• Title/Summary/Keyword: 산사태 예측도

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Porewater Pressure Predictions on Hillside Slopes for Assessing Landslide Risks(I) -Comparative Study of Groundwater Recharge- (산사태 위험도 추정을 위한 간극수압 예측에 관한 연구(I) -지하수 유입량의 비교 연구-)

  • Lee, In-Mo;Park, Gyeong-Ho;Im, Chung-Mo
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.81-102
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    • 1992
  • Landslides on hillside slopes with shallow soil cover over a sloping bedrock are frequently caused by increases in porewater pressures following of heavy rainfall and it is one of the most important factors of assessing the risk of landslide to predict the groundwater level fluctuations in hillslopes. This paper presents the comparative study of three unsaturated flow models developed by Sloan et al., Reddi, L.N., and Thomas, H.A., Jr., respectively, which are used to predict the increase of groundwater levels in hillside slopes. The parametric study for each of models is also presented. The Kinematic Storage Model(KSM) developed by Sloan et at. is utilized to predict the saturated groundwater flow. They are applied to the two sites in Korea so as to examine the possibility of use in the groundwater flow model. The results show that two unsaturated models developed by Sloan et al. and Reddi, L. N. are largely affected by the uncertain parameters like saturated permeability and saturated water content : the abed model has the potential of use in unsaturated flow model with the optimal estimates of model parameters utilizing available optimization techniques. And it is also found that the KSM must be modified to account for the time delay effect in the saturated zone. The results of this paper are able to be utilized in developing the predictive model of groan dwater level fluctuations in a hillslope.

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Development of a GIS-based Computer Program to Design Countermeasures against Debris Flows (GIS기반 토석류 산사태 대응공법 설계 프로그램 개발)

  • Song, Young-Suk;Chae, Byung-Gon
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2013
  • We developed a computer program (CDFlow v. 1.0) to design countermeasures against debris flows in natural terrain. The program can predict the probability of landslides occurring in natural terrain and can estimate the zone of damage caused by a debris flow. It can also be used to design the location and size of countermeasures against the debris flow. The program is run using the ArcGIS Engine, which is one of the most well-known Geographic Information System (GIS) tools for developers. The quasi-dynamic wetness index and the infinite slope stability equation were applied to predict landslide probability as a type of slope safety factor. The calculated safety factor was compared with the required safety factor, and areas of high probable potential for landslides were then selected and represented on the digital map. The volume of debris flow was estimated using these areas of high probable potential for landslides and soil depth. The accumulated volume of debris flow can be calculated along the flow channel. To assess the accuracy of the program, it was applied to a real landslide site at Deoksan-ri, Inje-gun, Kangwon-Province, where four debris barriers have been installed in the watershed of the site. The results of soil tests and a field survey indicate that the program has great potential for estimating probable landslide areas and the trajectory of debris flows. Calculation of the capacity volume of existing debris barriers revealed that they had insufficient capacity to store the calculated amount of debris flow. Therefore, this program enables a rational estimation of the optimal location and size of debris barriers.

A Study on Development of the Monitoring System Model Based on USN for Landslide Detection (산사태 감지를 위한 USN 모니터링 시스템 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Cheon, Dong-Jn;Kim, Jeong-Sub;Lee, Seung-Ho;Kwak, Dong-Kurl;Coi, Shin-Hyung;Lee, Bong-Sub;Jung, Do-Young
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2012.05b
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    • pp.812-816
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문은 산사태 감지 및 붕괴예측을 위한 현장에 USN(Ubiquitous Sensor Network)을 적용한 실시간 모니터링 시스템 모델을 개발하였다. 이 시스템의 성능을 검증하기 위해 USN기반의 상시모니터링시스템모델을 제작하고 실험적 평가를 수행하였다. 성능평가는 지표변위 센서모듈 동작특성 실험적 평가, USN은 Data 수집 전송 효율성 실험적 평가, 개발한 상시감시모니터링 프로그램 동작성능 실험적 평가 등을 수행하였다. 성능평가 결과 지표변위 측정센서모듈은 변위각도에 일치성을 확인하고, USN은 지표변위 센서모듈로부터 측정된 Data를 상시모니터링시스템에 오류 없이 전송되는지를 확인하였으며, 개발한 상시모니터링 프로그램 동작기능은 실시간 모니터링 그래프, 임계동작 알고리즘, 위험성 통보 문자서비스(SMS)기능, 알람서비스기능, 현장 감시카메라 등 동작기능의 우수성을 실험으로 증명하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 개발된 산사태 감지 예측을 위한 USN기반 실시간 모니터링 시스템 모델은 산사태위험성노출 지역에 원격 실시간 모니터링 시스템으로 널리 사용될 것으로 사료된다.

