 기후변화 위험성 지표는 홍수(CWD, Rx5day, R30mm), 가뭄(CDD, SU, TX90p), 폭염(SU, TR, TN90p), 한파(ID, TX10p, FD)로 RCP 8.5 기후변화시나리오를 ETCCDI 지수에 적용했다. 기후변화 민감도와 기후변화 적응능력 지표는 국가통계포털, 강원통계정보, WAMIS에서 자료를 수집해 선정했다. 또한 재난취약성 지표를 4단계(Very Low, Low, High, Very High)로 구분했다. 홍수 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 원주시, 춘천시, 횡성군이 Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 가뭄 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 양양군, 영월군, 정선군이 Very Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 폭염 취약성 평가 결과 2090년대 삼척시, 태백시, 영월군이 Very Low에서 Very High로 단계가 격상됐다. 한파 취약성 평가 결과 삼척시, 태백시, 영월군이 High에서 Very Low로 단계가 격하됐다. 고로 강원도는 기후 재난취약성 평가 결과에 따른 미래 기후변화를 대비하고, 각 지역 특성에 맞는 복원력 관점 기후 재난 관리가 필요하다고 사료된다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.161-167
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• 2004

Maritime safety and marine environmental protection are the most important topic in marine society. But, so many marine accidents have been occurred with the development of marine transportation industry. On the other side, ship is being operated under a highly dynamic environment and many factors are related with ship's collision Nowadays, the increasing tendency to the human errors of ship's collision is remarkable, and the investigation of the human errors has been heavily concentrated. This study analysed on the human errors of ship's collision related to the negligence of lookout and classified basic error type using GEMS(Generic Error Modeling System) dynamic model.

• Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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• v.24 no.9
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• pp.33-40
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• 2023

The lateral load which is applied to the pile foundation supporting the superstructure during an earthquake is divided into the inertia force of the upper structure and the kinematic force of the ground. The inertia force and the kinematic force could cause failure to the pile foundation through different complex mechanisms. So it is necessary to predict and evaluate interaction of the ground-pile-structure properly for the seismic design of the foundation. The interaction is affected by the lateral behavior of the structure, the length of the pile, the boundary conditions of the head, and the relative density of the ground. Confining pressure and ground stiffness change accordingly when the relative density changes, and it results that the coefficient of subgrade reaction varies depending on each system. Horizontal bearing behavior and capacity of the pile foundation vary depending on lateral load condition and relative density of the sandy soil. Therefore, the 1g shaking table tests were conducted to confirm the effect of the relative density of the dried sandy soil to dynamic behavior of the group pile supporting the superstructure. The result shows that, as the relative density increases, maximum acceleration of the superstructure and the pile cap increases and decreases respectively, and the slope of the p-y curve of the pile decreases.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.68-77
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• 2020

The purpose of the paper is to evaluate the pore structure and mechanical properties of early frost damaged concrete using electric arc furnace slag as aggregate. From the results, when the concrete is exposed to frost damage at an early age, the peak point of pores 100 to 150 ㎛ in diameter were transferred into larger one. When the freezing duration is not exceeded 24 hours, it is possible that the pore distribution of under the 200 ㎛ is maintained and pore size of over 500 ㎛ is not formed, and, the freezing resistance of concrete using EFG could be improved. When BFS was mixed in concrete using EFG as coarse aggregate, the relative strength is higher than that of natural coarse aggregate. Meanwhile, the elastic modulus and resonance frequency did not change significantly due to the early frost damage as compared with the compressive strength. So, it is necessary to analyze the correlation between the experimental results in order to evaluate the performance degradation due to early frost damage.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.29-37
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• 2002

