• Title/Summary/Keyword: 사고피해영향 분석

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Development of a test system for analysis of air bubble behavior (에어버블 거동 분석을 위한 실험장치 개발)

  • Lee, Hyo Sang;Chang, Hyung Joon;Lee, Ho Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.475-475
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    • 2016
  • 생활의 편의를 위하여 인간은 여러 종류의 시설을 만들고 있으며, 이에 필요한 전기를 공급하기 위하여 여러 종류의 발전소를 건설 운영하고 있다. 특히, 원자력 발전은 2014년을 기준으로 전체 전력생산량의 약 30%를 담당하고 있으며, 늘어나는 전력 수요를 감당하기 위하여 다수의 원자력 발전소 건설계획을 수립하고 있다. 원자력 발전소는 발전과정에서 생성되는 고열을 냉각시키기 위하여 다량의 물을 필요로 하기 때문에 연안에 위치한다. 물을 안정적으로 취수하는 것은 원자력 발전소의 안정성 확보에 큰 영향을 미치는 요소이다. 하지만, 유류 등의 오염 물질 또는 해파리 등의 생물체에 의하여 취수구가 마비되어 냉각수를 공급하지 못하는 사고가 종종 발생하고 있다. 원자력 발전소가 발전 중단이 되면 하루 약 10억원의 경제적 손실이 발생할 수 있고, 동일본 대지진의 예에서 확인할 수 있는 바와 같이 2차 피해가 발생하여 엄청난 재앙을 초래할 수 있다. 취수구로 유입되는 유류 등의 오염물질과 생물체를 차단하기 위하여 물리적인 방법과 생물학적 방법을 이용한 여러 가지 장치 및 기법이 고안되고 있지만, 생물학적인 방법은 개체군과 종류의 변화로 그 적용이 곤란하여 물리학적인 방법을 이용한 연구가 주를 이루고 있다. 대표적인 물리학적 장치는 해파리 제거용 그물이 있으나, 포집되는 해파리의 지속적인 제거를 위한 비용적인 문제와, 잠수부의 안전 문제가 발생하고 있다. 이와 같은 문제를 해결하기 위해서 최근 가장 주목받고 있는 방법은 에어버블을 이용하여, 유해 물질과 생물체를 차단하는 방법이다. 에어버블은 수심조건에 영향을 받지 않고, 취수구가 설치된 영역으로 유해물질의 유입 자체를 방어할 수 있어 몇 몇 선진국에서는 실용화 단계에 접어들고 있다. 본 연구에서는 에어버블 거동을 특성을 파악하기 위해서는 에어버블의 상승속도, 특성, 압력 및 수심조건 등을 고려할 수 있는 실험 장치를 개발하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 이를 위하여 선행연구결과 및 현장조건을 고려하여, 취급이 간단하고, 실험조건 조절이 용이한 원통형 실험 장치를 개발하였다.

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A Study on the Development of Assessment Index for Catastrophic Incident Warning Sign at Refinery and Pertrochemical Plants (정유 및 석유화학플랜트 중대사고 전조신호 평가지표 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Yong Jin;Park, Dal Jae
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.637-651
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    • 2019
  • In the event of a major accident such as an explosion in a refinery or a petrochemical plant, it has caused a serious loss of life and property and has had a great impact on the insurance market. In the case of catastrophic incidents occurring in process industries such as refinery and petrochemical plants, only the proximate causes of loss have been drawn and studied from inspectors or claims adjustors responsible for claims of property insurers, incident cause investigators, and national forensic service workers. However, it has not been done well for conducting root cause analysis (RCA) and identifying the factors that contributed to the failure and establishing preventive measures before leading to chemical plant's catastrophic incidents. In this study, the criteria of warning signs on CCPS catastrophic incident waning sign self-assessment tool which was derived through the RCA method and the contribution factor analysis method using the swiss cheese model principle has been reviewed first. Secondly, in order to determine the major incident warning signs in an actual chemical plant, 614 recommendations which have been issued during last the 17 years by loss control engineers of global reinsurers were analyzed. Finally, in order to facilitate the assessment index for catastrophic incident warning signs, the criteria for the catastrophic incident warning sign index at chemical plants were grouped by type and classified into upper category and lower category. Then, a catastrophic incident warning sign index for a chemical plant was developed using the weighted values of each category derived by applying the analytic hierarchy process (pairwise comparison method) through a questionnaire answered by relevant experts of the chemical plant. It is expected that the final 'assessment index for catastrophic incident warning signs' can be utilized by the refinery and petrochemical plant's internal as well as external auditors to assess vulnerability levels related to incident warning signs, and identify the elements of incident warning signs that need to be tracked and managed to prevent the occurrence of serious incidents in the future.

