• Title/Summary/Keyword: 불확실성 통제

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The Relationship Between International Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange Volatility (국제 자본이동과 환율 변동성에 관한 연구: 주요 통화대비 원화 환율을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Don-Seung
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2017
  • This study is to investigate the dynamic relationship between international capital flows and won exchange rate to the major currency in Korea. As the results of Granger causality test, international capital flows Granger-cause currency rate volatility in the short term. However, over time, won exchange rate volatility Granger-cause international capital flows in Korea. According to the results by period divided based on 2008 financial crisis, international capital flows have the significant effects on won-dollar exchange rate volatility before 2008 crisis although currency rate volatility Granger-cause international capital flows after the crisis. As the results of impulse-response function of the basis of VAR, foreign exchange rate volatility has no connection with international capital flows before the crisis while it doesn't after. After the crisis, currency rate volatility has promoted international capital flows, while its influence diminishes as time passes. As these results, the uncertainty of foreign exchange market tend to influence the international capital flows rather than vice versa in Korea. Thus, it would be a more effective policy to control the uncertainty of market than the direct restrictions international capital flows.

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The Value of Private Information based on Cost-Benefit Analysis Framework: Focusing on Individual Attributes, Dealer Traits, and Circumstantial Properties (비용편익분석 프레임워크를 통한 개인정보가치에 대한 연구: 개인적 특성, 거래 상대방 특성, 상황적 특성을 중심으로)

  • Jaehyun Park;Eunkyung Kweon;Minjung Park;Sangmi Chai
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.155-177
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate those factors that are influenced when a user recognizes his/her private information value as an economic asset. The relationship among these factors will also be discussed. This research targets Internet users, and the value of their private information will be converted into economic figures. How economic value changes in relation with individual attributes, dealer's traits, and circumstantial properties will also be studied. The changes in the factors of private information value under different situations will be analyzed from an economic perspective. By using the cost-benefit analysis framework, this work hypothesizes that the user's private information value can be influenced by individual attributes and situational properties. in the business aspect, this study can help users recognize the true value of their personal information and minimize the cost resulting from private information security incidents. This work also highlights the necessity of estimating the scale of investments for protecting private information. Overall, this research will proceed under the hypothesis that the users' recognition of their private information value is influenced by the attributes of the individual, dealers, or situations.

A Study on Weighted Composite Dispatching Rule in the Modular Production System (모듈생산시스템에서의 가중 혼합 할당규칙 연구)

  • Yang Kwang-Mo;Park Jae-Hyun;Kang Kyong-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2004
  • 국내 반도체 산업은 불과 20년도 안 되는 짧은 기간동안에 괄목할만한 성장을 하여 전세계 반도체 생산 규모 면에서 3위 국가로 부상하였으며, 기술 경쟁력 면에서도 한국인의 자존심을 그나마 지켜왔다. 하지만, 반도체 제조는 가장 복잡한 제조공정의 하나로 분류되며, 이러한 복잡한 시스템을 통제하기 위해서는, 다양한 시스템 조건 하에서 적절한 생산전략을 마련하는 것이 필요하다. 그러나, 반도체 제조 시스템에 대한 다양한 상황과 관련한 연구는 많지 않다. 반도체 제조공정 시스템에 대한 스케줄은 생산공정의 재진입, 공정의 높은 불확실성, 급속하게 변하는 제품과 기술과 같은 특성 때문에 반도체 제조공정 시스템에 대한 스케줄은 복잡하고 어려운 작업이며, 사이클타임의 절감 및 단위시간당 생산량의 증대와 같은 시스템 목적을 달성하기 위하여, 반도체 제조 시스템에 대한 좋은 방법을 발견하기 위한 많은 연구가 있었다. 반도체 산업의 생산 흐름은 가장 독특한 특징을 가지고 있으며 생산계획과 반도체 제조의 스케줄링과 계획을 어렵게 하고 있다. 현재 반도체 조립공정에서 수행되고 있는 일정계획은 단순 FCFS (First Come First Serve)에 의한 할당규칙에 따른다. 또한 Backlog(예비재고)를 1일 생산량을 기준으로 Buffer로 운영하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 효율적인 재고관리와 정확한 스케줄링이 생산의 경쟁력 확보 우위임을 가정하여 다양한 할당규칙(dispatching rule)을 실시간 적용하여 정확한 일정계획 수립의 효과와 결과를 시뮬레이션을 통해 검증하고자 한다. 제시된 방법론을 위하여 시뮬레이션 접근방법이 사용되었다.

