• Title/Summary/Keyword: 불확실성구간

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Simulation based Automatic Knowledge Acquisition (시뮬레이션을 통한 지식의 자동 획득)

  • 이강선;김명희
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.11-11
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    • 1993
  • 도메인에 대한 전문 지식 획득(Acquisition of expert knowlegde)은 지식 제공자인 인간 전문가에 의존한다. 도메인이 복잡해 질수록 인간 전문가로부터 관련된 모든 지식을 획득하기란 어렵다. 이런 지식 획득의 어려움을 부분 흑은 완전 자동화된 지식 획득 시스템을 통해 해결하려는 많은 연구가 있어 왔다. 그러나 지식 획득을 위한 여러 시도들은 지식 제공자의 촛점이 도메인이 아닌 표현 구조나 도구- representation environment -에 보다 치우치게 하여, 잘못된 지식을 획득하게 하거나 주요지식이 생략되는 경우를 보이기도 한다. 또한 정적인 관계(relationship)에 의해서만 지식(Static Knowledge)을 생성하므로 시간흐름에 따라변화하는 지식을 나타내기는 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 시뮬레이션을 통한 자동 지식 획득(Simulation Based automatic Knowledge Acquisition) 방법을 제시한다. 이 방법은 1) 도메인에 관한 초기 인과관계 정보를 입력 받고, 2) 입력된 정보를 일정한 프레임에 따라 구조화 시켜 경험 베이스를 구성하고 이를 탐색하여 도메인과 관련된 확장된 정보를 얻은 후, 3) 위의1),2)를 통해 얻어진 정보를 분석하여 주어지는 입력에 대해 다양한 출력을 낼 수 있는 시뮬레이션 모델을 생성한다. 이 모델은 다음 단계의 지식 생성을 위한 수단(resource)이 되며, 구간값과 같은 불확실한 정보를 포함할 수 있는 구조이다. 마지막으로 4) 생성된 모델을 시뮬레이션하여 결과로 생성된 지식을 획득한다. 위의 과정에서, 지식획득을 위한 수단인 시뮬레이션 모델이 지식 제공자의 개입 없이 자동 생성됨에 따라, 지식 제공자는 도메인 관련 지식 그 자체에 집중할 수 있으며, 생성된 모델을 시뮬레이션한 결과에 의해 지식을 생성함으로써 동적인 지식이 얻어질 수 있다. DEVS 모델에 대한 타당성 검사 방법을 고찰하고 그 문제점에 대하여 자세히 설명한다. DEVS 모델의 타당성 검사에 이용하는 SPN 모델에 대한 개념과 DEVS 모델과 행위적으로 동등한 SNP 모델로 변환을 위한 관점을 제조명하다. 동일한 관점에서 두 모델의 상태표현이 같도록 DEVS 모델이 SPN 모델로 표현됨을 보이는 변환이론을 제시하고 변환이론을 바탕으로 모델 변환과정을 제시한다. 모델 변환이론과 변환고정을 기본으로 타당성 검사를 위한 새로운 동질함수(homogeneous function)를 정의하고 이와 함께 SPN 모델의 특성을 이용하여 DEVS 모델에 대한 타당성 검사 방법을 새롭게 제안한다. 에탄올투여로 증가된 유리기 해독계 효소인 GSH-Px활성을 큰 폭으로 감소시키고 에탄올투여로 감소된 비효소적 항산화작용을 나타내는 GSH함량을 다량 증가시킴으로서 지질과산화물에 대한 방어력이 증가되어 나타난 결과로 여겨지며, 또한 혈청중의 ALT, ALP 및 LDH활성을 유의성있게 감소시키므로서 감잎 phenolic compounds가 에탄올에 의한 간세포 손상에 대한 해독 및 보호작용이 있는 것으로 사료된다.반적으로 홍삼 제조시 내공의 발생은 제조공정에서 나타나는 경우가 많으며, 내백의 경우는 홍삼으로 가공되면서 발생하는 경우가 있고, 인삼이 성장될 때 부분적인 영양상태의 불충분이나 기후 등에 따른 영향을 받을 수 있기 때문에 앞으로 이에 대한 많은 연구가 이루어져야할 것으로 판단된다.태에도 불구하고 [-wh]의미의 겹의문사는 병렬적 관계의 합성어가 아니라 내부구조를 지니지 않은 단순한 단어(minimal $X^{0}$ elements)로 가정한다. 즉, [+wh] 의미의 겹의문사는 동일한 구성요 소를 지닌 병렬적 합성어([$[W1]_{XO-}$ $[W1]_{XO}$ ]$

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A Meta Analysis of the Effects of Road Safety Facilities on Accident Reduction: Focusing on Signalized Intersection (도로안전시설의 사고감소효과 메타분석 : 신호교차로를 대상으로)

