• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.87-96
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• 2017

It is important to estimate the future maintenance budget of all SOC infrastructure at the national strategic level. In this study, Based on a currently available statistics data, we predicted future maintenance investment for all SOC infrastructure in Korea. We have studied the applicable prediction models, and we developed the prediction models that can calculated the future maintenance cost by a real expenditure date. The subjects of facilities are bridges, tunnels, pavements, harbors, dams, airports, water supply, rivers and port. As a result of total estimated cost, eight types of SOC infrastructures are about 23 trillion won for the next 10years, and the most expensive facilities are road pavements and bridges.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.53-62
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• 2020

The maritime and port logistics industry is closely related to global trade and economic activity, especially for Korea, which is highly dependent on trade. As the largest port in Korea, Busan Port processes 75% of the country's container cargo; the port is therefore extremely important in terms of the country's national competitiveness. Port container cargo volume forecasts influence port development and operation strategies, and therefore require a high level of accuracy. However, due to unexpected and sudden changes in the port and maritime transportation industry, it is difficult to increase the accuracy of container volume forecasting using existing time series models. Among deep learning models, this study uses the LSTM model to enhance the accuracy of container cargo volume forecasting for Busan Port. To evaluate the model's performance, the forecasting accuracies of the SARIMA and LSTM models are compared. The findings reveal that the forecasting accuracy of the LSTM model is higher than that of the SARIMA model, confirming that the forecasted figures fully reflect the actual measurement figures.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.1165-1171
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• 2015

Due to the increasing trend of operation and maintenance cost (O&M cost) of infrastructure, the accurate estimation of O&M cost is crucial part to the government. Recent literatures pointed out that gradual climate changes such as average temperature changes, average precipitation changes, and etc. have significant impact on infrastructure O&M cost. This research is intended to develop a long-term O&M cost prediction model of road facilities by considering the impacts of average temperature changes. For this end, the climate change scenarios of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s $5^{th}$ report are adopted to structure the impact of average temperature changes by using binomial lattice model. The proposed framework is expected to regional government in supporting decisions for road O&M cost.

• Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
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• 1998.10b
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• pp.509-509
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• 1998

점차 증가하는 도로상에서의 승용차의 비율은 전체 도로교통여건의 악화뿐만이 아니라 국가경제에 있어서도 물류비용의 증가를 가져와 국제경쟁력에서의 약화 및 수출조건의 악화의 원인이 되고 있다. 이러한 물류비용의 감소를 위하여 고속도로에 있어서의 화물전용차선의 설치가 논의되고 있으나 화물전용차선의 설치에 따른 사회 각 분야의 경제적 이익과 불이익을 정확히 산출하여 새로운 교통시설 공급의 효과를 정확하게 파악하지 못한 채로 정책적인 대안의 일환으로 논의되고 있으며, 기존의 고속도로의 교통혼잡비용의 연구에 있어서도 화물통행의 시간가치를 화물차의 운전자의 시간가치로 분석하여 개별 화물통행의 시간가치를 간과하여 분석하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구는 이러한 배경하에 화물통행의 시간적 가치를 측정하는 방안을 정립하고 고속도로에 있어서의 화물전용차선의 설치가 기존의 교통체계에 미치는 효과를 정확히 분석하고 시설공급에 따른 경제적 편익을 체계적으로 분석하여 이에 따른 화물전용차선 설치의 평가기준을 마련하는데 그 목적이 있다. 본 연구를 통하여 나타난 결과는 다음과 같다. -첫째, 연구대상구간 전체를 기준으로 볼때에 모든 대안에서 화물전용차선의 설치시는 화물전용차선의 미설치시보다 오히려 사회전체의 편익이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. -둘째, 구간별로 구분하여 분석하였을 경우에는 대안3의 경우 일부구간에서 화물전용차선에 설치에 따른 편익이 발생하는 것으로 분석되었는 바, 상행선의 경우 17:00∼21:00시에 신갈∼오산구간에서 실시하는 것이 가장 높은 편익을 발생하며, 하행선의 경우 06:00∼10:00시에 신갈∼오산구간에서 실시하는 것이 가장 편익이 높게 분석되었다. -셋째, 화물의 통행가치의 증가 및 화물교통량의 증가를 예상하여 5%, 10%, 20%의 증가에 대한 민감도 분석을 실시한 결과 대안1의 경우 교통량의 변화 및 화물통행의 시간가치의 증가시 사회적 편익이 오히려 감소하였고, 대안2와 3의 경우 사회적 편익이 증가하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이는 경부고속도로의 화물차량의 구성비에 따라 대안 1의 경우 오히려 화물차의 통행시간이 증가함에 그 원인이 있다 할 것이다. 이상과 같은 결론을 통하여 경부고속도로상의 화물전용차선의 설치시는 수답렬 교통량의 구성비와 구간 평균교통량에 의하여 그 효과가 다르게 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 따라서 물류비용 절감차원에서의 화물전용차선의 설치는 본 연구에서 나타낸 방법과 같이 수단간의 경제적 편익을 고려한 구간별 시간대별 효과분석을 통하여 정책의 시행여부가 결정되어야 할 것이다. 한편, 화물전용차선의 설치로 인한 물류비용의 절감을 보다 효과적으로 달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.8 no.5
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• pp.152-160
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• 2007

