• Title/Summary/Keyword: 상대포함오차

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Numerical Analysis and Simulation for the Pricing of Bond on Term-Structure Interest Rate model with Jump (점프 항을 포함하는 이자율 기간구조 모형의 채권 가격결정을 위한 수치적 분석 및 시뮬레이션)

  • Kisoeb Park
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we derive the Partial Differential Bond Price Equation (PDBPE) by using Ito's Lemma to determine the pricing of bond on term-structure of interest rate (TSIR) model with jump. From PDBPE, the Maclaurin series (MS) and the moment-generating function (MGF) for the exponential function are used to obtain a numerical solution (NS) of the bond prices. And an algorithm for determining bond prices using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) techniques is proposed, and the pricing of bond is determined through the simulation process. Comparing the results of the implementation of the above two pricing methods, the relative error (RE) is obtained, which means the ratio of NS and MCS. From the results, we can confirm that the RE is less than around 2.2%, which means that the pricing of bond can be predicted very accurately using the proposed algorithms as well as numerical analysis. Moreover, it was confirmed that the bond price obtained using the MS has a relatively smaller error than the pricing of bond obtained by using the MGF.

An Analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Effect by Panel Cointegration Test (패널공적분검정을 통한 발라사-사무엘슨 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Balassa-Samuelson effect that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze this effect, I estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the dynamic panel ordinary least square(DOLS) and panel error correction model(ECM) after conducting the unit root and cointegration test. The results show that all variables except for the real exchange rate have the unit root. Then I conducted the cointegration test to find out whether there exist the stable long-run relationships. The results show that the variables are cointegrated and significant statistically. The DOLS and ECM methods are used to estimate the coefficient of the cointegrated variables. The major finding are that the estimates are statistically significant and that they show the same sign as the economic theory predicts.

Optimization of Illite Polytype Quantification Method (일라이트 폴리타입 정량분석법의 최적화)

  • Chung, Donghoon;Song, Yungoo;Kang, Il-Mo;Park, Chang-Yoon
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2013
  • We proposed the revised full-pattern-fitting method of illite polytype quantification with background correction and scale factor correction of WILDFIRE(C) simulated pattern, and R% value ((${\sum}$|simulated-measured|/simulated)/ $n{\times}100$) calculation, and then verified the reliability of this method by applying for the test sample ($2M_1$:1M$$\frac{._-}{.}$$1:1), and by comparing the result with Grathoff and Moore method (1996). We confirmed that the proposed method showed the error range of less than 3.6%, which is much lower than the previous full-pattern-fitting methods, in spite of the impurities of the test sample. In the comparison with Grathoff and Moore method for 2 tested samples, we obtained the relatively higher $2M_1$ contents using Grathoff and Moore method, whereas we obtained the reliable results with less than 10% of R% values.

Daily Load Forecasting Including Special Days Using Hourly Relative factors (시간대별 상대계수를 이용한 특수일이 포함된 평일의 전력수요예측)

  • Ahn, Dae-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Joong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2005
  • This paper performs analysis the load patterns for the all the special days and studies the change of the load patterns for the last 15 years using Expert system based on the load record and the weather condition record. The Expert system is one of the four major load forecasting methods of the power system And it is used for forecasting. loads of the special days based on the Know-how of the load forecasting Experts. After the author simulates the load forecasting using hourly relative factors of the load patterns based on the past load records, there is considerable improved effect. The average errors of past 5 days load forecasting of lunar New Year's Day (year 2002 and 2003) is $3.23{[\%]}$. Using the new method the author forecast loads of the lunar new year's days (the year 2005) and it shows only $1.78{[\%]}$ error. A field manual for the load forecast can be made using proposed method. The authors expect this article could give a guidance to those who wish to be load forecast expert.

Performance Improvement of a Temperature and Humidity Measuring System for Strawberry Cultivation Greenhouse (딸기재배 온실용 온습도 계측시스템의 성능개선)

  • Jeong, Young Kyun;Lee, Jong Goo;Ahn, Enu Ki;Seo, Jae Seok;Yoon, Yong Cheol
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.110-119
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the improvement in the performance of a temperature and humidity measuring system developed by Company A using the Aspirated Radiation Shield (ARS). The shield has been used in the industry and its accuracy was verified recently. The study also experimentally examines the impact of the wind speed of the ARS device on temperature and humidity. The results are summarized as follows. Before the improvement of the system, the temperature of Company A's system was up to 10.2℃ higher than that measured by the ARS device, and the measured relative humidity was approximately 20.0% lower. After improving the system, the temperature and relative humidity of nodes 1 and 2 were found to be almost identical. The temperature deviations including the maximum, mean, and minimum temperatures between those measured in node 2 and by ARS were approximately 0.2 to 0.7℃, respectively; further, the values measured by ARS tended to be slightly lower or higher. In terms of relative humidity, the ARS measurements yielded values approximately 10.0% higher immediately after sunset; otherwise, the values were approximately 1.9% lower. Moreover, when node 1 was set to minimum-middle, middle-maximum, and maximum, the deviations including the maximum, mean, and minimum temperatures of nodes 1 and 2 were 0.1 to 0.4℃, 0.0 to 0.2℃, and 0.0 to 0.5℃, respectively. The deviations including the maximum, average, and minimum temperatures of the three points of node 1 and the ARS ranged from 0.2 to 0.5℃, 0.1 to 2.2℃, and 0.1 to 1.1℃, respectively, indicating that the temperature deviation according to the wind speed was negligible. In addition, considering the results of the previous study with those from this study, the optimal wind speed to improve the temperature deviation is considered to be in the range of 1.0~2.0 m·s-1.