This study was conducted to compare ozone sensitivity among Betula sp. by measuring visible foliar injuries and growth responses. Four Betula sp.(B. costata, B. davurica, B. platyphylla var.japonica and B. ermani) grown in the greenhouse, were transplanted in the plastic pots. One-year-old seedlings of four Betula sp. exposed to relatively high ozone concentration(100 ppb) for 8 h day$^{-1}$ for 5 weeks in fumigation chamber. We measured visible injuries, leaf numbers and leaf areas at the end of experiments, and growth effects were evaluated by measuring the relative growth rate(RGR) of height and diameter and the dry weights of leaf, stem and root once a week. Four Betula species showed the significant differences for growth responses by the ozone treatment. Growths of three species, except for B. ermani, were significantly reduced by the $O_3$ exposure. B. costata with leaf senescence at the early growing stage and B. davurica indicated highest visible foliar injury rate may be the sensitive species at the 100 ppb ozone concentration. Although the growth rate of B. ermani was reduced by 100 ppb ozone exposure at the early growing stage, B. ermani may be a tolerance species that recover the growth rate with the adaptation for the high ozone concentration.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.94-94
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• 2016

돌발홍수는 수십 $km^2$ 이하의 유역에서 강우가 발생한 후 6시간 이내의 단시간에 홍수징후가 나타나는 현상으로 정의될 수 있다. 돌발홍수를 잘 예측하기 위해서는 국지적으로 발생하는 집중 호우를 잘 예측해야 하며 유역내 공간적인 수문반응해석을 통해 돌발홍수를 예측하는 기술이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 유역내 공간적인 수문반응을 잘 모의하기 위해 TOPLATS 지표해석모형을 이용하였다. TOPLATS(TOPMODEL based Land Atmosphere Transfer Scheme) 모형은 물수지와 에너지수지를 통해 단위격자에 대한 실제증발산량, 토양수분량, 지하수면깊이, 지표유출량, 잠열, 현열, 지열, 순복사량 등을 모의하며 소유역단위로 지하수면깊이를 재분포시키는 특성을 가지고 있다. 돌발홍수 위험도를 산정하기 위해 실제 돌발홍수 피해사례를 조사하였으며 피해지역과 대응되는 격자 수문성분과의 상관성 분석을 통해 돌발홍수 위험도 모형을 산정하였다. 대상지역은 수도권 전체지역을 모의하기 위해 한강, 임진강, 안성천 유역을 대상지역으로 선정하였다. 수도권 지역은 약 11,930 km2이며 2009~2012년동안 총 38건의 돌발홍수 피해사례가 신고되었다. 기상자료는 기상청 AWS와 ASOS 시단위 강우, 기온, 상대습도, 풍속, 일조, 기압자료를 이용하였다. 돌발홍수 피해사례 38건에 대해 대응되는 모의격자의 수문성분을 분석하였으며 27(71%)에서 구조요청시점에 대해 강우량, 지표유출량, 토양수분량, 지하수면깊이가 적절하게 모의되는 것을 확인하였다. 강우조건에 따른 돌발홍수 위험도는 구조요청시점 기준 선행시간 4~6시간까지 71~87%, 구조요청시점으로 한정된 0시간에서는 42~52%로 나타났다. 이상의 결과로부터 지표해석모델을 이용한 격자 수문성분과 통계적 돌발홍수지수모형으로부터 산정된 돌발홍수 위험도는 산지 미계측지역에 대한 돌발홍수를 예측하는데 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.7 no.1 s.24
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• pp.21-28
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• 2007

It is very difficult to forecast accurately a damage from the natural disaster which occurs frequently due to the climate change. When the significant weather event is forecast, it will be able to minimize a damage with the suitable prevention action. But 2000's our country meterological disaster damage is a several trillion won. Therefore, this paper analyzes Korea Meterological Administration, Japan Meterological Agency, television and newspaper have reported, information substance, transmission system, an ex post facto valuation about typhoon Nabi between september $5{\sim}7$ in 2005 and heavy rainfall in 1998 at Japan. Through the investigation, we want to present basic data order to rises the application effect of disaster prevention meterological information. We think KMA must present many information report to promote a people's understanding about the meterological information and the serious disaster situation. Also the disaster damage estimation model development is necessary, which forecasts the accurate damage scale due to the weather event, such as typhoon, heavy rainfall, strong wind. And also we think the KMA, National Emergency Management Agency, related agency, television and newspaper must positive reports the contents which is suitable to disaster response phases and an ex post facto examination. Then it grasps the problem of disaster prevention meterological information and must improve effectively.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.22 no.1
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• pp.703-712
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• 2021