Wide Vessel Traffic Service System Using Koreasat (무궁화 위성을 이용한 광역 해상 교통 관제 시스템 연구)

  • Lee H.J;Kang C.G.;Lee C.M.;Park J.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, authors introduce about wide vessel traffic service(VTS) system using automatic identification system(AIS). In order to develop the prototype of wide VTS system, Koreasat is used for AIS. In this system, ship position obtained by using GPS is reported automatically to VTS center through Koreasat. By using this system, VTS center can cover more wide area than the case using radar only. And the uncertainty of information decreases. The results of test show the good possibility of VTS using satellite and AIS.

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Bibliometric Network Analysis on Supply Chain Risk Management Research (공급사슬 리스크 관리 연구동향 분석: 네트워크 분석을 중심으로)

  • Pyun, Jebum;Rha, Jin Sung
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2018
  • Recently, most firms have difficulties in predicting business context due to uncontrollable factors such as natural disasters, terrorism, social and political interests, as well as market factors such as rapid technological change, diversification of customer needs, and intensification of competition with competitors, thereby increasing the importance of risk management. The purpose of this study is to analyze trends of the risk management field concentrating on SCM, which is increasingly interested, and to identify key researches in this field and provide useful academic information. This study collected the information of the articles published in journals using the Scopus database, and analyzed both the network generated by keywords proposed in the articles and the network generated by the information for citations and co-authorship.

A Study of Advanced N-Tier Model for Improving Maintainability of Web Applications in Cloud Environment (클라우드 환경에서 웹 어플리케이션의 유지보수성 향상을 위한 N-계층 모델의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, In-Kyu;Shin, Joon-Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.537-552
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    • 2013
  • Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) has led to paradigm shifts in the information management area by combining it with SOA and Mashup. System developers now have more chances to access various high-quality functions through API opened on the web. But external resources are controlled by service providers so that it raises the component's uncertainty in system management which is related to external resources. In the cloud environment, components related to external resources causes negative effects on system's maintainability by making them dependant on service providers. This study proposes a way to enhance maintainability by using stable external resources. For this work, we suggest the N+1-tier model in which an external resource tier is added to the N-tier model. After that, we analyze how adding an external resource tier affects the decreasing complexity of maintainability and improving maintainability on web application.

The Effects of Entrepreneurial Self-efficacy on Entrepreneurship of University Students: Moderating Effects of Entrepreneurial Education and Career Uncertainty (예비창업자의 창업효능감과 기업가정신의 관계: 창업교육 및 진로불확실성의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Park, JaeChun;Kim, JuSeob
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2019
  • Recently, domestic universities have emphasized career path to start-up through entrepreneurial self-efficacy (ESE) and entrepreneurship. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of ESE on entrepreneurship of university students. Also we examine the moderating effects of entrepreneurial education and career uncertainty between ESE and entrepreneurship. Research sample consisted of 236 university students in Cheonan city. The results of this research is as follows: First, ESE showed a positive effects on entrepreneurship. Second, the moderating effect of entrepreneurial education was significant on the relationship between ESE and entrepreneurship. In other words, university students with a higher entrepreneurial education showed higher entrepreneurship when ESE was lower. But students with a lower entrepreneurial education showed higher entrepreneurship when ESE was higher. Finally, the interaction effects of career uncertainty was confirmed in relationship between ESE and entrepreneurship. In other words, university students with a higher career uncertainty showed higher entrepreneurship when ESE was higher. But students with a lower career uncertainty showed higher entrepreneurship when ESE was lower. In order to improve the entrepreneurship of the pre-founders, it is necessary to strengthen the behavior control of university students by enhancing the ESE. Also, the improvement of entrepreneurship of pre-founders should strengthen the ESE of university students, and should complement systematic and effective entrepreneurship education. In particular, we should provide the stability for career decision by eliminating uncertainty about the career path of university students.