Recently, the government is very active to secure the financial resources by inducement of the private investment in fulfilling an extension of the SOC facilities. One of the reasons that the private investors hesitate to put money into the private finance projects, however, is the lack of knowledges about various risks to be possibly incurred during the project execution. This research was performed as one of the preparation works in order for a A engineering company to act as a prime contractor of the project management service in the private finance project, and finally developed the risk factor dictionary as a new concept to satisfy the requirement of a A company and overcome a limit of the existing risk checklists. Although the risk factor dictionary looks like the only simplified table to be the risk factors identified in three dimensions, the impacts and response strategies expressed in narrative and multi-items, and the responsible parties indicated, it has great meanings to get a lot of direct and indirect accomplishments over the simplified table during the development process.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.205-216
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• 2008

As the aged and physically disabled people are expected to increase in the next several years, traffic demand especially for the 'mobility handicapped people' will be stronger. According to this trend, our society needs the improvement of social overhead capital for the aged and the disabled. First of all, Barrier-free of public transport facilities is urgent case. The purpose of this study is to estimate value of the Barrier-free facilities at subway stations by using Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) with Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question and to analyze the factor which affects the WTP(Willingness To Pay) of subway users by using Survival Analysis. As a result of this study, 'Elevators' and 'Escalators' are higher than 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair' in the aspect of the average willingness to pay. Therefore the government is recommended to install the Barrier-free facilities for going up and down such as 'Elevators' and 'Escalators', and then supply others for just using subway, and passing such as 'Handicapped Gate Machines' and 'Ramps for Wheelchair'. Also, the average willingness to pay of 'mobility handicapped people' is higher than that of 'normal people'. It indicates that 'mobility handicapped people' value each Barrier-free facility high compared to 'normal people'.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2010.06a
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• pp.1603-1614
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• 2010

As the Kyoto protocol and Bali road-map, our country is expected to be included to the emission reduction controlled country of greenhouse gas, so we are now urgent situation to take an action in the level of government. In this research, environment friendly rail logistics and combined transport were treated to meet with the green growth policy of our government. Major problems of Ui-wang ICD suggested in this research are short of yards, unutilized public CY, inconvenience use by non-share holders. It is necessary to improve rail logistic infrastructure, that is, additional expansion of yard, direct operation by KORAIL and regular unloading system are needed. such improvement can not be solved just by the endeavor of business body. Rail logistic infra & Integrated freight terminal has a tendency of SOC, which require tremendous amount of investment, so there are some limit in doing by private sector itself, now it's time to do by the government level. The improvement of rail logistic infrastructure in the level of government is possible by the policy of environment friendly green logistic support which is related with Logistic Policy Basic Law, so government should prepare detailed directives to activate Integrated freight terminal.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.19-27
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• 2011

The capital of investment of SOC projects is too large to be taken charge of a country. The government introduces the private investment like a BTL project because of the limited national resources. However, even the company which wants order constructions, do not consider the fundamentals such as accurate estimation, capability of construction company and construction period. The purpose of the research is to suggest the basic influential factors for obtaining a BTL project and offers the concludes for the successful operation after the contract. The result of the research is followed. 54 effect successful factors are compressed into 11 principle factors by analysis on those 54 factors, CSFs of BTL business are constructed. Regression analysis is induced by variable of primary success factors and success degree, and derives the influence degree of effect successful factors in business. Regression analysis that is mentioned above showed considerable issues from importance of primary factors, prime cost fluctuation factors and comparison of management-level. So this study could suggest the effective operate plan of BTL business.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.11 no.12
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• pp.919-930
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• 2011

National highway is one of the social infrastructures that continue to be managed in order to serve their full functions. The national highway has been managed by the Pavement Management System (PMS) until now. The PMS manages the highway as a way of facility maintenance and maximizes the service life of the highway with minimum cost. The cost is evaluated mainly with a facility manager's perspective based on engineering judgment. People's needs of quality of life have been increased as their income level is rising and naturally the opinion of citizen as a taxpayer plays an important role in determining national policy. Therefore, the contentment of a user's perspective was the starting point of addressing these needs. The Level of Service began to be used as a measure for the evaluation of the user's perspective. In this thesis we would like to design an application and a data architecture for a pavement asset management system and to show how it meets the requirements of KTAM-40 Systems.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2002.03a
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• pp.21-30
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• 2002

Busan Port which is the representative social overhead capital facilities for international trade of goods has been the driving force for economic development in Korea. Therefore, the central government should play the major role in building a rear road to Busan Port in order that it may function as a mojor port of Northeastern Asia through the systemization of mutual assistance among connected facilities, completely equipped with port-related facilities befitting to the principal port of imports and exports. In this study, the validity of container tax is being examined, analyzing container tax which Is considered as an obstacle to the development of Busan Port and its purpose, and grasping the present conditions by the realistic speculation on container tax issues and its abolition. First, the port rear road as a social overhead capital facilities, which connects port and expressway, should be considered as part of port, and port is social overhead capital invested by government. Second, the susan City imposes on container tax. As a result, a shipper and a shipping company are paying a double charge by paying container tax with port dues. Third, someone argues that port rear road is constructed as container truck generates much traffic, but it is unreasonable to conclude that container truck is seed of traffic jam because according to traffic survey of Busan City, container truck occupies only 1.45% of total traffic Forth, it has bad influence upon the competitiveness of Busan Port as Northeastern logistics base, as other ports who are competing with Busan Port like Singapore. Hong kong, Kobe make their competitiveness strong by decreasing the cost of pore dues