A Study on Zone-based Risk Analysis System using Real-time Data (실시간 데이터를 이용한 지역기반 위험분석 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jeong Seok;Bang, Hyo Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2013
  • Energy industry facilities can cause fatal damage for internal industry employee as well as external general people because handling various kinds of gas and harmful substance might be spread to large scale severe accident by fire, explosion, and toxic gas leakage. In order to prevent these accidents, quantification by damage effect on structure and human is tried by using quantitative risk assessment, but it is difficult to process instantly exceptional cases and requires knowledge of expert. This paper aims to minimize exceptional cases and knowledge of expert, and present risk with human perceptible. So, we designed and developed zone-base risk analysis system that can compute risk of zone in real time at that point using database and incremental model.

Deriving the Priority of Emergency Vehicle Dispatch Delay Factors Using Spatial Regression Analysis - Focusing on Seoul - (공간 회귀분석을 활용한 긴급차량 출동 지연요소의 우선순위 도출 - 서울시를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jun-Sang;Lee, Su-Bin;Kim, Jung-Ok
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2023
  • As cities become overcrowded and concentrated, the demand for public services continues to increase due to the improvement of the living standards of urban residents. Among them, fire service can be seen as one of the important public services by reducing damage caused by accidents in emergency situations and affecting the improvement of access to medical services for urban residents. Rapid movement of patients and medical institutions within golden time and proper first aid are essential elements in emergency situations, and Seoul is a super-large city with a large population of about 10 million people and has a large number of emergency medical patients. Therefore, this study used spatial regression analysis to examine the factors affecting the delay factors of emergency dispatch in Seoul to secure golden time, and derived management priorities, and suggested implications for the management of emergency vehicle dispatch delay factors. As a result of the main analysis, land-use characteristics were the most influential factor in emergency vehicle dispatch time, and land-use mixing, commercial area density, average patient age, and average road length were found to affect emergency vehicle dispatch time in order. This study can be used as important basic data for an accurate understanding of the delay factors for emergency dispatch and preparing countermeasures according to priorities.

A Study on the Overall Economic Risks of a Hypothetical Severe Accident in Nuclear Power Plant Using the Delphi Method (델파이 기법을 이용한 원전사고의 종합적인 경제적 리스크 평가)

  • Jang, Han-Ki;Kim, Joo-Yeon;Lee, Jai-Ki
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2008
  • Potential economic impact of a hypothetical severe accident at a nuclear power plant(Uljin units 3/4) was estimated by applying the Delphi method, which is based on the expert judgements and opinions, in the process of quantifying uncertain factors. For the purpose of this study, it is assumed that the radioactive plume directs the inland direction. Since the economic risk can be divided into direct costs and indirect effects and more uncertainties are involved in the latter, the direct costs were estimated first and the indirect effects were then estimated by applying a weighting factor to the direct cost. The Delphi method however subjects to risk of distortion or discrimination of variables because of the human behavior pattern. A mathematical approach based on the Bayesian inferences was employed for data processing to improve the Delphi results. For this task, a model for data processing was developed. One-dimensional Monte Carlo Analysis was applied to get a distribution of values of the weighting factor. The mean and median values of the weighting factor for the indirect effects appeared to be 2.59 and 2.08, respectively. These values are higher than the value suggested by OECD/NEA, 1.25. Some factors such as small territory and public attitude sensitive to radiation could affect the judgement of panel. Then the parameters of the model for estimating the direct costs were classified as U- and V-types, and two-dimensional Monte Carlo analysis was applied to quantify the overall economic risk. The resulting median of the overall economic risk was about 3.9% of the gross domestic products(GDP) of Korea in 2006. When the cost of electricity loss, the highest direct cost, was not taken into account, the overall economic risk was reduced to 2.2% of GDP. This assessment can be used as a reference for justifying the radiological emergency planning and preparedness.

Impact Range Analysis of Small LPG Storage Tank Explosions at Highway Rest Areas (고속도로 휴게소 소형 LPG 저장탱크 폭발에 따른 영향범위 분석)

  • Seung duk Jeon;Soon Beom Lee;Jai Young Lee
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.319-327
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzes the risks of explosions of small LPG storage tanks installed at highway rest areas. For this purpose, the ranges of the effect of thermal radiation and overpressure caused by the BLEVE(Boiling Liquid Expansion Vapor Explosion)and VCE(Vapor Cloud Explosion) of a 2900-kg small LPG storage tank installed at highway rest areas were quantitatively evaluated by applying the Areal Location of Hazardous Atmospheres program. The ranges of influence of the derived explosion overpressure and thermal radiation were found to have a maximum radii of 336 m and 423 m, respectively. The study determined that those within 269 m could be severely injured by an explosion overpressure of 3.5 psi, and fatalities from thermal radiation of 10 kw/m2 could occur within 192 m of the exploded storage tank. The safety management plan for the LPG storage tank was discussed while considering the auxiliary facilities of highway rest areas and the extent of the damage impact. These research results will help improve safety accident prevention regulations considering the environment and facilities of the rest areas as well as the safety management of small LPG storage tanks installed at highway rest areas.