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Development of Prediction Technique of Landslide Hazard Area in Korea National Parks (국립공원의 산사태 발생 위험지역 예측기법의 개발)

  • Ma, Ho-Seop;Jeong, Won-Ok;Park, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.3
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    • pp.326-331
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    • 2008
  • This study was carried out to analyze the characteristics of each factors by using the quantification theory(I) for prediction of landslide hazard area. The results obtained from this study were summarized as follows; The stepwise regression analysis between landslide sediment ($m^3$ ) and environmental factors, factors affecting landslide sediment ($m^3$ ) were high in order of mixed (forest type), < 15 cm(soil depth), 801~1,200 m (altitude), $31{\sim}40^{\circ}$ (slope gradient), 46 cm < (soil depth), 1,201 m < (altitude) and s(aspect). According to the range, it was shown in order of soil depth (0.3784), altitude (0.2876), forest type (0.2409), slope gradient (0.1728) and aspect (0.1681). The prediction of landslide hazard area was estimated by score table of each category. The extent of prediction score was 0 to 1.2478, and middle score was 0.6239. Class I was over 1.1720, class II was 0.7543 to 0.1719, class III was 0.4989 to 0.7542 and class IV was below 0.4988.

GIS Landslide Hazard Mapping Using Root Strength Reinforcement Model (GIS 기반의 뿌리보강모델을 활용한 산사태 위험도 작성방법 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Gu;Yoon, Young-Jin;Chang, Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.13 no.1 s.31
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2005
  • Korea is formed a mountainous district at 70% of country. Damages are occurred by landslide. It is increased annually by industrial development and extension of urban area. Serious damages occurred in Kangreng area of Gangwondo by typoon Rusa in August, 2002. Landslide hazard mapping needs to forecast and to manage landslide hazard area. GIS fits landslide hazard mapping, to reduce of time, manpower and costs, to investigate a board area, to do a spatial forecast model in study site. Variety of methods is for landslide hazard mapping. A study use root strength reinforcement model. This model use factors such as topography of slope, soil depth, soil properties, and vegetation of slope. Landslide hazard map is made by this model.

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A Case Study on Analysis of Landslide Potential and Triggering Time at Inje Area using a RTI Warning Model (RTI 경보모델을 이용한 강원도 인제지역의 산사태 가능성 및 발생시간 분석 사례 연구)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Liu, Ko-Fei;Cho, Yang-Chan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2008
  • This study is a case study for application of the RTI warning model to Korea which was previously developed to predict landslide potential and occurrence time during a rainfall event. The rainfall triggering index (RTI) is defined as the product of the rainfall intensity I (mm/hr) and the effective accumulated rainfall $R_t$ (mm). This index is used to evaluate the landslide and debris-flow occurrence potential at time t during a rainfall event. The upper critical value ($RTI_{UC}$) of RTI and the lower critical value ($RTI_{LC}$) of RTI can be determined by historical rainfall data of a certain area. When the rainfall intensity exceeds the upper critical value, there are high potential to occur land-slides. The analysis result can predict landslide occurrence time of an area during a rainfall event as well as land-slide potential. The result can also be used as an important data to issue early-warning of landslides. In order to apply the RTI warning model to Korea this study analyzed rainfall data and landslides data in Inje county, Gangwon province, Korea from July 13 to July 19, 2006. According to the analysis result, the rainfall intensity exceeded the upper critical value 23 hours ago, 11 hours ago, and 9 hours ago from 11:00 in the morning, July 16. Therefore, landslide warnings would be issued three times for people evacuation for avoiding or reducing hurts and dam-ages from landslides in mountainous areas of Inje.