In this study, a formula was derived to calculate the damage impact distance using the Chemical Accident Response Information System (CARIS) so that local governments can decide on the evacuation and notification of 13 types of substances. The National Institute of Chemical Safety selected 16 out of 97 types of accident preparedness substances in 2018 and called them residents' evacuation preparedness substances. In a chemical accident, local governments should prepare for resident notification, such as emergency disaster texts. Using the CARIS in Chungju, this study modeled the damage-affected distances of 13 types of substances for the evacuation of residents. Under all conditions, the coefficient of determination R2 was 0.99 or higher, representing a range of at least 0.9921 to a maximum 0.9999. The relative standard deviation between the damage impact distance obtained using the calculation formula, and the CARIS result was compared. The minimum separation distance was corrected considering the actual chemical accident response situation, and the range was found to be between 0.58 and 5.97%. The damage impact distance can be calculated at the site using the calculation formula derived from the research, and local governments can determine whether to evacuate or notify residents.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.81 no.4
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• pp.303-309
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• 1992

This study eras carried out to investigate the ecological changes on the plant community at erosion controlled area in Yoju-gun, Kyonggi-do. The results of the study were as follows : 1. The depth of organic matters in the soil profile from 4 to 14 years was estimated to be $Y_{(cm)}=0.436X_{(yr)}-0.931$(r=0.978), and 02 layer was $Y_{(cm)}=0.339_{(yr)}-0.931$ (r=0.954). 2. On upper plant layer. Alnus spp. was decreased, on an average, 32% of relative coverage, 12.4% of relative density and 16.8% of relative frequency in each plot for 3 years, as this area was damaged by Agelastica coerulea Baly for 2-3 years. 3. On upper plant layer, relative coverage of Pinus spp. was increased after 6, 7 years in erosion controlled area and was taked the highest plant (more then 40%) from 10 to 14 years. 4. On lower plant layer, relative density of Quercus ssp. (these species has not been planted and sown on erosin controlling) was increased all the plot. 5. The increase of the whole crown projection area was estimated to be $Y_{(m^2)}=18.020X_{(yr)}+18.834$(r=0.954) 6. The biomass was estimated to be 14.88t/ha on elapsed 6 years, 22.84t/ha on 8 years, 35.08t/ha on 10 years, 47.80t/ha on 12 years, 58.13t/ha on 14 years.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.256-256
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• 2023

집중호우는 전 세계적으로 큰 기후변화 문제 중 하나다. 극심한 집중호우의 빈도수는 지구 온난화로 인해 지난 세기 중반 이후부터 점차 증가하고 있으며 그로인한 인적 및 물적인 피해 또한 증가하고 있다. 이러한 손상을 방지하기 위해서는 적절한 설계 홍수량을 계산하는 것이 중요하다. 최근에는 미계측지역의 유출량 추정 시 분포형 강우-유출 모델을 이용한다. 분포형 모델의 가장 큰 장점은 소유역의 분할 과정을 거칠 필요 없이 유역에서 무작위 점의 유출을 시뮬레이션 할 수 있다는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 2000년 11월 니스에 발생했던 강우를 기반으로 Var 유역의 소유역이자 미계측 지역인 프랑스 니스의 Ubac Vallone의 유출량 및 유출계수를 지형 데이터 등의 물리적 인자와 분포형 강우-유출모델인 MIKE SHE를 이용하여 추정하였다. 또한, 입력되는 인자의 상대적 중요성을 파악하기 위해 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 본 연구에서는 각 인자에 대한 상대민감도 분석을 바탕으로, 유출량에 상대적으로 큰 영향을 미치는 인자를 제안하였다. 연구 결과, 50년, 100년 및 162년 빈도별 확률강우량에 따른 유출량을 추정하였으며, 162년의경우 총 유출량은 124,384.8m³, 최대 유출량 1.512m³/s, 유출계수 0.53으로 나타났다. 총 유출량과 첨두유량에 대한 상대 민감감도 분석 결과, 수리전도도가 1.5로 첨두유량과의 민감도가 높게 나타났으며, 대수층의 수평방향 수리전도도는 0.48로 총 유출량과의 민감도가 높게 나타났다