Development of the Safety Cabinet for Respiratory High-Pressure cylinder according to Consequence Analysis of Physical Explosion Damage (호흡용 고압용기 파열 피해영향 분석에 따른 안전충전함 개발)

  • Jang, Kap Man;Kim, Jeong Hwan;Jang, Yu Ri;Lee, Jin Han;Jo, Young Do
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.80-88
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    • 2016
  • A fire station and scuba have operated filling facilities for respiratory high-pressure cylinder without getting authority or reporting according to High-Pressure Gas Safety Control Act. They need facility improvement and special management to make provision for the time of accident during filling process. The Government have strived to correct illegal operations and suggested an alternative, establishing and operating the safety cabinet. It insures a safety being distance from danger caused by overpressure and a safety provoked by the protective wall equals or superiors. The safety cabinet is required to have an internal structure that smoothly distribute overpressure at the time of rupture. Plus, it needs to minimize fragments. It is also equipped with the performance of protective wall that makes overpressure to outside vent on the place where there is no person (top or bottom). This study calculated the consequence of physical explosion damage and built a prototype of safety cabinet. In addition, through the gas burst test, it derives for the ways to mitigate the physical explosion damage.

A design guide to minimize frost heave in unbound pavement layers over box culverts (저토피부 암거상부 포장의 도상피해 예방을 위한 단명설계)

  • Seo, Young-Guk
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.111-121
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    • 2007
  • During the whole month of December in 2005, Korea experienced both heavy snowfall and freezing temperature in southeast regions, which had caused frost related damages to many pavements laid on top of box culverts. In-situ observation revealed that the formation of ice lenses in subgrade and subsequent unbound layers led to upward heaving and transverse cracks in concrete and asphalt pavements. This has affected the long-term performance of pavements, as well as has threatened drivers' safety for a while. Recently, Korea Expressway Corporation has proposed a design guide to better protect newly constructed unbound pavement layers over culverts from frost heave. A trench drainage system has been selected to effectively draw off water and to alleviate pore-water pressure in soils during the coldest season. This paper presents experimental and analytical backgrounds behind this new design guide. Soil specimens retrieved from the sites are tested to quantify clay content and to estimate the permeability of subgrade. A 2-D ground seepage analysis has been conducted to better understand the changes in pore water pressures as a function of grain size. Finally, an optimum size of trench drainage is determined based on numerical analysis and workability in the field.

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Risk Assessment Technique for Gas Fuel Supply System of Combined Cycle Power Plants (I) : Based on API RBI Procedures (복합화력발전의 가스연료 공급계통에 대한 위험도 평가 기법 연구 (I) : API RBI 절차에 기반한 위험도 평가)

  • Song, Jung Soo;Yu, Jong Min;Han, Seung Youn;Choi, Jeong Woo;Yoon, Kee Bong
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • The proportion of natural gas-fueled power generation is expanding due to the change of domestic energy policy pursuing reduction of dust and increasing clean energy consumption. Natural gas fuels used for the combined-cycle power plants and the district-heating power plants are operated at high temperature and high pressure in the fuel supply system. Accidents due to leakage of the gas such as fire and explosion should be prevented by applying risk management techniques. In this study, risk assessment was performed on the natural gas fuel supply system of a combined power plant based on the API RP 581 RBI code. For the application of the API RBI code, lines and segments of the evaluation target system were identified. Operational data and input information were analyzed for the calculations of probability of failure and consequence of failure. The results of the risk assessment were analyzed over time from the initial installation time. In the code-based evaluation, the gas fuel supply system was mainly affected by thinning, external damage, and mechanical fatigue damage mechanisms. As the operating time passes, the risk is expected to increase due to the external damage caused by the CUI(Corrosion Under Insulation).

Spatial Econometrics Analysis of Fire Occurrence According to Type of Facilities (시설물 유형에 따른 화재 발생의 공간 계량 분석)

  • Seo, Min Song;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.129-141
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, fast growing cities in Korea are showing signs of being vulnerable to more disasters as their population and facilities increase and intensify. In particular, fire is one of the most common disasters in Korea's cities, along with traffic accidents. Therefore, in this study, we analyze what type of factors affect the fire that threatens urban people. Fire data were acquired for 10 years, from 2007 to 2017, in Jinju, Korea. Spatial distribution pattern of fire occurrence in Jinju was assessed through the spatial autocorrelation analysis. First, spatial autocorrelation analysis was carried out to grasp the spatial distribution pattern of fire occurrence in Jinju city. In addition, correlation and multiple regression analysis were used to confirm spatial dependency and abnormality among factors. Based on this, OLS (Ordinary Least Square) regression analysis was performed using space weighting considering fire location and spatial location of each facility. As a result, First, LISA (Local Indicator of Spatial Association) analysis of the occurrence of fire in Jinju shows that the most central commercial area are fire department, industrial area, and residential area. Second, the OLS regression model was analyzed by applying spatial weighting, focusing on the most derived factors of multiple regression analysis, by integrating population and social variables and physical variables. As a result, the second kind of neighborhood living facility showed the highest correlation with the fire occurrence, followed by the following in the order of single house, sales facility, first type of neighborhood living facility, and number of households. The results of this study are expected to be useful for analyzing the fire occurrence factors of each facility in urban areas and establishing fire safety measures.