• Title/Summary/Keyword: 불확실인수

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Analysis of thin-shell structures considering randomness in geometric and material parameters (얇은 쉘구조의 기하형상 및 재료물성치의 불확실성을 고려한 해석)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun;Seo, Dong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.353-356
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문에서는 원자력발전소의 부속건물인 냉각탑에 대한 추계론적 해석을 수행하였다. 냉각탑 구조는 원자력발전소의 냉각시스템 부속건물로서 그 규모가 매우 큰 반면 쉘의 두께가 매우 얇아 바람하중에 취약한 구조로서 주로 철근콘크리트로 건설된다. 냉각작용은 냉각탑의 하부에 유입된 외부공기에 의한 대류현상에 의하며 냉각에 필요한 시설은 냉각탑 하부에 위치한다. 이 구조는 형태적 및 재료적 특성에 따라 형상과 재료에서 공간적인 형상불완전과 재료적 불확실성을 가지며, 이들 불확실성은 구조의 응답에 영향을 미친다. 이들 인수의 불확실성을 추계장으로 가정하고 이들 사이의 상관관계를 고려하여 응답에 미치는 영향을 평가하고자 하였다. 해석에는 4절점 층상쉘요소를 사용하였고, 몬테카를로 해석을 적용하였다.

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Probabilistic Behavior of In-plane Structure due to Multiple Correlated Uncertain Material Constants (상호 상관관계가 있는 다중 재료상수의 불확실성에 의한 평면구조의 확률론적 거동)

  • Noh Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.291-302
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    • 2005
  • Due to the importance of the parameter in structural response, the uncertain elastic modulus was located at the center of stochastic analysis, where the response variability caused by the uncertain system parameters is pursued. However when we analyze the so-called stochastic systems, as many parameters as possible must be included in the analysis if we want to obtain the response variability that can reach a true one, even in an approximate sense. In this paper, a formulation to determine the statistical behavior of in-plane structures due to multiple uncertain material parameters, i.e., elastic modulus and Poisson's ratio, is suggested. To this end, the polynomial expansion on the coefficients of constitutive matrix is employed. In constructing the modified auto-and cross-correlation functions, use is made of the general equation for n-th moment. For the computational purpose, the infinite series of stochastic sub-stiffness matrices is truncated preserving required accuracy. To demons4rate the validity of the proposed formulation, an exemplary example is analyzed and the results are compared with those obtained by means of classical Monte Carlo simulation, which is based on the local averaging scheme.

A Formulation for Response Variability of Plates Considering Multiple Random Parameters (다중 불확실 인수를 고려한 평판의 응답변화도 산정 정식화)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.789-799
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we propose a stochastic finite element formulation which takes into account the randonmess in the material and geometrical parameters. The formulation is proposed for plate structures, and is based on the weighted integral approach. Contrary to the case of elastic modulus, plate thickness contributes to the stiffness as a third-order function. Furthermore, Poisson's ratio is even more complex since this parameter appears in the constitutive relations in the fraction form. Accordingly, we employ Taylor's expansion to derive decomposed stochastic field functions in ascending order. In order to verify the proposed formulation, the results obtained using the proposed scheme are compared with those in the literature and those of Monte Carlo analysis as well.

Influence of Communication on Acquired Company Members in the PMI Process : Moderation Effect of the Business Area Consistency between Acquiring and Acquired Company (PMI과정에서 피인수기업 구성원에 대한 의사소통의 영향력 : 인수기업과 피인수기업 간의 사업영역의 일치도의 조절효과)

  • Pan, Xie;Park, Chan-kyun
    • Journal of Venture Innovation
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.113-131
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    • 2023
  • Post-merger integration(PMI) plays a very important role in the success of M&A. Therefore, based on previous studies on PMI, this study discusses the relationship between communication of acquired enterprise members and uncertainty reduction, organizational satisfaction, organizational trust in the PMI process, focusing on the moderating effect of business area consistency between the acquisition and the acquired company. In order to achieve the purpose of this study, the hypothesis of the relationship between variables was established and an empirical analysis was conducted. In order to collect data, a survey was conducted on members of the acquired company in China, and 317 questionnaires were finally collected and used for empirical analysis. For the collected data, the research hypothesis was verified using SPSS 26.0. The results of the study confirmed that communication has a positive effect on the reduction of uncertainty, job satisfaction, and organizational trust perceived by members of the acquired company, and that the consistency in business areas between the acquisition and the acquired company weakens the relationship between communication and uncertainty. In the positive relationship between communication and job satisfaction, organizational trust, the effect of strengthening the moderating variable has not been confirmed, but rather the weakening control effect was found. Based on these findings, the strategy of communicating with the members of the acquired company in the PMI process is meaningful for the success or failure of the merger and provides theoretical and practical implications for proposing differentiated human resources management measures according to M&A type.