Exploratory Sensitivity Analysis of Environmental Equity to Spatial to Measures (공간척도 유형에 따른 환경적 형평성의 민감도 분석)

  • Jun, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.508-521
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    • 2006
  • The results of environmental equity analysis vary dramatically depending on different methods used. The information and data available to the researcher are also often uncertain and imprecise in empirical studies. A sensitivity analysis approach was used too handle uncertainties and methodological inconsistencies in environmental equity analysis. This paper explores the sensitivity of environmental equity analysis to two spatial measures such as proximity and scale. Two experiments were implemented to evaluate the effects of two spatial measures on the environmental equity analysis using a combination of control and experimental factors. Fulton County, Georgia was selected as a case study area for these experiments. Two major data sets including demographic characteristics and toxic release inventory (TRI) database for the study area in 1990 were integrated into a GIS environment. Two statistical analyses such as independent samples t-test and coefficient of variation were performed to determine the environmental equity in the study area and to compare the relative variability in the socioeconomic characteristics of populations over different spatial measures. The findings from two experiments indicate that the outcomes of environmental equity analysis are slightly sensitive to the buffer distance used to determine the impact zones of TRI facilities, but not to the geographic scale used in the analysis. The findings also suggest that the consequences of these choices can alter spatially and statistically the results in environmental equity analysis.

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Cost-Benefit Analysis of The National Land Census Project and Its Policy Implications (국토센서스 사업의 비용 및 편익분석과 시사점)

  • Lee, Young-Sung;Kim, Kab-Sung;Lee, Choon-Won;Kwon, Dae-Jung;Yu, Hyeon-Ji;Yun, Hyung-Seok;Kim, Jin
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.23-38
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    • 2019
  • The National Land Census Project aims to survey the national land regularly to resolve the land category disagreement and reflect the actual land use. The objective of this study is to investigate whether not only the National Land Census Project but also related land and housing surveys bring about the improvement of social welfare in light of the invested budget, and to measure the project feasibility. The potential benefit after the National Land Census Project is not traded in the market. To determine the economic value of this potential benefit, the Contingent Valuation Method was used. This study utilized the single-bounded and double-bounded dichotomous choice models simultaneously to estimate the project feasibility of the cadastral system improvement. According to this study, cost-benefit ratio of the project was estimated larger than 1, which means that social benefits are larger than social costs.

Estimation of the Probable Wave Height considering Storm Surge in the Ocean near the Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소 인근 바다에서 폭풍해일을 고려한 가능 최대 파고 높이 추정)

  • Kim, Beom-Jin;Kim, Minkyu;Hahm, Daegi;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.211-211
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    • 2021
  • 최근에 기후변화로 인한 한반도에 내습하는 태풍에 빈도는 점차 증가하고 있다. 2020년도 8월 26일 태풍 '바비', 9월 2일 태풍 '마이삭', 9월 7일 태풍 '하이선'은 일주일 내의 간격으로 한반도를 내습하였다. 한반도에 내습한 태풍 중에서 마이삭과 하이선은 동쪽 해역을 지나가면서 강풍과 많은 강우를 초래하였다. 그 결과 특정 원전은 자동 가동중지가 발생되는 사태를 야기 시켰다. 본 연구에서는 원자력 발전소 인근 해역에서 폭풍해일에 의한 가능최대파고 높이를 추정함으로써 발전소 안전성에 대한 검토에 목적을 두고 있다. 이를 위해 첫 번째로 '2019 전국 심해 설계파 산출 보고서'를 바탕으로 원전 인근 해역 심해 설계파 지점에 대해 파고, 주기, 해상풍과 같은 변수들을 분석하였다. 그 결과를 바탕으로 100년부터 1000만년까지의 변수들을 예측하였다. 두 번째로 해도자료를 바탕으로 GIS를 통한 지형자료를 구축하였다. 구축된 지형자료를 바탕으로 SWAN 모델의 기초자료를 구성하였다. 세 번째로 추정된 변수들과 구축된 지형자료를 바탕으로 100년부터 1000만년까지의 시나리오별 SWAN 시뮬레이션을 통해서 원전 인근 해역에 대한 가능 최대 파고 높이를 분석하였다. 그 결과를 바탕으로 특정 원전인근 해역에서의 평균적인 파고 높이에 대한 재해도 곡선을 추정하고 제시하였다. 본 연구를 바탕으로 향후 확률론적인 분석 방법을 적용하여 불확실성을 고려한 재해도 곡선 추정 과정의 기초자료로 활용될 수 있다. 또한 EurOtop을 적용하여 파고 높이에 따른 원전부지의 Overtopping을 추정하고, 최종적으로 폭풍해일에 의한 원전부지의 2차원 침수해석의 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 이를 통해 홍수 방지 및 예방과 관련한 홍수저감 활동과 관련된 통제실 외부 시설물에 대한 수동 조작에 대한 안전성 평가가 이루어질 수 있겠다.

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