  • CHOI, Ji Hye;LIM, Joon Beom;LEE, Soo Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2016
  • The number of traffic accidents at intersections has been increased over the past decade, and in 2014, accounted for 44% of the total traffic accidents. In addition, since most of road accident black spots include signalized intersections, the improvement of safety on signalized intersection is top priority for national road safety program in Korea. For the decision of most effective action plan for the safety of signalized intersection, this study conducted meta-analyses to assess the effects of various road safety facilities at signalized intersection on traffic accidents. We selected 19 articles regarding the prediction of traffic accidents at signalized intersection and calculated 34 individual effect sizes on 8 variables included in the articles. The results found that there was a statistically significant negative relationship between the occurrence of traffic accident and the presence of all of road safety facilities except an exclusive left turn bay. It shows that most of the road safety facilities could prevent traffic accidents, and intersection channelization has the most effective on the reduction of traffic accidents followed by left-turn acceleration lane, lightning, crosswalk, exclusive right-turn lane and median barrier.

A Prediction of N-value Using Regression Analysis Based on Data Augmentation (데이터 증강 기반 회귀분석을 이용한 N치 예측)

  • Kim, Kwang Myung;Park, Hyoung June;Lee, Jae Beom;Park, Chan Jin
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.221-239
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    • 2022
  • Unknown geotechnical characteristics are key challenges in the design of piles for the plant, civil and building works. Although the N-values which were read through the standard penetration test are important, those N-values of the whole area are not likely acquired in common practice. In this study, the N-value is predicted by means of regression analysis with artificial intelligence (AI). Big data is important to improve learning performance of AI, so circular augmentation method is applied to build up the big data at the current study. The optimal model was chosen among applied AI algorithms, such as artificial neural network, decision tree and auto machine learning. To select optimal model among the above three AI algorithms is to minimize the margin of error. To evaluate the method, actual data and predicted data of six performed projects in Poland, Indonesia and Malaysia were compared. As a result of this study, the AI prediction of this method is proven to be reliable. Therefore, it is realized that the geotechnical characteristics of non-boring points were predictable and the optimal arrangement of structure could be achieved utilizing three dimensional N-value distribution map.

Estimation of Pollutant EMCs and Loadings in Highway Runoff (국내 고속도로 강우 유출수의 EMCs 및 유출 부하량 산정)

  • Kim, Lee-Hyung;Ko, Seok-Oh;Lee, Byung-Sik;Kim, Sunggil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.2B
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    • pp.225-231
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    • 2006
  • The nonpoint source control is based on TPLMS (Total Pollution Load Management System) program. Recently, the Ministry of Environment in Korea has programed TPLMS for 4 major large rivers to improve the water quality in rivers by controling the total pollutant loadings from the watershed area. Usually the urbanization is the main pollutant sources, particularly for nonpoint pollutants, because of high imperviousness and high pollutant mass emissions. The stormwater runoff from urban areas is containing various pollutants such as sediments, metals and toxic chemicals due to human and vehicle activities. Of the various landuses, the highways are highly polluted landuses because of high pollutant accumulation rate by vehicle activities during dry periods. Therefore, this research is achieved to provide pollutant EMCs (Event Mean Concentrations) and mass loadings washed-off from highways during rainfall periods. Five monitoring locations were equipped with an automatic rainfall gage and an flow meter. The results show that the EMC ranges for 95% confidence intervals in highway land use are 45.52-125.76 mg/L for TSS, 52.04-95.48 mg/L for COD, 1.77-4.48 mg/L for TN, 0.29-0.54 mg/L for TP. The ranges of washed- off mass loading are $712.7-2,418.4mg/m^2$ for TSS and $684.1-1,779.6mg/m^2$ for COD.

A Study on Design Education Re-engineering by Multi-disciplinary Approach (다학제적 접근을 통한 대학디자인 교육혁신 프로그램 연구)

  • Lee, Soon-Jong;Kim, Jong-Won;Chu, Wu-Jin;Chae, Sung-Zin;Yoon, Su-Hyun
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.20 no.3 s.71
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    • pp.299-314
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    • 2007
  • For the past 20 years, the growth and development of university-design-educational institutes contributed to the industrial development of our country. Due to the technological fluctuation and changes in the industrial structure in the latter half of the 20th century, the enterprise is demanding professionally-oriented design manpower. The principle which appears from instances of the advanced nations is to accommodate the demands in social changes and apply them to educational design programs. In order to respond promptly to the industrial demand especially, the advanced nations adopted "multidisciplinary design education programs" to lead innovation in the area of design globally. The objective of the research consequently is to suggest an educational system and a program through which the designer can be educated to obtain complex knowledge and the technique demanded by the industry and enterprise. Nowadays in order to adapt to a new business environment, designers specially should have both the knowledge and techniques in engineering and business administration. We suggest that the IPDI, a multidisciplinary design educational system and program is made up of the coordinated operation of major classes, on-the-job training connection, educational system for research base creation, renovation design development program for the application and the synthesis of alternative proposals about the training facility joint ownership by connecting with the education of design, business administration and engineering.

