• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.85-102
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• 2009

This paper derives conversion formulas from yearly-based absolute rates of decrements to monthly-based rates of decrement due to cause J under fractional age distributions. Next, it suggests conversion formulas from monthly-based absolute rates of decrements to monthly-based rates of decrement due to cause j under fractional age distributions. In addition, it applies the conversion formulas including a dynamic lapse rate model to variable annuities. Some numerical examples are discussed.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.51 no.4
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• pp.431-438
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• 2012

The developmental time of the nymphs of Myzus persicae was studied in the laboratory (six constant temperatures from 15 to $30^{\circ}C$ with 50~60% RH, and a photoperiod of 14L:10D) and in a green-pepper plastic house. Mortality of M. persicae in laboratory was high in the first(6.7~13.3%) and second instar nymphs(6.7%) at low temperatures and high in the third (17.8%) and fourth instar nymphs(17.8%) at high temperatures. Mortality was 66.7% at $33^{\circ}C$ in laboratory and $26.7^{\circ}C$ in plastic house. The total developmental time was the longest at $14.6^{\circ}C$ (14.4 days) and shortest at $26.7^{\circ}C$ (6.0 days) in plastic house. The lower threshold temperature of the total nymphal stage was $3.0^{\circ}C$ in laboratory. The thermal constant required for nymphal stage was 111.1DD. The relationship between developmental rate and temperature was fitted nonlinear model by Logan-6 which has the lowest value on Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). The distribution of completion of each developmental stage was well described by the 3-parameter Weibull function ($r^2=0.95{\sim}0.97$). This model accurately described the predicted and observed occurrences. Thus the model is considered to be good for use in predicting the optimal spray time for Myzus persicae.

• Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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• v.48 no.6
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• pp.837-852
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• 2000

Backgrounds : Today, tuberculosis cannot only be cured medically, but also controlled by public health. Despite the overall worldwide decline in tuberculosis, the disease continues to be a significant problem among developing countries and in the slums of large cities in some industrialized countries. Particularly, this communicable disease has come into the public health spotlight because of its resurgence in the 1990's. our country has been operating the Korean National Tuberculosis Control Program since 1962, focusing around public health centers. Therefore, this study aims to compare the effectiveness of tuberculosis control activities, one of the major public health activities in Korea, by producing indexes, such as the yearly registration rate per 100,000 population and treatment compliance of tuberculosis on in small areas (communities). Methods : This work was accomplished by constructing a time-series analytic model using data from "1980~2000: the Yearly Statistical Report" with patient registry data of 234 City. County. District public health centers and by identifying the factors influencing the tuberculosis indexes. Results : The trends of pulmonary tuberculosis positive point prevalence and pulmonary tuberculosis negative point prevalence on X-ray screening have declined steadily, beginning in 1981 and continuing to 1998 by region (city, county, district). Although the tuberculosis mortality rate steadily shows a declining trend by year and region, but Korea still ranks first among 29 OECD countries in 1998, with a tuberculosis mortality rate of 7.1 per 100,000 persons, according to the time-series analysis for fatal diseases. Conclusion : The results of the study will form the fundamental basis of future regional health care planning and the Korean Tuberculosis Surveillance System on 2000. Since the implementation of local autonomy through the Local Health Act of 1995, it has now become vita1 for each city, county, district public health centers to determine its own priorities for relevant health care management, including budget allocation and program goals.

• Proceedings of the Korea Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.132-132
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• 2000