Extraction of Landslide Risk Area using GIS (GIS를 이용한 산사태 위험지역 추출)

  • Park, Jae-Kook;Yang, In-Tae;Park, Hyeong-Geun;Kim, Tai-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.27-39
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    • 2008
  • Landslides cause enormous economic losses and casualties. Korea has mountainous regions and heavy slopes in most parts of the land and has consistently built new roads and large-scale housing complexes according to its industrial and urban growth. As a result, the damage from landslides becomes greater every year. In summer, landslides frequently occur due to local torrential rains and storms. It is critical to predict the potential areas of landslides in advance and to take preventive measures to minimize consequences and to protect property and human life. The previous study on landslides mostly focused on identifying the causes of landslides in the areas where they occurred, and on analyzing landslide vulnerability around the areas without considering rainfall conditions. Thus there were not enough evaluations of the direct risk of landslides to human life. In this study, potentially risky areas for landslides were identified using the GIS data in order to evaluate direct risk on farmlands, roads, and artificial structures that were closely connected to human life. A map of landslide risk was made taking into account rainfall conditions, and a land use map was also drawn with satellite images and digital maps. Both maps were used to identify potentially risky areas for landslides.

Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using TPI-Slope Combination (TPI와 경사도 조합을 이용한 산사태 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Han Na;Kim, Gihong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.507-514
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    • 2018
  • TSI (TPI-Slope Index) which is the combination of TPI (Topographic Position Index) and slope was newly proposed for landslide and applied to a landslide susceptibility model. To do this, we first compared the TPIs with various scale factors and found that TPI350 was the best fit for the study area. TPI350 was combined with slope to create TSI. TSI was evaluated using logistic regression. The evaluation showed that TSI can be used as a landslide factor. Then a logistic regression model was developed to assess the landslide susceptibility by adding other topographic factors, geological factors, and forestial factors. For this, landslide-related factors that can be extracted from DEM (Digital Elevation Model), soil map, and forest type map were collected. We checked these factors and excluded those that were highly correlated with other factors or not significant. After these processes, 8 factors of TSI, elevation, slope length, slope aspect, effective soil depth, tree age, tree density, and tree type were selected to be entered into the regression analysis as independent variables. Three models through three variable selection methods of forward selection, backward elimination, and enter method were built and evaluated. Selected variables in the three models were slightly different, but in common, effective soil depth, tree density, and TSI was most significant.

Landslide Characteristics induced by Heavy Rainfall in Samcheok Area (집중호우시 발생된 삼척지역의 산사태 특성)

  • Song Young-Suk;Jang Yoon-Ho;Kim Jin-Seok
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.15 no.4 s.42
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    • pp.435-445
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    • 2005
  • Landslides induced by heavy rainfall from typhoon 'Rusa' in 2002 and typhoon 'Meami' in 2003 were investigated at Samcheok area, and the relationship between landslides and rainfall on that area was analyzed. The average annual rainfall at Samcheok area is generally $1,200mm\~1,300mm$. However, the average annual rainfall at samcheok for 2003 and ton was increased more than 2,000mm because of typhoon 'Rusa' and typhoon 'Meami'. The number of landslides and the landslides area are largely occurred in a area of the relatively high maximum hourly rainfall and 2days cumulative rainfall. Therefore, it confirmed that landslides are directly depended on the hourly rainfall and the cumulative rainfall. The landslides at Samcheok area induced by heavy rainfall due to typhoon are more influenced by the maximum hourly rainfall at the landslide occurrence day. In order to predict a rational landslide size, a new method included the maximum hourly rainfall and the landslide area in a traditional way was proposed. As the result of applying the new proposed method, the landslide size at Samcheok area is involved in the large scale landslide.

The Current Methods of Landslide Monitoring Using Observation Sensors for Geologic Property (지질특성 관측용 센서를 이용한 산사태 모니터링 기법 현황)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Song, Young-Suk;Choi, Junghae;Kim, Kyeong-Su
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2015
  • There are many landslides occurred by typhoons and intense rainfall during the summer seasons in Korea. To predict a landslide triggering it is important to understand mechanisms and potential areas of landslides by the geological approaches. However, recent climate changes make difficult to predict landslide based on only conventional prediction methods. Therefore, the importance of a real-time monitoring of landslide using various sensors is emphasized in recent. Many researchers have studied monitoring techniques of landslides and suggested several monitoring systems which can be applicable to the natural terrain. Most sensors of landslide monitoring measure slope displacement, hydrogeologic properties of soils and rocks, changes of stress in soil and rock fractures, and rainfall amount and intensity. The measured values of each sensor are transmitted to a monitoring server in real-time. The ultimate goal of landslide monitoring is to warn landslide occurrence in advance and to reduce damages induced by landslides. This study introduces the current situation of landslide monitoring techniques in each country.