Random Variable State and Response Variability (확률변수상태와 응답변화도)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun;Lee, Phill-Seung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.6A
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    • pp.1001-1011
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    • 2006
  • It is a general agreement that exact statistical solutions can be found by a Monte Carlo technique. Due to difficulties, however, in the numerical generation of random fields, which satisfy not only the probabilistic distribution but the spectral characteristics as well, it is recognized as relatively difficult to find an exact response variability of a structural response. In this study, recognizing that the random field assumes a constant over the domain under consideration when the correlation distance tends to infinity, a semi-theoretical solution of response variability is proposed for general structures. In this procedure, the probability density function is directly used. It is particularly noteworthy that the proposed methodology provides response variability for virtually any type of probability density function, and has capability of considering correlations between multiple random variables.

Statistical Behavior of RC Cooling Tower Shell due to Shape Imperfection (철근콘크리트 냉각탑의 형상불완전에 의한 확률론적 거동)

  • 최창근;노혁천
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.147-158
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    • 2000
  • For the large scale reinforced concrete cooling tower shells, the shape imperfection can be introduced due not only to mistakes in the process of construction but also to the long term behavior of concrete. The shape imperfection evokes the additional responses such as displacements and stresses in addition to the design values. In this study, the statistical behavior of the RC cooling tower shell due to the shape imperfection is investigated using the Monte Carlo simulation. The radius of cooling tower and the shell thickness are adopted as the parameters which cause the shape imperfection. The shape imperfection is modeled as a stochastic field rather than the local one of axisymmetric or bulge type of imperfection. The randomness in the radius is shown to be more affecting the structural responses than the randomness in the shell thickness. In addition to the geometrical randomness, the effect of randomness in the modulus of elasticity on the structural response is also investigated and compared with that of the geometrical ones.

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Weighted Integral Method for an Estimation of Displacement COV of Laminated Composite Plates (복합적층판의 변위 변동계수 산정을 위한 가중적분법)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Advanced Composite Structures
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2010
  • In addition to the Young's modulus, the Poisson's ratio is also at the center of attention in the field stochastic finite element analysis since the parameters play an important role in determining structural behavior. Accordingly, the sole effect of this parameter on the response variability is of importance from the perspective of estimation of uncertain response. To this end, a formulation to determine the response variability in laminate composite plates due to the spatial randomness of Poisson's ratio is suggested. The independent contributions of random Poisson's ratiocan be captured in terms of sub-matrices which include the effect of the random parameter in the same order, which can be attained by using the Taylor's series expansion about the mean of the parameter. In order to validate the adequacy of the proposed formulation, several example analyses are performed, and then the results are compared with Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). A good agreement between the suggested scheme and MCS is observed showing the adequacy of the scheme.

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The Effect of Economic Uncertainty on Pricing in the Stock Return (경제적 불확실성이 주식수익률 결정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, In-Su
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2022
  • This study examines the role of economic uncertainty in stock price determination in the domestic stock market. To this end, we analyzed the relationship between economic uncertainty indices at home and abroad (USA, China) and stock returns for non-financial companies in Korea from January 2000 to 2017. For the analysis model, the 3-factor model of Fama and French (1992) and the 5-factor model including momentum and liquidity were used. As a result of the analysis, a portfolio with a high beta of economic uncertainty showed higher stock returns than a portfolio with a low beta. This was the same as the US analysis result. Also, the analysis results using the US uncertainty index were more significant than the regression analysis results using the Korean economic uncertainty index.

A Study on Factors that Influence on the Success of Information System Integration under M&A (기업 인수/합병(M&A)에 따른 성공적인 시스템 통합을 위한 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Cha, Suk-Ho;Kim, Jong-Woo
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.397-402
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    • 2008
  • 최근에 기업 인수/합병은 경영환경의 불확실성과 심화된 글로벌 경쟁으로 선진기업들의 생존과 경쟁력 강화를 위한 긍정적 수단으로 빠르게 인식되어 가고 있으며, 많은 사례의 M&A시 시너지를 극대화 시키기 위해 기업간 정보시스템 통합이 이루어지고 있지만 통합 IS 구축 실패가 부각되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서 M&A시 두 기업의 차이점이 성공적인 시스템 구축에 미치는지 영향을 연구하였다. 향후 발생할 M&A에 따른 통합 IS 구축 시 유의하게 고려해야 되는 주요한 기업간의 차이점을 파악하여 성공적인 시스템 구축에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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Response Variability of Laminated Composite Plates with Random Elastic Modulus (탄성계수의 불확실성에 의한 복합적층판 구조의 응답변화도)

  • Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we suggest a stochastic finite element scheme for the probabilistic analysis of the composite laminated plates, which have been applied to variety of mechanical structures due to their high strength to weight ratios. The applied concept in the formulation is the weighted integral method, which has been shown to give the most accurate results among others. We take into account the elastic modulus and in-plane shear modulus as random. For individual random parameters, independent stochastic field functions are assumed, and the effect of these random parameters on the response are estimated based on the exponentially varying auto- and cross-correlation functions. Based on example analyses, we suggest that composite plates show a less coefficient of variation than plates of isotropic and orthotropic materials. For the validation of the proposed scheme, Monte Carlo analysis is also performed, and the results are compared with each other.