Predicting soft tissue artefact with linear mixed models (선형혼합모형을 이용한 피부움직임 오차의 예측)

  • Kim, Jinuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.353-366
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    • 2018
  • This study uses mixed-effects models to predict thigh soft tissue artefact (STA), relative movement of soft tissue such as skin to femur occurring during hip joint motions. The random effects in the model were defined as STA and the fixed effects in the model were considered as skeletal motion. Five male subjects without musculoskeletal disease were selected to perform various hip joint rotational motions. Linear mixed-effects models were applied to markers' position vectors acquired from non-invasive method, photogrammetry. Predicted random effects showed similar patterns of STA among subjects. Large magnitudes of STA appeared on the points near the hip joint regardless of sides; however, small values appeared on the distal anterior.

Fiber Length Measurement Technique based on a Self-Seeding Laser Oscillation of a Fabry-Perot Laser Diode (Fabry-Perot 레이저의 자기궤환 레이저 발진을 이용한 광섬유 길이 측정법)

  • Yoon Ki-Hong;Song Jae-Won;Kim Hyun Deok
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.41 no.12
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2004
  • A simple fiber length measurement technique has been demonstrated by using a self-seeding laser oscillation of a Fabry-Perot laser diode. We induced a self-seeding laser oscillation through a closed-loop by adjusting the modulation frequency of a Fabry-Peort laser diode when the output optical pulse of the laser reinjected into the laser after passing through the closed-loop. The length of a fiber-under-test was calculated from the difference between my two modulation frequencies at which self-seeding laser oscillation occurs at a specific mode. We have experimentally confirmed the technique for various fiber lengths from 0.1 km to 75 km. The relative error between the measurement result of the proposed technique and that of a commercial instrument was less than 0.24 %. The repeatability of the proposed technique was better than 0.1 %.

Low Flow Analysis of the Nakdong River Basin by SSARR-8 Model (SSARR-8 모형을 이용한 낙동강 수계의 저수유출 해석)

  • Gang, Ju-Hwan;Lee, Gil-Seong;Kim, Nam-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 1998
  • The SSARR model adopting IS(integrated snowband) watershed model is applied to the Nakdong River basin for low flow analysis. The IS watershed model is added to new version of the SSARR which has functions of simulating evapotranspiration. infiltration and lower zone routing. It provides annual water budget information as an output file and can be operated by interactive mode. Sensitivity analysis for both cases of high and low flows was carried out, which becomes the knowledge base for model calibration. Model verification was performed using the relative errors of high flows and absolute errors of low flows at the control points. Monthly water budget analysis was done by IS watershed model. and it reveals that runoff coefficient is 52.6%

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Uncertainty Analysis of the Calculated Radioactivity in Liquid Effluent Released as Batch Mode from a Nuclear Power Plant (발전용원자로에서 뱃치방식으로 배출되는 액체상 방사성물질의 방사능 평가결과에 대한 불확도 해석)

  • 정재학;박원재
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.562-571
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    • 2003
  • A series of factors such as sampling, pretreatment measurement, volume estimation which induces uncertainty of the calculated radioactivity in liquid effluent released from a nuclear power plant were analyzed. It is innately impossible to estimate exact error of the calculated radioactivity, since most of the input parameters are determined by a single measurement and true value of the released radioactivity cannot be known. In this paper, a systematic model to calculate uncertainty of the released liquid radioactivity was developed based upon the guidance report published by the ISO in 1993, and the model was applied to a set of hypothetical batch release conditions. As a result, the Priority of each input parameter was turned out to be (1) wastewater volume, (2) sample volume, and (3) measured radioactivity of the sample. In addition, probability distribution of the released radioactivity was simulated by Monte Carlo method combining the probability distribution of each input parameter It was shown that the radioactivity released to the environment, which has been reported as a single value, has a certain form of probability distribution.

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A Study on the Difference of Rainfall Intensity According to the Omission of Short-Term (20, 30, 40, 50 Minutes) Rainfall Data in Inducing I-D-F Curves (I-D-F곡선 유도 시 짧은 지속기간(20분, 30분, 40분, 50분) 강우자료 누락에 따른 강우강도 차이 고찰)

  • Lee, Hee Chang;Seong, Kee Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.465-475
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    • 2020
  • I-D-F curves were induced by Box-Cox transformation using rainfall data from five major cities in Korea: Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Daejeon, and Gwangju, as well as from Sancheong (South Gyeongsang province) and Yeongcheon (North Gyeongsang province) stations. The practicality of the Box-Cox transformation is more scalable than the traditional method of frequency analysis in terms of applicability because it is available even if the analysis data are insufficient to perform general frequency analysis and do not produce an appropriate probability density function. For the case in which rainfall data for the entire period (10-1440 minutes) and short-term period (20, 30, 40, 50 minutes) at the foregoing 7 stations are omitted, there was a relative error of -23.0 % to 14.7 % at a duration of 10 to 60 minutes below the 100-year frequency. Accordingly, rainfall analysis requires inducing I-D-F curves, including for the short term (20, 30, 40, 50 minutes), and if rainfall data are omitted for the short term (20, 30, 40, 50 minutes), it is necessary to increase the existing margin rate depending on the point in order to ensure the safe design of small-scale hydraulic structures.