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A Study on Shaker's Free Design from Fashion (유행(流行)으로부터 자유로운 세이커(Shaker) 디자인에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon;Huh, Jin
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.20 no.3 s.71
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 2007
  • Today, design is not free from fashion, which emerges and vanishes temporarily, and aims at equalization. As a result, products quickly become obsolete because of fashion. This means that the span of products is determined by a social concept, which is not clarified, regardless of their functions. Usable products will gradually disappear from us and it will cause serious environmental problems, unless we can find out measures against fashion. As such, it is important to study the characteristics of the shaker's design in this circumstance. The Shaker's community has a distinguishable difference from other general societies. Temporary fashion and misled information cannot interfere with their consciousness. Religion, the life and the principle of design have developed on the same level in their community. Especially, any decoration or the difference of materials is not allowed in shaker's design. It reflects their thinking that all people are equal in the sight of God. Therefore, any decoration for social and economical superiority can not be used. Through this consciousness, they can be free from fashion or decoration. They, also, believe that they can reach perfection through practicality and simplicity. The reason why shaker's design is not disturbed by fashion is that their belief is involved in their design. Consequently, if religious or conscious contents are primarily set up, design can be free from fashion and products can be used for a long time.

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Effect of Ground-fogging on Target and Non-target Insects in Korean Pine Forests (지상 연막 방제가 잣나무림 내 표적 및 비표적 곤충에 미치는 영향)

  • Jang, Tae Woon;Jung, Jong-Kook;Kim, Mannyeon;Kim, Jongkuk;Jung, Chansik;Koh, Sanghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.4
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    • pp.509-517
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to assess effect of thiacloprid fogging on non-target insect communities in Korean white pine forests. In addition, we assessed effect of thiacloprid fogging on mortality of Monochamus saltuarius as a vector of pine wood nematodes, and Apis mellifera as a non-target species. We compared abundance, species richness, and compostion of insects, and mortality of two insects among four treatment groups (control and thiacloprid-fogged groups with 3 different doses) located in the Kangwon National University Forest. For sampling of insects, 6 pitfall and 2 multi-funnel traps and 3 waterproof cloth sheets were placed in each study plot. In addition, M. saltuarius and A. mellifera were put into each meshed cage which installed at 7 m and 15 m heights in center of each study plot. Thiacloprid was fogged only once (middle May) in each plot using a fogging machine. Overall, thiacloprid fogging was appeared to be low toxicity to the abundance, species richness, and compostion of insects and mortality of A. mellifera, while it seems effectively impact on the mortality of M. saltuarius. However, thiacloprid fogging seems more influenced by microclimates in forests because the mortality of M. saltuarius in mesh cages was different according to heights and spatial locations. To control the population density and dispersal of M. saltuarius using by fogging techniques, therefore, it may be necessary to minimize the uncertainty about the effectiveness of thiacloprid fogging by improving the fogging techniques.

Water Balance Projection Using Climate Change Scenarios in the Korean Peninsula (기후변화 시나리오를 활용한 미래 한반도 물수급 전망)

  • Kim, Cho-Rong;Kim, Young-Oh;Seo, Seung Beom;Choi, Su-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.8
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    • pp.807-819
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    • 2013
  • This study proposes a new methodology for future water balance projection considering climate change by assigning a weight to each scenario instead of inputting future streamflows based on GCMs into a water balance model directly. K-nearest neighbor algorithm was employed to assign weights and streamflows in non-flood period (October to the following June) was selected as the criterion for assigning weights. GCM-driven precipitation was input to TANK model to simulate future streamflow scenarios and Quantile Mapping was applied to correct bias between GCM hindcast and historical data. Based on these bias-corrected streamflows, different weights were assigned to each streamflow scenarios to calculate water shortage for the projection periods; 2020s (2010~2039), 2050s (2040~2069), and 2080s (2070~2099). As a result by applying the proposed methodology to project water shortage over the Korean Peninsula, average water shortage for 2020s is projected to increase to 10~32% comparing to the basis (1967~2003). In addition, according to getting decreased in streamflows in non-flood period gradually by 2080s, average water shortage for 2080s is projected to increase up to 97% (516.5 million $m^3/yr$) as maximum comparing to the basis. While the existing research on climate change gives radical increase in future water shortage, the results projected by the weighting method shows conservative change. This study has significance in the applicability of water balance projection regarding climate change, keeping the existing framework of national water resources planning and this lessens the confusion for decision-makers in water sectors.