환경오염과 이상기후의 영향으로 인한 수자원의 고갈과 함께 국내의 경우 수자원 개발 계획 및 수요량을 감안할 때 향후 7 년 내에 물부족 현상을 겪을 것이라는 보고가 있 었으며, 환경부담을 줄이기 위해 폐수의 배출기준은 강화되고 있다. 이러한 상황에서 제조 특성상 타 업종에 비해 폐수 발생량이 높은 편인 국내의 제지산업은 여러 해전부터 이에 대 한 방안을 모색하여 왔다. 일반적으로 폐수 수질 관리와 청수 사용량의 절감을 위해 고가의 폐수 처리 장치를 설치하거나 폐수 재활용을 통해 공정을 극도로 폐쇄화하는 방안으로 연구 가 진행되어 왔다. 이 중 용수의 재활용이 가장 경제적인 방법이지만, 재활용이 지속될수록 각종 무기염과 콜로이드성 유기물질이 축적되어 각종 약품의 효능 저하, 탈수속도의 저하 및 생산 제품의 품질 악화 등의 문제를 유발한다고 알려져 있다. 이를 해결하고자 하는 노 력으로 펄프 원료에 따른 공정수 내 용해성 물질의 분석과 재활용 횟수에 따른 각종 SS와 D DS의 축적 정도에 대한 기초 연구가 수행되었으며, 고폐쇄화된 공정에서 성능을 발휘할 수 있는 첨가제의 개발과 적용 방법에 대한 연구도 수행된 바 있다.여러 지종 가운데 골판지 원지는 용수의 재활용률이 상당히 높은 지종이기 때문에 공정수의 재활용이 진행될수록 열악한 저급 원료로부터 각종의 다양한 물질이 용출 혹은 배 출되며, 이러한‘물질은 골판지 원지의 강도 발현에 더욱 악영향을 미칠 것으로 판단되었다. 미세분으로 구성된 SS의 경우 이미 많은 연구를 통해 특성이 파악되었기 때문에 본 연구에 서는 ss를 제외한 공정수를 두 가지로 크게 나누어 고려하였다. 즉, ss로 측정되지 않지만 닥도를 유발할 수 있는 미세 무기물질과, 용해성의 무기염, 첨가제 및 추출물 둥으로 이루어 진 용해성 성분으로 나누어 분석하였으며, 또한 각각이 초지 특성에 미치는 영향을 살펴보 고자 하였다.을 해석코자 하였으며, 그 방법으 로 수치해석기법을 도입하였다. 또 실제 캘린더링 전후의 두께 변화를 측정하여 유리전이온도 의 도달 깊이와 비교하였다. 지필의 압축 정도는 롤의 직경과 닙 폭을 이용하여 MD 방향으 로 함수화하였으며, 열전달 계수로는 겉보기 값을 사용하였다. 이때 지펼은 균질한 것으로 가 정하였다. 함수율은 유리전이온도를 좌우하는 가장 큰 인자이나 본 연구에서는 항온항습처리 를 통해 유입지의 함수율을 고정시켰으며 캘린더링 시 함수율의 변이는 없다고 가정하였다. 그 결과 열침투깊이가 증가할수록 지필은 보다 변형되기 쉬운 상태가 되어 주어진 압력 조건에 대해 소성변형 정도가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 캘린더링 전후에 두께 변화를 측정하여 정량적으로 평가할 수 있었다. 수치해석기법을 통해 같은 압력 조건에서 온도가 증 가함에 따라 혹은 같은 온도 조건에서 압력이 증가함에 따라 지필 내의 유리전이온도의 침투 깊이가 증가함을 알 수 있었으며 이는 캘린더링 전후의 두께 변화의 측정 결과와 일치하였 다. 또 NRT가 증가함에 따라서도 유리전이온도 침투 깊이가 증가하였다.합편에 비해 일부 우수한 양상을 보였지만 본 실험의 범위내에서는 통계적 정량적 차이를 제시할 수는 없었다. 향후 보다 광범위한 동물 실험이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.된다.하고도 완전교정술 도달 확률이 높은 치료전략이라는 사실을 입증하였으며 주대동맥폐동맥혈관부행지의 크기나 숫자가 단일화하기 쉬운 형태학적 특징을 지닌 경우에는 조기에 일단계완전교정술을 시행하여 양호한 결과를 얻을 수 있다는 사실을 발견하였다. 반면 본 환아군 중 단일화술을 먼저 시도한 군에서는 비록 단계적인 단일화를 시도한 군에서 단일화술과 관계된 수술사망율이 약간 낮기는 하였으나 완전교정술까지 완료될 가능성에는 차이가 없었다. 그러나 이 경우 보다 정련된 적응 환자의 선택을 통한 단일화 우선전략의 시도와 장기 추

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.711-724
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• 2016

Under variable complex operating environment, various factors can affect the lifetimes of systems. In this research, we study bivariate reliability models having multiple dynamic competing risks. As competing risks, in addition to the natural failure, we consider the increased stress caused by the failure of one component, external shocks, and the level of stress of the working environment at the same time. Considering two reliability models which take into account all of these competing risks, we derive bivariate life distributions. Furthermore, we compare these two models and also compare the distributions of maximum and minimum statistics in the two models.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.52 no.4
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• pp.387-394
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• 2013

The developmental times of mealworm beetle larvae, Tenebrio molitor were studied at six temperatures ranging from 15 to $30^{\circ}C$ with 60~70% RH, and a photoperiod of 14L:10D. Mortality of larval period was very low at 17 and $20^{\circ}C$ but did not die over $22^{\circ}C$. Developmental time of larva was decreased with increasing temperature. The total developmental time of T. molitor larvae was longest at $17^{\circ}C$ (244.3 days) and shortest at $30^{\circ}C$ (110.8 days). Egg and larvae were not developed at $15^{\circ}C$. The lower developmental threshold and effective accumulative temperatures for the total larval stages were $6.0^{\circ}C$ and 2564.1 degree-days, respectively. The relationship between developmental rate and temperature was fitted by a linear model and nonlinear model of Logan-6($r^2$=0.95). The distribution of completion of each development stage was well described by the 2-parameter Weibull function ($r^2$=0.8502~0.9390).

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.137-144
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• 2020

Delirium is among the most common mental disorders encountered in patients with a temporary cognitive impairment such as consciousness disorder, attention disorder, and poor speech, particularly among those who are older. Delirium is distressing for patients and families, can interfere with the management of symptoms such as pain, and is associated with increased elderly mortality. The purpose of this paper is to generate useful clinical knowledge that can be used to distinguish the outcomes of patients with delirium in long-term care facilities. For this purpose, we extracted the clinical classification knowledge associated with delirium using a local covering rule acquisition approach with the rough lower approximation region. The clinical applicability of the proposed method was verified using data collected from a prospective cohort study. From the results of this study, we found six useful clinical pieces of evidence that the duration of delirium could more than 12 days. Also, we confirmed eight factors such as BMI, Charlson Comorbidity Index, hospitalization path, nutrition deficiency, infection, sleep disturbance, bed scores, and diaper use are important in distinguishing the outcomes of delirium patients. The classification performance of the proposed method was verified by comparison with three benchmarking models, ANN, SVM with RBF kernel, and Random Forest, using a statistical five-fold cross-validation method. The proposed method showed an improved average performance of 0.6% and 2.7% in both accuracy and AUC criteria when compared with the SVM model with the highest classification performance of the three models respectively.